Sox vs. Orioles
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 28 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Boston Red Sox (73–60) visit the Baltimore Orioles (60–72) at Camden Yards in a pivotal divisional showdown with postseason implications. Boston enters as a modest favorite at –145, while the Orioles sit at +125, with the total set at 8 runs for the series opener.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 28, 2025

Start Time: 1:05 PM EST​

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards​

Orioles Record: (60-73)

Sox Record: (74-60)

OPENING ODDS

BOS Moneyline: -193

BAL Moneyline: +159

BOS Spread: -1.5

BAL Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox boast a solid 71–59 ATS record on the season, demonstrating consistent value for bettors.

BAL
Betting Trends

  • Baltimore has logged a 20–16 record against the run line this season, showing relative reliability in covering, even as underdogs.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 10 games, the Orioles are 4–6 ATS, aligning with their overall underdog role, while the Red Sox are 2–2 against the run line in their last four games, indicating modest recent movement for both sides.

BOS vs. BAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Anthony over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Boston Red vs Baltimore Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/28/25

The upcoming August 28, 2025 matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards arrives at a pivotal moment in the MLB season as one team battles for playoff positioning and the other plays the role of spoiler with pride and developmental value on the line, and that dynamic sets the stage for an intriguing divisional clash. Boston enters with a strong 73–60 record, a lineup that has consistently delivered timely hitting and power, and a rotation that has provided reliability when it matters most, giving them the aura of a team capable of both securing a postseason berth and creating damage once there. Led by standouts like Wilyer Abreu, Trevor Story, and Alex Bregman, the Red Sox’s offense thrives on a mix of contact hitting and extra-base power, and their ability to manufacture runs from top to bottom has kept opposing pitchers under duress throughout the season. On the mound, Garrett Crochet has emerged as an anchor, giving Boston the kind of frontline starter needed in high-leverage games, while bullpen contributors have proven capable of locking down leads, though occasional late-game hiccups remind observers that postseason readiness demands sharper consistency. The Orioles, meanwhile, come in at 60–72, a record that places them outside of contention but not without purpose, as their young core led by Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday offers flashes of brilliance and provides fans hope for the seasons ahead.

Baltimore’s ability to cover the run line, evidenced by a 20–16 ATS record, shows that even in games where they enter as underdogs, they frequently remain competitive, leveraging hustle, speed, and opportunistic hitting to frustrate opponents. Adley Rutschman’s steadying presence behind the plate has been invaluable, not just for offensive production but also in guiding a pitching staff that has struggled at times to maintain consistency across rotations and bullpen assignments. The Red Sox enter this contest as –145 favorites on the moneyline, with the Orioles at +125, and while that line reflects Boston’s superior record and postseason urgency, it also underscores the volatility of late-season divisional games where motivation, fatigue, and crowd energy can create unpredictable outcomes. Camden Yards, always a lively and hitter-friendly environment, may play a role as the Orioles’ faithful seek a signature late-season win to validate the development of their young roster, and the Red Sox will need to balance their playoff drive with the composure required to avoid a trap game against a team with nothing to lose. For Boston, the mission is simple: maintain momentum, secure wins against beatable opponents, and ensure that their offense and rotation continue to deliver with October in mind. For Baltimore, it is about character, pride, and the chance to build momentum for the future by testing themselves against a contender and perhaps denting a rival’s playoff hopes. With both teams entering with clear but very different objectives, this late August clash represents not just a routine regular-season game, but a statement opportunity that will reveal much about where each franchise stands in its respective journey.

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The Boston Red Sox take the field at Camden Yards on August 28, 2025, with the mentality of a contender determined to strengthen its postseason positioning while proving that its blend of veteran experience and youthful energy can withstand the pressure of the stretch run, and this game against the Orioles offers a perfect opportunity to demonstrate that readiness. At 73–60, Boston has pieced together a season defined by resilience, timely hitting, and steady pitching, allowing them to stay in the thick of the American League race even amid the ebbs and flows that inevitably test any roster over 162 games. The offense remains the Red Sox’s calling card, fueled by the consistent production of Wilyer Abreu, whose power numbers have made him a dangerous presence in the heart of the lineup, Trevor Story, whose on-base ability and defensive stability at shortstop have been vital, and Alex Bregman, whose postseason pedigree and veteran leadership have offered guidance for a club seeking to take the next step in October. Boston’s approach at the plate emphasizes patience and situational hitting, ensuring that opposing pitchers face constant pressure regardless of inning or score, and this discipline has translated into late-inning rallies and comeback wins that showcase the club’s mental toughness.

On the mound, Garrett Crochet has emerged as an ace-caliber starter, providing dominance and reliability every fifth day, while the bullpen, though occasionally inconsistent, has delivered enough in high-leverage spots to close out games and preserve victories, making the Red Sox a difficult opponent to overcome when they secure a late lead. Defensively, the infield has provided stability, with crisp execution and strong arms preventing extra opportunities, while the outfield’s range and instincts limit damage from opponents looking to exploit gaps in spacious parks like Camden Yards. From a betting standpoint, the Red Sox have been one of the more dependable clubs in baseball, their 71–59 ATS record reflecting their consistency in performing up to or beyond expectations, and that steadiness is part of the reason oddsmakers have them favored at –145 in this matchup. Still, Boston knows it cannot afford to take the Orioles lightly, as Baltimore’s youth and scrappy approach can pose problems for any team that enters without proper focus, and late-season contests against non-contenders often require an extra level of attention to detail. For the Red Sox, this game is not just another stop on the schedule but a chance to reinforce the habits and execution necessary for playoff baseball, from working deep counts to preventing defensive lapses and ensuring bullpen command. A win in Baltimore would serve not only as a boost in the standings but as a reaffirmation of the team’s identity as one built on balance, adaptability, and the ability to rise when stakes are high. As the calendar turns toward September, Boston’s margin for error narrows, and every opportunity to bank a victory against a divisional opponent carries weight, making this contest against the Orioles a crucial checkpoint in their quest to solidify their October path.

The Boston Red Sox (73–60) visit the Baltimore Orioles (60–72) at Camden Yards in a pivotal divisional showdown with postseason implications. Boston enters as a modest favorite at –145, while the Orioles sit at +125, with the total set at 8 runs for the series opener. Boston Red vs Baltimore AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview

The Baltimore Orioles enter their August 28, 2025 clash with the Boston Red Sox at Camden Yards as a team whose season has been defined less by postseason aspirations and more by the pursuit of growth, pride, and progress for a roster heavily influenced by youth and developmental milestones, and this matchup offers them both a chance to test themselves against a contender and to show their fans that brighter days are ahead. With a 60–72 record, the Orioles may not be competing for October, but that does not diminish the importance of every game for players such as Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday, two young infielders whose athleticism, power potential, and willingness to embrace the spotlight provide the organization with a clear vision of its long-term core. Henderson’s glove work at shortstop and improving offensive profile mark him as a cornerstone player, while Holliday’s emergence brings excitement for the fanbase eager to see homegrown talent shine. Alongside them, Adley Rutschman continues to serve as the heartbeat of the club, offering leadership, consistency at the plate, and invaluable game-calling behind the dish for a pitching staff that has struggled with depth but still flashes competitive streaks when execution aligns. The offense has also relied on Cedric Mullins to bring speed and range both in the outfield and on the bases, adding dynamism to a lineup that thrives when stringing together hits and putting pressure on opposing pitchers with aggressive baserunning.

On the mound, Baltimore has lacked the stability of a true ace, but the rotation has been serviceable enough to keep games within reach, while the bullpen, though inconsistent, has provided flashes of reliability when tasked with protecting slim leads or navigating high-leverage innings. From a betting perspective, the Orioles have covered the run line at a respectable 20–16 clip, evidence that even in losses they have often kept contests competitive and demonstrated a scrappy ability to challenge stronger opponents, a trend they hope will continue against Boston. At Camden Yards, the energy of the home crowd and the unique ballpark dimensions can often tilt momentum, giving Baltimore an intangible edge in spurts that the team hopes to translate into meaningful wins down the stretch. Defensively, the Orioles are athletic and opportunistic, with Henderson and Holliday solidifying the infield and outfielders like Mullins providing range that can erase mistakes from the pitching staff. While odds may favor Boston, Baltimore embraces the underdog role, recognizing that their opportunity lies not in playoff implications but in playing spoiler, evaluating young talent in pressure situations, and reinforcing a culture of effort and resilience. For manager Brandon Hyde and his staff, games like this are less about standings and more about building habits, instilling belief, and showing that this team is committed to laying the groundwork for future contention. A victory over the Red Sox would not alter the course of 2025, but it would send a message that the Orioles remain a proud and dangerous club capable of rising on any given night, and it would provide another valuable experience for a core that is being forged in real time on the biggest stage.

Boston Red vs. Baltimore Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Sox and Orioles play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Aug almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Anthony over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Boston Red vs. Baltimore Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Sox and Orioles and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the trending factor emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Sox team going up against a possibly rested Orioles team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Boston Red vs Baltimore picks, computer picks Sox vs Orioles, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox boast a solid 71–59 ATS record on the season, demonstrating consistent value for bettors.

Orioles Betting Trends

Baltimore has logged a 20–16 record against the run line this season, showing relative reliability in covering, even as underdogs.

Sox vs. Orioles Matchup Trends

In their last 10 games, the Orioles are 4–6 ATS, aligning with their overall underdog role, while the Red Sox are 2–2 against the run line in their last four games, indicating modest recent movement for both sides.

Boston Red vs. Baltimore Game Info

Boston Red vs Baltimore starts on August 28, 2025 at 1:05 PM EST.

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Spread: Baltimore +1.5
Moneyline: Boston Red -193, Baltimore +159
Over/Under: 7.5

Boston Red: (74-60)  |  Baltimore: (60-73)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Anthony over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 10 games, the Orioles are 4–6 ATS, aligning with their overall underdog role, while the Red Sox are 2–2 against the run line in their last four games, indicating modest recent movement for both sides.

BOS trend: The Red Sox boast a solid 71–59 ATS record on the season, demonstrating consistent value for bettors.

BAL trend: Baltimore has logged a 20–16 record against the run line this season, showing relative reliability in covering, even as underdogs.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Boston Red vs. Baltimore Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Boston Red vs Baltimore trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Boston Red vs Baltimore Opening Odds

BOS Moneyline: -193
BAL Moneyline: +159
BOS Spread: -1.5
BAL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Boston Red vs Baltimore Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+195
-218
+1.5 (-109)
-1.5 (-105)
O 8.5 (-124)
U 8.5 (+108)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-119)
U 9 (+104)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+138
-152
+1.5 (-152)
-1.5 (+134)
O 8.5 (-113)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+104
-115
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+174)
O 8.5 (-107)
U 8.5 (-107)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+195
-218
+1.5 (-107)
-1.5 (-107)
O 8 (+101)
U 8 (-116)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-128
+116
-1.5 (+129)
+1.5 (-146)
O 8 (-112)
U 8 (-103)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+116
-128
+1.5 (-184)
-1.5 (+162)
O 9 (+107)
U 9 (-123)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+180
-200
+1.5 (-117)
-1.5 (+103)
O 8.5 (-107)
U 8.5 (-107)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+120
-132
+1.5 (-183)
-1.5 (+161)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+153
-169
+1.5 (-141)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-102)
U 8 (-113)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+128
-141
+1.5 (-183)
-1.5 (+161)
O 7 (-118)
U 7 (+103)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+122
-135
+1.5 (-177)
-1.5 (+156)
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+127
-1.5 (+116)
+1.5 (-131)
O 9 (-107)
U 9 (-107)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+113
-125
+1.5 (-197)
-1.5 (+173)
O 7 (-116)
U 7 (+101)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+104
-115
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+166)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (+100)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles on August 28, 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN