Nationals vs. Royals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 11 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-08-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
Monday, August 11, 2025, features a late-summer interleague showdown as the Washington Nationals visit the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium, with first pitch scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. The Royals are modest favorites around –152 on the moneyline and –1.5 on the run line, with the total set near 9 runs.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 11, 2025
Start Time: 7:40 PM EST
Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Royals Record: (58-60)
Nationals Record: (47-70)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: '+126
KC Moneyline: -153
WAS Spread: +1.5
KC Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Nationals are 58–59 ATS overall this season, with a slightly positive road split and a 5–5 ATS record in their last 10 road games.
KC
Betting Trends
- Kansas City holds a 43–34 ATS record at home, including a 2–1 ATS return at home since the All-Star break.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The matchup highlights a trend where the Royals perform well at home on the run line, while the Nationals hover near break-even ATS, suggesting Kansas City may represent solid value despite the moderate line.
WAS vs. KC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Isbel over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Washington vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/11/25
Both teams will need to maximize situational hitting in a ballpark that rewards contact hitters and aggressive baserunning more than all-or-nothing approaches, as Petco Park’s pitcher-friendly layout means solo homers are less likely to decide the outcome than a well-placed double with runners in motion or a perfectly executed sacrifice bunt; the bullpens will play a pivotal role late, with Kansas City’s relief corps boasting high-leverage arms capable of missing bats and limiting damage when protecting a lead, while Washington’s pen, though less deep, can be effective when deployed aggressively in matchup situations, making managerial timing crucial in keeping the game within reach; defensively, the Royals will aim to cut down the Nationals’ aggressive base running by staying crisp on relays and double-play turns, while Washington must anticipate Kansas City’s hit-and-run attempts and guard against extra 90 feet that could flip the game in a single inning; with the Royals’ superior home ATS performance and the Nationals’ ability to occasionally surprise as an underdog, the game projects as a tactical, close-scoring affair in which the first team to execute in a high-leverage moment—whether by stealing a key base, making a clutch defensive stop, or delivering a run-scoring hit with two outs—will likely walk away with the win, making this matchup as much about mental sharpness and disciplined execution as it is about raw talent or roster depth.
fee fi fo fum pic.twitter.com/LV3htGrqcD
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) August 10, 2025
Washington Nationals MLB Preview
The Washington Nationals enter Monday’s matchup at Kauffman Stadium looking to shake off recent road inconsistency and deliver a statement win against a Kansas City Royals team that has been tough to beat at home, relying on disciplined at-bats, opportunistic base running, and a pitching approach centered on limiting hard contact to keep themselves in the game. Their probable starter will be tasked with setting the tone early by pounding the strike zone, working ahead in counts, and leaning on a mix of sinking fastballs, sliders, and changeups to induce ground balls and neutralize the Royals’ speed game, particularly from Bobby Witt Jr. and Maikel García, who can quickly turn singles into scoring threats. For the Nationals’ offense, C.J. Abrams’ ability to set the table with his bat-to-ball skills and aggressive base running will be critical to pressuring Kansas City’s defense, while Luis García Jr. and Lane Thomas provide a combination of gap power and situational hitting to bring runners home; Joey Meneses, Keibert Ruiz, and other lineup depth pieces will need to extend innings by drawing walks and putting the ball in play to force the Royals’ defense into action.
Small-ball execution will be a focal point, with the Nationals likely to use hit-and-run plays, sacrifice bunts, and first-to-third opportunities to create runs in a ballpark that does not often reward pure home run hitting. Defensively, Washington must be precise with relay throws and aggressive on double-play turns to cut down Kansas City’s ability to sustain rallies, as well as stay alert to the Royals’ willingness to push the envelope on the bases. In the bullpen, manager Dave Martinez will have to be selective with matchups, using his most trusted arms in the highest-leverage situations—often in the middle innings if the heart of the Royals’ order comes up with runners aboard—and being prepared to go to them earlier than traditional late-inning roles would dictate. The Nationals’ path to a road win will depend on their starter providing at least six efficient innings, the offense cashing in with runners in scoring position instead of leaving key opportunities stranded, and the defense playing clean, error-free baseball to deny Kansas City any easy scoring chances. If they can control the tempo, keep the Royals from dictating the pace with their speed, and deliver timely hits, Washington has a realistic chance to steal a victory and improve their road record against one of the American League’s more consistent home teams.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas City Royals MLB Preview
The Kansas City Royals enter Monday’s matchup at Kauffman Stadium looking to maintain their strong home-field reputation and keep momentum in the American League playoff race, leaning on a roster built around speed, athleticism, and situational hitting to pressure a Washington Nationals team that has struggled with road consistency. Their probable starter will be tasked with establishing control early, using a well-located fastball to set up a mix of sliders and changeups designed to keep Nationals hitters like C.J. Abrams, Luis García Jr., and Lane Thomas off balance while avoiding the free passes that could give Washington’s speed threats extra opportunities. Offensively, Kansas City will continue to rely on Bobby Witt Jr. as the engine of their attack, with his combination of power, speed, and on-base skills capable of creating scoring chances in multiple ways, while Maikel García’s gap-to-gap hitting and stolen base threat provide another layer of pressure on opposing defenses. Salvador Perez’s veteran bat offers the ability to change a game with one swing, while complementary hitters such as Vinnie Pasquantino and MJ Melendez can extend innings and force opposing pitchers into stressful counts.
The Royals’ offense is built to take advantage of Kauffman Stadium’s spacious outfield, turning singles into doubles and pushing runners aggressively on first-to-third opportunities, a strategy that will test Washington’s outfield arms and relay execution. Defensively, Kansas City’s infield must remain sharp to turn double plays efficiently and handle the small-ball tactics the Nationals may employ to scratch out runs, while the outfield will need to cut off gappers quickly to prevent extra bases. In the bullpen, manager Matt Quatraro has the advantage of depth and versatility, with multiple high-leverage arms capable of working matchups late, including power relievers who can generate strikeouts in tight situations. The Royals’ blueprint for success will be to score early, force the Nationals to play from behind, and then shorten the game with their bullpen by locking down the final three innings. If Kansas City can get a quality start, sustain offensive pressure through both speed and contact hitting, and execute cleanly on defense, they will be well-positioned to protect home turf and add another important win to their postseason push.
Vinnie swings us ahead! pic.twitter.com/mHkaaOZjsX
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) August 10, 2025
Washington vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Nationals and Royals and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the trending weight emotional bettors often put on Washington’s strength factors between a Nationals team going up against a possibly rested Royals team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Nationals vs Royals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals are 58–59 ATS overall this season, with a slightly positive road split and a 5–5 ATS record in their last 10 road games.
Royals Betting Trends
Kansas City holds a 43–34 ATS record at home, including a 2–1 ATS return at home since the All-Star break.
Nationals vs. Royals Matchup Trends
The matchup highlights a trend where the Royals perform well at home on the run line, while the Nationals hover near break-even ATS, suggesting Kansas City may represent solid value despite the moderate line.
Washington vs. Kansas City Game Info
What time does Washington vs Kansas City start on August 11, 2025?
Washington vs Kansas City starts on August 11, 2025 at 7:40 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Kansas City being played?
Venue: Kauffman Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Kansas City?
Spread: Kansas City -1.5
Moneyline: Washington '+126, Kansas City -153
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Washington vs Kansas City?
Washington: (47-70) | Kansas City: (58-60)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Kansas City?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Isbel over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Kansas City trending bets?
The matchup highlights a trend where the Royals perform well at home on the run line, while the Nationals hover near break-even ATS, suggesting Kansas City may represent solid value despite the moderate line.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Nationals are 58–59 ATS overall this season, with a slightly positive road split and a 5–5 ATS record in their last 10 road games.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: Kansas City holds a 43–34 ATS record at home, including a 2–1 ATS return at home since the All-Star break.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Kansas City?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Kansas City Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Washington vs Kansas City Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
'+126 KC Moneyline: -153
WAS Spread: +1.5
KC Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
Washington vs Kansas City Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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3
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-1667
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-1.5 (+350)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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-330
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O 5.5 (+100)
U 5.5 (-130)
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9/28/25 3:06PM
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+160
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U 8.5 (+100)
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9/28/25 3:06PM
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U 7.5 (-110)
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Minnesota Twins
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–
–
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+180
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+1.5 (-125)
-1.5 (+104)
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O 8 (-122)
U 8 (+100)
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Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
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–
–
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-102
-116
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-1.5 (+164)
+1.5 (-200)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 28, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
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Rays
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–
–
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+166
-198
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+1.5 (-134)
-1.5 (+112)
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O 7.5 (-122)
U 7.5 (+100)
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Sep 28, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
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Dodgers
Mariners
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–
–
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-106
-110
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-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-188)
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O 8 (-104)
U 8 (-118)
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Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
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–
–
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+124
-146
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+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+134)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
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Marlins
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–
–
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-132
+112
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-1.5 (+128)
+1.5 (-154)
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O 8 (-122)
U 8 (+100)
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Sep 28, 2025 3:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
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–
–
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+184
-220
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+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
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O 7.5 (-105)
U 7.5 (-115)
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Sep 28, 2025 3:20PM EDT
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Chicago Cubs
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–
–
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-170
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-1.5 (+130)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 30, 2025 2:30PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
9/30/25 2:30PM
Padres
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–
–
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+101
-123
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pk
pk
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Nationals vs. Kansas City Royals on August 11, 2025 at Kauffman Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |