Pirates vs Brewers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 13)

Updated: 2025-08-11T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Pirates head to American Family Field to face the surging Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday, August 13, 2025, with kickoff set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is a heavy favorite at around –211 on the moneyline with a run line of –1.5, while the total is set at a modest 7.5, indicating expectations for a low-scoring but firmly tilted affair.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 13, 2025

Start Time: 2:10 PM EST​

Venue: American Family Field​

Brewers Record: (75-44)

Pirates Record: (51-70)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +183

MIL Moneyline: -223

PIT Spread: +1.5

MIL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have compiled a 26–30 run-line record on the road this season, translating to approximately a 46–47% cover rate away from home.

MIL
Betting Trends

  • The Brewers have been relatively consistent in covering, posting a run-line record around 41–38 (.519) overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • With Milwaukee heavily favored and the total ridged at 7.5, combined with both teams’ middling ATS profiles, this game leans toward a predictable outcome—but value may lie in live, late-inning angles, especially if the Pirates can keep early frames close.

PIT vs. MIL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Horwitz over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/13/25

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers meet on August 13, 2025, at American Family Field in a divisional matchup that pits a rebuilding club against one of Major League Baseball’s hottest and most complete teams, with the Brewers riding a nine-game win streak and holding the league’s best record while the Pirates sit at 51–69 and firmly out of the playoff picture. Milwaukee enters with all the momentum, boasting a 3.63 team ERA (fourth in MLB), a deep, well-structured bullpen, and an offense that ranks top five in runs scored and second in stolen bases, giving them multiple ways to pressure opponents from the first inning to the last. The starting pitching matchup favors the Brewers on paper, with Brandon Woodruff (4–0, 2.29 ERA) showcasing dominant command and a well-balanced arsenal since returning from injury, while Pittsburgh counters with Mitch Keller (5–10, 3.86 ERA), a capable arm who has suffered from poor run support and defensive lapses behind him. The Pirates’ best hope lies in getting early traffic on the bases, manufacturing runs through small ball, and keeping the game close enough to force high-leverage bullpen decisions for Milwaukee, but they’ll need to be nearly flawless against a team that rarely beats itself. Offensively, Pittsburgh’s struggles are evident—they sit near the bottom of the league in OPS, home runs, and slugging percentage—meaning they’ll have to capitalize on any mistakes from Woodruff, which have been few and far between.

The Brewers’ approach will be to let Woodruff work deep, use their aggressive base running to create extra bases against Keller and the Pirates’ defense, and apply constant offensive pressure through both contact hitting and timely power from Christian Yelich, Isaac Collins, and others. ATS trends also paint a picture of disparity: the Brewers are slightly above .500 against the run line overall and excel at home, while the Pirates are 26–30 ATS on the road, struggling to cover in hostile parks. The total is set at a modest 7.5 runs, reflecting confidence in both starting pitchers to limit early scoring, but given Milwaukee’s balanced attack, one big inning could break the game open and push it over. If Keller can’t navigate Milwaukee’s first three hitters cleanly, the Brewers are well-positioned to build an early lead and lean on their bullpen to finish the job. Conversely, if Pittsburgh can keep it tight into the late innings, the variance of a single swing—perhaps from Ke’Bryan Hayes or Bryan Reynolds—could flip the outcome, though the odds heavily favor Milwaukee’s superior depth, execution, and ability to convert scoring chances. In all, this game projects as another showcase of the Brewers’ dominance unless the Pirates can manufacture an upset through pristine pitching, airtight defense, and rare opportunistic offense, making it a classic battle between an NL Central powerhouse and a club still searching for consistent identity.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates head into their August 13, 2025, matchup against the Milwaukee Brewers fully aware they are stepping into one of the toughest environments in baseball, both because of Milwaukee’s home dominance and the Brewers’ current nine-game win streak. At 51–69, the Pirates are firmly in developmental mode, but that doesn’t mean they can’t cause problems if they play a near-perfect game. Mitch Keller, who takes the mound with a 5–10 record and a 3.86 ERA, will be tasked with quieting a Brewers offense that blends speed, discipline, and timely power. His success will hinge on getting ahead in counts, keeping the ball on the ground, and limiting the damage from Milwaukee’s top-of-the-order threats like Christian Yelich and Isaac Collins, both of whom can change a game’s complexion in a single at-bat. Offensively, Pittsburgh’s biggest challenge is overcoming a season-long struggle to score runs—they rank near the bottom of the league in OPS, home runs, and slugging percentage—so their path to victory likely depends on manufacturing offense through base hits, hit-and-runs, and aggressive baserunning rather than waiting for the long ball.

Ke’Bryan Hayes and Bryan Reynolds remain their most consistent offensive weapons, and they will need to set the tone early by finding ways to get on base and force Milwaukee to play defense under pressure. Defensively, the Pirates must be airtight, as any miscue could quickly swing momentum toward a Brewers team that thrives on capitalizing on mistakes. The bullpen, weakened by recent trades, will also be a key factor, and manager Derek Shelton may have to be creative in mixing and matching relievers to navigate Milwaukee’s balanced lineup in the late innings. With a 26–30 ATS record on the road, Pittsburgh has proven capable of keeping games competitive away from home but rarely closes them out, meaning they’ll need both strong starting pitching and timely hitting to change that trend. If Keller can hold Milwaukee in check through six innings, and the Pirates can find a way to scratch out a lead, they may be able to shorten the game and create a path to an upset. However, given Milwaukee’s depth, speed, and pitching strength, Pittsburgh will need to seize every small opening, play clean baseball, and turn the game into a low-scoring grind to have any realistic shot at leaving American Family Field with a victory.

The Pittsburgh Pirates head to American Family Field to face the surging Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday, August 13, 2025, with kickoff set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is a heavy favorite at around –211 on the moneyline with a run line of –1.5, while the total is set at a modest 7.5, indicating expectations for a low-scoring but firmly tilted affair. Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 13. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Milwaukee Brewers MLB Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers return to American Family Field on August 13, 2025, riding the wave of a nine-game winning streak and holding the best record in baseball, ready to continue their dominance against a struggling Pittsburgh Pirates club. At 4–0 with a 2.29 ERA, Brandon Woodruff gets the start, bringing an imposing presence on the mound and the ability to work deep into games thanks to his efficient pitch mix and ability to miss bats while avoiding walks. His command of both sides of the plate, paired with a sharp slider and well-located fastball, makes him a nightmare matchup for a Pirates lineup that ranks near the bottom of the league in nearly every major offensive category. The Brewers’ offense has been relentless, ranking top five in runs scored and second in stolen bases, giving them the ability to beat opponents both with power and small-ball execution. Christian Yelich remains the lineup’s veteran anchor, providing a mix of power, patience, and situational hitting, while Isaac Collins has emerged as a breakout star, consistently delivering quality at-bats and clutch hits.

Milwaukee’s depth allows manager Pat Murphy to create matchups that keep pressure on opposing pitchers from start to finish, and their aggressive base running often forces defensive miscues that lead to extra runs. Defensively, the Brewers are one of the league’s most consistent teams, turning balls in play into outs at an elite rate and providing strong support for their pitchers. The bullpen, anchored by Abner Uribe and other high-leverage arms, has been excellent at locking down late leads, meaning opponents often find themselves running out of opportunities by the seventh inning. Against Pittsburgh, Milwaukee’s strategy will be to jump on Mitch Keller early, force him into high pitch counts, and use their depth to string together multi-run innings rather than relying solely on the long ball. Their 41–38 ATS record suggests they not only win often but do so in a way that covers the spread more often than not, particularly at home where their confidence and crowd support amplify their performance. If Woodruff delivers another quality start and the offense maintains its balanced attack, the Brewers should be well-positioned to not only extend their winning streak but also secure another decisive victory in front of their home fans.

Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Brewers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Family Field in Aug seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Horwitz over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Pirates and Brewers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly improved Brewers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee picks, computer picks Pirates vs Brewers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have compiled a 26–30 run-line record on the road this season, translating to approximately a 46–47% cover rate away from home.

Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been relatively consistent in covering, posting a run-line record around 41–38 (.519) overall.

Pirates vs. Brewers Matchup Trends

With Milwaukee heavily favored and the total ridged at 7.5, combined with both teams’ middling ATS profiles, this game leans toward a predictable outcome—but value may lie in live, late-inning angles, especially if the Pirates can keep early frames close.

Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee starts on August 13, 2025 at 2:10 PM EST.

Venue: American Family Field.

Spread: Milwaukee -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +183, Milwaukee -223
Over/Under: 7.5

Pittsburgh: (51-70)  |  Milwaukee: (75-44)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Horwitz over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

With Milwaukee heavily favored and the total ridged at 7.5, combined with both teams’ middling ATS profiles, this game leans toward a predictable outcome—but value may lie in live, late-inning angles, especially if the Pirates can keep early frames close.

PIT trend: The Pirates have compiled a 26–30 run-line record on the road this season, translating to approximately a 46–47% cover rate away from home.

MIL trend: The Brewers have been relatively consistent in covering, posting a run-line record around 41–38 (.519) overall.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +183
MIL Moneyline: -223
PIT Spread: +1.5
MIL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-154
+125
-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-142)
O 7.5 (-102)
U 7.5 (-125)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers on August 13, 2025 at American Family Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN