Yankees vs Rays Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 19)

Updated: 2025-08-17T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Yankees (67–57), riding a road win streak and firmly in the AL Wild Card chase, travel to Tampa to face the Rays (61–64), who are struggling to climb out of fourth place in the AL East.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 19, 2025

Start Time: 7:35 PM EST​

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field​

Rays Record: (61-64)

Yankees Record: (67-57)

OPENING ODDS

NYY Moneyline: -142

TB Moneyline: +119

NYY Spread: -1.5

TB Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have struggled against the run line on the road, posting a 14–19 record since mid‑April, and just 1–4 in their last 5 road games.

TB
Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay has had a better home stretch, going 18–12 in their last 30 games at home, though they remain roughly even or slightly below .500 ATS overall at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Yankees’ recent struggles on the road against the spread suggest value may lie with the Rays ML or +1.5 on the run line, especially if Tampa’s home resilience holds.

NYY vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Judge over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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New York vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/19/25

The upcoming matchup between the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays on August 19, 2025, promises a high-stakes battle with playoff implications as the Yankees, sitting at 67–57, visit the Rays, who are struggling to stay afloat at 61–64 but remain dangerous at home despite the venue shift to Steinbrenner Field due to damage to Tropicana Field. New York enters riding a four-game road win streak, fueled by their explosive offense led by Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, and Giancarlo Stanton, and backed by a starting assignment for Carlos Rodón, who has been sharp lately with a 3.25 ERA and consistent command. The Rays counter with Shane Baz, who owns an unpredictable 4.93 ERA but has shown flashes of elite swing-and-miss stuff, while young slugger Junior Caminero (35 HR) and a surging Brandon Lowe provide the offensive muscle to challenge any pitcher.

Tampa Bay’s temporary home field levels the playing field slightly, and they’ve played scrappy, resilient baseball in front of supportive home crowds despite the awkward spring training setting. ATS betting trends show the Yankees are just 14–19 against the spread on the road since mid-April, and they’ve failed to cover in four of their last five road contests, while the Rays have had more consistent results at home, especially in close games. The Yankees are favored on the moneyline around –146, but the value leans toward Tampa on the run line (+1.5) or as a straight-up underdog given New York’s ATS inconsistency and Tampa Bay’s tendency to stay competitive in pitcher’s duels and late-inning rallies. The x-factor lies in Rodón’s ability to suppress the Rays’ opportunistic hitters and whether the Yankees’ power bats can break through early, as the Rays have a solid bullpen led by Pete Fairbanks and Colin Poche that thrives in protecting narrow leads. If New York builds momentum early and their rotation holds, the Bronx Bombers could cruise, but if Baz holds his own and Tampa can scratch out runs with timely hitting, this contest has all the makings of a one-run nail-biter that could go either way.

New York Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees enter their August 19 matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays as one of the most potent and feared teams in the American League, boasting a 67–57 record and having rediscovered their rhythm on the road during a pivotal part of the season. Their offense has been an intimidating force, led by the relentless power of Aaron Judge, who remains one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball, and the smooth consistency of Juan Soto, whose plate discipline and on-base skills give the Yankees multiple ways to attack opposing pitching. Giancarlo Stanton continues to provide raw power, while Anthony Volpe’s emergence as a reliable top-of-the-order presence and base-stealing threat adds dimension to their offense. DJ LeMahieu has begun to heat up in recent weeks, giving them valuable veteran presence and situational hitting. On the mound, Carlos Rodón is scheduled to start and has turned a corner after a rocky start to the year, now carrying a solid ERA near 3.25 with improved command and pitch sequencing that’s allowed him to neutralize both right- and left-handed hitters.

The Yankees’ bullpen remains one of the strongest units in baseball, with Clay Holmes anchoring the closer role and setup arms like Michael King and Wandy Peralta capable of putting out fires in high-leverage moments. The Yankees’ run differential has steadily improved, and they are among the league leaders in home runs, slugging percentage, and OPS, which puts tremendous pressure on opposing pitchers to be nearly perfect. However, despite their dominance at home, the Yankees have shown some vulnerability on the road against teams that can grind out at-bats and exploit defensive lapses, and the relocation of this series to Steinbrenner Field gives it a more neutral, unpredictable vibe. New York’s success in this game could hinge on their ability to score early and force Tampa Bay into chasing the scoreboard, as the Yankees are less effective when playing from behind. Defensively, New York has been sound, with Gleyber Torres flashing above-average range at second and Volpe continuing to grow as a reliable shortstop. The Yankees know the margin for error is thin in a tightly packed AL playoff race, and every series win, especially against divisional opponents like Tampa Bay, could carry postseason implications. As favorites heading into this matchup, they’ll look to assert themselves with power, pitching depth, and playoff-tested experience. A win here would not only extend their road momentum but also further solidify their position as legitimate contenders in the American League landscape.

The New York Yankees (67–57), riding a road win streak and firmly in the AL Wild Card chase, travel to Tampa to face the Rays (61–64), who are struggling to climb out of fourth place in the AL East. New York vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 19. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter their August 19 showdown against the New York Yankees still clinging to postseason hopes in a crowded and competitive American League race, sitting just above .500 with a record near 61–61 and showing flashes of the scrappy, opportunistic play that has defined their success in recent seasons. While they’ve lacked the dominant consistency that carried them to division titles in the past, the Rays remain a dangerous club, especially at home in Tropicana Field, where they’ve often found ways to squeeze out low-scoring wins behind elite pitching and timely hitting. Their offense, though not as explosive as the Yankees’, is balanced and capable, with Yandy Díaz serving as a consistent force at the top of the order, batting over .300 and providing quality at-bats. Randy Arozarena, despite a slight regression from his All-Star campaign, still brings game-changing power and speed, and Isaac Paredes has emerged as one of their most valuable hitters with clutch home runs and a knack for driving in runs. The return of Brandon Lowe has added another left-handed bat with pop to the middle of the lineup, while catcher René Pinto has provided underrated contributions behind the plate. On the mound, the Rays plan to start Zach Eflin, who leads the team in innings pitched and continues to be a stabilizing presence, especially when pitching at home where he holds a sub-3.50 ERA.

Tampa Bay’s bullpen remains elite despite injuries, as Jason Adam and Pete Fairbanks continue to lock down late innings with high velocity and strikeout stuff. One of Tampa’s most valuable assets remains their infield defense, led by slick-fielding shortstop José Caballero and versatile contributors like Taylor Walls, who help turn would-be hits into outs and reduce big innings. Strategically, manager Kevin Cash is one of the league’s best at playing matchups, managing bullpen usage, and maximizing platoon advantages, which gives the Rays a tactical edge in close games. However, their margin for error is small against a Yankees lineup that can change the game with one swing, so Tampa’s pitchers must stay ahead in counts and limit baserunners. Tampa Bay’s approach in this contest will likely focus on manufacturing runs, aggressive baserunning, and forcing New York into defensive pressure, a formula that has worked well in the past. Despite a mediocre run-line record overall, the Rays have been solid as home underdogs and have fared well when playing tight, low-scoring games. This game represents an opportunity for Tampa Bay to gain ground on a divisional rival and prove that they still belong in the playoff discussion. If they can get Eflin into the sixth with a lead and keep the Yankees’ big bats quiet, they’ll have every chance to pull off an important victory and build momentum heading into the season’s final stretch.

New York vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Yankees and Rays play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Aug seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Judge over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

New York vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Yankees and Rays and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on New York’s strength factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly rested Rays team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Yankees vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have struggled against the run line on the road, posting a 14–19 record since mid‑April, and just 1–4 in their last 5 road games.

Rays Betting Trends

Tampa Bay has had a better home stretch, going 18–12 in their last 30 games at home, though they remain roughly even or slightly below .500 ATS overall at home.

Yankees vs. Rays Matchup Trends

The Yankees’ recent struggles on the road against the spread suggest value may lie with the Rays ML or +1.5 on the run line, especially if Tampa’s home resilience holds.

New York vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

New York vs Tampa Bay starts on August 19, 2025 at 7:35 PM EST.

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Spread: Tampa Bay +1.5
Moneyline: New York -142, Tampa Bay +119
Over/Under: 8.5

New York: (67-57)  |  Tampa Bay: (61-64)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Judge over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Yankees’ recent struggles on the road against the spread suggest value may lie with the Rays ML or +1.5 on the run line, especially if Tampa’s home resilience holds.

NYY trend: The Yankees have struggled against the run line on the road, posting a 14–19 record since mid‑April, and just 1–4 in their last 5 road games.

TB trend: Tampa Bay has had a better home stretch, going 18–12 in their last 30 games at home, though they remain roughly even or slightly below .500 ATS overall at home.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York vs. Tampa Bay Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the New York vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

NYY Moneyline: -142
TB Moneyline: +119
NYY Spread: -1.5
TB Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

New York vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-142
+129
-1.5 (+122)
+1.5 (-138)
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays on August 19, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN