Rays vs. Guardians
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 27 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Tampa Bay (64–67) heads to Progressive Field to face the Cleveland Guardians (64–66) in a tightly matched contest, with the Rays listed as –133 favorites and Cleveland at +112, and the over/under set around 8 runs.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 27, 2025

Start Time: 1:10 PM EST​

Venue: Progressive Field​

Guardians Record: (65-66)

Rays Record: (64-68)

OPENING ODDS

TB Moneyline: -133

CLE Moneyline: +112

TB Spread: -1.5

CLE Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

TB
Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay’s overall season ATS run-line performance hovers around 49.6% cover rate, indicating they’ve been almost a break-even bet against the spread.

CLE
Betting Trends

  • Similarly, specific ATS numbers aren’t available, but Cleveland’s middling win-loss performance implies comparable average ATS results.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In this short series, the Rays picked up a dominant 9–0 win in the opener behind a sharp performance, setting the tone for the series and establishing a momentum edge going into Game 3.

TB vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Seymour over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Tampa Bay vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/27/25

The August 27, 2025 matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field sets up as a pivotal rubber game between two clubs hovering around the .500 mark and battling to keep their postseason hopes alive, as Tampa Bay enters with a 64–67 record while Cleveland sits at 64–66, making this contest less about raw dominance and more about momentum and execution down the stretch, and oddsmakers have given the Rays a slight edge at –133 favorites, reflecting both their recent 9–0 series-opening win that reasserted their offensive potential and their slightly stronger bullpen depth compared to Cleveland, which has scuffled in recent outings and dropped multiple games in a row before this series, and the betting total of eight runs signals an expectation of a controlled, moderately scoring contest where pitching could outweigh slugging, especially given that Tampa Bay’s offense, while ranking around 12th in MLB at roughly 4.5 runs per game, has been inconsistent and reliant on timely bursts rather than steady output, while Cleveland’s offensive profile leans heavily on situational hitting and contact over power, making them vulnerable if forced into a slugfest, and on the pitching side the Rays will be looking to carry over the dominance they displayed earlier in the series, with their bullpen proving capable of shutting down opponents when given early leads.

While the Guardians counter with Slade Cecconi in hopes that his command can keep Tampa Bay quiet long enough to manufacture offense, but the Rays’ ability to turn big innings from opportunistic swings and grind opposing pitchers could tilt the balance again if Cleveland doesn’t jump ahead early, and the ATS perspective only adds intrigue, as Tampa Bay has been nearly break-even all season at about a 49.6% cover rate while Cleveland has delivered similarly middling ATS results, meaning bettors are left weighing the immediate form of each club, with Tampa Bay’s confidence from their blowout win appearing to outweigh Cleveland’s home-field advantage, and all of this points toward a matchup that could be determined by who controls tempo in the middle innings, whether Cleveland can prevent Tampa Bay’s offense from stringing rallies together, and if the Guardians’ bullpen can withstand late pressure, because in a battle of evenly matched teams the smallest details—one defensive lapse, one missed pitch, one clutch hit—are likely to define whether the Rays leave town having seized momentum for a September push or if the Guardians claw back and keep themselves alive in the American League playoff picture.

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter their August 27, 2025 matchup against the Cleveland Guardians riding the confidence of a dominant 9–0 win earlier in the series, and as a team sitting at 64–67 they know that while their overall record has been inconsistent, they remain within reach of contention and can use games like this to build momentum for a late-season push, and what stands out about Tampa Bay is that they continue to be a team that thrives on adaptability, as their offense, though averaging just 4.5 runs per game and ranking in the middle of the pack, has shown the ability to explode in certain matchups when their lineup strings quality at-bats together and pressures opposing pitchers, and their depth remains their greatest asset, as even without a singular superstar carrying the load they rely on collective production from players one through nine, with each capable of extending innings and wearing down starters, which will be the goal again against Slade Cecconi, a young arm Cleveland is leaning on to navigate what could be a challenging start against a Rays lineup fresh off rediscovering its rhythm, and Tampa Bay’s path to victory begins with patience at the plate, as working Cecconi into deep counts and forcing the Guardians to turn to their bullpen early could tilt the game heavily in their favor, especially given that Cleveland’s relief corps has struggled under heavy workloads during August.

While on the pitching side the Rays have quietly assembled one of the more efficient and flexible staffs, capable of using openers, long relievers, and matchup specialists to create headaches for opposing lineups, and in this series their bullpen already demonstrated its strength by closing the door emphatically in their shutout victory, which gives them a strong foundation heading into this finale, and although their ATS record this season has been underwhelming at just under 50%, the Rays have often shown bettors value in spots like this when momentum is clearly in their favor, because when they click offensively and pair it with their trademark run-prevention, they become a team capable of outclassing middling opponents like Cleveland, and the focus for Tampa Bay will be maintaining pressure throughout the game, avoiding the stretches of offensive dormancy that have hurt them all year, and capitalizing on any defensive lapses or missed locations by Guardians pitchers, because if they can carry the same energy and execution from their 9–0 win, the Rays will not only be in a strong position to secure another road victory but also to remind the American League that they remain dangerous despite an uneven record, making them a team no one wants to face in a short series if they do manage to claw their way back into the playoff picture.

Tampa Bay (64–67) heads to Progressive Field to face the Cleveland Guardians (64–66) in a tightly matched contest, with the Rays listed as –133 favorites and Cleveland at +112, and the over/under set around 8 runs. Tampa Bay vs Cleveland AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview

The Cleveland Guardians take the field at Progressive Field on August 27, 2025 in the finale of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays with a 64–66 record and the feeling that this is the kind of game that can help define their season, because while they remain in the thick of a muddled American League race, inconsistency has plagued them during August, and dropping a 9–0 blowout earlier in the set served as a harsh reminder that they must tighten up in all phases to avoid falling further behind, and for Cleveland the formula begins on the mound with Slade Cecconi, a young right-hander still developing his command but possessing the raw tools to keep the Rays’ lineup off balance if he can limit walks and avoid the big inning, as the Guardians cannot afford to fall behind early and lean too heavily on a bullpen that has been stretched thin during the summer months, showing flashes of effectiveness but also a tendency to break under repeated high-leverage innings, and offensively Cleveland’s identity remains built on small ball and situational hitting rather than power, as they rely on consistent contact, stolen bases, and putting pressure on opposing defenses to manufacture runs, which means execution in the clutch will be critical if they are to compete with Tampa Bay’s opportunistic lineup, because unlike some teams who wait for the three-run homer, the Guardians must seize chances with runners in scoring position and avoid wasted opportunities, and while they do have some young players flashing upside, the absence of a true lineup-carrying star has put a ceiling on their offensive output, leaving them in close games that are decided by narrow margins, which is why playing clean defensively and making the most of home-field advantage is essential here, and though their ATS performance this season has been middling, reflecting their record, there remains value in Cleveland at home when their pitchers are able to control tempo and their lineup strings together tough at-bats, because Progressive Field’s dimensions often help their pitchers contain opponent power, giving them a fighting chance if they can simply keep the game tight, and from a motivational standpoint this is the type of matchup the Guardians must embrace, facing a Rays team with nearly the same record and a similar fight for relevance, because a series win here could provide the spark needed to propel them into September with renewed belief, while another loss could deepen the perception that they lack the consistency to sustain a run, making this contest as much about mindset as it is about statistics, and ultimately Cleveland’s path to victory will require Cecconi setting a steady tone, the bullpen finding enough stability to bridge to the final outs, and the lineup taking advantage of every scoring opportunity, because in a matchup of near equals, the sharper, cleaner, and hungrier team is likely to walk away with the win and a vital boost in confidence.

Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Rays and Guardians play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Progressive Field in Aug can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Seymour over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Rays and Guardians and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly unhealthy Guardians team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Rays vs Guardians, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Rays Betting Trends

Tampa Bay’s overall season ATS run-line performance hovers around 49.6% cover rate, indicating they’ve been almost a break-even bet against the spread.

Guardians Betting Trends

Similarly, specific ATS numbers aren’t available, but Cleveland’s middling win-loss performance implies comparable average ATS results.

Rays vs. Guardians Matchup Trends

In this short series, the Rays picked up a dominant 9–0 win in the opener behind a sharp performance, setting the tone for the series and establishing a momentum edge going into Game 3.

Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland Game Info

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland starts on August 27, 2025 at 1:10 PM EST.

Spread: Cleveland +1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay -133, Cleveland +112
Over/Under: 8

Tampa Bay: (64-68)  |  Cleveland: (65-66)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Seymour over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In this short series, the Rays picked up a dominant 9–0 win in the opener behind a sharp performance, setting the tone for the series and establishing a momentum edge going into Game 3.

TB trend: Tampa Bay’s overall season ATS run-line performance hovers around 49.6% cover rate, indicating they’ve been almost a break-even bet against the spread.

CLE trend: Similarly, specific ATS numbers aren’t available, but Cleveland’s middling win-loss performance implies comparable average ATS results.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland Opening Odds

TB Moneyline: -133
CLE Moneyline: +112
TB Spread: -1.5
CLE Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland Live Odds

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MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians on August 27, 2025 at Progressive Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS