Mariners vs Mets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 17)
Updated: 2025-08-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Seattle Mariners (approximately 62–53) journey to Citi Field on August 17 to face the New York Mets (around 63–49) in a pivotal National League–American League interleague tilt, featuring two teams chasing playoff positioning and playoff-caliber momentum as the season’s final stretch approaches.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Aug 17, 2025
Start Time: 7:10 PM EST
Venue: Muncy Bank Ballpark
Mets Record: (65-58)
Mariners Record: (68-56)
OPENING ODDS
SEA Moneyline: -124
NYM Moneyline: +104
SEA Spread: -1.5
NYM Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
SEA
Betting Trends
- Seattle has been relatively steady on the road this season, posting a 10–8 record away. Their recent run-line performance shows a 2–3 record in their last five road games.
NYM
Betting Trends
- New York has been a marginal underachiever ATS at Citi Field, compiling a 26–27 run-line record at home this year.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite a close spread, Seattle’s superior recent road performance combined with the Mets’ mediocre ATS home form makes Mariners +1.5 on the run line an intriguing value play in a tightly contested matchup.
SEA vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Mullins over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.
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Seattle vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/17/25
Starling Marte has also regained form, and the addition of young slugger Brett Baty has brought a boost of energy to the lineup. However, the Mets have been slightly underwhelming from a betting perspective at home, with a 26–27 ATS record at Citi Field, pointing to narrow wins or an inability to cover spreads even in victory. This statistical softness, paired with Seattle’s improved play away from home, adds intrigue to the matchup from a betting perspective. On the mound, the Mets will likely counter with Kodai Senga or José Quintana, both of whom have provided strong outings lately but will be tested by a Seattle offense capable of stringing together crooked innings. From a tactical perspective, the game could hinge on bullpen execution and defensive reliability, as both teams are comfortable playing in tight, late-inning scenarios. With playoff races tightening across both leagues, this game carries added weight—Seattle is battling to hold off AL wild card challengers, while the Mets are trying to keep pace in a jam-packed NL race where every win is magnified. This one sets up as a low-scoring, tightly contested affair where each team’s margin for error is razor-thin. Expect both managers to lean heavily on analytics and matchups, especially in the later innings. Given the stakes, the pitching depth, and the statistical nuances surrounding both clubs’ recent performances against the spread, Sunday’s matchup should provide fans with playoff-style tension and bettors with angles worth evaluating.
Back for some day baseball! #PlayersWeekend pic.twitter.com/z1rd80LQBE
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) August 16, 2025
Seattle Mariners MLB Preview
The Seattle Mariners enter their August 17 road clash against the New York Mets still clinging to postseason ambitions in a tightly packed American League playoff picture, riding a season defined by elite starting pitching, an improving young core, and occasional bursts of power. With a 62–53 overall record and a respectable 10–8 mark ATS on the road, the Mariners have proven they can travel well and grind out wins in difficult environments, aided by a rotation that’s been among the league’s best over the past two months. Logan Gilbert and George Kirby have been pillars of consistency, combining low walk rates with strike-throwing efficiency, while Bryce Miller has continued to build on his breakout campaign, showcasing mid-90s velocity and improved secondary pitches. The Mariners’ ability to stay in games through quality starts has allowed their bullpen to shine, with Andrés Muñoz serving as one of MLB’s most underrated closers thanks to his high-octane fastball and wipeout slider. Offensively, Seattle remains a work in progress, ranking in the bottom third of MLB in team batting average but compensating with timely home runs and aggressive base running. Julio Rodríguez continues to be their most dynamic weapon, mixing power and speed with exceptional defense in center field, and his hot streaks have often sparked winning stretches for the club.
Meanwhile, Cal Raleigh has emerged as a legitimate switch-hitting power threat behind the plate, while players like Ty France and J.P. Crawford offer reliable at-bats and veteran presence in the infield. Despite their offensive limitations, Seattle’s ability to capitalize on mistakes, draw walks, and produce in high-leverage situations has helped them win close games—a necessity with their limited margin for error. The Mariners have also begun integrating more young talent into the lineup, with names like Dominic Canzone and Ryan Bliss seeing increased playing time, adding energy and upside to the roster. On defense, the club is above average, especially up the middle, and has limited costly mistakes in late-game scenarios. Manager Scott Servais has made a point to play matchups and manage his bullpen strategically, which could be crucial in a game likely to hinge on the final innings. Facing a Mets team that has struggled to cover at home despite recent improvement, Seattle should feel confident if the game is within reach late. From a betting standpoint, Seattle’s consistent pitching, road competitiveness, and ability to perform in low-scoring environments make them a valuable underdog play, particularly when getting plus-money on the run line. However, they’ll need their offense to avoid long stretches of futility and support what’s expected to be another strong outing from their rotation. If the Mariners can get even moderate production from the middle of their order and continue their strong late-inning relief work, they have a legitimate shot at stealing a win at Citi Field and inching closer to a coveted AL Wild Card spot.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets return to Citi Field on August 17, 2025, to face the Seattle Mariners in a matchup that offers them a chance to continue their slow but steady climb out of early-season disappointment. After floundering below .500 for much of the first half, the Mets have found a bit more rhythm in recent weeks, winning 7 of their last 11 games and showing signs of life on both sides of the ball. Their overall record still reflects a team trying to claw back into relevance, but a 28–25 home mark and recent uptick in run-line performance have brought cautious optimism to Flushing. Offensively, the Mets are finally getting consistent production from their core. Francisco Lindor has heated up over the past month, driving in key runs and stabilizing the infield defense, while Pete Alonso continues to supply power with 32 home runs on the year, remaining a constant threat in the middle of the lineup. Brandon Nimmo’s steady presence at the top of the order, paired with young Brett Baty’s emergence as a reliable bat, has added balance to the Mets’ offense, while Starling Marte has provided timely hitting and veteran leadership. Perhaps the most surprising contributor has been J.D. Martinez, whose bat has reignited the middle of the lineup and helped drive in crucial runs against both left- and right-handed pitching. On the mound, the Mets are expected to send right-hander Luis Severino to the hill, and he has quietly turned his season around after a rocky start, posting a sub-3.00 ERA over his last five appearances with improved fastball command and effective usage of his cutter.
The bullpen, long a source of concern, has stabilized thanks to the return of Edwin Díaz and the emergence of setup man Brooks Raley, both of whom have held leads with greater consistency of late. New York’s defensive play has also been markedly better, especially in close games, where the Mets’ fundamentals and situational awareness have minimized damage. One key trend in their favor is how well they’ve performed against teams with winning records recently, covering the spread in 6 of their last 8 such games at home. Manager Carlos Mendoza has been praised for remaining patient with his lineup while making necessary tweaks to matchups and bullpen usage, a strategy that’s started to pay dividends in the win column. While the Mets remain a long shot for the postseason barring a major winning streak, this matchup with Seattle represents an opportunity to continue building momentum and test themselves against a solid opponent with playoff aspirations. From a betting angle, the Mets’ improved run-line record at home and resurgence in late innings make them a sneaky good pick, especially when Severino is dealing. If they can get Alonso a few RBI chances and keep Seattle’s bats quiet early, the Mets have a viable path to another home victory and a chance to continue reshaping the narrative of their 2025 campaign.
Disgusting 🤮 pic.twitter.com/fLQmqzsAoN
— New York Mets (@Mets) August 16, 2025
Seattle vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)
Seattle vs. New York Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Mariners and Mets and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Mariners team going up against a possibly strong Mets team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Seattle vs New York picks, computer picks Mariners vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mariners Betting Trends
Seattle has been relatively steady on the road this season, posting a 10–8 record away. Their recent run-line performance shows a 2–3 record in their last five road games.
Mets Betting Trends
New York has been a marginal underachiever ATS at Citi Field, compiling a 26–27 run-line record at home this year.
Mariners vs. Mets Matchup Trends
Despite a close spread, Seattle’s superior recent road performance combined with the Mets’ mediocre ATS home form makes Mariners +1.5 on the run line an intriguing value play in a tightly contested matchup.
Seattle vs. New York Game Info
What time does Seattle vs New York start on August 17, 2025?
Seattle vs New York starts on August 17, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.
Where is Seattle vs New York being played?
Venue: Muncy Bank Ballpark.
What are the opening odds for Seattle vs New York?
Spread: New York +1.5
Moneyline: Seattle -124, New York +104
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for Seattle vs New York?
Seattle: (68-56) | New York: (65-58)
What is the AI best bet for Seattle vs New York?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Mullins over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Seattle vs New York trending bets?
Despite a close spread, Seattle’s superior recent road performance combined with the Mets’ mediocre ATS home form makes Mariners +1.5 on the run line an intriguing value play in a tightly contested matchup.
What are Seattle trending bets?
SEA trend: Seattle has been relatively steady on the road this season, posting a 10–8 record away. Their recent run-line performance shows a 2–3 record in their last five road games.
What are New York trending bets?
NYM trend: New York has been a marginal underachiever ATS at Citi Field, compiling a 26–27 run-line record at home this year.
Where can I find AI Picks for Seattle vs New York?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Seattle vs. New York Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Seattle vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Seattle vs New York Opening Odds
SEA Moneyline:
-124 NYM Moneyline: +104
SEA Spread: -1.5
NYM Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
Seattle vs New York Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U |
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Seattle Mariners vs. New York Mets on August 17, 2025 at Muncy Bank Ballpark.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD@TOR | TOR +1.5 | 56.7% | 2 | WIN |
| TOR@LAD | TOR +1.5 | 55.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
| STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
| LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
| KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
| ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |