Texas State vs Sam Houston State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Sep 28)
Updated: 2024-09-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Texas State Bobcats (3-1) will face the Sam Houston State Bearkats (1-3) on September 28, 2024, at NRG Stadium in Houston. Texas State comes in as an 8.5-point favorite, boasting a high-powered offense, while Sam Houston looks to find stability after a challenging start to their season.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 3:00 PM EST
Venue: NRG Stadium
Bearkats Record: (3-1)
Bobcats Record: (2-1)
OPENING ODDS
TXSTSM Moneyline: -307
SAMST Moneyline: +242
TXSTSM Spread: -8.5
SAMST Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 56.5
TXSTSM
Betting Trends
- Texas State has been effective ATS, going 3-1 so far this season. Their strong offensive output, averaging 37 points per game, has helped them cover spreads in multiple matchups.
SAMST
Betting Trends
- Sam Houston has struggled against the spread (ATS), with a 1-3 record this season. Although they won their last game against New Mexico State, they have struggled to maintain consistency, particularly against stronger opponents.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The over is a frequent trend for both teams, especially Texas State, which averages 37 points per game. With a total points line set at 56.5, the offensive tendencies of Texas State and the defensive inconsistencies of Sam Houston could push the game over that total.
TXSTSM vs. SAMST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Texas State vs Sam Houston State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
The Bobcats have been balanced offensively, averaging nearly 290 passing yards and 180 rushing yards per game, which will pose a significant challenge for a Sam Houston defense that has been shaky. On the other hand, Sam Houston State, transitioning into Conference USA play, has had a rough start to the season, sitting at 1-3. Quarterback Hunter Watson has been inconsistent, with 540 passing yards and 5 interceptions to go with his 5 touchdowns. The Bearkats will look to their running back, DJ McKinney, to spark their offense, especially after he rushed for 116 yards and 2 touchdowns in their last outing against New Mexico State.
Despite their offensive struggles, Sam Houston will be hoping their defense, which has shown flashes of potential, can step up to slow down the high-powered Texas State offense. This game will likely come down to whether Sam Houston can contain Texas State’s offensive attack. If Texas State can establish their running game and continue their efficient passing, they should be able to control the game. However, if Sam Houston’s defense steps up and they can limit turnovers, they might be able to keep it closer than expected.
𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤 𝟓 𝐢𝐧 𝐇𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐧‼️
— Texas State Football (@TXSTATEFOOTBALL) September 23, 2024
🆚 Sam Houston
🗓️ September 28, 2024
🏟️ NRG Stadium
⏰2:00PM
📺 ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/g7hXXcInYm
Texas State Bobcats CFB Preview
Texas State enters this game on a high note, with a 3-1 record and a dynamic offense that has been clicking all season. Led by quarterback Jordan McCloud, who has already thrown for 9 touchdowns, the Bobcats have been able to put up points in bunches. Their balanced approach on offense, with nearly 300 passing yards and 180 rushing yards per game, has made them one of the more dangerous teams in the Sun Belt. On defense, Texas State has been solid, allowing only 22.7 points per game. Their pass defense, however, has shown some vulnerability, giving up nearly 280 yards per game through the air. They will need to tighten up in the secondary, especially against a Sam Houston team that could rely on the deep ball to stay competitive. If Texas State continues to execute on offense, they should be in good shape to cover the 8.5-point spread and potentially extend their win streak to four games.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Sam Houston State Bearkats CFB Preview
The Sam Houston State Bearkats are looking to turn their season around after a difficult start that includes losses to UCF and Rice. Sam Houston’s offense has struggled to find consistency, with quarterback Hunter Watson at the helm. Watson has thrown for 540 yards but has been plagued by turnovers, with 5 interceptions this season. The Bearkats will need to rely heavily on their running game, with DJ McKinney emerging as their primary offensive weapon, rushing for 233 yards on the season. Defensively, Sam Houston has been inconsistent, giving up over 190 passing yards and 141 rushing yards per game. They will need to improve significantly if they hope to contain Texas State’s offense, which has been prolific both on the ground and through the air. Playing at NRG Stadium in Houston gives the Bearkats a quasi-home advantage, and they’ll be looking for their defense to create turnovers and slow down the Bobcats’ balanced attack.
Those NRG vibes as we prep for the H Town Showdown. See you Saturday in Houston!
— Sam Houston Football (@BearkatsFB) September 24, 2024
Get your tickets here:https://t.co/Qh84WdbfTl#EatEmUpKats pic.twitter.com/wjkPbMwGRo
Texas State vs. Sam Houston State Prop Picks (AI)
Texas State vs. Sam Houston State Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Bobcats and Bearkats and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the trending factor emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Bobcats team going up against a possibly rested Bearkats team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Texas State vs Sam Houston State picks, computer picks Bobcats vs Bearkats, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Bobcats Betting Trends
Texas State has been effective ATS, going 3-1 so far this season. Their strong offensive output, averaging 37 points per game, has helped them cover spreads in multiple matchups.
Bearkats Betting Trends
Sam Houston has struggled against the spread (ATS), with a 1-3 record this season. Although they won their last game against New Mexico State, they have struggled to maintain consistency, particularly against stronger opponents.
Bobcats vs. Bearkats Matchup Trends
The over is a frequent trend for both teams, especially Texas State, which averages 37 points per game. With a total points line set at 56.5, the offensive tendencies of Texas State and the defensive inconsistencies of Sam Houston could push the game over that total.
Texas State vs. Sam Houston State Game Info
What time does Texas State vs Sam Houston State start on September 28, 2024?
Texas State vs Sam Houston State starts on September 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM EST.
Where is Texas State vs Sam Houston State being played?
Venue: NRG Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Texas State vs Sam Houston State?
Spread: Sam Houston State +8.5
Moneyline: Texas State -307, Sam Houston State +242
Over/Under: 56.5
What are the records for Texas State vs Sam Houston State?
Texas State: (2-1) | Sam Houston State: (3-1)
What is the AI best bet for Texas State vs Sam Houston State?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Texas State vs Sam Houston State trending bets?
The over is a frequent trend for both teams, especially Texas State, which averages 37 points per game. With a total points line set at 56.5, the offensive tendencies of Texas State and the defensive inconsistencies of Sam Houston could push the game over that total.
What are Texas State trending bets?
TXSTSM trend: Texas State has been effective ATS, going 3-1 so far this season. Their strong offensive output, averaging 37 points per game, has helped them cover spreads in multiple matchups.
What are Sam Houston State trending bets?
SAMST trend: Sam Houston has struggled against the spread (ATS), with a 1-3 record this season. Although they won their last game against New Mexico State, they have struggled to maintain consistency, particularly against stronger opponents.
Where can I find AI Picks for Texas State vs Sam Houston State?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Texas State vs. Sam Houston State Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Texas State vs Sam Houston State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Texas State vs Sam Houston State Opening Odds
TXSTSM Moneyline:
-307 SAMST Moneyline: +242
TXSTSM Spread: -8.5
SAMST Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 56.5
Texas State vs Sam Houston State Live Odds
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O 52 (-110)
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U 55.5 (-110)
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O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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Oct 24, 2025 10:00PM EDT
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10/24/25 10PM
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-2273
+990
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O 51 (-110)
U 51 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Virginia Cavaliers
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UVA
UNC
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-450
+330
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-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
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O 52 (-110)
U 52 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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KENT
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–
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-350
+270
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+8.5 (-110)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Purdue Boilermakers
10/25/25 12PM
RUT
PURDUE
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–
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-139
+114
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-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
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O 58.5 (-110)
U 58.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
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-221
+179
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-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
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O 63 (-110)
U 63 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
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UCLA
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+1258
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Northwestern Wildcats
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+230
-303
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+7.5 (-110)
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O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio Bobcats
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10/25/25 12PM
OHIO
EMICH
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–
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-481
+350
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-12.5 (-110)
+12.5 (-110)
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O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
SMU Mustangs
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SMU
WAKE
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–
–
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-183
+148
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-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
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O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Syracuse Orange
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–
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+580
-952
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+17.5 (-110)
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O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
App State Mountaineers
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-549
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O 63 (-110)
U 63 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ole Miss Rebels
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+170
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+5 (-110)
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Kansas State Wildcats
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+122
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+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
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O 56.5 (-115)
U 56.5 (-105)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Auburn Tigers
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AUBURN
ARK
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–
–
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-106
-115
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+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
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O 57 (-110)
U 57 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Akron Zips
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+285
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+9.5 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:00PM EDT
UConn Huskies
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UCONN
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:00PM EDT
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+122
-150
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+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
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O 61.5 (-110)
U 61.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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+275
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+9 (-110)
-9 (-110)
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O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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-492
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-11.5 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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+117
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O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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+175
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O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Toledo Rockets
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TOLEDO
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+101
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Florida Atlantic Owls
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–
–
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+500
-776
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+16 (-110)
-16 (-110)
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O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Illinois Fighting Illini
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10/25/25 3:30PM
ILL
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–
–
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+155
-192
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+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
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O 55 (-110)
U 55 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Umass Minutemen
Central Michigan Chippewas
10/25/25 3:30PM
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CMICH
|
–
–
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-782
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-16 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
San Diego State Aztecs
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10/25/25 3:30PM
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–
–
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-166
+135
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-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Missouri Tigers
Vanderbilt Commodores
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MIZZOU
VANDY
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–
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+118
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+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
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O 52 (-110)
U 52 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
NC State Wolfpack
Pittsburgh Panthers
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PITT
|
–
–
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+191
-240
|
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
|
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Western Michigan Broncos
Miami Ohio Redhawks
10/25/25 3:30PM
WMICH
MIAOH
|
–
–
|
+111
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+2.5 (-110)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
UL Monroe Warhawks
USM Golden Eagles
10/25/25 3:30PM
MONROE
USM
|
–
–
|
+390
|
+12 (-110)
|
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Texas Tech Red Raiders
10/25/25 4PM
OKLAST
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+3500
-10000
|
+38.5 (-110)
-38.5 (-110)
|
O 56.5 (-105)
U 56.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Baylor Bears
Cincinnati Bearcats
10/25/25 4PM
BAYLOR
CINCY
|
–
–
|
+160
-199
|
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
|
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Texas Longhorns
Mississippi State Bulldogs
10/25/25 4:15PM
TEXAS
MISSST
|
–
–
|
-300
+234
|
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
|
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 6:00PM EDT
TCU Horned Frogs
West Virginia Mountaineers
10/25/25 6PM
TCU
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|
–
–
|
-725
+490
|
-15 (-110)
+15 (-110)
|
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
Oregon Ducks
10/25/25 7PM
WISC
OREG
|
–
–
|
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+34.5 (-115)
-34.5 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-118)
U 44.5 (-104)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Troy Trojans
10/25/25 7PM
UL
TROY
|
–
–
|
+280
-370
|
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Stanford Cardinal
Miami Hurricanes
10/25/25 7PM
STNFRD
MIAMI
|
–
–
|
+3500
-10000
|
+30 (-110)
-30 (-110)
|
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Georgia Southern Eagles
Arkansas State Red Wolves
10/25/25 7PM
GASO
ARKST
|
–
–
|
+110
-134
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan State Spartans
10/25/25 7:30PM
MICH
MICHST
|
–
–
|
-699
+470
|
-14 (-110)
+14 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Texas A&M Aggies
LSU Tigers
10/25/25 7:30PM
TEXAM
LSU
|
–
–
|
-143
+117
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Boston College Eagles
Louisville Cardinals
10/25/25 7:30PM
BC
LVILLE
|
–
–
|
+1226
-5049
|
+26 (-110)
-26 (-110)
|
O 55 (-110)
U 55 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado State Rams
Wyoming Cowboys
10/25/25 7:30PM
COLOST
WYO
|
–
–
|
+202
-255
|
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:45PM EDT
Tennessee Volunteers
Kentucky Wildcats
10/25/25 7:45PM
TENN
UK
|
–
–
|
-370
+280
|
-9 (-110)
+9 (-110)
|
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Houston Cougars
Arizona State Sun Devils
10/25/25 8PM
HOU
ARIZST
|
–
–
|
+257
-334
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 10:15PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
Utah Utes
10/25/25 10:15PM
COLO
UTAH
|
–
–
|
+399
-570
|
+14 (-115)
-14 (-105)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Texas State Bobcats vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats on September 28, 2024 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
FSU@STNFRD | STNFRD +18 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
WASHST@UVA | WASHST +17.5 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
NEVADA@NMEX | NEVADA +13.5 | 57.8% | 7 | WIN |
TEXAS@UK | ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
ARMY@TULANE | ARMY +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
SJST@UTAHST | SJST +4 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +12.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
LVILLE@MIAMI | CJ DANIELS UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.4 | 4 | LOSS |
DEL@JAXST | DEL -2.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UTEP@SAMST | UTEP -2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
FIU@WKY | FIU +10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | ARKST +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | JAYLEN RAYNOR UNDER 40.5 LONGEST PASS COMP | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
SJST@WYO | SJST -120 | 59.8% | 7 | LOSS |
UMASS@KENTST | KENTST -135 | 60.2% | 6 | WIN |
NOILL@EMICH | EMICH +2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
BYU@ARIZ | ARIZ +2.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
OKLA@TEXAS | OKLA +2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NMEX@BOISE | NMEX +16.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
WAKE@OREGST | WAKE -2.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
ULMON@COASTAL | ULMON -2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@WISC | WISC +4 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
TOLEDO@BGREEN | TOLEDO -10 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
SFLA@NOTEX | SFLA +2.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
FRESNO@COLOST | RICHIE ANDERSON III LONGEST RECEPTION UNDER 16.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
JAXST@SAMST | SAMST +7.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
USM@GAS | GAS +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
LIB@UTEP | UTEP +2 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SALA@TROY | SALA -118 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
TULSA@MEMP | MEMP -20.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
JMAD@GAST | GAST +20.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
WAKE@VATECH | VATECH -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UNLV@WYO | WYO +4.5 | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
PSU@UCLA | PSU -24.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TXSTSM@ARKST | TXSTSM -13 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
UVA@LVILLE | ISAAC BROWN OVER 70.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
WVU@BYU | WVU +20.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
SAMST@NMEXST | SAMST -1.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |