Marlins vs Guardians Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 14)
Updated: 2025-08-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Toronto Blue Jays enter their August 14, 2025, matchup against the Chicago Cubs at Rogers Centre as slight underdogs at +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line, but their season profile suggests they are more dangerous in this role than the odds imply, having won 57.8% of games as underdogs and covering the spread in six of their last ten contests with a total posted. Toronto’s recent offensive surge has been fueled by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting near .300 with 19 home runs and continues to be one of the league’s most feared right-handed hitters, and Bo Bichette, who has been a steady run producer with 78 RBI while providing gap-to-gap power and clutch situational hitting. Around them, the Blue Jays have benefited from timely contributions from supporting bats who have extended innings and forced opposing pitchers into high-leverage situations earlier than expected. On the mound, Toronto hands the ball to veteran Max Scherzer, whose Hall of Fame resume and competitive edge remain assets, even if his current season numbers suggest he can be hit when his command slips. The key for Scherzer will be neutralizing a Cubs lineup that has produced 600 runs and 167 homers this year, forcing them into defensive swings and limiting long-ball damage. The Blue Jays’ bullpen, which has seen some midseason upgrades, must be ready to handle late-inning traffic and protect any lead or tie, as their success often hinges on relief efficiency in the seventh through ninth innings. Defensively, Toronto has the athleticism to track down extra-base hits and turn double plays, but avoiding errors will be crucial against a Chicago team that capitalizes on mistakes. From a betting perspective, their recent success covering spreads as underdogs combined with their ability to generate offense at home suggests they can keep this game within reach or even steal it outright if they execute their game plan. That plan will center on Scherzer setting the tone, the offense jumping on Matthew Boyd early before he settles into a rhythm, and the bullpen holding steady under pressure. If Guerrero Jr. and Bichette continue to drive the ball with authority while the rest of the lineup grinds out quality at-bats, Toronto has a legitimate shot at flipping the expected outcome, especially in a home environment where their crowd energy can shift momentum. While the Cubs bring the deeper season-long resume, the Blue Jays’ combination of underdog resilience, recent offensive form, and a proven ace on the mound makes them a live threat in this matchup, and if they manage to keep the game close into the late innings, they could deliver a result that both rewards home fans and challenges the current betting narrative.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 14, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: Progressive Field
Guardians Record: (62-57)
Marlins Record: (58-62)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: +118
CLE Moneyline: -140
MIA Spread: +1.5
CLE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Marlins enter the matchup as +1.5 run-line underdogs with a +120 moneyline, reflecting modest betting confidence, and have posted a recent form of 1 win in their last 4, suggesting inconsistent performance.
CLE
Betting Trends
- Cleveland is –1.5 on the run line and –145 on the moneyline, with bettors giving them roughly a 57 % chance to win, while the Guardians have surged to a 20–8 record since July 7, showcasing strong recent form heading into this series.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- With the total set at just 7.5 runs, combined with Miami’s offensive middling rank and Cleveland’s elite bullpen, this game offers a defensive tilt with potential betting value on the Under or a narrow margin outcome.
MIA vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Manzardo over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Miami vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/14/25
Cleveland’s bats are anchored by José Ramírez, whose switch-hitting presence and extra-base power remain dangerous, alongside Kyle Manzardo’s developing middle-of-the-order pop and Steven Kwan’s high-contact profile designed to put constant pressure on opposing defenses. Where Cleveland truly separates itself is in the bullpen—ranked fourth in MLB in FIP—which has consistently shut down opponents in late innings, while Miami’s relief corps sits in the middle tier and has been less consistent in protecting slim leads. Defensively, both clubs play clean baseball, but Cleveland’s infield coordination and outfield coverage have been especially sharp during their recent surge, complementing their late-game pitching edge. From a betting standpoint, Cleveland’s recent hot streak combined with their home-field advantage makes them a popular pick, but the low total of 7.5 keeps the Under in play, especially given the quality of Cabrera’s season and the Guardians’ tendency to play in tight, low-scoring games. For Miami, the path to victory lies in Cabrera delivering at least six strong innings, holding Cleveland’s offense in check, and generating early run support to avoid facing the Guardians’ bullpen with the game on the line. For Cleveland, capitalizing on any scoring chances early against Cabrera and then turning the game over to their dominant relief arms will be key to securing another win in their playoff push. With both teams relying heavily on run prevention, the margins will be razor-thin, and one mistake—whether a defensive lapse, a hanging breaking ball, or a baserunning error—could decide the outcome. In the end, Cleveland’s momentum, bullpen superiority, and home advantage give them the edge on paper, but Miami’s ace on the mound and knack for winning close games during their recent surge ensure this one has upset potential if the Guardians let them hang around.
lawd have marsee 😮💨 pic.twitter.com/61ucanIMrP
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) August 14, 2025
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins enter their August 14, 2025 road matchup against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field as underdogs at +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line, carrying a 58–62 overall record that has been boosted by a strong 17–13 stretch since early July but dampened by a recent 1–4 slump, making this a pivotal spot to regain momentum. Miami’s hopes will rest squarely on the right arm of Edward Cabrera, who has been one of their most dependable starters this season with a 6–5 record, 3.08 ERA, and 114 strikeouts, giving him the ability to dominate a Guardians offense that ranks just 25th in wRC+ and has at times struggled to sustain rallies. Cabrera’s success will hinge on commanding his fastball and off-speed mix to keep Cleveland’s contact hitters like Steven Kwan off base and neutralizing José Ramírez’s switch-hitting power threat. Offensively, Miami has leaned on the long ball and timely hits from Kyle Stowers, who leads the team with 25 home runs and 72 RBI, while Xavier Edwards provides table-setting ability with a .303 batting average and a knack for finding ways on base.
The Marlins’ offensive ranking at 21st in wRC+ suggests they are capable but inconsistent, making it critical to strike early before Cleveland can deploy their elite bullpen, ranked fourth in FIP, which has routinely locked down late leads. Miami’s bullpen, while middle of the pack, has shown flashes of competence but will need to avoid walks and free baserunners in tight spots, especially in a low-total game set at just 7.5 runs. Defensively, the Marlins have been clean and steady, but against a contact-oriented lineup like Cleveland’s, they will need to be particularly sharp to turn double plays and cut down extra-base hits. From a betting perspective, Miami’s value comes in Cabrera’s ability to outduel Tanner Bibee, whose 4.60 ERA leaves room for the Marlins’ lineup to capitalize if they can drive up his pitch count and force middle relief into action. The Marlins’ optimal path to victory involves manufacturing runs early, holding the lead through Cabrera’s outing, and entrusting the bullpen to navigate Cleveland’s late-inning push. However, if Cabrera’s command falters or the offense misses early opportunities, the Guardians’ bullpen advantage could quickly shift the game away from them. With limited margin for error in a matchup expected to be tight and low scoring, Miami’s focus must be on precision, patience, and maximizing any scoring chances, because against a Cleveland team thriving in one-run and late-game situations, one missed opportunity could be the difference between pulling off a road upset and heading home with another close loss.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview
The Cleveland Guardians come into their August 14, 2025 home matchup against the Miami Marlins at Progressive Field with momentum firmly on their side, holding a 62–57 record and riding a 20–8 surge since July 7 that has vaulted them into the thick of the postseason race, and oddsmakers have recognized that form by installing them as –145 moneyline favorites and –1.5 on the run line in a game set with a modest 7.5-run total. Cleveland’s starting pitcher, Tanner Bibee, enters with an 8–9 record and a 4.60 ERA, a talented but at times inconsistent young arm whose success in this matchup will hinge on keeping Miami’s middle-of-the-order threats like Kyle Stowers and Xavier Edwards from inflicting early damage; Bibee has the raw stuff to control the game but must avoid deep pitch counts and missed spots that could flip momentum. The Guardians’ offense has been anchored by the dependable José Ramírez, who continues to be the engine for their run production with his blend of power and clutch hitting, while Kyle Manzardo has emerged as a valuable middle-order contributor and Steven Kwan remains a consistent table setter capable of turning at-bats into pressure situations for opposing pitchers. Though Cleveland’s lineup ranks just 25th in wRC+, they’ve found ways to win tight games by playing clean baseball, working counts, and taking advantage of opponents’ mistakes—a style that meshes perfectly with their bullpen strength.
That bullpen, ranked fourth in MLB in FIP, has been the team’s defining weapon during their recent run, regularly locking down close games and giving Cleveland one of the highest late-inning win probabilities in the league. Against a Miami team that ranks 21st in wRC+ and has had trouble sustaining offense against elite relief arms, the Guardians’ formula will be to keep the game close early, scratch out runs through small ball and timely hitting, and then turn the ball over to their shutdown bullpen to seal the victory. Defensively, Cleveland has been sharp and disciplined, capable of supporting their pitchers with strong infield coordination and efficient outfield coverage, which will be vital against Miami’s aggressive baserunners. From a betting standpoint, Cleveland’s recent form, home-field advantage, and bullpen edge make them the logical favorite, though the low total highlights the razor-thin margins in a matchup likely to be dictated by one or two key plays. The Guardians’ keys to victory will be Bibee delivering at least five quality innings, the offense cashing in on scoring chances—especially against Edward Cabrera before he settles into a groove—and the bullpen continuing its dominant run. If Cleveland executes that plan, they should extend their hot streak and secure another win in their playoff chase, but if they squander early opportunities or Bibee falters, the Marlins have the kind of frontline pitching to make this another tense, one-run contest that could hinge on the final at-bat.
Not pretty tonight.#GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/jOT5bSdYe2
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) August 14, 2025
Miami vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Marlins and Guardians and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending factor emotional bettors often put on Cleveland’s strength factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly tired Guardians team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Marlins vs Guardians, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins enter the matchup as +1.5 run-line underdogs with a +120 moneyline, reflecting modest betting confidence, and have posted a recent form of 1 win in their last 4, suggesting inconsistent performance.
Guardians Betting Trends
Cleveland is –1.5 on the run line and –145 on the moneyline, with bettors giving them roughly a 57 % chance to win, while the Guardians have surged to a 20–8 record since July 7, showcasing strong recent form heading into this series.
Marlins vs. Guardians Matchup Trends
With the total set at just 7.5 runs, combined with Miami’s offensive middling rank and Cleveland’s elite bullpen, this game offers a defensive tilt with potential betting value on the Under or a narrow margin outcome.
Miami vs. Cleveland Game Info
What time does Miami vs Cleveland start on August 14, 2025?
Miami vs Cleveland starts on August 14, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs Cleveland being played?
Venue: Progressive Field.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Cleveland?
Spread: Cleveland -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +118, Cleveland -140
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for Miami vs Cleveland?
Miami: (58-62) | Cleveland: (62-57)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Cleveland?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Manzardo over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Cleveland trending bets?
With the total set at just 7.5 runs, combined with Miami’s offensive middling rank and Cleveland’s elite bullpen, this game offers a defensive tilt with potential betting value on the Under or a narrow margin outcome.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Marlins enter the matchup as +1.5 run-line underdogs with a +120 moneyline, reflecting modest betting confidence, and have posted a recent form of 1 win in their last 4, suggesting inconsistent performance.
What are Cleveland trending bets?
CLE trend: Cleveland is –1.5 on the run line and –145 on the moneyline, with bettors giving them roughly a 57 % chance to win, while the Guardians have surged to a 20–8 record since July 7, showcasing strong recent form heading into this series.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Cleveland?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Cleveland Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Miami vs Cleveland Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
+118 CLE Moneyline: -140
MIA Spread: +1.5
CLE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
Miami vs Cleveland Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
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–
–
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-150
+125
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-1.5 (+120)
+1.5 (-145)
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O 7.5 (+100)
U 7.5 (-120)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Guardians on August 14, 2025 at Progressive Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |