Pirates vs. Cubs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 16 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-14T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Wrigley Field on August 16, 2025, to face the Chicago Cubs. The Pirates bring a disappointing 51–71 record, having lost seven of their last ten and averaging just 3.5 runs per game during their current skid, while the Cubs sit comfortably at 68–52 and remain firmly in the playoff hunt.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 16, 2025

Start Time: 2:20 PM EST​

Venue: Wrigley Field​

Cubs Record: (68-53)

Pirates Record: (52-71)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +188

CHC Moneyline: -230

PIT Spread: +1.5

CHC Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Specific season-long ATS data is limited, but Pittsburgh’s extended slump and underwhelming offense suggest a poor run-line performance of late.

CHC
Betting Trends

  • Chicago boasts a solid 36–22 home record, implying decent ATS strength at Wrigley Field.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Cubs enter as strong favorites with a moneyline around –230 and Cubs –1.5 on the run line, with a total set at nine runs. Given Pittsburgh’s current offensive struggles, the Cubs covering on the run line appears likely, while the total may tilt toward the under should both pitching staffs manage to keep it close.

PIT vs. CHC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bart over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Pittsburgh vs Chicago Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/16/25

The August 16, 2025 matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field presents two teams on vastly different trajectories as the season rounds into its final month. The Cubs enter this contest with a 68–52 record and have been one of the more consistent teams in the National League this year, especially at home, where they’ve built a solid 36–22 record. With a Wild Card berth firmly within reach and an NL Central title not out of the question, Chicago has played inspired, fundamentally sound baseball under manager Craig Counsell, combining a steady rotation, clutch hitting, and elite defensive play. Meanwhile, the Pirates are enduring yet another forgettable campaign, having dropped five straight and now sitting at 51–71, buried in the NL Central and entering a clear developmental phase with young players getting major league experience. In recent meetings, the Cubs have thoroughly dominated the series, especially at Wrigley, where they’ve posted a 55–30 record over Pittsburgh since 2015, underscoring their historical home-field edge. The current momentum and matchup data strongly favor the Cubs, both in outright terms and against the spread, where the line has been set with Chicago as heavy favorites. On the mound, Chicago will likely send Shōta Imanaga to start, a left-hander who has delivered dependable outings all season long with an 8–5 record and a 3.19 ERA.

His ability to control counts, change speeds, and keep the ball in the yard at Wrigley makes him a strong matchup against a Pirates team that struggles with left-handed pitching and ranks near the bottom of the league in most major offensive categories. On the flip side, Pittsburgh is expected to counter with Mike Burrows, who carries a 1–4 record and a 4.66 ERA, indicative of the Pirates’ broader rotation issues. The Cubs are well positioned to take advantage of Burrows early, especially if hitters like Seiya Suzuki, Cody Bellinger, and Ian Happ continue to produce timely offense as they have all season. Adding to the Pirates’ challenge is their woeful offensive form, as they’ve averaged just 3.5 runs per game during their recent losing streak while surrendering nearly seven runs per contest, making them vulnerable on both sides of the ball. This game is a clear opportunity for the Cubs to assert control early, lean on their bullpen late, and potentially cruise to another win over a division opponent. Defensively, Chicago continues to minimize mistakes and plays exceptionally well behind their starters, especially at home where the crowd energy amplifies their sharpness. For Pittsburgh, the goal is simply to stay competitive and hope for a rare offensive breakout while their young core gets reps under pressure. From a betting standpoint, the Cubs at –1.5 on the run line looks favorable given the Pirates’ offensive struggles, and the total of 9 could swing under if Imanaga dominates and Chicago builds a comfortable lead. All signs point to a lopsided affair, and unless the Pirates can find a spark in an otherwise dim season, this game likely goes the way of the surging Cubs, who are firmly focused on postseason baseball and not letting up against lesser competition.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates head into their August 16, 2025 clash with the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field desperately seeking a spark to stop their downward spiral, as the team sits at a disheartening 51–71 and has lost seven of its last ten games, including a five-game losing streak that’s exposed both offensive inefficiency and inconsistent pitching. Despite a few bright spots in their roster, the Pirates have been overmatched throughout much of the season, especially in divisional matchups, and they arrive in Chicago having been outscored 49–14 over their recent skid. The offense has been particularly dormant, producing just 3.5 runs per game during that stretch—dead last in MLB—and struggling to string together any momentum even against middle-tier pitching. Relying on a combination of youth and veteran leadership, the Pirates have prioritized development, with players like catcher Henry Davis and shortstop Liover Peguero gaining more reps while outfielder Bryan Reynolds and the returning Andrew McCutchen continue to offer clubhouse stability. Still, with the team well out of postseason contention, the emphasis is clearly on evaluating talent and setting a developmental foundation for 2026, even if that means enduring tough series like this one against a playoff-contending Cubs squad at their most dangerous on home soil.

On the mound, the Pirates are expected to start Mike Burrows, a right-hander with a 1–4 record and a 4.66 ERA, and although he’s shown flashes of potential, his recent outings have often ended with high pitch counts and few clean innings. The bullpen behind him hasn’t helped much either, with overuse and inconsistency contributing to multiple late-inning collapses. Fireballer Paul Skenes has offered hope for the future, but his usage has been limited as the Pirates manage his workload in what amounts to a developmental campaign. Defensively, Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom third in fielding percentage and has committed several costly errors in recent games, magnifying the pressure on a pitching staff that can’t afford extra outs. Offensively, Jack Suwinski’s power has cooled, and Ke’Bryan Hayes, while solid at third base, hasn’t delivered the kind of offensive consistency the team needs in the heart of the lineup. The Pirates have found some success with small ball tactics—bunts, steals, aggressive base running—but even that has slowed in the face of strong opposing pitching. Against the Cubs, who thrive on pitching efficiency and smart defensive positioning, Pittsburgh will need to be opportunistic, forcing mistakes, and capitalizing on rare scoring chances. The psychological factor also plays against Pittsburgh, as their historical struggles at Wrigley Field have been well-documented—they’ve dropped 30 of their last 40 games there going back nearly a decade. With the Cubs eyeing the postseason and motivated to pile on wins, the Pirates are unlikely to find a reprieve in this series. Realistically, their path to competitiveness in this game lies in a surprise breakout performance from Burrows, a quiet offensive surge, or a few key defensive plays to keep the score close. Otherwise, this contest likely continues the theme of 2025 for Pittsburgh—another lesson in patience, youth development, and the long game toward building a future contender from a present-day bottom-dweller.

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Wrigley Field on August 16, 2025, to face the Chicago Cubs. The Pirates bring a disappointing 51–71 record, having lost seven of their last ten and averaging just 3.5 runs per game during their current skid, while the Cubs sit comfortably at 68–52 and remain firmly in the playoff hunt. Pittsburgh vs Chicago AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 16. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Chicago Cubs MLB Preview

The Chicago Cubs return to Wrigley Field on August 16, 2025, to host the struggling Pittsburgh Pirates in what looks to be a highly favorable matchup as they continue their postseason push with a 68–52 record and second place standing in the NL Central. The Cubs have been one of the most consistent teams in the National League this season, thriving at home with a commanding 36–22 record in front of a lively Wrigley faithful that has embraced their balanced roster, strong managerial leadership, and clear playoff ambitions. Under the direction of manager Craig Counsell, Chicago has established an identity built on dependable starting pitching, a deep and flexible bullpen, and a lineup that blends power and contact with timely execution. The recent acquisition of Rafael Devers has added even more muscle to a batting order that already included Ian Happ, Cody Bellinger, Seiya Suzuki, and Christopher Morel, giving the Cubs the offensive versatility to handle both right- and left-handed pitching with equal confidence. Devers has slotted in quickly, providing clutch hitting and injecting energy into the middle of the lineup at just the right time for a team entering the season’s stretch run. On the mound, the Cubs are expected to turn to left-hander Shōta Imanaga, who has delivered quality starts throughout the year and currently holds an 8–5 record with a 3.19 ERA. Imanaga’s calm presence, sharp command, and ability to navigate through lineups multiple times make him a reliable anchor at the top of the rotation, especially at home where he has been particularly effective.

Backing him is a bullpen that has continued to deliver in high-leverage situations, with veteran arms like Julian Merryweather, Adbert Alzolay, and Mark Leiter Jr. giving Counsell a variety of late-inning options. Defensively, the Cubs remain one of the cleanest teams in the league, committing few errors and making the kind of subtle, game-saving plays that often go unnoticed but win games. Their infield defense, especially up the middle, has been a consistent strength, turning double plays with precision and limiting extra bases with smart positioning and crisp execution. The Cubs also excel at taking extra bases themselves, thanks to savvy base runners and aggressive third base coaching that has pushed the envelope against weaker defensive teams like Pittsburgh. With a clear gap in form, talent, and momentum between the two clubs, the Cubs will look to apply pressure early and often, jumping on Pirates starter Mike Burrows and forcing Pittsburgh’s bullpen into action before the game reaches the midpoint. A fast start combined with clean defensive work and bullpen lockdown sets the formula for another Cubs win, and given how well they’ve played against the Pirates historically—particularly at Wrigley—there’s little reason to expect a deviation from that trend. As the Cubs look to widen their Wild Card lead or put pressure on the division-leading Brewers, every game matters, and this matchup offers a prime opportunity to not only win but do so in convincing fashion. If they stay focused and avoid complacency, Chicago should be poised to take care of business against an opponent clearly trending in the opposite direction.

Pittsburgh vs. Chicago Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Cubs play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Wrigley Field in Aug rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bart over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Pittsburgh vs. Chicago Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Pirates and Cubs and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly unhealthy Cubs team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Chicago picks, computer picks Pirates vs Cubs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

Specific season-long ATS data is limited, but Pittsburgh’s extended slump and underwhelming offense suggest a poor run-line performance of late.

Cubs Betting Trends

Chicago boasts a solid 36–22 home record, implying decent ATS strength at Wrigley Field.

Pirates vs. Cubs Matchup Trends

The Cubs enter as strong favorites with a moneyline around –230 and Cubs –1.5 on the run line, with a total set at nine runs. Given Pittsburgh’s current offensive struggles, the Cubs covering on the run line appears likely, while the total may tilt toward the under should both pitching staffs manage to keep it close.

Pittsburgh vs. Chicago Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Chicago starts on August 16, 2025 at 2:20 PM EST.

Spread: Chicago -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +188, Chicago -230
Over/Under: 9

Pittsburgh: (52-71)  |  Chicago: (68-53)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bart over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Cubs enter as strong favorites with a moneyline around –230 and Cubs –1.5 on the run line, with a total set at nine runs. Given Pittsburgh’s current offensive struggles, the Cubs covering on the run line appears likely, while the total may tilt toward the under should both pitching staffs manage to keep it close.

PIT trend: Specific season-long ATS data is limited, but Pittsburgh’s extended slump and underwhelming offense suggest a poor run-line performance of late.

CHC trend: Chicago boasts a solid 36–22 home record, implying decent ATS strength at Wrigley Field.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Chicago Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Chicago trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs Chicago Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +188
CHC Moneyline: -230
PIT Spread: +1.5
CHC Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Pittsburgh vs Chicago Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 28, 2025 3:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/28/25 3:05PM
Royals
Athletics
-143
+118
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-139)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-125)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/28/25 3:06PM
Tigers
Red Sox
-132
+108
-1.5 (+120)
+1.5 (-152)
O 9 (-115)
U 9 (-109)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+165
-215
+1.5 (-127)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-124)
U 8.5 (-104)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/28/25 3:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+255
-335
+1.5 (+120)
-1.5 (-152)
O 8 (-104)
U 8 (-122)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/28/25 3:06PM
Twins
Phillies
+195
-245
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-122)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/28/25 3:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+106
-129
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-109)
U 8.5 (-117)
Sep 28, 2025 3:07PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/28/25 3:07PM
Astros
Angels
-129
+106
-1.5 (+123)
+1.5 (-157)
O 9.5 (-110)
U 9.5 (-114)
Sep 28, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/28/25 3:08PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+170
-210
+1.5 (-137)
-1.5 (+108)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/28/25 3:10PM
Dodgers
Mariners
-104
-118
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-210)
O 8 (-109)
U 8 (-117)
Sep 28, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/28/25 3:10PM
Rangers
Guardians
+117
-141
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-117)
U 7.5 (-109)
Sep 28, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/28/25 3:10PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+107
-136
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-118)
Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/28/25 3:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+114
-137
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-113)
Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/28/25 3:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-129
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-167)
O 8 (-117)
U 8 (-109)
Sep 28, 2025 3:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/28/25 3:16PM
Pirates
Braves
+165
-210
+1.5 (-137)
-1.5 (+108)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-107)
Sep 28, 2025 3:20PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/28/25 3:20PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-155
 
-1.5 (+143)
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-112)

MLB Past Picks

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs on August 16, 2025 at Wrigley Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS