Jays vs Marlins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 23)

Updated: 2025-08-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Toronto Blue Jays head to Miami to face the Marlins on August 23, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot Park. The Blue Jays are slight favorites at –139 moneyline (about 58 % implied win probability), while Miami sits at +118, and the run line stands at Blue Jays –1.5 (+121), with the over/under set at 8 runs.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 23, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: loanDepot park​

Marlins Record: (60-68)

Jays Record: (75-54)

OPENING ODDS

TOR Moneyline: -140

MIA Moneyline: +117

TOR Spread: -1.5

MIA Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

TOR
Betting Trends

  • Over their last 10 games, Toronto is 6–4 against the spread (ATS). In their last seven outings as moneyline favorites, they’ve gone 4–3. Additionally, this season they’ve covered 16 out of 22 run-line games—the best such record in MLB—and are also around 30–35 overall ATS.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • Miami has won about 47 % of games this season as underdogs (+118 or worse), suggesting they’ve surprised more often than not when expected to lose. Their all-time ATS record versus the Blue Jays is even at 5–5.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Toronto’s strong run-line performance—16 wins in 22 games as a run-line favorite—is remarkable and makes them a compelling bet when laying juice. Paired with Miami’s modest underdog success rate (47 %), this matchup sets up as a classic small-edge scenario where the Blue Jays’ ATS trend trumps sheer win odds.

TOR vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Bichette over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Toronto Blue vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/23/25

The Toronto Blue Jays and Miami Marlins square off at loanDepot Park on August 23, 2025, in a matchup that may not carry the same historic flair as a Red Sox–Yankees showdown but is nonetheless a compelling contest between a club with postseason aspirations and another eager to play spoiler and prove its resilience. The Blue Jays enter as modest –139 favorites with the run line at –1.5, reflecting the betting market’s confidence in their star power and strong run-line performance this season, while the Marlins sit at +118 underdogs, a role they are well-accustomed to and one in which they have been surprisingly competitive. Toronto’s ATS numbers are impressive, with a 6–4 mark over their last 10 and a sterling 16–6 run-line record on the season, the best in Major League Baseball, meaning that when they win as favorites, they often win by multiple runs. Their offense has been the engine of that success, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette anchoring a lineup that averages nearly five runs per game, while George Springer remains a reliable spark at the top of the order, recently riding a hot streak that has added another dimension to their attack. With power, depth, and speed throughout, the Blue Jays have the ability to put pressure on opposing pitchers early and often, which could be a major factor against Miami starter Janson Junk, who has shown flashes but lacks the profile of a shutdown arm.

On the mound, Toronto counters with Eric Lauer, whose steady left-handed arsenal should give him an edge if he commands his pitches and avoids giving up early long balls, a problem that could tilt the momentum against a Marlins club eager to jump on mistakes. Miami, for its part, enters with less statistical pedigree but a strong sense of resilience, boasting a 47 percent win rate as underdogs this year, a testament to their knack for staying in games even when projected to lose. The centerpiece of their offense is Kyle Stowers, who has been red-hot since July, showing the ability to change games with one swing, and if he gets support from the rest of the lineup, Miami could keep pace with Toronto’s bats. The Marlins’ bullpen has been inconsistent, and they will need it to hold firm against one of the most potent lineups in the American League if they hope to spring the upset. With the total set at eight runs, oddsmakers expect scoring opportunities, and the trends support that—Toronto’s offense combined with Miami’s occasional fireworks suggests the over may be in play. This game ultimately hinges on execution: if the Blue Jays continue their run-line dominance and Lauer delivers quality innings, Toronto should justify its favorite status; if Miami can get to Lauer early, ride the hot bat of Stowers, and let their underdog swagger carry them, they could very well flip the narrative. In what projects as a tight but potentially high-scoring game, the Blue Jays’ depth and ATS track record give them an edge, but the Marlins’ tenacity ensures that this matchup will not be taken lightly.

Toronto Blue Jays MLB Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays travel to Miami for a matchup that pits their star-driven lineup and strong betting profile against a Marlins team that thrives on the underdog role, and while Toronto enters as –139 favorites, their ability to translate odds into results will be the true test. This season the Jays have not only won games but often done so convincingly, posting a remarkable 16–6 run-line record, the best in MLB, and going 6–4 ATS in their last 10 contests while also maintaining a respectable 4–3 mark as moneyline favorites in their most recent stretch. Those numbers point to a club that bettors can trust when they are in position to control games, and that confidence stems directly from the Blue Jays’ offensive firepower. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the face of the franchise, consistently driving in runs and showing the ability to flip games with one swing, while Bo Bichette provides balance with his blend of gap power and contact hitting. George Springer’s recent hitting streak has added another layer of reliability at the top of the order, and the supporting cast, featuring the likes of Alejandro Kirk and Daulton Varsho, ensures Toronto is rarely top-heavy in production. This depth is crucial when playing on the road, where opportunities can be limited and capitalizing on early mistakes is the key to silencing a home crowd.

On the pitching side, Eric Lauer is slated to take the ball, and while he may not carry ace-level expectations, his left-handed arsenal gives the Blue Jays an advantage against a Marlins lineup that has struggled at times to sustain offense across multiple innings. If Lauer can give them six competitive frames and turn the game over to a bullpen that has been serviceable, Toronto’s formula for victory will be intact. That said, the Jays know Miami has a knack for playing spoiler, winning 47 percent of games as underdogs this season, so complacency cannot be allowed to creep in. For Toronto, the blueprint is clear: strike early, use their superior lineup depth to build pressure, and avoid the kind of situational inefficiencies that sometimes haunt them, such as stranding runners in scoring position. With the total set at eight runs, the Jays’ offensive prowess suggests they will need to lean into their strengths and produce enough to cover the run line, especially since their record indicates they thrive in doing so. Ultimately, the Blue Jays arrive in Miami not just looking to secure another road win but to reinforce their reputation as a team capable of dominating games when favored, and if they execute as they have throughout much of the season, they are positioned to validate both the oddsmakers’ confidence and their own postseason aspirations.

The Toronto Blue Jays head to Miami to face the Marlins on August 23, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot Park. The Blue Jays are slight favorites at –139 moneyline (about 58 % implied win probability), while Miami sits at +118, and the run line stands at Blue Jays –1.5 (+121), with the over/under set at 8 runs. Toronto Blue vs Miami AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins return home to loanDepot Park on August 23, 2025, in the familiar role of underdogs, listed at +118 against a Toronto Blue Jays team viewed as the stronger side on paper, but that underestimation may play directly into Miami’s hands as they’ve shown time and again an ability to rise when counted out. This season the Marlins have won about 47 percent of games as underdogs, a rate that speaks to their knack for grinding out competitive efforts and pulling off surprises despite betting lines tilting against them. Their offense has found a spark in Kyle Stowers, who emerged as one of the hottest hitters in July with a stretch of multi-homer games that not only broke franchise records but also gave Miami a consistent power threat in the middle of the lineup. His ability to change the game with one swing is critical against a Toronto club built to score in bunches, and he will likely be the focal point of their attack. Beyond Stowers, the Marlins rely on situational hitting and opportunism, manufacturing runs when the chance arises, but consistency remains a challenge, and they cannot afford wasted at-bats against a team that thrives on momentum swings.

On the mound, Janson Junk takes the ball, a pitcher capable of flashes of efficiency but one who must bring his best command against a lineup featuring Guerrero, Bichette, and Springer, all of whom can punish mistakes quickly. The pressure will fall on Miami’s bullpen to carry the load if Junk cannot go deep, and their relievers will need to be sharp in order to contain Toronto’s relentless offense late in the game. Defensively, execution is paramount, as extra outs against a team with the Blue Jays’ firepower could prove fatal. Playing at home, however, provides the Marlins with an intangible edge—the energy of the Miami crowd often pushes the team to fight until the final out, and in a close contest, that adrenaline can tilt momentum their way. From a betting angle, Miami’s ability to cover spreads as underdogs makes them intriguing, as they’ve stayed competitive in games where most expect them to fade. To succeed here, their blueprint must include limiting Toronto’s early scoring, capitalizing on every run-scoring opportunity, and relying on Stowers or another big bat to deliver a game-breaking hit. If Junk can provide five to six innings of solid work and the bullpen can bridge to the ninth without implosion, Miami has a pathway to upset the odds yet again. While Toronto’s ATS record and overall firepower make them justifiable favorites, the Marlins embrace the role of spoiler and thrive in proving doubters wrong, and with timely execution, they could once again make bettors regret counting them out.

Toronto Blue vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Jays and Marlins play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at loanDepot park in Aug seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Bichette over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Toronto Blue vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Jays and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the growing emphasis human bettors tend to put on Miami’s strength factors between a Jays team going up against a possibly tired Marlins team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Toronto Blue vs Miami picks, computer picks Jays vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Jays Betting Trends

Over their last 10 games, Toronto is 6–4 against the spread (ATS). In their last seven outings as moneyline favorites, they’ve gone 4–3. Additionally, this season they’ve covered 16 out of 22 run-line games—the best such record in MLB—and are also around 30–35 overall ATS.

Marlins Betting Trends

Miami has won about 47 % of games this season as underdogs (+118 or worse), suggesting they’ve surprised more often than not when expected to lose. Their all-time ATS record versus the Blue Jays is even at 5–5.

Jays vs. Marlins Matchup Trends

Toronto’s strong run-line performance—16 wins in 22 games as a run-line favorite—is remarkable and makes them a compelling bet when laying juice. Paired with Miami’s modest underdog success rate (47 %), this matchup sets up as a classic small-edge scenario where the Blue Jays’ ATS trend trumps sheer win odds.

Toronto Blue vs. Miami Game Info

Toronto Blue vs Miami starts on August 23, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: Toronto Blue -140, Miami +117
Over/Under: 8

Toronto Blue: (75-54)  |  Miami: (60-68)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Bichette over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Toronto’s strong run-line performance—16 wins in 22 games as a run-line favorite—is remarkable and makes them a compelling bet when laying juice. Paired with Miami’s modest underdog success rate (47 %), this matchup sets up as a classic small-edge scenario where the Blue Jays’ ATS trend trumps sheer win odds.

TOR trend: Over their last 10 games, Toronto is 6–4 against the spread (ATS). In their last seven outings as moneyline favorites, they’ve gone 4–3. Additionally, this season they’ve covered 16 out of 22 run-line games—the best such record in MLB—and are also around 30–35 overall ATS.

MIA trend: Miami has won about 47 % of games this season as underdogs (+118 or worse), suggesting they’ve surprised more often than not when expected to lose. Their all-time ATS record versus the Blue Jays is even at 5–5.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Toronto Blue vs. Miami Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Toronto Blue vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Toronto Blue vs Miami Opening Odds

TOR Moneyline: -140
MIA Moneyline: +117
TOR Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Toronto Blue vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-140
+127
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins on August 23, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN