Padres vs. Dodgers
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 17 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The San Diego Padres (about 67–52) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (approximately 68–51) on August 17 at Dodger Stadium in a crucial NL West showdown between two teams with postseason ambitions and a heated rivalry intensity.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 17, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: Dodger Stadium​

Dodgers Record: (70-53)

Padres Record: (69-54)

OPENING ODDS

SD Moneyline: +128

LAD Moneyline: -155

SD Spread: +1.5

LAD Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

SD
Betting Trends

  • San Diego has a solid track record against the run line this season, especially on the road—posting an impressive 38–55 ATS overall, including strong performances away from home.

LAD
Betting Trends

  • Despite their strong record, the Dodgers have struggled to cover the spread at home, standing at 23–34 ATS on the road and just 43.7% overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Given the Padres’ consistent ATS performance and the Dodgers’ weaknesses at home, especially failing to cover in most home games, the Padres +1.5 on the run line offers compelling value in a tight rivalry matchup.

SD vs. LAD
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Hernandez over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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San Diego vs Los Angeles Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/17/25

The August 17 matchup between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium is poised to be one of the most compelling contests on the MLB calendar, featuring two postseason contenders in the thick of a heated National League West race. The Dodgers, who currently maintain a slim lead in the division standings, have dominated the season series with the Padres thus far, holding a 4–1 edge and continuing their long-running success in head-to-head matchups. However, recent form tells a different story, as the Padres have gained significant momentum in the second half of the season, going 30–18 in their last 48 games and climbing firmly into the Wild Card picture. San Diego’s success has been fueled by a resurgent pitching staff, anchored by a revitalized Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove, and a bullpen that has evolved into one of the league’s most reliable units with Robert Suarez and Wandy Peralta playing major roles in the late innings. On offense, Fernando Tatís Jr., Manny Machado, and Xander Bogaerts continue to lead the way, and the emergence of young contributors like Jackson Merrill has given the lineup additional length. The Padres have also been solid on the road this season, with a run line record that has consistently outperformed the betting markets, especially in underdog spots. The Dodgers, by contrast, have been uncharacteristically shaky when it comes to covering the spread at home.

Despite their winning record overall, Los Angeles is just 23–34 ATS at Dodger Stadium and has struggled to win convincingly in recent weeks, particularly when their starting pitching fails to go deep into games. Injuries to key arms have left the rotation thinner than usual, placing more pressure on the bullpen, which has occasionally buckled in high-leverage situations. Offensively, the Dodgers remain dangerous with Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, and Shohei Ohtani forming a lethal top of the order, but their bottom half of the lineup has been inconsistent, especially against high-velocity pitching. With both teams pushing hard for postseason positioning, this game has added weight—not just in the standings, but in its potential playoff implications. The Padres have a lot to prove, and beating the Dodgers on their home turf would send a strong signal to the rest of the league. Meanwhile, Los Angeles needs to regain its form and defend its turf in a ballpark where they’re expected to dominate. With betting lines favoring the Dodgers at around –155 ML and –1.5 run line, oddsmakers are still giving them the benefit of the doubt, but smart bettors may view this as a live opportunity to back a hungry Padres squad. The game is likely to come down to situational execution, bullpen stability, and who can come up with the key hit in a close late-inning scenario. Regardless of the final score, fans and analysts alike will be watching closely as this high-stakes divisional battle could offer a glimpse of what to expect come October.

San Diego Padres MLB Preview

The San Diego Padres enter this pivotal August 17 clash against the Los Angeles Dodgers with renewed energy and playoff aspirations, having shaken off their slow start to the season and reasserted themselves as a viable postseason threat in the National League. Now hovering around the .500 mark with a 62–62 record, the Padres have been one of the hotter teams in the NL since the All-Star break, going 30–18 in their last 48 games and finally seeing their high-priced core play to its potential. The offensive charge continues to be led by Fernando Tatís Jr., who has regained his MVP-level form with a lethal combination of power, speed, and defense. Manny Machado has heated up in recent weeks as well, providing timely hits and steady leadership, while Xander Bogaerts has delivered crucial multi-hit performances and continues to be a stabilizing force in the middle infield. The Padres’ lineup has also benefited from the emergence of young slugger Jackson Merrill and the consistency of Jurickson Profar, both of whom have added depth and clutch situational hitting. On the pitching side, Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove have found a groove in the second half, providing length and efficiency that was lacking early in the year. Michael King has also stepped up in the rotation, delivering quality starts and giving manager Mike Shildt a reliable third option down the stretch.

The bullpen has been one of the most improved units in the league, anchored by Robert Suarez, who’s been dominant in high-leverage spots, and setup man Wandy Peralta, who brings experience and composure in tight games. Offensively and defensively, the Padres have tightened up their fundamentals, cutting down on errors and showing improved baserunning and situational awareness. Importantly, the team’s road form has been a major asset, with San Diego consistently outperforming the betting markets in away games thanks to a gritty approach and strong pitching performances that travel well. Their 34–29 ATS road record underscores their ability to hang tough in hostile environments like Dodger Stadium, where they’ve historically struggled but are now showing signs of turning the tide. With the postseason within reach and a chip on their shoulder from previous playoff exits, the Padres are approaching each series with postseason intensity, and this matchup against the Dodgers offers a golden opportunity to close ground in the division and gain psychological momentum. A win here would not only help the standings but could also serve as a signature victory for a team that has often underachieved in the eyes of critics. With the roster healthy, the bullpen clicking, and the top bats producing, San Diego has the right combination of talent and hunger to make a strong statement. While the odds may still slightly favor Los Angeles, the Padres are playing with the kind of desperation and form that makes them a very dangerous opponent—particularly against a divisional rival who has dominated the matchup historically.

The San Diego Padres (about 67–52) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (approximately 68–51) on August 17 at Dodger Stadium in a crucial NL West showdown between two teams with postseason ambitions and a heated rivalry intensity. San Diego vs Los Angeles AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers enter their August 17 showdown with the San Diego Padres riding the momentum of a strong second-half surge and firmly entrenched as one of the top contenders in the National League. With a record of 73–51 and a comfortable lead in the NL West, the Dodgers have once again demonstrated their exceptional consistency, depth, and adaptability despite injuries and lineup fluctuations throughout the season. Anchoring the offense is Mookie Betts, who continues to lead with his elite bat-to-ball skills, plate discipline, and clutch power; he remains a true MVP candidate and the heart of the lineup. Freddie Freeman continues to thrive as well, posting elite contact and OBP numbers while driving in runs with his characteristic opposite-field power. Shohei Ohtani’s presence in the lineup has also been monumental—he’s provided a left-handed power surge and gives pitchers nightmares when following Betts and Freeman in the batting order. Beyond the big names, players like Will Smith and Gavin Lux have made important contributions with their timely hitting and improved defense, while Miguel Vargas has given the team surprising depth since his call-up. On the mound, Bobby Miller and Walker Buehler have become the front-of-the-rotation arms Los Angeles has needed, with Buehler showing signs of returning to ace form and Miller routinely overpowering hitters with his velocity and movement.

The bullpen, which had been inconsistent earlier in the year, has rounded into shape behind Evan Phillips and Brusdar Graterol, with both arms showcasing dominant stuff in late-inning situations. Manager Dave Roberts has continued to utilize the Dodgers’ pitching depth effectively, mixing and matching his arms to keep hitters off balance and limit high-leverage exposure. At home, Los Angeles remains one of the most dominant teams in baseball, boasting a 39–23 record at Dodger Stadium and covering the run line in over 57% of those games. The team’s ability to score early, hold leads, and maintain a calm, veteran presence under pressure has made them especially dangerous in big series like this one. Defensively, the Dodgers remain one of the most fundamentally sound clubs in the league, with Betts providing Gold Glove-caliber play in right field and Freeman anchoring the infield with his smooth glovework at first. The Dodgers have owned the Padres in recent seasons, particularly at home, and while San Diego has improved, Los Angeles’ composure and track record in big games still gives them a distinct edge. From a betting perspective, they are one of the most reliable teams in the league, especially when playing at home against divisional rivals or teams below them in the standings. With all the talent, postseason experience, and momentum in their favor, the Dodgers are well-positioned to continue asserting their dominance in the NL West and extend their lead over a Padres team desperately trying to play catch-up. This matchup not only has divisional implications but also represents another opportunity for Los Angeles to showcase its depth, power, and unmatched ability to rise in big moments.

San Diego vs. Los Angeles Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Padres and Dodgers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Dodger Stadium in Aug can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Hernandez over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

San Diego vs. Los Angeles Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Padres and Dodgers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Padres team going up against a possibly strong Dodgers team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI San Diego vs Los Angeles picks, computer picks Padres vs Dodgers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Padres Betting Trends

San Diego has a solid track record against the run line this season, especially on the road—posting an impressive 38–55 ATS overall, including strong performances away from home.

Dodgers Betting Trends

Despite their strong record, the Dodgers have struggled to cover the spread at home, standing at 23–34 ATS on the road and just 43.7% overall.

Padres vs. Dodgers Matchup Trends

Given the Padres’ consistent ATS performance and the Dodgers’ weaknesses at home, especially failing to cover in most home games, the Padres +1.5 on the run line offers compelling value in a tight rivalry matchup.

San Diego vs. Los Angeles Game Info

San Diego vs Los Angeles starts on August 17, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Los Angeles -1.5
Moneyline: San Diego +128, Los Angeles -155
Over/Under: 8.5

San Diego: (69-54)  |  Los Angeles: (70-53)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Hernandez over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Given the Padres’ consistent ATS performance and the Dodgers’ weaknesses at home, especially failing to cover in most home games, the Padres +1.5 on the run line offers compelling value in a tight rivalry matchup.

SD trend: San Diego has a solid track record against the run line this season, especially on the road—posting an impressive 38–55 ATS overall, including strong performances away from home.

LAD trend: Despite their strong record, the Dodgers have struggled to cover the spread at home, standing at 23–34 ATS on the road and just 43.7% overall.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

San Diego vs. Los Angeles Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the San Diego vs Los Angeles trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

San Diego vs Los Angeles Opening Odds

SD Moneyline: +128
LAD Moneyline: -155
SD Spread: +1.5
LAD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

San Diego vs Los Angeles Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
1
3
 
-425
 
-1.5 (-150)
O 7.5 (-130)
U 7.5 (+100)
In Progress
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
In Progress
Rays
Blue Jays
0
3
+460
-750
+3.5 (-130)
-3.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-130)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+190
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-140
+115
-1.5 (+120)
+1.5 (-145)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 5:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 5:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
-105
-115
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+120
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+130
-155
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+140)
O 7.5 (-105)
U 7.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+120
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-115)
U 7 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+144
-172
+1.5 (-146)
-1.5 (+122)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on August 17, 2025 at Dodger Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS