Braves vs. Guardians
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 17 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-08-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cleveland Guardians (≈ 63–59) are seeking to close out a strong weekend slate at home with a Game 3 win, capitalizing on recent momentum and their defensive strengths. The Atlanta Braves (≈ 55–68), meanwhile, have shown flashes of offensive potency—including a two-game sweep so far in this series—but continue to underperform relative to their talent and sit well below .500.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 17, 2025
Start Time: 1:40 PM EST
Venue: Progressive Field
Guardians Record: (63-59)
Braves Record: (55-68)
OPENING ODDS
ATL Moneyline: +109
CLE Moneyline: -130
ATL Spread: +1.5
CLE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
ATL
Betting Trends
- Tennessee has struggled against the spread overall, and their road inconsistencies add to that volatility—especially given a 3–6 record since the All-Star break away from home.
CLE
Betting Trends
- Cleveland has found their stride in late summer, posting a strong August with a 9–4 record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Cleveland has demonstrated greater consistency and value at home, particularly during their August surge, while the Braves remain erratic and underwhelming in similar situations. The betting edge therefore leans toward the Guardians –1.5 run line or moneyline—especially if bettors expect continued home dominance and pressure from the Cleveland roster.
ATL vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Schneemann under 1.5 Total Bases.
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Atlanta vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/17/25
Cleveland, on the other hand, enters this game red-hot, having won 8 of their last 10 and showing the kind of team chemistry and bullpen dominance that fuels deep postseason runs. With a 35–23 home record and a young, energetic roster that thrives under pressure, the Guardians have established themselves as legitimate contenders in the AL Central. Logan Allen is expected to take the mound and has delivered quality starts in three of his last four outings, relying on location and sequencing rather than overpowering stuff. Cleveland’s bullpen, led by Emmanuel Clase and Hunter Gaddis, has been one of the most efficient and reliable in the majors, converting late-inning leads into wins with impressive regularity. Offensively, Steven Kwan and José Ramírez have been the anchors, providing both clutch hitting and leadership, while the supporting cast—Bo Naylor, Andrés Giménez, and Tyler Freeman—have each contributed key hits in recent weeks. Defensively, the Guardians remain elite, with Ramírez and Giménez ranking among the best at their positions in terms of outs above average and defensive runs saved. With momentum clearly on their side and a fanbase rallying behind their late-season surge, Cleveland enters this game with confidence and clarity of purpose. Atlanta, meanwhile, finds itself at a crossroads, needing a win to reassert its presence in the NL playoff race and to regain the swagger that carried them through the early part of the season. If the Braves can establish an early lead and avoid late-inning breakdowns, they have the offensive firepower to keep up with Cleveland. However, if the Guardians can wear down Fedde early and hand a lead to their bullpen, it could be another long night for Atlanta in what has become a difficult road stretch.
✅Game
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) August 17, 2025
✅Series#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/69KacGi2wf
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves come into this game searching for stability as they navigate a rocky stretch of the season that has seen their once-dominant presence in the National League falter under mounting inconsistency. At 65–56, the Braves are still firmly in the playoff mix, but their recent 3–7 road record is cause for concern, particularly as the offense has struggled to come through in key moments despite featuring several All-Star caliber bats. Ronald Acuña Jr. remains the face of the franchise and continues to be productive, but injuries and slumps around him have caused the lineup to lose its edge, especially when facing quality pitching. Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have both seen drops in power numbers since the All-Star break, and Ozzie Albies, while still effective, hasn’t provided the spark the team needs at the top of the order. Atlanta’s offensive profile still looks strong in aggregate—they rank top 10 in slugging and home runs—but the lack of timely hits, especially with runners in scoring position, has plagued them during this recent stretch. On the mound, the Braves will likely hand the ball to Erick Fedde, a midseason pickup who has yet to fully find his rhythm with the club. Fedde’s outings have ranged from competent to shaky, and he’s struggled with fastball command while often getting hit hard when behind in the count.
The Braves bullpen, long considered a strength, has shown cracks in recent weeks with late-game collapses, blown saves, and fatigue starting to show in key arms like Raisel Iglesias and Joe Jiménez. Defensively, Atlanta has been average, with errors in the infield occasionally compounding their pitching issues. The Braves’ biggest concern is not their talent—it’s their inability to execute in high-pressure situations and the lack of rhythm and confidence that once defined their style of play. Manager Brian Snitker has shuffled the lineup in hopes of reigniting a spark, but without a reliable secondary run producer or a dominant starter anchoring the rotation in Max Fried’s absence, the team has drifted into survival mode. This matchup against a surging Cleveland team won’t be easy, particularly in an environment like Progressive Field, where the Guardians have been excellent. Atlanta’s path to victory likely depends on early offense, run support for Fedde, and avoiding another bullpen implosion. If they can turn power into production and contain Cleveland’s contact-heavy offense, they have the pieces to win, but anything less than sharp execution may leave them with another frustrating loss in a season that is slipping away faster than expected.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview
The Cleveland Guardians enter this game with momentum and confidence as they continue to exceed expectations in the American League, sitting atop the AL Central with a 69–50 record and maintaining one of the most balanced, consistent styles of play in the majors this season. Led by a resurgent José Ramírez and supported by a contact-first lineup that rarely strikes out, Cleveland has embraced small ball, timely hitting, and elite pitching to climb the standings and establish itself as a legitimate postseason threat. Their success at Progressive Field has been a cornerstone of their 2025 campaign, boasting a 36–22 home record that reflects both their comfort in familiar surroundings and their ability to control games with pitching depth and aggressive baserunning. Steven Kwan continues to be one of the most underrated leadoff hitters in baseball, consistently setting the table for Ramírez and the middle of the order, while young hitters like Bo Naylor and Brayan Rocchio have emerged as clutch contributors with runners in scoring position. Cleveland’s real advantage, however, lies in its pitching staff, which ranks top five in team ERA and WHIP and has been bolstered by the breakout of Gavin Williams, who has posted a sub-3.00 ERA over his last ten starts. Williams is expected to take the mound against Atlanta, and his ability to mix in a sharp curveball with mid-90s heat makes him a tough matchup for even elite offenses.
Behind him, the Guardians bullpen has been nearly untouchable in the later innings, with closer Emmanuel Clase reclaiming his dominant form and James Karinchak returning to his high-leverage role after early-season struggles. Defensively, the Guardians continue to shine with one of the lowest error rates in the league and Gold Glove-caliber play from infielders Andrés Giménez and Ramírez. Manager Stephen Vogt has earned praise for getting the most out of a roster that doesn’t overpower opponents with home runs but instead frustrates them with efficient at-bats, clean defense, and a knack for capitalizing on mistakes. This matchup against the Atlanta Braves provides a measuring stick for just how far this Cleveland team has come, especially since Atlanta, despite recent struggles, still has the talent to break out at any time. But the Guardians’ style of play is well-suited to combat power-hitting clubs—they limit walks, force opponents into contact, and often win the battle of attrition by executing better in the details. The Guardians’ formula for victory here will rest on early run support for Williams, continued plate discipline against a shaky Braves bullpen, and clean execution on the bases and in the field. If they maintain their usual form, Cleveland should be well-positioned to earn another home victory and continue their surge toward an AL playoff berth that is increasingly becoming theirs to lose.
Trying again tomorrow.#GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/ZQKoHG5ZCz
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) August 17, 2025
Atlanta vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)
Atlanta vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Braves and Guardians and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the growing emphasis human bettors tend to put on Cleveland’s strength factors between a Braves team going up against a possibly improved Guardians team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Braves vs Guardians, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Braves Betting Trends
Tennessee has struggled against the spread overall, and their road inconsistencies add to that volatility—especially given a 3–6 record since the All-Star break away from home.
Guardians Betting Trends
Cleveland has found their stride in late summer, posting a strong August with a 9–4 record.
Braves vs. Guardians Matchup Trends
Cleveland has demonstrated greater consistency and value at home, particularly during their August surge, while the Braves remain erratic and underwhelming in similar situations. The betting edge therefore leans toward the Guardians –1.5 run line or moneyline—especially if bettors expect continued home dominance and pressure from the Cleveland roster.
Atlanta vs. Cleveland Game Info
What time does Atlanta vs Cleveland start on August 17, 2025?
Atlanta vs Cleveland starts on August 17, 2025 at 1:40 PM EST.
Where is Atlanta vs Cleveland being played?
Venue: Progressive Field.
What are the opening odds for Atlanta vs Cleveland?
Spread: Cleveland -1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta +109, Cleveland -130
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Atlanta vs Cleveland?
Atlanta: (55-68) | Cleveland: (63-59)
What is the AI best bet for Atlanta vs Cleveland?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Schneemann under 1.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Atlanta vs Cleveland trending bets?
Cleveland has demonstrated greater consistency and value at home, particularly during their August surge, while the Braves remain erratic and underwhelming in similar situations. The betting edge therefore leans toward the Guardians –1.5 run line or moneyline—especially if bettors expect continued home dominance and pressure from the Cleveland roster.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: Tennessee has struggled against the spread overall, and their road inconsistencies add to that volatility—especially given a 3–6 record since the All-Star break away from home.
What are Cleveland trending bets?
CLE trend: Cleveland has found their stride in late summer, posting a strong August with a 9–4 record.
Where can I find AI Picks for Atlanta vs Cleveland?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Atlanta vs. Cleveland Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Atlanta vs Cleveland Opening Odds
ATL Moneyline:
+109 CLE Moneyline: -130
ATL Spread: +1.5
CLE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
Atlanta vs Cleveland Live Odds
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Guardians on August 17, 2025 at Progressive Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |