Marlins vs Mets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 29)
Updated: 2025-08-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Marlins (62–71) travel to Citi Field to take on the Mets (72–62) in a midweek NL East clash that holds weight for both clubs—Miami aiming to build momentum despite falling short of contention, and New York looking to keep pace in a tight playoff race. With both teams rich in contrasting narratives—Miami as surprising overachievers in 2025 and New York aiming to solidify their postseason positioning—this series opener promises plenty of subplots.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 29, 2025
Start Time: 7:10 PM EST
Venue: Citi Field
Mets Record: (72-62)
Marlins Record: (63-71)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: +134
NYM Moneyline: -160
MIA Spread: +1.5
NYM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- Miami has been strong ATS in recent games, particularly as underdogs. Earlier in the season, the Marlins covered the spread in 3 of their first 4 games as underdogs.
NYM
Betting Trends
- The Mets have hovered near .500 ATS overall, with a 63–70–0 record, indicating inconsistency in covering, especially at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite being underdogs (+132 to +143 at various sources), the Marlins’ performance as underdogs has been strong—covering at a higher rate than implied—making them a compelling ATS pick if they can leverage that recent betting trend tonight.
MIA vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Miami vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/29/25
The Mets’ offense has the kind of explosive potential that can decide games quickly, with Alonso’s power and Soto’s ability to get on base creating constant pressure on opposing pitchers, while Baty’s continued development has given them another bat capable of producing in clutch moments. On the mound, New York has mixed results, with the rotation showing flashes but also occasional vulnerability, and the bullpen often needing to be managed carefully by Carlos Mendoza to avoid being overexposed. Oddsmakers have installed the Mets as favorites with the Marlins listed around +132 to +143, but given Miami’s underdog track record and their ability to play competitively even against stronger teams, bettors may see value in siding with the visitors to at least keep it close. The over/under sits at 8.5 runs, reflecting expectations of a game where both offenses can have their moments but where pitching will still play a deciding role. For the Mets, the key will be to assert control early, taking advantage of Miami’s lack of starting pitching depth and ensuring that their bullpen isn’t forced into high-stress situations late, while the Marlins’ path to victory lies in hanging around, manufacturing runs with situational hitting, and relying on their young lineup’s energy to put pressure on New York’s arms. Ultimately, this game represents a classic late-season contrast: one team fighting to cement its playoff positioning and the other eager to test its prospects against higher-level competition, and the result will hinge on whether the Mets’ star power can overcome Miami’s scrappiness and knack for playing close games.
what can make me f e e l this way?
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) August 29, 2025
🎶 fish win talkin’ bout fish wwwwin 🎶 pic.twitter.com/HSl4OBstnU
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins enter their August 29 clash at Citi Field with a 62–71 record, and while their postseason hopes are slim to none, they carry the mentality of a team eager to spoil divisional rivals’ plans while continuing to build around an emerging core. This has been a season defined by resilience for Miami, which stumbled badly out of the gate but clawed back respectability with an impressive mid-summer run that saw them briefly reach 55–55 before settling back under .500. Much of their success has stemmed from younger contributors like Kyle Stowers, who has developed into a reliable power threat, and a lineup that—though lacking the star power of their opponents—finds ways to manufacture runs through contact hitting and opportunistic base running. The Marlins have proven pesky against the spread as underdogs, covering in three of their first four chances this season and maintaining a reputation for keeping games closer than oddsmakers expect, which makes them a dangerous opponent for a Mets team still chasing October. Pitching has been inconsistent but not without promise, as certain starters have shown flashes of dominance while the bullpen, though thin, has occasionally pieced together strong stretches to keep Miami competitive late into games.
Defensively, the Marlins are still ironing out growing pains, but their athleticism in the outfield and improved infield play have kept them from gifting opponents too many free opportunities. To succeed against New York, Miami must jump on early mistakes, stay patient against a deep Mets rotation, and rely on timely hitting to capitalize when runners are in scoring position. The Marlins’ formula for an upset lies in applying constant pressure, keeping the game within striking distance until the later innings, and then hoping their bullpen can hold up long enough to steal a win. While their record may not inspire fear, their gritty approach and ability to frustrate heavily favored opponents means the Mets cannot afford to overlook them, especially in a rivalry setting where pride is at stake. For Miami, this game is not only about the standings but also about building momentum and confidence for the younger players who will be central to the franchise’s long-term vision, and upsetting New York at home would be a symbolic victory in their developmental arc.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets come into their August 29 matchup against the Marlins at Citi Field with a 72–62 record and the weight of postseason expectations squarely on their shoulders, as they sit firmly in the NL East and Wild Card race with little margin for error. This has been a season of both promise and inconsistency, highlighted by the marquee addition of Juan Soto, whose ability to get on base and deliver in clutch moments has provided a stabilizing force for the lineup, alongside Pete Alonso’s prodigious power and Brett Baty’s emergence as a steady contributor. Together, they form the backbone of an offense capable of overwhelming opposing pitchers, but one that has also endured stretches of quiet bats that put undue pressure on the pitching staff. At home, the Mets have thrived with a 42–24 record, and Citi Field has been a reliable fortress where they’ve often fed off the energy of the crowd to deliver key late-inning performances, but their overall ATS mark of 63–70 shows that while they win, they don’t always cover spreads as favorites, often allowing underdogs to hang around longer than expected.
On the mound, New York’s rotation has shown flashes of dominance but also bouts of vulnerability, requiring manager Carlos Mendoza to carefully manage workloads and leverage the bullpen effectively. The relief corps has been capable when set up with a lead, with a few dependable late-inning arms anchoring close games, but the inconsistency of middle relief has sometimes been their undoing. For the Mets to handle Miami, they’ll need strong starting pitching to set the tone, avoiding situations where the Marlins’ opportunistic offense can scrape together runs against less reliable arms. Offensively, Alonso’s ability to change the game with one swing and Soto’s knack for grinding out at-bats make them the focal points, and if the Mets can get early production from the heart of their order, they’ll be in prime position to seize control. Defensively, New York has been serviceable, with improved infield play backing the staff, and cutting down on miscues will be key in preventing Miami from manufacturing runs through speed and small-ball tactics. From a psychological perspective, this is a game the Mets must win if they are to keep pace in the postseason chase, and the pressure of expectation could either sharpen their focus or expose their vulnerability if they stumble out of the gate. With a deep roster, home-field advantage, and star power, New York enters as the clear favorite, but how they respond to the challenge of facing a pesky divisional underdog like Miami will serve as another test of their playoff readiness. For fans and players alike, this game is about execution—turning talent into results and showing they can handle the intensity of meaningful late-August baseball.
Moonshot 🌙 pic.twitter.com/kLBsDyjClc
— New York Mets (@Mets) August 29, 2025
Miami vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. New York Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Marlins and Mets and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly tired Mets team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs New York picks, computer picks Marlins vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Marlins Betting Trends
Miami has been strong ATS in recent games, particularly as underdogs. Earlier in the season, the Marlins covered the spread in 3 of their first 4 games as underdogs.
Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have hovered near .500 ATS overall, with a 63–70–0 record, indicating inconsistency in covering, especially at home.
Marlins vs. Mets Matchup Trends
Despite being underdogs (+132 to +143 at various sources), the Marlins’ performance as underdogs has been strong—covering at a higher rate than implied—making them a compelling ATS pick if they can leverage that recent betting trend tonight.
Miami vs. New York Game Info
What time does Miami vs New York start on August 29, 2025?
Miami vs New York starts on August 29, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs New York being played?
Venue: Citi Field.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs New York?
Spread: New York -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +134, New York -160
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for Miami vs New York?
Miami: (63-71) | New York: (72-62)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs New York?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs New York trending bets?
Despite being underdogs (+132 to +143 at various sources), the Marlins’ performance as underdogs has been strong—covering at a higher rate than implied—making them a compelling ATS pick if they can leverage that recent betting trend tonight.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: Miami has been strong ATS in recent games, particularly as underdogs. Earlier in the season, the Marlins covered the spread in 3 of their first 4 games as underdogs.
What are New York trending bets?
NYM trend: The Mets have hovered near .500 ATS overall, with a 63–70–0 record, indicating inconsistency in covering, especially at home.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs New York?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. New York Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Miami vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Miami vs New York Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
+134 NYM Moneyline: -160
MIA Spread: +1.5
NYM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
Miami vs New York Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
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–
–
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-155
+128
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-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-141)
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O 7.5 (-106)
U 7.5 (-121)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets on August 29, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |