Reds vs. Pirates
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 07 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cincinnati Reds travel to PNC Park to face the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday, August 7, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The Pirates are favored, sporting a strong moneyline around –174 and a –1.5 run-line, while the game’s total is set at 7 runs.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 07, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (49-66)

Reds Record: (60-55)

OPENING ODDS

CIN Moneyline: +145

PIT Moneyline: -174

CIN Spread: +1.5

PIT Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Reds have a respectable season-long ATS record of 61–54, and they’ve held steady with a 5–5 mark ATS in their last 10 games.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates are similarly balanced, with a season ATS mark of 60–55 and a recent run of 6 straight games ATS, indicating improved late-season performance.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Public betting trends show 75% of wagers backing the Pirates’ moneyline, suggesting a strong betting consensus in favor of Pittsburgh. Additionally, both teams trend toward midrange totals, making the set total of 7 runs feel well-calibrated.

CIN vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Gonzales over 5 Fantasy Score.

LIVE MLB ODDS

MLB ODDS COMPARISON

WANT MORE AI PICKS?

VAULT
VS. SPREAD
308-221
VAULT
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+418
VAULT
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$41,803
EXECUTIVE
VS. SPREAD
1551-1329
EXECUTIVE
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+365.7
EXECUTIVE
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$36,569

AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS

Create a Free Account

‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today.

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line.

Remi Works 24/7

Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.

Get Remi's AI Picks

Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/7/25

The Thursday evening matchup at PNC Park between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates sets the stage for a key National League Central clash with both divisional pride and postseason momentum in play. The Reds arrive at 60–54, sitting in third place in the division and within striking distance of a Wild Card spot, riding a 6–4 record over their last 10 games and buoyed by a capable offense and a solid bullpen that has stabilized after a shaky first half. Cincinnati has been especially strong at home but only slightly below average on the road with a 27–28 away record, and this game provides an opportunity to push back above .500 away from Great American Ball Park. The offense continues to be led by the electric Elly De La Cruz, whose combination of power and speed makes him a nightly threat, along with contributions from Spencer Steer, TJ Friedl, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand. The rotation has held firm with decent depth, and while no starter has been formally announced, the Reds have found reliable innings from arms like Andrew Abbott, Hunter Greene, and Graham Ashcraft, each of whom has delivered quality starts in recent weeks. The Pirates, on the other hand, come into the game with a 49–65 record, still stuck in last place in the NL Central but showing recent signs of life by going 7–3 in their last 10 and improving their home record to 32–26. Interim manager Don Kelly has emphasized energy and defensive focus since taking over in July, and the team appears to be responding despite overall roster limitations.

The lineup remains reliant on Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz, who have driven in key runs and provided offensive spark in recent victories, while younger players such as Henry Davis and Jack Suwinski are beginning to find more consistency at the plate. The Pirates’ pitching has been inconsistent, but they’ve benefited from better bullpen usage and improved command from their starters, particularly in recent series wins. Oddsmakers list the Pirates as –174 favorites with a run line of –1.5, while the game total is set at 7 runs, indicating an expectation of a lower-scoring, pitching-focused contest. Cincinnati’s superior overall record and head-to-head edge this season—they’ve won four of six meetings against Pittsburgh—suggest they hold the competitive advantage, but Pittsburgh’s recent surge, home-field performance, and ability to compete against better teams make this far from a guaranteed result. Key to the outcome will be whether the Reds can strike early and hold off Pittsburgh’s late-inning surges, or if the Pirates can ride their recent form and the energy of the PNC Park crowd to outlast a Reds team that has shown vulnerability on the road. Ultimately, this game has the potential to be a tightly contested battle between a playoff-hopeful and a spoiler, and both teams will need sharp execution, timely hitting, and bullpen discipline to tip the scales in their favor.

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds head into PNC Park carrying the weight of expectation as they continue to chase a postseason berth while navigating the crowded and competitive National League Central division, and with a current record of 60–54, they remain firmly in the Wild Card picture while staying within striking distance of the division lead. Under the leadership of veteran manager Terry Francona, the Reds have found a groove since early July, leaning on a core of young, electric talent that has helped them win six of their last ten games and build a reputation as one of the more balanced and exciting lineups in the league. Their offensive engine runs through shortstop Elly De La Cruz, whose power-speed combination and ability to change games both in the field and on the bases make him the club’s most dangerous weapon, while Spencer Steer, TJ Friedl, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand provide depth, discipline, and run-producing consistency across the order. Cincinnati’s success hasn’t been limited to their lineup, as their starting rotation has shown greater dependability than in recent years, with names like Hunter Greene, Andrew Abbott, and Graham Ashcraft contributing quality starts and managing to keep opposing offenses from breaking games open early.

Their bullpen, once a major question mark, has steadily improved with Alexis Díaz locking down the closer role and middle relievers gaining traction through sharper command and better usage by the coaching staff, allowing the team to protect leads with more confidence. Though they’ve hovered around .500 on the road at 27–28, they’ve proven capable of winning close games and executing under pressure in hostile environments, and this matchup against the Pirates presents another opportunity to apply that composure. Cincinnati holds a 4–2 edge in the season series against Pittsburgh, including a pair of decisive wins earlier this summer that showcased their ability to dominate in all facets of the game, and they enter this contest with the added motivation of facing a divisional opponent they’ve consistently outplayed over the past two years. Their current betting line of +145 suggests they are slight underdogs despite their superior record, but that may be more a reflection of Pittsburgh’s recent home surge than an accurate portrayal of the gap between these clubs. To secure a win in this game, the Reds will need to jump on Pittsburgh’s starter early, apply pressure on the basepaths, and avoid the kind of mid-inning letdowns that have cost them in past road games, all while continuing to lean on their star power and versatility. If they can deliver a clean, efficient game with minimal defensive lapses and clutch hitting in high-leverage moments, Cincinnati should walk away with a win that keeps them on pace in the playoff race and reinforces their standing as one of the National League’s most promising young teams.

The Cincinnati Reds travel to PNC Park to face the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday, August 7, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The Pirates are favored, sporting a strong moneyline around –174 and a –1.5 run-line, while the game’s total is set at 7 runs. Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates return to PNC Park with a record of 49–65, still entrenched in the bottom of the NL Central but showing signs of competitive fire and renewed energy following a midseason managerial change that saw Don Kelly take over from Derek Shelton after a disastrous 12–26 start, and the team has responded under his guidance by posting a 7–3 record in their last ten games and clawing their way to a more respectable 32–26 home mark. Although postseason contention is no longer a realistic possibility, the Pirates have embraced the spoiler role with enthusiasm and are showing improved cohesion, particularly on defense and in late-inning execution, areas that had consistently cost them games earlier in the season. Offensively, the Pirates continue to rely on veterans Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz to drive production, both of whom have found their rhythm during this recent stretch by providing clutch hits and stabilizing the middle of the order, while emerging contributors like Henry Davis and Liover Peguero have brought fresh energy and moments of promise that reflect the organization’s commitment to a long-term rebuild. The departure of former cornerstone Ke’Bryan Hayes has created both a void and an opportunity, and so far the team’s younger players have embraced the challenge of stepping into more prominent roles, particularly in situational hitting and defensive consistency.

On the mound, the Pirates’ rotation remains uneven, though they’ve benefited from recent strong outings by Quinn Priester and Jared Jones, both of whom have flashed the potential to anchor future staffs if they can refine command and endurance; the bullpen has also taken strides, with Carmen Mlodzinski and David Bednar proving effective in protecting slim leads and stabilizing games late. Pittsburgh enters this matchup as a moderate favorite at –174 on the moneyline and –1.5 on the run line, which may be more a reflection of their improved play at home and public betting sentiment than a firm statistical edge, especially given Cincinnati’s superior overall record and 4–2 advantage in the season series. Still, playing at home has brought out a more confident, composed Pirates team in recent weeks, and they will need to lean on that edge against a Reds club that has shown the ability to strike quickly and manufacture runs in multiple ways. If the Pirates can limit damage in the early innings, extend at-bats, and cash in with runners in scoring position—areas where they’ve been hit or miss all season—they stand a strong chance to hold serve at home and continue building the kind of momentum that transcends standings. While this game won’t change Pittsburgh’s playoff destiny, it offers a valuable opportunity to test their growth against a postseason-caliber opponent and to give their fans continued reason to stay invested in a young core that is beginning to show signs of a more competitive future taking shape under new leadership.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Reds and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Aug almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Gonzales over 5 Fantasy Score.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Reds and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly improved Pirates team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Reds vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have a respectable season-long ATS record of 61–54, and they’ve held steady with a 5–5 mark ATS in their last 10 games.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates are similarly balanced, with a season ATS mark of 60–55 and a recent run of 6 straight games ATS, indicating improved late-season performance.

Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

Public betting trends show 75% of wagers backing the Pirates’ moneyline, suggesting a strong betting consensus in favor of Pittsburgh. Additionally, both teams trend toward midrange totals, making the set total of 7 runs feel well-calibrated.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh starts on August 07, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh -1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati +145, Pittsburgh -174
Over/Under: 7

Cincinnati: (60-55)  |  Pittsburgh: (49-66)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Gonzales over 5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Public betting trends show 75% of wagers backing the Pirates’ moneyline, suggesting a strong betting consensus in favor of Pittsburgh. Additionally, both teams trend toward midrange totals, making the set total of 7 runs feel well-calibrated.

CIN trend: The Reds have a respectable season-long ATS record of 61–54, and they’ve held steady with a 5–5 mark ATS in their last 10 games.

PIT trend: The Pirates are similarly balanced, with a season ATS mark of 60–55 and a recent run of 6 straight games ATS, indicating improved late-season performance.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

CIN Moneyline: +145
PIT Moneyline: -174
CIN Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+172
-205
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+136
-162
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+138
-164
+1.5 (-164)
-1.5 (+136)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-142
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-118)
U 7.5 (-104)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-162
+136
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-122)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-118
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-184)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on August 07, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN