North Texas vs UAB Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 15)
Updated: 2025-11-08T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The North Texas Mean Green (8-1) head to Birmingham to take on the UAB Blazers (3-5) on November 15, 2025, with the Mean Green cast as heavy favorites due to their dominant performance so far while UAB seeks a bounce-back win at home. The line opened with North Texas favored by roughly 18 points and the total set near 70, indicating expectations of a high-scoring tilt heavily tilted toward the visitors.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 15, 2025
Start Time: 3:00 PM EST
Venue: Protective Stadium
Blazers Record: (3-6)
Mean Green Record: (8-1)
OPENING ODDS
NOTEX Moneyline: -1124
UAB Moneyline: +691
NOTEX Spread: -18.5
UAB Spread: +18.5
Over/Under: 69.5
NOTEX
Betting Trends
- North Texas enters the matchup with an ATS record of approximately 7-2 so far this season—indicating they’ve covered a high percentage of the time despite a few blemishes.
UAB
Betting Trends
- UAB has had a rough season and their ATS performance reflects that—covering just 3 times in 9 outings so far, including several home games where they’ve failed to meet expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite North Texas’ dominance, the large spread (around -18) presents potential value in UAB staying within the number, especially given their home-field and the possibility of North Texas overlooking the opponent. Additionally, the high total (near 70) suggests offense is expected—but if UAB’s defense improves or North Texas slows the tempo, there’s value on the under or a closer game than the line implies.
NOTEX vs. UAB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS
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North Texas vs UAB Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/15/25
The November 15, 2025 matchup between the North Texas Mean Green and the UAB Blazers at Protective Stadium in Birmingham highlights two programs heading in opposite directions within the American Athletic Conference. North Texas enters this game as one of the AAC’s most dynamic and balanced teams, riding an 8-1 record and showcasing one of the most efficient offenses in the Group of Five. Under head coach Eric Morris, the Mean Green have evolved into an offensive powerhouse, averaging over 44 points per game while controlling tempo through both the air and ground. Quarterback Drew Mestemaker has been exceptional, displaying composure and accuracy in executing the fast-paced system, throwing for more than 2,700 yards and 21 touchdowns against just four interceptions. His chemistry with wide receivers Jamori Maclin and Damon Ward Jr. has been instrumental in keeping defenses honest, as both can stretch the field and win one-on-one matchups. Complementing the aerial assault, running back Caleb Hawkins has emerged as a consistent workhorse, amassing over 700 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns while maintaining a near five-yard-per-carry average. The offensive line, anchored by veteran guard Gabe Blair, has given Mestemaker time to operate and Hawkins space to create, making this offense nearly impossible to contain when it finds rhythm. Defensively, North Texas has made quiet but notable improvements, cutting down on explosive plays and tightening up in the red zone.
Though still allowing around 24 points per game, the unit has thrived on situational awareness—particularly on third downs and in turnover creation. The defensive front, led by defensive end Ethan Saenz, has generated steady pressure, while the secondary has held up admirably under frequent aerial assaults from AAC opponents. For the Mean Green, the challenge here lies not in talent but in focus. Coming off an impressive stretch of wins, there’s always the risk of overlooking a struggling UAB team with a losing record. UAB, now 3-5, has endured a season defined by inconsistency and defensive shortcomings, giving up nearly 38 points per game while struggling to sustain drives offensively. The Blazers’ quarterback Jalen Kitna has shown flashes of ability with over 1,700 passing yards, but turnovers and an erratic offensive line have limited production. Their run game, averaging just over 100 yards per game, has lacked explosiveness, making them one-dimensional against stronger defenses. UAB’s biggest challenge will be slowing down a North Texas offense that thrives on tempo and field spacing, forcing them to play a style that’s outside their comfort zone. Head coach Trent Dilfer will likely lean on short passing and time-of-possession tactics to keep the Mean Green offense off the field, but execution will need to be flawless. From a betting perspective, North Texas enters this contest with a 7-2 record against the spread, while UAB has managed just three covers in nine games, including several blowout losses at home. The spread, sitting near 18 points, reflects confidence in North Texas’ ability to control the game early and dictate pace. However, the total near 70 implies oddsmakers anticipate offensive fireworks from both sides. If UAB can find some early success offensively and limit turnovers, they might push this into a closer-than-expected shootout. Still, the Mean Green’s depth, poise, and offensive balance make them the superior team in nearly every phase. Expect North Texas to dominate the trenches, control possession, and steadily build a double-digit lead as the game progresses. A projected score of 45-24 feels plausible, with the Mean Green’s offense proving too dynamic for a UAB defense still searching for answers.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Congratulations to @DrewMestemaker on being named a Burlsworth Trophy 𝐒𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐭.#GMG🦅 pic.twitter.com/392PaCQdhO
— UNT Football (@MeanGreenFB) November 11, 2025
North Texas Mean Green CFB Preview
The North Texas Mean Green enter their November 15, 2025 road matchup against the UAB Blazers with confidence and momentum, boasting an impressive 8-1 record and one of the most explosive offenses in the American Athletic Conference. Under head coach Eric Morris, the Mean Green have become a model of offensive efficiency and balance, combining a potent passing game with a steady ground attack that keeps defenses off-balance. Quarterback Drew Mestemaker has been the catalyst for this success, putting together a breakout season with over 2,700 passing yards, 21 touchdowns, and just four interceptions. His poise and ability to spread the ball across multiple targets have elevated the Mean Green offense to new heights. Wideouts Jamori Maclin and Damon Ward Jr. have formed one of the most dangerous receiving tandems in the Group of Five, combining for more than 1,500 receiving yards and consistently producing explosive plays downfield. Their route-running precision and ability to stretch the field vertically have opened up space underneath for tight ends and running backs, giving North Texas a complete offensive arsenal. On the ground, running back Caleb Hawkins has provided balance and toughness, leading the team with over 700 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. Hawkins’ vision, combined with the Mean Green’s improved offensive line play, has allowed North Texas to dictate tempo and control time of possession. That versatility has made this offense nearly impossible to defend for four quarters.
The Mean Green’s offensive line, often overlooked, has been the unsung hero of their 2025 campaign, allowing Mestemaker time to operate and creating consistent lanes for Hawkins to attack. Defensively, North Texas has quietly taken steps forward after early-season inconsistencies. The front seven, anchored by linebacker Kevin Wood and defensive end Ethan Saenz, has developed a stronger pass rush and better gap control, giving this unit a more aggressive identity. The secondary, while not elite, has benefited from improved communication and timely turnovers, allowing the defense to complement the team’s offensive explosiveness. The challenge for North Texas in this matchup will be maintaining focus against a UAB squad that, while struggling, has enough offensive talent to keep things interesting if underestimated. Playing on the road, the Mean Green must avoid early mistakes and emotional letdowns that can keep an underdog energized. UAB’s defensive vulnerabilities—allowing nearly 40 points per game—present a favorable matchup for North Texas’ balanced attack, but the Mean Green must remain disciplined in execution. Expect Morris to rely heavily on establishing early rhythm through short, high-percentage passes and quick tempo, forcing the Blazers’ defense to adjust on the fly. From a betting perspective, North Texas has been one of the nation’s most reliable teams against the spread, covering in seven of their first nine games, while UAB’s struggles have made them one of the least dependable home teams. This trend reinforces North Texas’ potential to not only win outright but also cover comfortably. The key for the Mean Green will be defensive containment—if they can pressure UAB’s quarterback Jalen Kitna and neutralize the run game, they can force the Blazers into predictable passing downs where mistakes are likely. Expect North Texas to lean into its identity: balance on offense, opportunistic defense, and a fast start that sets the tone. If executed properly, this formula should result in another decisive win. Prediction: North Texas 45, UAB 20, as the Mean Green continue their climb toward a conference title and possible New Year’s Six consideration.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
UAB Blazers CFB Preview
The UAB Blazers return to Protective Stadium in Birmingham on November 15, 2025, seeking to regain footing in a season that has tested their resilience, discipline, and depth. Sitting at 3-5, the Blazers have struggled to find consistency under head coach Trent Dilfer, whose second year in charge has seen flashes of offensive creativity but recurring defensive breakdowns that have cost the team multiple close games. UAB’s identity remains in flux — at times they’ve shown the ability to move the ball efficiently through the air, but protection issues, penalties, and turnovers have undermined any sustained rhythm. Quarterback Jalen Kitna, the centerpiece of Dilfer’s offense, has shown progress in adapting to the system, throwing for more than 1,700 yards with 10 touchdowns, but inconsistency in decision-making has led to costly interceptions. Kitna’s arm strength allows UAB to push the ball downfield, especially to his top target, wide receiver Tejhaun Palmer, who has emerged as the Blazers’ most reliable playmaker in the passing game. Complementing the aerial attack, the running back tandem of Jermaine Brown Jr. and Isaiah Jacobs provides spark when the offensive line opens lanes, though production has been uneven due to poor run blocking. Brown, known for his speed and quickness in space, has the potential to exploit defenses if given touches early, but UAB’s tendency to fall behind on the scoreboard has often forced the offense into predictable passing situations. On the defensive side, the Blazers’ struggles have been more pronounced. UAB is allowing nearly 38 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the AAC, and the defense has been unable to generate consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The front seven, led by linebacker Jackson Bratton and defensive end Drew Tuazama, has shown effort but too often collapses late in games as fatigue sets in.
The secondary has also struggled to contain big plays, surrendering over 280 passing yards per game on average, which will be a critical concern against a North Texas offense that thrives on tempo and deep passing. For UAB to be competitive, the defensive line must find ways to disrupt North Texas quarterback Drew Mestemaker’s timing, while the secondary must play disciplined zone coverage to prevent chunk plays to wideouts Jamori Maclin and Damon Ward Jr. Expect Dilfer to emphasize time of possession as a defensive strategy—keeping the Mean Green offense off the field as much as possible through short passes and a commitment to the ground game. On special teams, kicker Matt Quinn has been dependable inside 40 yards, while punter James Evans has done his part to control field position, a key component in slowing the pace of high-octane opponents. From a betting standpoint, UAB has struggled both straight-up and against the spread this season, covering in only three of their first nine games and failing to meet expectations at home in several outings. Their defense has been particularly poor at home, giving up over 40 points per game in Birmingham, which has made them one of the least profitable home teams for bettors. However, as a double-digit underdog (+18), UAB enters this game with little external pressure and the potential to catch North Texas in a letdown spot. If Kitna can protect the football, the offense can establish a steady tempo, and the defense can force one or two turnovers, the Blazers could make things interesting. Still, they’ll need their most complete game of the season to pull off an upset or even stay within striking distance. Expect Dilfer’s squad to come out energized in front of the home crowd, playing with pride and urgency, but unless the defense shows dramatic improvement and the offense executes flawlessly, UAB will be hard-pressed to match North Texas’ speed and efficiency. The most realistic scenario is a competitive first half before the Mean Green’s superior depth and balance wear down the Blazers, resulting in another frustrating home defeat in an up-and-down season.
Following a career-high 10 tackle performance, Jonathan Allen is the Wild Man of the Week.
— UAB Football (@UAB_FB) November 10, 2025
Be sure to join him and Alex Mortensen at Buffalo Wild Wings tonight from 6-7 p.m. for Blazer Sportsline. #WinAsOne pic.twitter.com/M3TYcGxA5n
North Texas vs UAB Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Mean Green and Blazers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Protective Stadium in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
North Texas vs UAB Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Mean Green and Blazers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Mean Green team going up against a possibly deflated Blazers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI North Texas vs UAB picks, computer picks Mean Green vs Blazers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
North Texas Betting Trends
North Texas enters the matchup with an ATS record of approximately 7-2 so far this season—indicating they’ve covered a high percentage of the time despite a few blemishes.
UAB Betting Trends
UAB has had a rough season and their ATS performance reflects that—covering just 3 times in 9 outings so far, including several home games where they’ve failed to meet expectations.
Mean Green vs. Blazers Matchup Trends
Despite North Texas’ dominance, the large spread (around -18) presents potential value in UAB staying within the number, especially given their home-field and the possibility of North Texas overlooking the opponent. Additionally, the high total (near 70) suggests offense is expected—but if UAB’s defense improves or North Texas slows the tempo, there’s value on the under or a closer game than the line implies.
North Texas vs. UAB Game Info
North Texas vs UAB starts on November 15, 2025 at 3:00 PM EST.
Venue: Protective Stadium.
Spread: UAB +18.5
Moneyline: North Texas -1124, UAB +691
Over/Under: 69.5
North Texas: (8-1) | UAB: (3-6)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Despite North Texas’ dominance, the large spread (around -18) presents potential value in UAB staying within the number, especially given their home-field and the possibility of North Texas overlooking the opponent. Additionally, the high total (near 70) suggests offense is expected—but if UAB’s defense improves or North Texas slows the tempo, there’s value on the under or a closer game than the line implies.
NOTEX trend: North Texas enters the matchup with an ATS record of approximately 7-2 so far this season—indicating they’ve covered a high percentage of the time despite a few blemishes.
UAB trend: UAB has had a rough season and their ATS performance reflects that—covering just 3 times in 9 outings so far, including several home games where they’ve failed to meet expectations.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
North Texas vs. UAB Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the North Texas vs UAB trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| NOTEX Moneyline | -1124 |
|---|---|
| UAB Moneyline | +691 |
| NOTEX Spread | -18.5 |
| UAB Spread | +18.5 |
| Over / Under | 69.5 |
North Texas vs UAB Live Odds
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U 58.5 (-110)
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U 46.5 (-105)
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–
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O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
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CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers on November 15, 2025 at Protective Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OREG@IND | IND -3 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| OLEMISS@GEORGIA | KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| BAMA@IND | FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@TXTECH | OREG -126 | 58.9% | 6 | WIN |
| MICH@TEXAS | TEXAS -6 | 53.3% | 1 | WIN |
| MIAMI@OHIOST | UNDER 40.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UTAH | DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| IOWA@VANDY | IOWA +4.5 | 53.1% | 2 | WIN |
| NOTEX@SDGST | NOTEX -7 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| TULANE@OLEMISS | OLEMISS -16.5 | 53.4% | 1 | WIN |
| MIAMI@TEXA&M | TEXA&M -3 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| BAMA@OKLA | BAMA +1.5 | 52.1% | 1 | WIN |
| BAMA@OKLA | ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| BYU@TTU | PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| UNLV@BOISE | BOISE -4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | UNDER 44 | 52.8% | 2 | WIN |
| ECU@FAU | FAU +7 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| OREG@WASH | WASH +7 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| WYO@HAWAII | WYO +7.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |