Reds vs. Pirates
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 07 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-08-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cincinnati Reds travel to PNC Park to face the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday, August 7, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The Pirates are favored, sporting a strong moneyline around –174 and a –1.5 run-line, while the game’s total is set at 7 runs.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 07, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: PNC Park
Pirates Record: (49-66)
Reds Record: (60-55)
OPENING ODDS
CIN Moneyline: +145
PIT Moneyline: -174
CIN Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7
CIN
Betting Trends
- The Reds have a respectable season-long ATS record of 61–54, and they’ve held steady with a 5–5 mark ATS in their last 10 games.
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates are similarly balanced, with a season ATS mark of 60–55 and a recent run of 6 straight games ATS, indicating improved late-season performance.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Public betting trends show 75% of wagers backing the Pirates’ moneyline, suggesting a strong betting consensus in favor of Pittsburgh. Additionally, both teams trend toward midrange totals, making the set total of 7 runs feel well-calibrated.
CIN vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Gonzales over 5 Fantasy Score.
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Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/7/25
The lineup remains reliant on Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz, who have driven in key runs and provided offensive spark in recent victories, while younger players such as Henry Davis and Jack Suwinski are beginning to find more consistency at the plate. The Pirates’ pitching has been inconsistent, but they’ve benefited from better bullpen usage and improved command from their starters, particularly in recent series wins. Oddsmakers list the Pirates as –174 favorites with a run line of –1.5, while the game total is set at 7 runs, indicating an expectation of a lower-scoring, pitching-focused contest. Cincinnati’s superior overall record and head-to-head edge this season—they’ve won four of six meetings against Pittsburgh—suggest they hold the competitive advantage, but Pittsburgh’s recent surge, home-field performance, and ability to compete against better teams make this far from a guaranteed result. Key to the outcome will be whether the Reds can strike early and hold off Pittsburgh’s late-inning surges, or if the Pirates can ride their recent form and the energy of the PNC Park crowd to outlast a Reds team that has shown vulnerability on the road. Ultimately, this game has the potential to be a tightly contested battle between a playoff-hopeful and a spoiler, and both teams will need sharp execution, timely hitting, and bullpen discipline to tip the scales in their favor.
Off to Pittsburgh. pic.twitter.com/gX1CT76QGa
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) August 6, 2025
Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview
The Cincinnati Reds head into PNC Park carrying the weight of expectation as they continue to chase a postseason berth while navigating the crowded and competitive National League Central division, and with a current record of 60–54, they remain firmly in the Wild Card picture while staying within striking distance of the division lead. Under the leadership of veteran manager Terry Francona, the Reds have found a groove since early July, leaning on a core of young, electric talent that has helped them win six of their last ten games and build a reputation as one of the more balanced and exciting lineups in the league. Their offensive engine runs through shortstop Elly De La Cruz, whose power-speed combination and ability to change games both in the field and on the bases make him the club’s most dangerous weapon, while Spencer Steer, TJ Friedl, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand provide depth, discipline, and run-producing consistency across the order. Cincinnati’s success hasn’t been limited to their lineup, as their starting rotation has shown greater dependability than in recent years, with names like Hunter Greene, Andrew Abbott, and Graham Ashcraft contributing quality starts and managing to keep opposing offenses from breaking games open early.
Their bullpen, once a major question mark, has steadily improved with Alexis Díaz locking down the closer role and middle relievers gaining traction through sharper command and better usage by the coaching staff, allowing the team to protect leads with more confidence. Though they’ve hovered around .500 on the road at 27–28, they’ve proven capable of winning close games and executing under pressure in hostile environments, and this matchup against the Pirates presents another opportunity to apply that composure. Cincinnati holds a 4–2 edge in the season series against Pittsburgh, including a pair of decisive wins earlier this summer that showcased their ability to dominate in all facets of the game, and they enter this contest with the added motivation of facing a divisional opponent they’ve consistently outplayed over the past two years. Their current betting line of +145 suggests they are slight underdogs despite their superior record, but that may be more a reflection of Pittsburgh’s recent home surge than an accurate portrayal of the gap between these clubs. To secure a win in this game, the Reds will need to jump on Pittsburgh’s starter early, apply pressure on the basepaths, and avoid the kind of mid-inning letdowns that have cost them in past road games, all while continuing to lean on their star power and versatility. If they can deliver a clean, efficient game with minimal defensive lapses and clutch hitting in high-leverage moments, Cincinnati should walk away with a win that keeps them on pace in the playoff race and reinforces their standing as one of the National League’s most promising young teams.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates return to PNC Park with a record of 49–65, still entrenched in the bottom of the NL Central but showing signs of competitive fire and renewed energy following a midseason managerial change that saw Don Kelly take over from Derek Shelton after a disastrous 12–26 start, and the team has responded under his guidance by posting a 7–3 record in their last ten games and clawing their way to a more respectable 32–26 home mark. Although postseason contention is no longer a realistic possibility, the Pirates have embraced the spoiler role with enthusiasm and are showing improved cohesion, particularly on defense and in late-inning execution, areas that had consistently cost them games earlier in the season. Offensively, the Pirates continue to rely on veterans Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz to drive production, both of whom have found their rhythm during this recent stretch by providing clutch hits and stabilizing the middle of the order, while emerging contributors like Henry Davis and Liover Peguero have brought fresh energy and moments of promise that reflect the organization’s commitment to a long-term rebuild. The departure of former cornerstone Ke’Bryan Hayes has created both a void and an opportunity, and so far the team’s younger players have embraced the challenge of stepping into more prominent roles, particularly in situational hitting and defensive consistency.
On the mound, the Pirates’ rotation remains uneven, though they’ve benefited from recent strong outings by Quinn Priester and Jared Jones, both of whom have flashed the potential to anchor future staffs if they can refine command and endurance; the bullpen has also taken strides, with Carmen Mlodzinski and David Bednar proving effective in protecting slim leads and stabilizing games late. Pittsburgh enters this matchup as a moderate favorite at –174 on the moneyline and –1.5 on the run line, which may be more a reflection of their improved play at home and public betting sentiment than a firm statistical edge, especially given Cincinnati’s superior overall record and 4–2 advantage in the season series. Still, playing at home has brought out a more confident, composed Pirates team in recent weeks, and they will need to lean on that edge against a Reds club that has shown the ability to strike quickly and manufacture runs in multiple ways. If the Pirates can limit damage in the early innings, extend at-bats, and cash in with runners in scoring position—areas where they’ve been hit or miss all season—they stand a strong chance to hold serve at home and continue building the kind of momentum that transcends standings. While this game won’t change Pittsburgh’s playoff destiny, it offers a valuable opportunity to test their growth against a postseason-caliber opponent and to give their fans continued reason to stay invested in a young core that is beginning to show signs of a more competitive future taking shape under new leadership.
Game 3 vs. the Giants.
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) August 6, 2025
📺 @SNPittsburgh
📻 KDKA 100.1 FM & 1020 AM | The PRN
Presented by @bet365_us pic.twitter.com/pyf5NZo0Px
Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)
Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Reds and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly improved Pirates team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Reds vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Reds Betting Trends
The Reds have a respectable season-long ATS record of 61–54, and they’ve held steady with a 5–5 mark ATS in their last 10 games.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates are similarly balanced, with a season ATS mark of 60–55 and a recent run of 6 straight games ATS, indicating improved late-season performance.
Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Trends
Public betting trends show 75% of wagers backing the Pirates’ moneyline, suggesting a strong betting consensus in favor of Pittsburgh. Additionally, both teams trend toward midrange totals, making the set total of 7 runs feel well-calibrated.
Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
What time does Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh start on August 07, 2025?
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh starts on August 07, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh being played?
Venue: PNC Park.
What are the opening odds for Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh?
Spread: Pittsburgh -1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati +145, Pittsburgh -174
Over/Under: 7
What are the records for Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh?
Cincinnati: (60-55) | Pittsburgh: (49-66)
What is the AI best bet for Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Gonzales over 5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh trending bets?
Public betting trends show 75% of wagers backing the Pirates’ moneyline, suggesting a strong betting consensus in favor of Pittsburgh. Additionally, both teams trend toward midrange totals, making the set total of 7 runs feel well-calibrated.
What are Cincinnati trending bets?
CIN trend: The Reds have a respectable season-long ATS record of 61–54, and they’ve held steady with a 5–5 mark ATS in their last 10 games.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates are similarly balanced, with a season ATS mark of 60–55 and a recent run of 6 straight games ATS, indicating improved late-season performance.
Where can I find AI Picks for Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds
CIN Moneyline:
+145 PIT Moneyline: -174
CIN Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
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–
–
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+194
-235
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+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
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O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
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–
–
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-168
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-1.5 (+118)
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O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
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+132
-156
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+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
|
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
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–
–
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+102
-120
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-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
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–
–
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+198
-240
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
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–
–
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-124
+106
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-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
|
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+172
-205
|
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+128
-152
|
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+138
-164
|
+1.5 (-164)
-1.5 (+136)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+120
-142
|
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 7.5 (-118)
U 7.5 (-104)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-162
+136
|
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-122)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+102
-120
|
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
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+100
-118
|
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-184)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on August 07, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |