Marlins vs. Sox
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 17 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-08-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Marlins (≈ 57–61) face off against the Boston Red Sox (≈ 67–56) at Fenway Park on August 17, with Boston aiming to maintain their AL East contention and Miami trying to salvage momentum in a rebuilding season.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 17, 2025
Start Time: 1:35 PM EST
Venue: Fenway Park
Sox Record: (68-56)
Marlins Record: (58-65)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: +205
BOS Moneyline: -252
MIA Spread: +1.5
BOS Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- Miami holds a solid 38–32 record against the run line, indicating they’ve often outperformed expectations this season.
BOS
Betting Trends
- Boston is modestly above .500 at home with a 14–12 record at Fenway Park.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- With the Marlins showing value on the road and the Red Sox holding home advantage, bettors may explore Marlins +1.5 on the run line for potential value, particularly if they expect a close, low-scoring contest at Fenway.
MIA vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Story over 5.5 Fantasy Score.
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Miami vs Boston Red Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/17/25
The key dynamic in this game will likely center around who seizes control early: if Miami can quiet the crowd with a fast start and steady pitching, they may once again cover the spread and threaten a road upset. If Boston’s lineup heats up early and forces Miami into chasing runs, the Red Sox can settle into their rhythm and dictate tempo from the middle innings forward. A secondary battle lies in bullpen reliability; Miami has had occasional inconsistency in relief, while Boston has increasingly relied on backend options to close narrow leads. Expect a game with playoff-like energy and strategy, with the Marlins aiming to disrupt Boston’s home advantage while the Red Sox seek to assert their AL standing through early offense and defensive execution. From a betting standpoint, this game leans toward a lower-scoring affair if starting pitching holds, potentially making the Marlins an attractive underdog pick on the run line. Still, Boston’s comfort in their home ballpark, plus their advantage in lineup depth and situational hitting, may ultimately tilt the scales in their favor if they avoid early defensive lapses and manage Miami’s aggressive style. This cross-league meeting represents not only an opportunity for the Red Sox to stay within playoff reach, but also a chance for the Marlins to play spoiler and demonstrate their development against high-level competition.
back at it in boston
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) August 16, 2025
📺: @FanDuelSN_FL , @FDSN_Marlins
👂: @MarlinsRadio , @FoxSports940
⏰: 4:10 PM ET #MarlinsBeisbol https://t.co/1LawDwnugf pic.twitter.com/PLfpZtLSlP
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins enter this matchup against the Boston Red Sox looking to salvage momentum on the final day of the series and strengthen their case as a legitimate spoiler in the National League. Currently hovering just below .500, the Marlins have shown flashes of competitiveness throughout the summer but have struggled to sustain offensive production, especially against winning teams. Their road record has been relatively respectable considering their overall inconsistency, with multiple close contests and solid outings from younger arms like Max Meyer and Edward Cabrera giving the team a fighting chance away from loanDepot Park. At the plate, Josh Bell has emerged as a steadying force, providing much-needed power and discipline in the heart of the lineup, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. continues to be the team’s emotional engine with dynamic base running and game-changing athleticism in the field. However, the Marlins’ offense as a whole still ranks in the bottom third of the league in runs scored, often leaning too heavily on solo home runs or isolated extra-base hits rather than manufacturing consistent innings. Their bullpen, while improving since the All-Star break, has had a tendency to unravel in high-leverage spots, something they cannot afford against a Boston team that thrives in late-game situations. Pitching-wise, if Jesus Luzardo or Braxton Garrett takes the mound, the Marlins will look to ride their swing-and-miss stuff and keep the Red Sox from getting into early hitting grooves, but they’ll need near-perfection given how thin their offensive margin is.
Defensively, the Marlins remain solid, ranking well in advanced fielding metrics and having made a concerted effort to clean up mental mistakes that plagued them earlier in the season. Manager Skip Schumaker has managed to keep the club focused and competitive despite being in a brutal division and navigating a roster that still lacks depth at key positions. For the Marlins to win or even cover in this Sunday finale, they’ll need to keep Boston from exploding in the first few innings, capitalize on any defensive lapses, and push runs across through aggressive base running and clutch situational hitting. Miami’s best games have come when they pressure opposing pitchers into working deep counts and convert those into timely doubles and sacrifices, rather than relying on home run heroics. While the odds and talent disparity may not favor them, the Marlins have proven time and again that when overlooked, they often play their best baseball. A win at Fenway would be a statement that they’re not just a team building for the future, but one that can disrupt playoff races and play spoiler with the kind of gritty baseball that has defined their identity all year.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Boston Red Sox MLB Preview
The Boston Red Sox return to Fenway Park for this August 17 matchup against the Miami Marlins with an eye on solidifying their postseason ambitions and leveraging home-field advantage to close out the series with authority. Sitting above .500 and firmly in the thick of the American League Wild Card race, Boston has relied heavily on its balanced offensive attack, anchored by Rafael Devers, Jarren Duran, and Masataka Yoshida, to overcome the occasional inconsistencies in their starting rotation. Devers remains the centerpiece of the lineup, with his elite bat speed and ability to drive the ball to all fields, while Duran’s speed and improved approach at the plate have added an electric element to the top of the order. Meanwhile, the emergence of rookie Wilyer Abreu and the stability provided by veterans like Justin Turner and Connor Wong have helped Boston create depth one through nine, capable of grinding out long at-bats and wearing down opposing pitchers. On the mound, Boston’s rotation has been a mix of resilience and reinvention. Tanner Houck and Kutter Crawford have delivered competitive starts, often giving the team a chance to win with five or six innings of solid work, while Nick Pivetta has shown flashes of dominance when he’s locating his fastball. The bullpen, bolstered by the midseason surge of closer Kenley Jansen and high-leverage arms like Chris Martin and Josh Winckowski, has been a key difference-maker in tight contests.
The Red Sox have also capitalized on Fenway’s unique dimensions, turning routine fly balls into extra-base hits and playing exceptional situational baseball within the confines of their historic home park. Defensively, the team has shown noticeable improvement, particularly with Duran’s range in center and Enmanuel Valdez’s developing glove work in the infield. Manager Alex Cora continues to push all the right buttons, keeping his team competitive with smart platoons, creative bullpen usage, and a steady clubhouse culture. Against a scrappy Marlins squad, Boston’s strategy will likely be to jump ahead early, force Miami into chasing runs, and minimize exposure to the Marlins’ top bullpen arms by stretching opposing starters with patient plate appearances. If the Red Sox can control tempo through early offense and command the strike zone on the mound, they’ll be well positioned to take advantage of their superior lineup depth and bullpen reliability. Every win now carries postseason implications, and with a favorable matchup against a team hovering around .500, Boston has both the opportunity and the obligation to take care of business at home. A strong performance here would not only reinforce their playoff positioning but also send a clear message that they are a team capable of closing out series and protecting their turf against lesser opponents. With the home crowd behind them and a well-rounded roster clicking on most fronts, Boston enters this contest as a clear favorite to secure another important win in a tightening AL race.
Productive afternoon at the ballpark.
— Red Sox (@RedSox) August 16, 2025
🗒️ https://t.co/Vaac46fgRX pic.twitter.com/h389X1BPxC
Miami vs. Boston Red Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Boston Red Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Marlins and Sox and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly tired Sox team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Boston Red picks, computer picks Marlins vs Sox, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Marlins Betting Trends
Miami holds a solid 38–32 record against the run line, indicating they’ve often outperformed expectations this season.
Sox Betting Trends
Boston is modestly above .500 at home with a 14–12 record at Fenway Park.
Marlins vs. Sox Matchup Trends
With the Marlins showing value on the road and the Red Sox holding home advantage, bettors may explore Marlins +1.5 on the run line for potential value, particularly if they expect a close, low-scoring contest at Fenway.
Miami vs. Boston Red Game Info
What time does Miami vs Boston Red start on August 17, 2025?
Miami vs Boston Red starts on August 17, 2025 at 1:35 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs Boston Red being played?
Venue: Fenway Park.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Boston Red?
Spread: Boston Red -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +205, Boston Red -252
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for Miami vs Boston Red?
Miami: (58-65) | Boston Red: (68-56)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Boston Red?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Story over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Boston Red trending bets?
With the Marlins showing value on the road and the Red Sox holding home advantage, bettors may explore Marlins +1.5 on the run line for potential value, particularly if they expect a close, low-scoring contest at Fenway.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: Miami holds a solid 38–32 record against the run line, indicating they’ve often outperformed expectations this season.
What are Boston Red trending bets?
BOS trend: Boston is modestly above .500 at home with a 14–12 record at Fenway Park.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Boston Red?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Boston Red Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Boston Red trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Miami vs Boston Red Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
+205 BOS Moneyline: -252
MIA Spread: +1.5
BOS Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
Miami vs Boston Red Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+190
-235
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+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
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–
–
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-175
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-1.5 (+115)
|
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
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+135
-165
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+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+135)
|
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+185
-225
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+170
-205
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:12PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 6:12PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+135
-165
|
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+140)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+145)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+135)
|
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+115
-140
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
|
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+105
-125
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
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-105
-115
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-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox on August 17, 2025 at Fenway Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |