Braves vs Phillies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 29)
Updated: 2025-08-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The playoff-hunting Phillies host the Braves as they look to build on a dominant 19–4 rout of their division rival just a day prior—an impactful start they’ll aim to replicate. Atlanta enters a must-win situation, seeking to snap their skid and reassert themselves in the tightly contested NL East.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 29, 2025
Start Time: 6:45 PM EST
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Phillies Record: (77-57)
Braves Record: (61-73)
OPENING ODDS
ATL Moneyline: +151
PHI Moneyline: -181
ATL Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
ATL
Betting Trends
- Atlanta struggled throughout the season but has been unpredictable against the spread. Their patterns suggest volatility, with sharper performances often tied to matchup-specific factors rather than consistency across the board.
PHI
Betting Trends
- The Phillies have islanded themselves at the top of the NL East with a strong home performance (approximately 30–16). Their offensive prowess—led by sluggers such as Kyle Schwarber—has translated into a favorable ATS track record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite a seemingly lopsided matchup, models suggest that bettors are shifting away from Atlanta’s implied strength, calling attention to their recent slump and inconsistent pitching mix—making this series opener a potential ATS fade candidate for the Braves.
ATL vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Bohm over 5.5 Fantasy Score.
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Atlanta vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/29/25
Cal Quantrill, expected to take the mound for the Braves, has struggled mightily against the Phillies in the past, most notably in a start earlier this season where he was tagged for 10 runs in just over seven innings, and his command will have to be sharp if Atlanta is to avoid another lopsided result. Offensively, the Braves still look to Ronald Acuña Jr. and Austin Riley to spark their lineup, but both have been limited by nagging injuries and inconsistent support from the rest of the order, leaving them vulnerable to prolonged slumps. The bullpen has been stretched thin by starters failing to go deep into games, and manager Brian Snitker has had to rely on younger arms in high-leverage spots, often with mixed results. From a betting perspective, Philadelphia enters as a strong favorite given their momentum, but Atlanta’s track record of covering the run line in six of their last ten road games against the Phillies suggests this rivalry often produces closer contests than the records might imply. For the Braves, the formula is clear: Quantrill must find a way to limit damage early, the offense needs to scratch across runs to keep pressure on the Phillies’ staff, and the bullpen must hold serve to avoid letting a deficit spiral. For Philadelphia, the focus is on sustaining offensive momentum, capitalizing on Atlanta’s pitching woes, and feeding off the home crowd to put this game out of reach quickly. Ultimately, this game is not just another divisional clash—it’s a measuring stick for Philadelphia as they push toward October and a gut-check moment for Atlanta to see if they can muster the fight needed to keep their season alive.
First-inning fun 🤩#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/1Nk4bICyIQ
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) August 28, 2025
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves head into Citizens Bank Park on August 29 carrying the weight of a disappointing 61–73 record and the sting of being pummeled 19–4 by the Phillies just one night earlier, a result that exposed both their pitching frailties and their lack of consistency at the plate. This has been a season defined by frustration for a franchise accustomed to contending, as injuries to key players and erratic pitching performances have left them scrambling for answers. Cal Quantrill is expected to start, and his track record against Philadelphia is concerning—earlier this year he surrendered 10 runs in just over seven innings to this same lineup, and if he cannot keep the ball down and avoid free passes, another rough outing could unfold quickly. The bullpen, already taxed from repeated short starts, has struggled to maintain stability in high-leverage moments, and manager Brian Snitker has had to lean on inexperienced arms far more than he would prefer. Offensively, Atlanta still features names that on paper should deliver production, with Ronald Acuña Jr. providing speed and pop when healthy, Austin Riley offering power from the middle of the order, and Ozzie Albies bringing versatility, but none have consistently carried the load in a way that changes the team’s trajectory.
The Braves have relied too often on waiting for the long ball rather than sustaining rallies, and against a Phillies pitching staff that thrives when able to attack the strike zone with a lead, that lack of offensive balance has been glaring. Defensively, lapses have only compounded issues, with unforced errors extending innings and adding pressure on pitchers who can ill afford extra outs. From a betting standpoint, the Braves enter this game as clear underdogs, but their 6–4 record against the spread in their last 10 road games versus Philadelphia suggests that despite their struggles, this rivalry often tightens up and produces closer games than expected. To stay competitive, Atlanta must start strong, ideally grabbing an early lead to settle nerves and give Quantrill room to work without pressing. For the Braves, the bigger picture is about pride and salvaging positives from a season gone wrong, but a win here would at least provide a reminder that they can still rise to the occasion in a rivalry setting. Even in a down year, opportunities remain to spoil Philadelphia’s surge and regain some momentum, and how the Braves respond to adversity in this contest will say much about the resilience still left in this roster.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies enter their August 29 matchup against the Braves riding high at 76–57 and fresh off a thunderous 19–4 rout of their division rivals, a performance that not only padded the win column but also showcased the offensive depth and power that have kept them atop the NL East. Kyle Schwarber’s historic four-homer night was the headline, but it also served as a reminder of how dangerous this lineup can be when multiple bats click, as Alec Bohm continues to provide steady contact and run production while Bryce Harper anchors the group with leadership and timely power. At Citizens Bank Park, where they’ve gone 30–16, the Phillies have built a fortress, consistently translating home energy into offensive explosions and confident pitching performances, and this matchup provides them with another opportunity to assert control over the division. The rotation has been steady, with Aaron Nola often setting the tone in big games, and the bullpen has been reliable in holding leads, complementing the offense’s ability to generate crooked numbers quickly. Manager Rob Thomson has emphasized balance and patience at the plate, and it has paid dividends, as Philadelphia has been among the league’s better teams at working counts, drawing walks, and setting up big swings from their power hitters.
Defensively, they have been solid if not spectacular, with sound fundamentals helping to keep mistakes from compounding in tight contests, something that will be key against a Braves lineup that still has capable run producers despite its struggles. From a betting perspective, Philadelphia has been a consistent play at home, not only winning but often covering thanks to their ability to blow games open in the middle innings, and against a Braves pitching staff that has struggled to find rhythm, the Phillies will look to put the game out of reach early. Schwarber’s surge adds another layer of intimidation to a lineup already capable of overwhelming opponents, and with Harper healthy and Bohm contributing, the Phillies don’t need everything to go perfectly to still generate enough offense to win. The key for this game will be maintaining pressure—Philadelphia cannot afford to let Atlanta hang around and gain confidence after the embarrassment of the night before, so expect them to attack early, force Braves starter Cal Quantrill into deep counts, and capitalize on any command issues to break the game open again. Ultimately, this contest is another chance for the Phillies to demonstrate that they are not only the class of the division but also legitimate World Series contenders, and a sharp, disciplined performance at home would further cement their position as one of the most dangerous teams in baseball.
What a guy
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) August 29, 2025
What a night pic.twitter.com/zpMmn4z0IR
Atlanta vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)
Atlanta vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Braves and Phillies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Philadelphia’s strength factors between a Braves team going up against a possibly improved Phillies team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Braves vs Phillies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Braves Betting Trends
Atlanta struggled throughout the season but has been unpredictable against the spread. Their patterns suggest volatility, with sharper performances often tied to matchup-specific factors rather than consistency across the board.
Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have islanded themselves at the top of the NL East with a strong home performance (approximately 30–16). Their offensive prowess—led by sluggers such as Kyle Schwarber—has translated into a favorable ATS track record.
Braves vs. Phillies Matchup Trends
Despite a seemingly lopsided matchup, models suggest that bettors are shifting away from Atlanta’s implied strength, calling attention to their recent slump and inconsistent pitching mix—making this series opener a potential ATS fade candidate for the Braves.
Atlanta vs. Philadelphia Game Info
What time does Atlanta vs Philadelphia start on August 29, 2025?
Atlanta vs Philadelphia starts on August 29, 2025 at 6:45 PM EST.
Where is Atlanta vs Philadelphia being played?
Venue: Citizens Bank Park.
What are the opening odds for Atlanta vs Philadelphia?
Spread: Philadelphia -1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta +151, Philadelphia -181
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Atlanta vs Philadelphia?
Atlanta: (61-73) | Philadelphia: (77-57)
What is the AI best bet for Atlanta vs Philadelphia?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Bohm over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Atlanta vs Philadelphia trending bets?
Despite a seemingly lopsided matchup, models suggest that bettors are shifting away from Atlanta’s implied strength, calling attention to their recent slump and inconsistent pitching mix—making this series opener a potential ATS fade candidate for the Braves.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: Atlanta struggled throughout the season but has been unpredictable against the spread. Their patterns suggest volatility, with sharper performances often tied to matchup-specific factors rather than consistency across the board.
What are Philadelphia trending bets?
PHI trend: The Phillies have islanded themselves at the top of the NL East with a strong home performance (approximately 30–16). Their offensive prowess—led by sluggers such as Kyle Schwarber—has translated into a favorable ATS track record.
Where can I find AI Picks for Atlanta vs Philadelphia?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Atlanta vs. Philadelphia Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Atlanta vs Philadelphia Opening Odds
ATL Moneyline:
+151 PHI Moneyline: -181
ATL Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
Atlanta vs Philadelphia Live Odds
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Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies on August 29, 2025 at Citizens Bank Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |