Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 15)
Updated: 2025-11-08T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-2) travel to face the Pittsburgh Panthers (7-2) on November 15, 2025 at Acrisure Stadium in a high-stakes showdown that carries major implications for both teams’ postseason aspirations. Early lines open Notre Dame as approximately a 10.5-point favorite with the total set near 55.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 15, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Panthers Record: (7-2)
Fighting Irish Record: (7-2)
OPENING ODDS
ND Moneyline: -437
PITT Moneyline: +334
ND Spread: -11.5
PITT Spread: +11.5
Over/Under: 55.5
ND
Betting Trends
- Notre Dame has shown strong form this season, but as a road favorite its ATS performance is less emphasized in the data; key recent victories by double digits raise expectations for a cover.
PITT
Betting Trends
- Pittsburgh has covered in several recent home games and enters this matchup with a solid record (7-2), though the series against Notre Dame has been lopsided in ND’s favor for years.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The historical series heavily favors Notre Dame (they’ve won the last two meetings by a combined 103-10) which may affect market perception, yet Pittsburgh’s home-field motivation and Notre Dame’s road status make for potential ATS value on both sides.
ND vs. PITT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Reid over 35.5 Rushing Yards.
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Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/15/25
The November 15, 2025, clash between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Pittsburgh Panthers at Acrisure Stadium promises to be one of the most compelling matchups of the college football weekend, featuring two programs with plenty at stake in the postseason race. Notre Dame enters the contest at 6-2 and in pursuit of a top-10 finish under Marcus Freeman, while Pittsburgh sits at 7-2, fighting to stay relevant in the ACC title conversation and looking for a signature win to boost its national standing. The Irish have dominated the recent series, outscoring the Panthers 103-10 across their last two meetings, but this year’s Pittsburgh squad carries renewed energy, balance, and home-field confidence. Notre Dame remains the more talented and experienced team, driven by an offense that has evolved under quarterback CJ Carr, whose precision passing and poise in the pocket have reinvigorated the unit. Carr has thrown for over 2,200 yards with 19 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions, showcasing an ability to efficiently distribute the ball to an array of playmakers, including standout wideouts Jayden Thomas and Tobias Merriweather. Complementing the aerial attack is a formidable ground game powered by Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price, who collectively help the Irish average nearly 200 rushing yards per game. This balanced approach keeps defenses guessing and sustains time-of-possession advantages, something Notre Dame will emphasize against a Pittsburgh defense that thrives when opponents are forced into obvious passing downs. Defensively, the Irish have been a model of consistency, surrendering fewer than 19 points per game while excelling against the run. Linebackers JD Bertrand and Jack Kiser anchor a front seven that has excelled at limiting big plays, while cornerbacks Benjamin Morrison and Jaden Mickey headline a secondary known for tight coverage and timely takeaways. The Irish defense’s ability to pressure the quarterback without heavy blitzing could prove decisive against Pitt’s pass protection, which has been inconsistent despite its veteran line.
Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has been one of the ACC’s surprise stories in 2025, rebounding from a slow start to win five of its last six games behind the leadership of quarterback Mason Heintschel. The Panthers’ offense averages nearly 40 points per game, and while their run game has been modest statistically, their efficiency in red-zone situations has been among the best in the conference. Their top wideout, Konata Mumpfield, remains a key weapon, capable of challenging Notre Dame’s secondary with his route running and contested-catch ability. Defensively, Pat Narduzzi’s team allows just over 21 points per game, and their front seven has shown resilience in high-pressure moments. Pitt’s success will hinge on its ability to slow Notre Dame’s tempo, win the turnover battle, and make Carr uncomfortable early—if they can force long drives and limit explosive plays, the Panthers could hang around deep into the second half. Special teams could also play a role; both squads feature reliable kickers, but field position and hidden-yardage exchanges may tilt in Notre Dame’s favor given their depth. Betting markets have opened with the Irish as roughly 10.5-point favorites and a total near 55, reflecting expectations of a game where Notre Dame’s efficiency meets Pittsburgh’s grit. The Irish are 3-1 ATS on the road this season, while Pittsburgh has covered in four of its last five home contests, creating an intriguing dynamic for bettors. Ultimately, Notre Dame’s superior talent, coaching discipline, and ability to control tempo make them the safer pick to prevail, but Pittsburgh’s home-field edge and defensive toughness could keep the margin within single digits for much of the night. Expect Notre Dame to methodically wear down the Panthers with their physicality and depth, pulling away late to secure a hard-fought road victory in a game that reinforces their postseason credentials and further exposes the gap between the two storied programs.
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9️⃣ in the College Football Playoff Rankings#GoIrish☘️ pic.twitter.com/LUEn6qqSrS
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) November 12, 2025
Notre Dame Fighting Irish CFB Preview
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish enter their November 15, 2025, showdown with the Pittsburgh Panthers at Acrisure Stadium in position to make a statement as one of college football’s most complete and balanced teams. Sitting at 6-2, Marcus Freeman’s squad has developed an identity built on efficiency, toughness, and control in all three phases of the game. Offensively, Notre Dame has become one of the most consistent units in the nation, averaging nearly 39 points and over 420 yards per game. The catalyst of this success has been sophomore quarterback CJ Carr, whose composure and accuracy have given the Irish the passing stability they sought after seasons of inconsistency. Carr has thrown for over 2,200 yards with 19 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions, displaying the decision-making of a seasoned veteran. His chemistry with receivers Jayden Thomas, Tobias Merriweather, and Rico Flores Jr. has allowed Notre Dame to spread the field and attack both intermediate and deep zones. Thomas remains the trusted possession target, while Merriweather’s vertical threat stretches defenses and opens space for the ground game. On the ground, the Irish have been equally effective. The one-two punch of Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price provides a blend of speed, vision, and power that has kept defenses honest, helping Notre Dame average nearly 200 rushing yards per game. Their offensive line, traditionally one of the team’s greatest strengths, continues to impose its will with NFL-caliber protection and run blocking. The key to their success against Pittsburgh will be maintaining balance—avoiding predictability and preventing the Panthers’ front seven from teeing off on Carr. Defensively, Notre Dame’s identity remains elite and disciplined.
The unit allows just under 19 points per game and thrives on controlling the line of scrimmage. Linebackers JD Bertrand and Jack Kiser are the emotional and tactical leaders, diagnosing plays quickly and providing physicality that sets the tone. Up front, Howard Cross III and Rylie Mills anchor a defensive line that has proven capable of collapsing pockets without excessive blitzing, which will be critical against Pittsburgh’s rhythm-based passing attack. The secondary, led by standout corner Benjamin Morrison, has been exceptional in coverage, consistently forcing opposing quarterbacks into difficult windows. This combination of pass rush and coverage cohesion has made the Irish one of the most difficult teams in the country to throw against. Their defensive strategy against Pittsburgh will focus on keeping quarterback Mason Heintschel uncomfortable, forcing quick throws, and rallying to the ball to limit yards after catch. On special teams, Notre Dame maintains its edge through attention to detail—Spencer Shrader’s range on field goals and Bryce McFerson’s consistency in the punting game have contributed to winning the field-position battle in several tight games this season. The Irish also boast strong coverage units, minimizing opponents’ return opportunities. For Notre Dame to secure a convincing road victory, the formula is straightforward: establish early rhythm on offense, dominate time of possession, and limit mistakes. The Irish have been 3-1 ATS on the road this season, showing they can handle hostile environments with poise. The primary risk lies in complacency; road night games in Pittsburgh often favor the emotional home side early, so the Irish must withstand any initial surge. If Carr remains poised, the defense plays to its typical standard, and the offensive line controls the trenches, Notre Dame should be able to wear down the Panthers as the game progresses. This matchup represents more than just another test—it’s a chance for the Irish to solidify themselves as a postseason-caliber team capable of traveling into hostile territory, executing their system, and emerging with a statement win that underscores their national relevance heading into the final stretch of the season.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Pittsburgh Panthers CFB Preview
The Pittsburgh Panthers enter their November 15, 2025, home showdown against Notre Dame with a 7-2 record, confidence from a strong ACC campaign, and a desire to rewrite the narrative of a rivalry that has been overwhelmingly one-sided in recent years. Under head coach Pat Narduzzi, Pittsburgh has built its reputation on physicality, defensive discipline, and an unrelenting effort that thrives when playing at Acrisure Stadium. The Panthers are 4-1 at home this season, and their ability to feed off the energy of their fan base has often given them a spark against higher-ranked opponents. Their offensive identity has evolved this year around quarterback Mason Heintschel, who has provided steady leadership and efficient execution, throwing for over 1,500 yards and 12 touchdowns. Though the Panthers’ offense averages a modest 390 total yards per game, it has been opportunistic—excelling in red-zone efficiency and converting turnovers into points. Heintschel’s favorite targets, Konata Mumpfield and Bub Means, form one of the more reliable receiver tandems in the ACC, capable of attacking Notre Dame’s secondary with precision route running and physical play at the catch point. The running game, led by senior tailback Rodney Hammond Jr., has been serviceable though inconsistent, averaging around 125 yards per game. Hammond’s downhill style, combined with Israel Polk’s change-of-pace versatility, provides balance that helps open up play-action opportunities. Against Notre Dame’s stout defensive front, Pittsburgh’s offensive line will be under intense scrutiny; maintaining clean pockets and generating movement in the run game will be essential if they hope to control tempo. On defense, Narduzzi’s trademark toughness has continued to shine through. The Panthers allow just over 21 points per game and have become known for their ability to generate pressure with a four-man rush. Defensive ends Dayon Hayes and Nate Temple have combined for double-digit sacks on the season, and their battle against Notre Dame’s offensive line could determine the game’s tone.
Linebacker Bangally Kamara remains the heart of the defense, excelling in run fits and providing leadership in the middle of the field. The secondary, anchored by corner MJ Devonshire and safety Donovan McMillon, has been opportunistic, forcing key turnovers in big moments. This unit will need to play its best football of the season to contain CJ Carr and the Irish’s deep receiving corps, especially in man coverage where Notre Dame’s size and speed could pose problems. Special teams have quietly been a strength for Pittsburgh, as kicker Ben Sauls has been consistent from long range, and punter Caleb Junko provides excellent hang time and directional control, key elements in managing field position against an explosive opponent. For the Panthers to pull off the upset, several things must go right—they must start fast, avoid turnovers, and capitalize on any Notre Dame mistakes. Playing from ahead would allow their pass rush to be more aggressive and their defense to dictate terms. Conversely, falling behind early could expose their limitations in playing catch-up against a disciplined opponent. From a betting perspective, Pittsburgh’s ATS track record at home has been favorable; they’ve covered in four of their last five games in front of their home crowd, a testament to how much energy they derive from playing in familiar surroundings. Despite being double-digit underdogs, the Panthers’ defensive line and opportunistic play style give them a fighting chance to keep this game within reach. If Heintschel can manage the game effectively, Hammond establishes a presence on the ground, and Narduzzi’s defense forces Notre Dame to sustain long drives, Pittsburgh could make this matchup far more competitive than the odds suggest. While Notre Dame’s talent advantage is undeniable, the Panthers’ resilience, physical style, and home-field edge ensure this will be anything but a walkover, making it one of the more intriguing underdog opportunities of the weekend.
Moving up to No. 22 🫡 pic.twitter.com/snsgmnSQED
— Pitt Football (@Pitt_FB) November 12, 2025
Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Fighting Irish and Panthers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Acrisure Stadium in Nov almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Fighting Irish and Panthers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Notre Dame’s strength factors between a Fighting Irish team going up against a possibly strong Panthers team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Fighting Irish vs Panthers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Notre Dame Betting Trends
Notre Dame has shown strong form this season, but as a road favorite its ATS performance is less emphasized in the data; key recent victories by double digits raise expectations for a cover.
Pittsburgh Betting Trends
Pittsburgh has covered in several recent home games and enters this matchup with a solid record (7-2), though the series against Notre Dame has been lopsided in ND’s favor for years.
Fighting Irish vs. Panthers Matchup Trends
The historical series heavily favors Notre Dame (they’ve won the last two meetings by a combined 103-10) which may affect market perception, yet Pittsburgh’s home-field motivation and Notre Dame’s road status make for potential ATS value on both sides.
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh starts on November 15, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Venue: Acrisure Stadium.
Spread: Pittsburgh +11.5
Moneyline: Notre Dame -437, Pittsburgh +334
Over/Under: 55.5
Notre Dame: (7-2) | Pittsburgh: (7-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Reid over 35.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The historical series heavily favors Notre Dame (they’ve won the last two meetings by a combined 103-10) which may affect market perception, yet Pittsburgh’s home-field motivation and Notre Dame’s road status make for potential ATS value on both sides.
ND trend: Notre Dame has shown strong form this season, but as a road favorite its ATS performance is less emphasized in the data; key recent victories by double digits raise expectations for a cover.
PITT trend: Pittsburgh has covered in several recent home games and enters this matchup with a solid record (7-2), though the series against Notre Dame has been lopsided in ND’s favor for years.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| ND Moneyline | -437 |
|---|---|
| PITT Moneyline | +334 |
| ND Spread | -11.5 |
| PITT Spread | +11.5 |
| Over / Under | 55.5 |
Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Aug 29, 2026 12:00PM EDT
NC State Wolfpack
Virginia Cavaliers
8/29/26 12PM
NCST
UVA
|
–
–
|
+134
-162
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 54.5 (-105)
U 54.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Aug 29, 2026 12:00PM EDT
North Carolina Tar Heels
TCU Horned Frogs
8/29/26 12PM
UNC
TCU
|
–
–
|
+255
-320
|
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Sep 5, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Clemson Tigers
LSU Tigers
9/5/26 12PM
CLEM
LSU
|
–
–
|
+350
-465
|
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
|
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 5, 2026 12:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
California Golden Bears
9/5/26 12PM
UCLA
CAL
|
–
–
|
+168
-205
|
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-108)
|
O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 5, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Baylor Bears
Auburn Tigers
9/5/26 12PM
BAYLOR
AUBURN
|
–
–
|
+235
-295
|
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-106)
|
O 58.5 (-110)
U 58.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 6, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
9/6/26 12PM
WISC
ND
|
–
–
|
+660
-1050
|
+16.5 (-105)
-16.5 (-115)
|
O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Sep 12, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Texas Longhorns
9/12/26 12PM
OHIOST
TEXAS
|
–
–
|
+114
-137
|
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Sep 12, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Michigan Wolverines
9/12/26 12PM
OKLA
MICH
|
–
–
|
-102
-118
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Pittsburgh Panthers on November 15, 2025 at Acrisure Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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|
RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OREG@IND | IND -3 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| OLEMISS@GEORGIA | KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| BAMA@IND | FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@TXTECH | OREG -126 | 58.9% | 6 | WIN |
| MICH@TEXAS | TEXAS -6 | 53.3% | 1 | WIN |
| MIAMI@OHIOST | UNDER 40.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UTAH | DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| IOWA@VANDY | IOWA +4.5 | 53.1% | 2 | WIN |
| NOTEX@SDGST | NOTEX -7 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| TULANE@OLEMISS | OLEMISS -16.5 | 53.4% | 1 | WIN |
| MIAMI@TEXA&M | TEXA&M -3 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| BAMA@OKLA | BAMA +1.5 | 52.1% | 1 | WIN |
| BAMA@OKLA | ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| BYU@TTU | PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| UNLV@BOISE | BOISE -4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | UNDER 44 | 52.8% | 2 | WIN |
| ECU@FAU | FAU +7 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| OREG@WASH | WASH +7 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| WYO@HAWAII | WYO +7.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |