Phillies vs. Mets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 25 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-23T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets on August 25, 2025, with both teams jockeying for postseason positioning in the tight National League East race. It’s a game with significant implications—momentum, playoff pressure, and a chance to gain tiebreaker edge are all on the line.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 25, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: Citi Field​

Mets Record: (69-61)

Phillies Record: (76-54)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: -117

NYM Moneyline: -103

PHI Spread: -1.5

NYM Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

PHI
Betting Trends

  • Favored on the moneyline at approximately −126 and also on the run line at −1.5.

NYM
Betting Trends

  • Entering as underdogs at +105 on the moneyline.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Phillies have been strong as favorites lately, winning 7 of their last 10 moneyline games, while the total runs in their last 10 contests have stayed under more often than not. The Mets, buoyed by their dynamic lineup and bullpen depth, often deliver close games that slip beyond projections.

PHI vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Soto over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Philadelphia vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/25/25

When the Philadelphia Phillies meet the New York Mets on August 25, 2025, at Citi Field, it will be far more than just another late-season National League East clash—it’s a matchup that could carry major implications for the postseason picture, especially for two teams still scrapping for positioning and pride in one of baseball’s most tightly contested divisions. The Phillies enter the series with momentum on their side, having won 7 of their last 10 games and coming off a strong series against Seattle in which their offense found consistent rhythm and their rotation delivered critical innings. Aaron Nola is expected to take the mound for Philadelphia, bringing with him a wealth of experience, a full arsenal of pitches, and a track record of poise under pressure that has proven invaluable in games like these. Philadelphia’s lineup, headlined by the ever-dangerous Bryce Harper, Trea Turner’s dynamic speed, and Kyle Schwarber’s game-changing power, is designed to wear down starting pitching and capitalize on bullpen fatigue—something the Mets will have to manage carefully. New York, meanwhile, comes into this matchup riding a wave of resurgence behind a rejuvenated Francisco Lindor, who is in the middle of a red-hot August stretch in which he has consistently reached base, delivered clutch power, and become the team’s emotional center.

The Mets have recently seen better run support, a bullpen that continues to hold leads late, and strong showings from key contributors like Pete Alonso and Juan Soto, who offer the potential to flip a game with a single swing. Though they are slight underdogs on paper, the Mets’ ability to manufacture runs and keep pressure on opposing pitchers—particularly at home where they tend to be more opportunistic—makes them a tough out for any team, even one as strong as Philadelphia. Pitching will likely be the central storyline in this matchup, as Nola’s steadiness will be challenged by the Mets’ capacity for explosive innings, while New York’s starter—possibly José Quintana or Tylor Megill—will need to limit walks and keep the Phillies in the park. Bullpen efficiency, defensive execution, and timely hitting will all be key factors, especially considering both teams’ recent propensity for close games decided in the seventh inning or later. Strategically, the Phillies may look to be more aggressive on the basepaths to challenge New York’s catchers, while the Mets will hope to turn the tables with late-inning heroics from their depth players. In terms of recent betting performance, the Phillies have been strong favorites, covering in 70% of such spots recently, while the Mets continue to thrive in close contests where the total trends under. This game, then, figures to be a tightrope walk between two clubs who know each other well and understand the stakes—who blinks first may determine who walks off the field victorious in what promises to be a playoff-caliber battle long before October officially begins.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter this matchup against the New York Mets with a surge of confidence, having recently found their offensive groove and pitching consistency at a crucial point in the season. The team is sitting comfortably in the National League playoff race, but every game counts as they push for better seeding and home-field advantage. Their recent series win over the Seattle Mariners displayed their balanced strengths—explosive power from the heart of the lineup and a rotation that continues to give them quality starts. Aaron Nola is expected to start this game, bringing his mix of elite command, deep pitch mix, and big-game composure to a pivotal matchup. Nola has been excellent over his last several outings, showing better control of his breaking pitches and holding opposing lineups to fewer base runners early in games. He’ll need to stay sharp against a Mets team that’s been pesky at the plate and willing to stretch out counts. Behind him, the Phillies’ bullpen has been improving with each series, highlighted by reliable setup work and a solid closer anchoring the ninth inning. On the offensive side, Bryce Harper remains the center of attention with his clutch hitting, but the contributions of Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner have kept pitchers honest throughout the order. Schwarber’s power continues to be a threat on any pitch he sees in the zone, and Turner’s ability to get on base and cause havoc adds another layer of difficulty for opponents.

One of Philadelphia’s underrated advantages is their base-running aggression and ability to pressure opposing defenses into mistakes—something they may look to exploit against the Mets’ catchers and infield defense. The Phillies are also a team with a strong culture of grinding out at-bats, with hitters consistently working deep counts and forcing high pitch totals early in games. Defensively, they’ve tightened up after some early-season issues, and their improved fielding metrics now support the team’s elite run differential. As for recent betting trends, the Phillies have been reliable favorites, covering the spread in 7 of their last 10 games and delivering strong returns when favored on the road. Their track record in divisional matchups has also been impressive, with well-executed game plans and a noticeable edge in late-game adjustments. Their lineup has done well against right-handed pitching, especially in night games, and they’ve consistently beaten the teams they’re supposed to beat. This road trip will be a crucial barometer for how battle-tested this roster truly is, and the game against the Mets presents an opportunity to keep the pressure on the Braves while keeping teams like Milwaukee and Los Angeles in sight for postseason positioning. If the Phillies continue to play with the balance, discipline, and edge they’ve shown over the last few weeks, they’ll be in a strong position not only to win this game but to make a serious October run.

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets on August 25, 2025, with both teams jockeying for postseason positioning in the tight National League East race. It’s a game with significant implications—momentum, playoff pressure, and a chance to gain tiebreaker edge are all on the line. Philadelphia vs New York AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 25. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets return home to Citi Field looking to disrupt the playoff momentum of the Philadelphia Phillies while finding answers for their own inconsistent play during the dog days of August. The Mets, hovering below .500, have been a frustrating team to assess this season—capable of brief surges of promise only to be undercut by untimely injuries, underperforming veterans, and bullpen lapses. Still, with young arms getting extended looks and a core group of hitters eager to prove their value, there’s still something to be salvaged, particularly in spoiler mode against division rivals. Kodai Senga is likely to get the ball for New York, and despite a season marked by injuries and fluctuating control, the Japanese right-hander continues to show flashes of the dominant movement and deception that made him one of the more intriguing arms in the league. His forkball remains his go-to weapon, particularly effective against lefties, but he’ll need to avoid long innings and improve his first-pitch strike rate if the Mets are to compete deep into the game. The Mets’ bullpen, once considered a strength, has had difficulty maintaining leads, with blown saves and high walk rates plaguing late-inning stability. Offensively, the team still relies on Pete Alonso’s power and Francisco Lindor’s all-around skill, but their supporting cast has been wildly inconsistent. Jeff McNeil has struggled to match last season’s contact-heavy success, and Brandon Nimmo’s production, while solid, hasn’t always translated into timely offense. Rookie Brett Baty remains a work in progress at third base, both at the plate and in the field, though he’s shown promise with key hits against left-handed pitching.

The Mets’ biggest issue has been stringing hits together and capitalizing with runners in scoring position, an area where they rank among the league’s worst. However, they’ve played surprisingly well at home in recent weeks, covering the run line in five of their last seven games at Citi Field, especially as underdogs. The Mets also tend to perform better in low-scoring, tightly contested games, where their situational hitting and small-ball tactics can occasionally outshine their flaws. Manager Carlos Mendoza continues to experiment with lineup combinations, looking to spark a team that too often finds itself trailing early. In divisional games like this, the Mets have shown a grittier edge, occasionally rising to the moment against more talented opponents with better records. Although their playoff hopes have effectively faded, their role as disruptors is not to be dismissed, and they would relish the chance to make the Phillies’ road to October more complicated. If Senga can deliver five strong innings and the bullpen avoids self-inflicted damage, New York’s offense may only need to scratch out three or four runs to put pressure on Philadelphia. In a game where pride, rivalry, and next-year auditions all converge, the Mets still have every reason to play with urgency in front of a home crowd looking for signs of hope in a challenging season.

Philadelphia vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Phillies and Mets play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citi Field in Aug almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Soto over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Philadelphia vs. New York Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Phillies and Mets and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the growing factor human bettors often put on Philadelphia’s strength factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly healthy Mets team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs New York picks, computer picks Phillies vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Phillies Betting Trends

Favored on the moneyline at approximately −126 and also on the run line at −1.5.

Mets Betting Trends

Entering as underdogs at +105 on the moneyline.

Phillies vs. Mets Matchup Trends

The Phillies have been strong as favorites lately, winning 7 of their last 10 moneyline games, while the total runs in their last 10 contests have stayed under more often than not. The Mets, buoyed by their dynamic lineup and bullpen depth, often deliver close games that slip beyond projections.

Philadelphia vs. New York Game Info

Philadelphia vs New York starts on August 25, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: New York +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -117, New York -103
Over/Under: 8

Philadelphia: (76-54)  |  New York: (69-61)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Soto over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Phillies have been strong as favorites lately, winning 7 of their last 10 moneyline games, while the total runs in their last 10 contests have stayed under more often than not. The Mets, buoyed by their dynamic lineup and bullpen depth, often deliver close games that slip beyond projections.

PHI trend: Favored on the moneyline at approximately −126 and also on the run line at −1.5.

NYM trend: Entering as underdogs at +105 on the moneyline.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. New York Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Philadelphia vs New York Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: -117
NYM Moneyline: -103
PHI Spread: -1.5
NYM Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Philadelphia vs New York Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+177
-197
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+143
-158
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+132
-156
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+142)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-132
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+157)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+104
-115
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets on August 25, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN