Marlins vs Guardians Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 13)

Updated: 2025-08-11T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Marlins (57–61) visit the Cleveland Guardians (61–56) at Progressive Field in the finale of their three-game set, with the Guardians entering as modest favorites around –128 moneyline and –1.5 on the run line, and an over/under landing at 8 runs—suggesting a contest shaped by pitching and defense rather than offense.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 13, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: Progressive Field​

Guardians Record: (62-56)

Marlins Record: (57-62)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: +111

CLE Moneyline: -131

MIA Spread: +1.5

CLE Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8

MIA
Betting Trends

  • Miami has been slightly better than break-even against the run line, holding a 38–32 ATS record, offering value in competitive matchups, especially as underdogs.

CLE
Betting Trends

  • Cleveland’s ATS record sits closer to even, hovering near a .500 cover rate, with a tendency to win close rather than cover big spreads.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Given both teams’ ATS profiles and the tight betting lines, this game presents prime opportunities for live, in-game strategy—particularly during pitcher transitions, bullpen matchups, and situational hitting sequences.

MIA vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Manzardo over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Miami vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/13/25

The Miami Marlins and Cleveland Guardians square off at Progressive Field on August 13, 2025, in a matchup that pits a Marlins team struggling to find consistency against a Guardians squad that has surged into postseason contention, with Cleveland holding a mild betting edge at –128 and the total set at 8, suggesting oddsmakers expect a tight, moderately low-scoring contest defined by starting pitching and bullpen performance. Miami enters at 57–61, having dropped four straight, and will send promising young right-hander Eury Pérez to the mound, whose 3.59 FIP and strikeout capability offer hope if he can limit walks and keep the ball down, but his chances hinge on defensive support from a team that has been prone to costly miscues. The Marlins’ offense is led by Kyle Stowers, delivering a strong .285/.364/.541 slash line with both gap and home run power, and Xavier Edwards, who provides speed and contact skills at the top of the lineup, though depth beyond their top bats remains a concern, particularly with runners in scoring position. Cleveland counters with right-hander Gavin Williams, who has been one of their most dependable arms at 7–4 with a 3.17 ERA, underpinned by excellent command and the ability to work deep into games, a key factor given the Guardians’ preference to keep bullpen usage strategic.

Offensively, Cleveland thrives on situational hitting and contact-based pressure, with Jose Ramirez anchoring the lineup and Steven Kwan setting the table through exceptional on-base skills and bat control; they do not rely heavily on the long ball, but rather on sustained rallies and exploiting defensive lapses. Defensively, the Guardians are disciplined and efficient, converting a high percentage of balls in play into outs, which supports their pitching-first philosophy. From an ATS perspective, Miami’s 38–32 run line record suggests they perform well as underdogs in close games, whereas Cleveland’s near-.500 ATS mark shows they often win tight rather than dominate outright, meaning this could remain within a single swing’s reach. Bullpen execution will be critical, with Cleveland boasting one of the league’s best units in limiting late-inning damage, while Miami’s relief corps remains an area of vulnerability, often struggling to hold leads or keep deficits from widening. For the Marlins to have a path to victory, they must pressure Williams early, take advantage of any defensive missteps, and get a deep outing from Pérez to minimize bullpen exposure; for Cleveland, sticking to their patient, contact-oriented approach and capitalizing on Miami’s defensive inefficiencies could allow them to control the pace and secure another key home win. Ultimately, this game projects as a chess match more than a slugfest, where the team that better manages high-leverage situations and executes cleanly in the field is likely to walk away with the win.

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins enter their August 13, 2025 matchup against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field looking to snap a four-game losing streak and claw their way back into relevance in the Wild Card chase, sitting at 57–61 and still searching for the consistent formula to win both at home and on the road; their hopes rest heavily on the young but electric right-hander Eury Pérez, who brings a 3.59 FIP and an advanced strikeout arsenal for his age, with a fastball that can touch the upper 90s and a slider that generates whiffs, but his effectiveness hinges on limiting walks and keeping the ball on the ground against a Guardians lineup adept at grinding out at-bats. The Marlins’ offense is led by Kyle Stowers, whose .285 average and .541 slugging percentage provide the kind of extra-base threat needed to change games in an instant, while Xavier Edwards offers a speed-and-contact profile that can manufacture runs if he reaches base consistently; however, the challenge lies in the lack of consistent production from the bottom half of the order, which has too often left runners stranded in scoring position.

Miami’s defensive play has been erratic, with missed cutoff throws, positioning miscues, and occasional fielding errors all contributing to avoidable runs, an especially dangerous flaw when facing a Cleveland team built to capitalize on such mistakes. Their bullpen remains the weakest link, struggling with both command and inherited-runner prevention, putting additional pressure on Pérez to work deep into the game and limit exposure to middle relievers. From an ATS perspective, Miami’s 38–32 record against the run line highlights their ability to keep games competitive as underdogs, often staying within striking distance late, but also reflects the fine margins they must navigate when the offense isn’t clicking. To find success here, the Marlins need to be aggressive yet selective at the plate, driving up pitch counts against Gavin Williams while looking for opportunities to exploit gaps in Cleveland’s defense; on the basepaths, taking calculated risks could help create the extra runs they’ll need. The key for Miami will be playing a clean defensive game, capitalizing on any scoring chances they get early, and ensuring that if the game reaches the later innings, they are either tied or leading, minimizing the need to come from behind against Cleveland’s elite bullpen. While the odds are stacked against them on paper, a sharp, disciplined performance could give Miami the edge they need to leave Cleveland with a much-needed win.

The Miami Marlins (57–61) visit the Cleveland Guardians (61–56) at Progressive Field in the finale of their three-game set, with the Guardians entering as modest favorites around –128 moneyline and –1.5 on the run line, and an over/under landing at 8 runs—suggesting a contest shaped by pitching and defense rather than offense. Miami vs Cleveland AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 13. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview

The Cleveland Guardians enter their August 13, 2025 home matchup against the Miami Marlins with momentum on their side, sitting at 61–56 and riding a 20–8 surge since early July that has them firmly in the thick of the American League Wild Card race, built on a foundation of elite pitching depth, disciplined offense, and one of the league’s most efficient defenses. On the mound, right-hander Gavin Williams gets the nod, bringing a 7–4 record and 3.17 ERA into the start, backed by a sharp strikeout-to-walk ratio and the poise to navigate high-leverage innings without unraveling, attributes that fit perfectly into Cleveland’s run prevention blueprint. Offensively, the Guardians thrive on a contact-heavy approach, with Jose Ramirez providing middle-of-the-order production and Steven Kwan serving as one of the game’s premier table-setters thanks to his ability to consistently put the ball in play and get on base, forcing opposing pitchers to work from the stretch. This patient, situational style doesn’t rely heavily on home runs, but instead pressures opponents into mistakes, whether through pitch count attrition, extended at-bats, or aggressive baserunning when the opportunity arises.

Defensively, Cleveland turns more balls in play into outs than most clubs in the league, with crisp infield coordination and smart outfield positioning that limits extra-base hits, a critical advantage against a Miami team that needs to manufacture runs. The bullpen is a significant strength, ranking among the league’s best in ERA and FIP, and capable of shutting down games once the starter exits, particularly when protecting a slim lead. ATS trends show Cleveland near the .500 mark against the run line, a reflection of their tendency to win close games rather than run away from opponents, but that consistency still makes them a reliable straight-up performer at home. Against Miami, the Guardians’ path to victory will hinge on Williams working deep to avoid overtaxing the bullpen, the lineup maintaining its disciplined approach against Eury Pérez’s high-octane stuff, and the defense continuing its error-free form to deny the Marlins extra chances. By controlling the pace early, wearing down Pérez, and capitalizing on Miami’s defensive vulnerabilities, Cleveland can not only secure a series win but also strengthen their postseason positioning with another clean, fundamentally sound performance in front of their home crowd.

Miami vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Marlins and Guardians play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Progressive Field in Aug seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Manzardo over 0.5 Total Bases.

Miami vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Marlins and Guardians and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the trending emphasis emotional bettors often put on Miami’s strength factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly deflated Guardians team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Miami vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Marlins vs Guardians, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Marlins Betting Trends

Miami has been slightly better than break-even against the run line, holding a 38–32 ATS record, offering value in competitive matchups, especially as underdogs.

Guardians Betting Trends

Cleveland’s ATS record sits closer to even, hovering near a .500 cover rate, with a tendency to win close rather than cover big spreads.

Marlins vs. Guardians Matchup Trends

Given both teams’ ATS profiles and the tight betting lines, this game presents prime opportunities for live, in-game strategy—particularly during pitcher transitions, bullpen matchups, and situational hitting sequences.

Miami vs. Cleveland Game Info

Miami vs Cleveland starts on August 13, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Venue: Progressive Field.

Spread: Cleveland -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +111, Cleveland -131
Over/Under: 8

Miami: (57-62)  |  Cleveland: (62-56)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Manzardo over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Given both teams’ ATS profiles and the tight betting lines, this game presents prime opportunities for live, in-game strategy—particularly during pitcher transitions, bullpen matchups, and situational hitting sequences.

MIA trend: Miami has been slightly better than break-even against the run line, holding a 38–32 ATS record, offering value in competitive matchups, especially as underdogs.

CLE trend: Cleveland’s ATS record sits closer to even, hovering near a .500 cover rate, with a tendency to win close rather than cover big spreads.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. Cleveland Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Miami vs Cleveland Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: +111
CLE Moneyline: -131
MIA Spread: +1.5
CLE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8

Miami vs Cleveland Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-154
+125
-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-142)
O 7.5 (-102)
U 7.5 (-125)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Guardians on August 13, 2025 at Progressive Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN