Mets vs. Phillies
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 08 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-06T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Mets head to Citizens Bank Park on Monday, September 8, 2025, to begin a defining NL East series against the Phillies, with young ace Nolan McLean likely taking the mound for New York. Philadelphia, riding a strong home record and Wild-Card contention, welcomes McLean amidst a Mets lineup that’s firing on all cylinders lately.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 08, 2025
Start Time: 6:45 PM EST
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Phillies Record: (83-60)
Mets Record: (76-67)
OPENING ODDS
NYM Moneyline: -119
PHI Moneyline: -101
NYM Spread: -1.5
PHI Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
NYM
Betting Trends
- The Mets have gone 23-18 against the run line (ATS) this season, showing they often cover when they win.
PHI
Betting Trends
- While a full season figure wasn’t available, the Phillies have shown inconsistency ATS—posting a 6-9 spread record in similar matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- This is expected to be a tight, low-scoring duel—the Mets are slight road dogs, with an over/under set around 9 runs, suggesting one clutch crooked inning or bullpen spark could swing both the outcome and the cover. Computer projections lean Phillies by a 6-5 margin.
NYM vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Turner over 6.5 Fantasy Score.
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New York vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/8/25
Offensively, the Mets rely on a balanced mix of stars and depth contributors, with Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Jeff McNeil providing both power and discipline, while youngsters have supplied the spark that has lengthened the lineup and created matchup nightmares for opposing pitchers. Philadelphia leans on its own blend of seasoned veterans like Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, players capable of changing the game with one swing, and complementary bats who grind out at-bats and thrive in situational hitting spots, making them dangerous in their own right even against elite pitching. The bullpens will loom large in this contest: the Mets hold the trump card in Edwin Díaz, who has been dominant this season and continues to close out tight games with confidence, while the Phillies’ relief corps has been more inconsistent, occasionally faltering in high-leverage situations and putting added pressure on their starters to go deep. Defensively, both teams are capable but Philadelphia’s infield efficiency and outfield reads may provide a slight edge in preventing extended innings, which could be vital in a close game. From a betting perspective, the numbers reflect the razor-thin margins: the Mets have been profitable against the spread, covering in most of their wins, while the Phillies have hovered closer to even, suggesting volatility in their ability to close out covers at home. With an over/under hovering near nine runs, oddsmakers expect a contest balanced between a pitcher’s duel and timely offense, and the outcome may hinge on which team delivers the one crooked inning that flips momentum. Ultimately, this matchup boils down to whether McLean can replicate his earlier dominance against Philadelphia in a hostile environment, or if Nola can rediscover his peak form and lead the Phillies to a crucial divisional win. With both teams eyeing October, expect playoff-like intensity, high leverage decisions from both managers, and a game that could easily swing the balance of the NL Wild Card chase.
An absolute ROCKET from @JuanSoto25_ 🚀 pic.twitter.com/VmEW3JYIvG
— New York Mets (@Mets) September 7, 2025
New York Mets MLB Preview
For the Mets, Monday’s September 8 clash in Philadelphia is another opportunity to prove that their recent surge is no fluke and that they can be a serious factor in the National League playoff picture, with rookie sensation Nolan McLean carrying the responsibility of setting the tone on the mound. McLean has already made headlines for his complete-game shutout against the Phillies just weeks ago, a performance that showed off his overpowering fastball and sharp slider while drawing comparisons to other generational arms, and the question now is whether he can replicate that dominance in a hostile Citizens Bank Park environment. His ability to work ahead in counts and maintain composure when facing Philadelphia’s veteran hitters will be crucial, as the Phillies are one of the more patient lineups in baseball and capable of punishing mistakes if he loses command. Offensively, New York has been red hot, scoring more than seven runs per game in recent weeks, with Francisco Lindor anchoring the infield and providing power and consistency, Pete Alonso serving as the primary run producer with his home run bat, and Jeff McNeil offering a contact-driven approach that keeps innings alive.
Supplementing them have been younger bats and role players who have stepped up at the right time, lengthening the lineup and giving the Mets more balance than they’ve had for much of the season, and against Aaron Nola they will need to work counts, foul off tough pitches, and capitalize when he misses in the strike zone. Defensively, the Mets must remain disciplined, as Citizens Bank Park is unforgiving to mistakes, and giving a team like Philadelphia extra outs can swing momentum in an instant. The bullpen remains anchored by Edwin Díaz, who has been one of the most dominant closers in baseball this year, consistently shutting down opponents in high-leverage innings and providing manager Carlos Mendoza the confidence to protect slim leads. From a betting standpoint, the Mets’ 23–18 ATS record underscores how often they not only win but also cover the spread, showing that their recent hot streak has translated into results at the sportsbook as well as the standings, and their profile as road underdogs makes them intriguing in this matchup. For the Mets, the formula is simple: McLean must attack with confidence and avoid letting Philadelphia’s top hitters dictate at-bats, the offense must continue its collective approach of generating traffic and turning it into runs, and the defense must play crisp, error-free baseball to prevent the Phillies from taking advantage of their home park. If they succeed in those areas, New York has every chance to not only steal another road win but also further cement its reputation as one of the league’s most dangerous teams heading into the final month of the season, a group with the talent and swagger to make noise come October.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview
For the Phillies, Monday’s September 8 matchup at Citizens Bank Park against the Mets is as much about reaffirming their status as perennial postseason contenders as it is about responding to the embarrassment of being shut out by Nolan McLean in their last meeting, and they’ll look to their ace Aaron Nola to steady the ship. Nola’s experience, command, and poise in big games give Philadelphia a clear edge on paper, provided he can rediscover the sharpness that has defined his best outings, working his fastball to both sides of the plate while leaning on his curveball and changeup to neutralize the middle of New York’s order. The Phillies’ lineup, powered by veterans like Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, is built for moments like this, with Harper’s blend of patience and clutch hitting anchoring the attack while Schwarber provides the game-changing home run threat that can flip momentum in a single swing. Surrounding them, J.T. Realmuto and Alec Bohm offer balance with contact and situational hitting, and against McLean they’ll need to be aggressive when he works into the zone while remaining patient enough to avoid chasing his slider off the plate. Defensively, Philadelphia prides itself on execution, with an infield capable of turning double plays cleanly and an outfield that must be sharp with positioning to deny New York the extra-base hits that have fueled its recent offensive surge.
Manager Rob Thomson faces the delicate task of balancing Nola’s workload with the realities of a bullpen that has been inconsistent, often thriving in stretches but also unraveling in key spots, and he may need to pull the trigger early on matchup relievers if the game turns into a chess match of leverage innings. The Phillies’ recent record against the spread has been shaky, reflecting a team that often plays close games but hasn’t consistently covered, which mirrors their season-long volatility, and in this matchup, they will need to stay crisp to avoid giving New York the small openings it has been capitalizing on during its hot streak. The crowd at Citizens Bank Park will provide its usual playoff-like atmosphere, which could play a role in rattling McLean, who despite his dominant shutout in New York has not yet experienced this level of pressure on the road, and Philadelphia must seize that energy by scoring early to put the rookie on his heels. From a tactical standpoint, the Phillies’ path to victory lies in Nola setting the tone with quality innings, the lineup grinding out at-bats to wear McLean down by the middle innings, and the bullpen executing under pressure to secure a lead. If they execute that formula, Philadelphia not only protects home field but also reasserts itself as a legitimate postseason threat, showing that while the Mets’ rise is real, the Phillies remain a battle-tested team capable of answering back when challenged, especially with October looming.
No. 15 for 7! pic.twitter.com/i0W0095ZGN
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) September 7, 2025
New York vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)
New York vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Mets and Phillies and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly rested Phillies team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Mets vs Phillies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have gone 23-18 against the run line (ATS) this season, showing they often cover when they win.
Phillies Betting Trends
While a full season figure wasn’t available, the Phillies have shown inconsistency ATS—posting a 6-9 spread record in similar matchups.
Mets vs. Phillies Matchup Trends
This is expected to be a tight, low-scoring duel—the Mets are slight road dogs, with an over/under set around 9 runs, suggesting one clutch crooked inning or bullpen spark could swing both the outcome and the cover. Computer projections lean Phillies by a 6-5 margin.
New York vs. Philadelphia Game Info
What time does New York vs Philadelphia start on September 08, 2025?
New York vs Philadelphia starts on September 08, 2025 at 6:45 PM EST.
Where is New York vs Philadelphia being played?
Venue: Citizens Bank Park.
What are the opening odds for New York vs Philadelphia?
Spread: Philadelphia +1.5
Moneyline: New York -119, Philadelphia -101
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for New York vs Philadelphia?
New York: (76-67) | Philadelphia: (83-60)
What is the AI best bet for New York vs Philadelphia?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Turner over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York vs Philadelphia trending bets?
This is expected to be a tight, low-scoring duel—the Mets are slight road dogs, with an over/under set around 9 runs, suggesting one clutch crooked inning or bullpen spark could swing both the outcome and the cover. Computer projections lean Phillies by a 6-5 margin.
What are New York trending bets?
NYM trend: The Mets have gone 23-18 against the run line (ATS) this season, showing they often cover when they win.
What are Philadelphia trending bets?
PHI trend: While a full season figure wasn’t available, the Phillies have shown inconsistency ATS—posting a 6-9 spread record in similar matchups.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York vs Philadelphia?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. Philadelphia Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the New York vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New York vs Philadelphia Opening Odds
NYM Moneyline:
-119 PHI Moneyline: -101
NYM Spread: -1.5
PHI Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
New York vs Philadelphia Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
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O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
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Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
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+100
-118
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-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
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+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
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Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
pk
pk
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Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+108
-126
|
pk
pk
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O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies on September 08, 2025 at Citizens Bank Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |