Pirates vs Brewers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 13)
Updated: 2025-08-11T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Pittsburgh Pirates head to American Family Field to face the surging Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday, August 13, 2025, with kickoff set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is a heavy favorite at around –211 on the moneyline with a run line of –1.5, while the total is set at a modest 7.5, indicating expectations for a low-scoring but firmly tilted affair.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 13, 2025
Start Time: 2:10 PM EST
Venue: American Family Field
Brewers Record: (75-44)
Pirates Record: (51-70)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: +183
MIL Moneyline: -223
PIT Spread: +1.5
MIL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates have compiled a 26–30 run-line record on the road this season, translating to approximately a 46–47% cover rate away from home.
MIL
Betting Trends
- The Brewers have been relatively consistent in covering, posting a run-line record around 41–38 (.519) overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- With Milwaukee heavily favored and the total ridged at 7.5, combined with both teams’ middling ATS profiles, this game leans toward a predictable outcome—but value may lie in live, late-inning angles, especially if the Pirates can keep early frames close.
PIT vs. MIL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Horwitz over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.
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Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/13/25
The Brewers’ approach will be to let Woodruff work deep, use their aggressive base running to create extra bases against Keller and the Pirates’ defense, and apply constant offensive pressure through both contact hitting and timely power from Christian Yelich, Isaac Collins, and others. ATS trends also paint a picture of disparity: the Brewers are slightly above .500 against the run line overall and excel at home, while the Pirates are 26–30 ATS on the road, struggling to cover in hostile parks. The total is set at a modest 7.5 runs, reflecting confidence in both starting pitchers to limit early scoring, but given Milwaukee’s balanced attack, one big inning could break the game open and push it over. If Keller can’t navigate Milwaukee’s first three hitters cleanly, the Brewers are well-positioned to build an early lead and lean on their bullpen to finish the job. Conversely, if Pittsburgh can keep it tight into the late innings, the variance of a single swing—perhaps from Ke’Bryan Hayes or Bryan Reynolds—could flip the outcome, though the odds heavily favor Milwaukee’s superior depth, execution, and ability to convert scoring chances. In all, this game projects as another showcase of the Brewers’ dominance unless the Pirates can manufacture an upset through pristine pitching, airtight defense, and rare opportunistic offense, making it a classic battle between an NL Central powerhouse and a club still searching for consistent identity.
Game 2 vs. the Brewers.
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) August 12, 2025
📺 @SNPittsburgh
📻 @937theFan | The PRN
Presented by @bet365_us pic.twitter.com/HgmfwXtsF3
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates head into their August 13, 2025, matchup against the Milwaukee Brewers fully aware they are stepping into one of the toughest environments in baseball, both because of Milwaukee’s home dominance and the Brewers’ current nine-game win streak. At 51–69, the Pirates are firmly in developmental mode, but that doesn’t mean they can’t cause problems if they play a near-perfect game. Mitch Keller, who takes the mound with a 5–10 record and a 3.86 ERA, will be tasked with quieting a Brewers offense that blends speed, discipline, and timely power. His success will hinge on getting ahead in counts, keeping the ball on the ground, and limiting the damage from Milwaukee’s top-of-the-order threats like Christian Yelich and Isaac Collins, both of whom can change a game’s complexion in a single at-bat. Offensively, Pittsburgh’s biggest challenge is overcoming a season-long struggle to score runs—they rank near the bottom of the league in OPS, home runs, and slugging percentage—so their path to victory likely depends on manufacturing offense through base hits, hit-and-runs, and aggressive baserunning rather than waiting for the long ball.
Ke’Bryan Hayes and Bryan Reynolds remain their most consistent offensive weapons, and they will need to set the tone early by finding ways to get on base and force Milwaukee to play defense under pressure. Defensively, the Pirates must be airtight, as any miscue could quickly swing momentum toward a Brewers team that thrives on capitalizing on mistakes. The bullpen, weakened by recent trades, will also be a key factor, and manager Derek Shelton may have to be creative in mixing and matching relievers to navigate Milwaukee’s balanced lineup in the late innings. With a 26–30 ATS record on the road, Pittsburgh has proven capable of keeping games competitive away from home but rarely closes them out, meaning they’ll need both strong starting pitching and timely hitting to change that trend. If Keller can hold Milwaukee in check through six innings, and the Pirates can find a way to scratch out a lead, they may be able to shorten the game and create a path to an upset. However, given Milwaukee’s depth, speed, and pitching strength, Pittsburgh will need to seize every small opening, play clean baseball, and turn the game into a low-scoring grind to have any realistic shot at leaving American Family Field with a victory.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Milwaukee Brewers MLB Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers return to American Family Field on August 13, 2025, riding the wave of a nine-game winning streak and holding the best record in baseball, ready to continue their dominance against a struggling Pittsburgh Pirates club. At 4–0 with a 2.29 ERA, Brandon Woodruff gets the start, bringing an imposing presence on the mound and the ability to work deep into games thanks to his efficient pitch mix and ability to miss bats while avoiding walks. His command of both sides of the plate, paired with a sharp slider and well-located fastball, makes him a nightmare matchup for a Pirates lineup that ranks near the bottom of the league in nearly every major offensive category. The Brewers’ offense has been relentless, ranking top five in runs scored and second in stolen bases, giving them the ability to beat opponents both with power and small-ball execution. Christian Yelich remains the lineup’s veteran anchor, providing a mix of power, patience, and situational hitting, while Isaac Collins has emerged as a breakout star, consistently delivering quality at-bats and clutch hits.
Milwaukee’s depth allows manager Pat Murphy to create matchups that keep pressure on opposing pitchers from start to finish, and their aggressive base running often forces defensive miscues that lead to extra runs. Defensively, the Brewers are one of the league’s most consistent teams, turning balls in play into outs at an elite rate and providing strong support for their pitchers. The bullpen, anchored by Abner Uribe and other high-leverage arms, has been excellent at locking down late leads, meaning opponents often find themselves running out of opportunities by the seventh inning. Against Pittsburgh, Milwaukee’s strategy will be to jump on Mitch Keller early, force him into high pitch counts, and use their depth to string together multi-run innings rather than relying solely on the long ball. Their 41–38 ATS record suggests they not only win often but do so in a way that covers the spread more often than not, particularly at home where their confidence and crowd support amplify their performance. If Woodruff delivers another quality start and the offense maintains its balanced attack, the Brewers should be well-positioned to not only extend their winning streak but also secure another decisive victory in front of their home fans.
Brewers winning machine go brrrr pic.twitter.com/tEhiIVeYMn
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) August 13, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Pirates and Brewers and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly healthy Brewers team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee picks, computer picks Pirates vs Brewers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have compiled a 26–30 run-line record on the road this season, translating to approximately a 46–47% cover rate away from home.
Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers have been relatively consistent in covering, posting a run-line record around 41–38 (.519) overall.
Pirates vs. Brewers Matchup Trends
With Milwaukee heavily favored and the total ridged at 7.5, combined with both teams’ middling ATS profiles, this game leans toward a predictable outcome—but value may lie in live, late-inning angles, especially if the Pirates can keep early frames close.
Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee start on August 13, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee starts on August 13, 2025 at 2:10 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee being played?
Venue: American Family Field.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee?
Spread: Milwaukee -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +183, Milwaukee -223
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee?
Pittsburgh: (51-70) | Milwaukee: (75-44)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Horwitz over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee trending bets?
With Milwaukee heavily favored and the total ridged at 7.5, combined with both teams’ middling ATS profiles, this game leans toward a predictable outcome—but value may lie in live, late-inning angles, especially if the Pirates can keep early frames close.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates have compiled a 26–30 run-line record on the road this season, translating to approximately a 46–47% cover rate away from home.
What are Milwaukee trending bets?
MIL trend: The Brewers have been relatively consistent in covering, posting a run-line record around 41–38 (.519) overall.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
+183 MIL Moneyline: -223
PIT Spread: +1.5
MIL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
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–
–
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-140
+127
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-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
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O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers on August 13, 2025 at American Family Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |