Braves vs. Guardians
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 17 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cleveland Guardians (≈ 63–59) are seeking to close out a strong weekend slate at home with a Game 3 win, capitalizing on recent momentum and their defensive strengths. The Atlanta Braves (≈ 55–68), meanwhile, have shown flashes of offensive potency—including a two-game sweep so far in this series—but continue to underperform relative to their talent and sit well below .500.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 17, 2025

Start Time: 1:40 PM EST​

Venue: Progressive Field​

Guardians Record: (63-59)

Braves Record: (55-68)

OPENING ODDS

ATL Moneyline: +109

CLE Moneyline: -130

ATL Spread: +1.5

CLE Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

ATL
Betting Trends

  • Tennessee has struggled against the spread overall, and their road inconsistencies add to that volatility—especially given a 3–6 record since the All-Star break away from home.

CLE
Betting Trends

  • Cleveland has found their stride in late summer, posting a strong August with a 9–4 record.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cleveland has demonstrated greater consistency and value at home, particularly during their August surge, while the Braves remain erratic and underwhelming in similar situations. The betting edge therefore leans toward the Guardians –1.5 run line or moneyline—especially if bettors expect continued home dominance and pressure from the Cleveland roster.

ATL vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Schneemann under 1.5 Total Bases.

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Atlanta vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/17/25

The August 17 matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field carries significant implications for both clubs, though they arrive at this game trending in opposite directions. The Braves, despite entering the season as a National League powerhouse with expectations of another deep postseason run, have struggled to maintain consistency since the All-Star break and continue to search for answers on the road, where they’ve gone just 3–7 in their last ten away games. While their offense still boasts star power in Ronald Acuña Jr., Matt Olson, Marcell Ozuna, and Ozzie Albies, the production has been inconsistent and the situational hitting problematic, especially with runners in scoring position. Atlanta’s overall offensive metrics remain strong—ranking top 10 in OPS and slugging—but the team has been plagued by a lack of timely hits and late-game bullpen collapses that have cost them several close contests. Expected starter Erick Fedde, who joined the team this season after a strong run in the KBO, has been serviceable but unspectacular in recent outings, struggling with command and often leaving too many pitches over the heart of the plate. His ERA has hovered in the high 4s across his last four starts, and he’ll need to be precise against a Guardians lineup that excels at putting the ball in play and creating pressure through smart, aggressive base running.

Cleveland, on the other hand, enters this game red-hot, having won 8 of their last 10 and showing the kind of team chemistry and bullpen dominance that fuels deep postseason runs. With a 35–23 home record and a young, energetic roster that thrives under pressure, the Guardians have established themselves as legitimate contenders in the AL Central. Logan Allen is expected to take the mound and has delivered quality starts in three of his last four outings, relying on location and sequencing rather than overpowering stuff. Cleveland’s bullpen, led by Emmanuel Clase and Hunter Gaddis, has been one of the most efficient and reliable in the majors, converting late-inning leads into wins with impressive regularity. Offensively, Steven Kwan and José Ramírez have been the anchors, providing both clutch hitting and leadership, while the supporting cast—Bo Naylor, Andrés Giménez, and Tyler Freeman—have each contributed key hits in recent weeks. Defensively, the Guardians remain elite, with Ramírez and Giménez ranking among the best at their positions in terms of outs above average and defensive runs saved. With momentum clearly on their side and a fanbase rallying behind their late-season surge, Cleveland enters this game with confidence and clarity of purpose. Atlanta, meanwhile, finds itself at a crossroads, needing a win to reassert its presence in the NL playoff race and to regain the swagger that carried them through the early part of the season. If the Braves can establish an early lead and avoid late-inning breakdowns, they have the offensive firepower to keep up with Cleveland. However, if the Guardians can wear down Fedde early and hand a lead to their bullpen, it could be another long night for Atlanta in what has become a difficult road stretch.

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves come into this game searching for stability as they navigate a rocky stretch of the season that has seen their once-dominant presence in the National League falter under mounting inconsistency. At 65–56, the Braves are still firmly in the playoff mix, but their recent 3–7 road record is cause for concern, particularly as the offense has struggled to come through in key moments despite featuring several All-Star caliber bats. Ronald Acuña Jr. remains the face of the franchise and continues to be productive, but injuries and slumps around him have caused the lineup to lose its edge, especially when facing quality pitching. Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have both seen drops in power numbers since the All-Star break, and Ozzie Albies, while still effective, hasn’t provided the spark the team needs at the top of the order. Atlanta’s offensive profile still looks strong in aggregate—they rank top 10 in slugging and home runs—but the lack of timely hits, especially with runners in scoring position, has plagued them during this recent stretch. On the mound, the Braves will likely hand the ball to Erick Fedde, a midseason pickup who has yet to fully find his rhythm with the club. Fedde’s outings have ranged from competent to shaky, and he’s struggled with fastball command while often getting hit hard when behind in the count.

The Braves bullpen, long considered a strength, has shown cracks in recent weeks with late-game collapses, blown saves, and fatigue starting to show in key arms like Raisel Iglesias and Joe Jiménez. Defensively, Atlanta has been average, with errors in the infield occasionally compounding their pitching issues. The Braves’ biggest concern is not their talent—it’s their inability to execute in high-pressure situations and the lack of rhythm and confidence that once defined their style of play. Manager Brian Snitker has shuffled the lineup in hopes of reigniting a spark, but without a reliable secondary run producer or a dominant starter anchoring the rotation in Max Fried’s absence, the team has drifted into survival mode. This matchup against a surging Cleveland team won’t be easy, particularly in an environment like Progressive Field, where the Guardians have been excellent. Atlanta’s path to victory likely depends on early offense, run support for Fedde, and avoiding another bullpen implosion. If they can turn power into production and contain Cleveland’s contact-heavy offense, they have the pieces to win, but anything less than sharp execution may leave them with another frustrating loss in a season that is slipping away faster than expected.

The Cleveland Guardians (≈ 63–59) are seeking to close out a strong weekend slate at home with a Game 3 win, capitalizing on recent momentum and their defensive strengths. The Atlanta Braves (≈ 55–68), meanwhile, have shown flashes of offensive potency—including a two-game sweep so far in this series—but continue to underperform relative to their talent and sit well below .500. Atlanta vs Cleveland AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview

The Cleveland Guardians enter this game with momentum and confidence as they continue to exceed expectations in the American League, sitting atop the AL Central with a 69–50 record and maintaining one of the most balanced, consistent styles of play in the majors this season. Led by a resurgent José Ramírez and supported by a contact-first lineup that rarely strikes out, Cleveland has embraced small ball, timely hitting, and elite pitching to climb the standings and establish itself as a legitimate postseason threat. Their success at Progressive Field has been a cornerstone of their 2025 campaign, boasting a 36–22 home record that reflects both their comfort in familiar surroundings and their ability to control games with pitching depth and aggressive baserunning. Steven Kwan continues to be one of the most underrated leadoff hitters in baseball, consistently setting the table for Ramírez and the middle of the order, while young hitters like Bo Naylor and Brayan Rocchio have emerged as clutch contributors with runners in scoring position. Cleveland’s real advantage, however, lies in its pitching staff, which ranks top five in team ERA and WHIP and has been bolstered by the breakout of Gavin Williams, who has posted a sub-3.00 ERA over his last ten starts. Williams is expected to take the mound against Atlanta, and his ability to mix in a sharp curveball with mid-90s heat makes him a tough matchup for even elite offenses.

Behind him, the Guardians bullpen has been nearly untouchable in the later innings, with closer Emmanuel Clase reclaiming his dominant form and James Karinchak returning to his high-leverage role after early-season struggles. Defensively, the Guardians continue to shine with one of the lowest error rates in the league and Gold Glove-caliber play from infielders Andrés Giménez and Ramírez. Manager Stephen Vogt has earned praise for getting the most out of a roster that doesn’t overpower opponents with home runs but instead frustrates them with efficient at-bats, clean defense, and a knack for capitalizing on mistakes. This matchup against the Atlanta Braves provides a measuring stick for just how far this Cleveland team has come, especially since Atlanta, despite recent struggles, still has the talent to break out at any time. But the Guardians’ style of play is well-suited to combat power-hitting clubs—they limit walks, force opponents into contact, and often win the battle of attrition by executing better in the details. The Guardians’ formula for victory here will rest on early run support for Williams, continued plate discipline against a shaky Braves bullpen, and clean execution on the bases and in the field. If they maintain their usual form, Cleveland should be well-positioned to earn another home victory and continue their surge toward an AL playoff berth that is increasingly becoming theirs to lose.

Atlanta vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Braves and Guardians play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Progressive Field in Aug can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Schneemann under 1.5 Total Bases.

Atlanta vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Braves and Guardians and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the growing emphasis human bettors tend to put on Cleveland’s strength factors between a Braves team going up against a possibly improved Guardians team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Braves vs Guardians, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Braves Betting Trends

Tennessee has struggled against the spread overall, and their road inconsistencies add to that volatility—especially given a 3–6 record since the All-Star break away from home.

Guardians Betting Trends

Cleveland has found their stride in late summer, posting a strong August with a 9–4 record.

Braves vs. Guardians Matchup Trends

Cleveland has demonstrated greater consistency and value at home, particularly during their August surge, while the Braves remain erratic and underwhelming in similar situations. The betting edge therefore leans toward the Guardians –1.5 run line or moneyline—especially if bettors expect continued home dominance and pressure from the Cleveland roster.

Atlanta vs. Cleveland Game Info

Atlanta vs Cleveland starts on August 17, 2025 at 1:40 PM EST.

Spread: Cleveland -1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta +109, Cleveland -130
Over/Under: 9

Atlanta: (55-68)  |  Cleveland: (63-59)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Schneemann under 1.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Cleveland has demonstrated greater consistency and value at home, particularly during their August surge, while the Braves remain erratic and underwhelming in similar situations. The betting edge therefore leans toward the Guardians –1.5 run line or moneyline—especially if bettors expect continued home dominance and pressure from the Cleveland roster.

ATL trend: Tennessee has struggled against the spread overall, and their road inconsistencies add to that volatility—especially given a 3–6 record since the All-Star break away from home.

CLE trend: Cleveland has found their stride in late summer, posting a strong August with a 9–4 record.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Atlanta vs. Cleveland Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Atlanta vs Cleveland Opening Odds

ATL Moneyline: +109
CLE Moneyline: -130
ATL Spread: +1.5
CLE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Atlanta vs Cleveland Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+177
-197
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+143
-158
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+132
-156
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+142)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-132
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+157)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+104
-115
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Guardians on August 17, 2025 at Progressive Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN