Guardians vs Mets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Aug 06)
Updated: 2025-08-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cleveland Guardians (≈56–55) travel to Citi Field on Wednesday, August 6, 2025, to take on the New York Mets (≈63–51) in a pivotal rubber game of their season series. The Mets are listed as home favorites—roughly −178 on the money line and −1.5 on the run line—with the over/under set at 8 runs, signaling confidence in their rotation and structured bullpen.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 06, 2025
Start Time: 1:10 PM EST
Venue: Citi Field
Mets Record: (63-51)
Guardians Record: (58-55)
OPENING ODDS
CLE Moneyline: +151
NYM Moneyline: -180
CLE Spread: +1.5
NYM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8
CLE
Betting Trends
- Cleveland has won just 43.8% of games as underdogs (≈28–36 ATS) and struggled to cover long spreads, particularly in interleague play this week.
NYM
Betting Trends
- New York thrives at Citi Field—winning nearly 62% of games when favored, and 78% when favorites at –178 or steeper, showing elite short‑spread reliability.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite Cleveland’s surprise win earlier in the series, the Mets still covered in multiple matchups—underscoring their value in run‑line situations even when the outcome tightens.
CLE vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 0.5 Total Bases.
LIVE MLB ODDS
MLB ODDS COMPARISON
WANT MORE AI PICKS?
VS. SPREAD
325-240
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+395.4
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$39,540
VS. SPREAD
1593-1364
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+371.9
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,192
AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS
Create a Free Account

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi Works 24/7
Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.
Get Remi's AI Picks
Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.
Hedge Meaning in Betting | 4 Obvious Times to Hedge
Learn about hedge betting to manage risk and secure profits. Understand...
What is a Push in Betting? | 3 Ways To Use To Your Advantage
Understand what a push in betting means, how it happens in...
What Does the + and – Mean in Sports Betting? | 5 Easy Tips
Learn the basics of sports betting odds, what the plus (+)...
Cleveland vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/6/25
Offensively, the Giants feature a deep core including Willy Adames, Heliot Ramos, Rafael Devers, Jung Hoo Lee, and Matt Chapman, combining discipline, speed, and situational power to turn early traffic into high-leverage scoring, whereas Pittsburgh leans heavily on Andrew McCutchen, Bryan Reynolds, and Oneil Cruz—a trio capable of flashes but prone to long slumps and averaging under four runs per game at home versus NL West teams. Defensively and in relief, San Francisco holds the advantage with crisp execution and a reliable bullpen anchored by closer Randy Rodríguez, while Pittsburgh’s relief corps has been volatile under pressure, often allowing inherited runners to score. For the Giants, the blueprint is clear: Ray must deliver at least six efficient innings, the offense needs to generate early baserunners to pressure Heaney into elevated counts, and the bullpen must close cleanly. Pittsburgh’s only viable path involves early execution, clean defense, and a standout start from Heaney, which has eluded them this series. Given the rotation mismatch, deeper lineup, stronger bullpen, and superior ATS form, San Francisco enters this finale as the logical choice to win and likely cover—and their dominant Game 2 performance only reinforced that narrative unless Pittsburgh can disrupt the Giants’ rhythm from the first frame.
How ‘bout those Guards?#GuardsBall | #GuardiWWins pic.twitter.com/tDBZAXbOVn
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) August 6, 2025
Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview
The Cleveland Guardians arrive at Citi Field on Wednesday, August 6, 2025, with a record near 56–55, aiming to salvage the series finale against the New York Mets after dropping two of three, and face steep odds: the Mets enter as home favorites at approximately –178 on the money line and –1.5 on the run line, with the total set at 8 runs, reflecting the expectation that pitching control and situational execution will favor New York. Cleveland has been a poor value as underdogs in recent weeks, winning only 43.8% of those games and failing to gain traction in interleague play, while the Mets have thrived at Citi Field, winning nearly 62% of games when favored, and stunningly covering 78% when lines exceed –178, making them one of MLB’s most reliable short-line teams. For Cleveland to have a chance, they need a standout performance from Gavin Williams, their top young arm—with a sub-3.50 ERA, solid K/BB rate, and strong fastball command—to neutralize New York’s K-zone disciplined offense led by Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, and J.D. Martinez, all of whom thrive in early-count leverage. Offensively, Cleveland leans on contact-focused hitters like José Ramírez, Steven Kwan, and David Fry, who excel at getting on base, manufacturing runs via stolen bases or wait-and-hit approaches, and pressuring Mets starters with patient plate discipline in hopes of exploiting elevated pitch counts.
However, their lack of consistent power is a weakness in scoring-efficient moments. Defensively, the Guardians remain solid, with excellent infield range and double-play efficiency at multiple defensive positions, but any miscue could compound against elite Citi Field relievers like Edwin Díaz, who posted a career-low ERA near 1.44 in high-leverage innings. Cleveland’s bullpen remains a question mark, lacking a defined closer with upside, and middle innings have shown volatility—poor inherited-run prevention and unsteady performance overshadow limiting early runs. To cover +1.5, yields must deliver: Williams must work deep into the game with low damage, the offense must generate early traffic, speed, and timely hits, and defense must be flawless under pressure. If Gavin allows no more than two runs through six and Cleveland turns first-and-third or bases-loaded opportunities efficiently, they might stay within one run through innings seven or eight—where Mets’ bullpen will likely lock it down. Cleveland’s path depends on endurance: limit Mets scoring, extend plate discipline, turn traffic into runs without waiting for long balls, and avoid breakdowns. Without early pressure or positive variance, they’ll struggle to cover or win. With the Mets’ rotation advantage, home-field momentum, bullpen depth, and superior run-line performance, the odds remain stacked. But with excellent execution by Williams, opportunistic base running, and clean late-game performance, the Guardians could at least push the game deep enough to flirt with value on the underdog line—though victory remains a long shot absent extraordinary factors.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Mets Mets MLB Preview
On Wednesday, August 6, 2025 at 1:10 PM ET, the Cleveland Guardians (~56‑55) visit Citi Field to face the New York Mets (~63‑51) in the finale of their interleague series. The Mets are priced as home favorites—around −178 on the money line and −1.5 on the run line—with the total set at 8 runs, reflecting confidence in New York’s strong pitching and bullpen structure. Cleveland enters with a poor ATS record as underdogs—winning just 43.8% of those matchups—while the Mets thrive at Citi, winning nearly 62% of games when favored and covering 78% of the time when the line is −178 or steeper, making them among MLB’s most reliable short‑spread performers. Cleveland is expected to hand the ball to Gavin Williams, whose steady command and sub‑3.50 ERA give them their best shot to neutralize the Mets’ elite contact‑oriented offense led by Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, and J.D. Martinez—all disciplined hitters with on‑base power.
Offensively, Cleveland leans on players like José Ramírez, Steven Kwan, and David Fry—hitters who excel at drawing walks, manufacturing runs through speed and contact, and pressuring pitchers with extended at-bats, though their lack of consistent power remains a concern. New York will counter with David Peterson, who brings a stellar 2.83 ERA and elite ability to limit hard contact and deep counts at home, backed by a shutdown bullpen anchored by closer Edwin Díaz with a sub‑1.50 ERA in high‑leverage innings. The Mets also enjoy a defensive advantage, with quick-turning infielders and fewer errors, which boosts their pitching and late-inning control. Key variables: can Williams work deep enough to keep Cleveland close? Can Guardians hitters generate early traffic and pressure the Mets starter into elevated pitch counts? Can Cleveland’s defense and bullpen hold firm against a late rally? With all structural advantages—rotation, home field, bullpen depth, recent ATS dominance, and lineup balance—falling to New York, the Mets enter with control over tempo and a position of strength to close the series with both the win and the run‑line cover, unless Cleveland can disrupt rhythm with a rare high-leverage rally and flawless execution across pitching, defense, and small-ball tactics.
Tyrone brings home Mark! pic.twitter.com/mRVGFUzqdv
— New York Mets (@Mets) August 5, 2025
Cleveland vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)
Cleveland vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Guardians and Mets and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Cleveland’s strength factors between a Guardians team going up against a possibly tired Mets team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Cleveland vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Guardians vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
![]() |
DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
![]() |
|
MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
![]() |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Guardians Betting Trends
Cleveland has won just 43.8% of games as underdogs (≈28–36 ATS) and struggled to cover long spreads, particularly in interleague play this week.
Mets Betting Trends
New York thrives at Citi Field—winning nearly 62% of games when favored, and 78% when favorites at –178 or steeper, showing elite short‑spread reliability.
Guardians vs. Mets Matchup Trends
Despite Cleveland’s surprise win earlier in the series, the Mets still covered in multiple matchups—underscoring their value in run‑line situations even when the outcome tightens.
Cleveland vs. New York Mets Game Info
What time does Cleveland vs New York Mets start on August 06, 2025?
Cleveland vs New York Mets starts on August 06, 2025 at 1:10 PM EST.
Where is Cleveland vs New York Mets being played?
Venue: Citi Field.
What are the opening odds for Cleveland vs New York Mets?
Spread: New York Mets -1.5
Moneyline: Cleveland +151, New York Mets -180
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Cleveland vs New York Mets?
Cleveland: (58-55) | New York Mets: (63-51)
What is the AI best bet for Cleveland vs New York Mets?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Cleveland vs New York Mets trending bets?
Despite Cleveland’s surprise win earlier in the series, the Mets still covered in multiple matchups—underscoring their value in run‑line situations even when the outcome tightens.
What are Cleveland trending bets?
CLE trend: Cleveland has won just 43.8% of games as underdogs (≈28–36 ATS) and struggled to cover long spreads, particularly in interleague play this week.
What are New York Mets trending bets?
NYM trend: New York thrives at Citi Field—winning nearly 62% of games when favored, and 78% when favorites at –178 or steeper, showing elite short‑spread reliability.
Where can I find AI Picks for Cleveland vs New York Mets?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Cleveland vs. New York Mets Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Cleveland vs New York Mets Opening Odds
CLE Moneyline:
+151 NYM Moneyline: -180
CLE Spread: +1.5
NYM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8
Cleveland vs New York Mets Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
-140
+127
|
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
|
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)
|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Mets Mets on August 06, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
![]() |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |