Giants vs. Pirates
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 05 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The San Francisco Giants head to PNC Park on August 5, 2025 to face the Pittsburgh Pirates in a pivotal National League inter-division matchup. The Giants enter as road favorites around –157 on the money line and –1.5 on the run line, while the total is set near 7.5 runs—reflecting expectations for elite pitching and controlled scoring.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 05, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (49-64)

Giants Record: (56-57)

OPENING ODDS

SF Moneyline: -157

PIT Moneyline: +132

SF Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

SF
Betting Trends

  • San Francisco has covered just 43 percent of games this season (43–57 ATS), a concerning mark even though they are contenders in the NL West.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh holds a near‑break‑even ATS record at 49–51, indicating average performance in run‑line contests through the season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last ten head‑to‑head matchups, the Cardinals have nothing to do—focus on the Giants: San Francisco has only scratched out a 4–6 record against Pittsburgh since 2024, allowing the Pirates to cover more often than expected in this pairing—even in games they lost outright.

SF vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Schmitt over 0.5 Total Bases.

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San Francisco vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/5/25

On Tuesday, August 5, 2025, the San Francisco Giants travel to PNC Park to face the Pittsburgh Pirates in an inter-division National League matchup that pits a contender with playoff aspirations against a rebuilding team looking to play spoiler. The Giants enter the contest with a 56–57 record, slightly under .500 but still within reach of the wild-card race, and they come in as road favorites at approximately –157 on the money line and –1.5 on the run line, with the total set at 7.5 runs, reflecting expectations for a low-scoring pitcher’s duel. San Francisco will likely start ace Logan Webb, who has been the anchor of the rotation with a 9–8 record, a 3.31 ERA, and over 155 strikeouts on the season, relying on command, ground-ball generation, and efficiency to neutralize lineups and provide length. Pittsburgh counters with rookie Mike Burrows, who has shown flashes of promise with a 1–3 record and a 3.88 ERA in 58 innings, but his inexperience against disciplined lineups makes this start a critical test in front of the home crowd. The Giants’ offense is built on discipline and situational hitting, led by Wilmer Flores, Heliot Ramos, and Yordan Álvarez, with a focus on extending at-bats and capitalizing on opponent mistakes rather than relying solely on the long ball.

The Pirates, on the other hand, continue to rely on veteran leadership from Andrew McCutchen, who recently surpassed 2,200 career hits and 241 home runs, and complementary production from Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz, though inconsistency and a lack of depth have kept their scoring output modest. Betting trends suggest an intriguing contrast: San Francisco has covered only 43–44% of their games this season despite their status as favorites, while Pittsburgh, with a 49–51 ATS record, often hangs around and delivers value as a home underdog, covering in six of their last ten head-to-head matchups against the Giants. Key factors in this game will be whether Webb can command the strike zone early and keep Pittsburgh off the bases, whether Burrows can limit first-time-through damage from San Francisco’s patient lineup, and how both bullpens manage high-leverage situations in the later innings. The Giants will rely on clean defense, double-play efficiency, and timely hitting to complement their ace, while the Pirates must find ways to generate pressure through small-ball tactics and capitalize on any lapses in command or defensive execution. If the Giants execute their game plan with Webb controlling tempo and the bullpen maintaining form, they are well-positioned to secure a road victory and potentially cover the run line, but if Pittsburgh keeps the score close into the late innings and leverages home energy, the Pirates could provide another underdog cover in what projects to be a tightly managed, low-scoring matchup at PNC Park.

San Francisco Giants MLB Preview

The San Francisco Giants enter their August 5, 2025 matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park with a 56–57 record, looking to climb back to .500 and strengthen their standing in the National League wild-card race. Despite being listed as road favorites at approximately –157 on the money line and –1.5 on the run line, the Giants have struggled against the spread this season, covering in only about 43–44% of their games, and have been inconsistent as favorites, which underscores the importance of execution on the road. Leading the way is ace Logan Webb, who carries a 9–8 record and a 3.31 ERA, supported by over 155 strikeouts, showcasing his ability to generate ground balls and manage innings efficiently. Webb’s consistency provides a reliable foundation for San Francisco’s strategy: establish control early, limit base runners, and hand over a manageable game to a bullpen that has been effective in holding narrow leads when the starting staff provides length. Offensively, the Giants rely on disciplined hitting and situational execution rather than sheer power, with Wilmer Flores, Heliot Ramos, and Yordan Álvarez forming the core of a lineup capable of grinding at-bats and creating opportunities through walks and timely hits.

The team thrives when they can apply pressure with runners in scoring position and turn defensive stability into run prevention, as their margin for error in low-scoring games is often thin. Defensively, San Francisco’s infield is adept at converting double plays, which will be key against a Pirates lineup that occasionally manufactures runs through contact and base running. To secure a win and cover as the away team, the Giants must focus on elevating pitch counts for rookie starter Mike Burrows, capitalize on any defensive lapses, and provide Webb with early run support to dictate the pace of the game. Late-game execution will also be crucial, as bullpen reliability can make the difference in tight contests, particularly on the road. If San Francisco maintains its disciplined approach, complements Webb’s performance with timely offense, and avoids costly mistakes, they are well-positioned to take control of this matchup, reinforce their playoff ambitions, and overcome their ATS challenges in a critical August road game.

The San Francisco Giants head to PNC Park on August 5, 2025 to face the Pittsburgh Pirates in a pivotal National League inter-division matchup. The Giants enter as road favorites around –157 on the money line and –1.5 on the run line, while the total is set near 7.5 runs—reflecting expectations for elite pitching and controlled scoring. San Francisco vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the San Francisco Giants at PNC Park on August 5, 2025, entering the matchup with a 49–64 record and embracing the role of underdogs in front of their home crowd. Despite their sub-.500 record, the Pirates have been competitive against the spread, holding a near‑even 49–51 ATS mark, which highlights their ability to keep games close, particularly at home where they have often found ways to cover in tight, low‑scoring matchups. Rookie starter Mike Burrows is expected to take the mound, carrying a 1–3 record and a 3.88 ERA over 58 innings, and while he lacks experience, he has shown poise and an ability to induce weak contact when he commands his pitches effectively. Burrows will need to navigate a disciplined Giants lineup that thrives on working counts and capitalizing on mistakes, but pitching at PNC Park gives him the advantage of a spacious outfield and a ballpark that can suppress home runs, favoring a ground‑ball and strike‑throwing approach. Offensively, the Pirates lean on a blend of veteran leadership and youthful energy, with Andrew McCutchen providing both clubhouse stability and production as he continues to add to his impressive career totals, supported by Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz, whose combination of power and athleticism can swing a game when they find consistency.

The lineup, while prone to slumps, has the capability to generate offense through situational hitting, aggressive base running, and forcing defensive pressure, especially if they can get Webb into deep counts. Defensively, Pittsburgh has improved its execution, turning double plays and limiting unforced errors, which will be critical against a Giants team that looks to capitalize on small advantages. The bullpen, while not elite, has proven serviceable in home games, and if Burrows can hand over a close contest, the relief corps has the potential to hold the line. For the Pirates to succeed, they must apply pressure early, create scoring opportunities through contact and patience, and leverage their home‑field energy to maintain competitiveness into the later innings. Historically, Pittsburgh has covered in six of its last ten head‑to‑head meetings with San Francisco, even in losses, which speaks to their ability to keep games within reach against favored opponents. A clean defensive performance, early run support for Burrows, and opportunistic hitting will be essential for the Pirates to challenge the Giants and deliver both value as an underdog and a potential upset in this August series opener.

San Francisco vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Giants and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Aug seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Schmitt over 0.5 Total Bases.

San Francisco vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Giants and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the trending emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Giants team going up against a possibly strong Pirates team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI San Francisco vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Giants vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Giants Betting Trends

San Francisco has covered just 43 percent of games this season (43–57 ATS), a concerning mark even though they are contenders in the NL West.

Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh holds a near‑break‑even ATS record at 49–51, indicating average performance in run‑line contests through the season.

Giants vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

In their last ten head‑to‑head matchups, the Cardinals have nothing to do—focus on the Giants: San Francisco has only scratched out a 4–6 record against Pittsburgh since 2024, allowing the Pirates to cover more often than expected in this pairing—even in games they lost outright.

San Francisco vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

San Francisco vs Pittsburgh starts on August 05, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: San Francisco -157, Pittsburgh +132
Over/Under: 7.5

San Francisco: (56-57)  |  Pittsburgh: (49-64)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Schmitt over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last ten head‑to‑head matchups, the Cardinals have nothing to do—focus on the Giants: San Francisco has only scratched out a 4–6 record against Pittsburgh since 2024, allowing the Pirates to cover more often than expected in this pairing—even in games they lost outright.

SF trend: San Francisco has covered just 43 percent of games this season (43–57 ATS), a concerning mark even though they are contenders in the NL West.

PIT trend: Pittsburgh holds a near‑break‑even ATS record at 49–51, indicating average performance in run‑line contests through the season.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

San Francisco vs. Pittsburgh Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the San Francisco vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

San Francisco vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

SF Moneyline: -157
PIT Moneyline: +132
SF Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

San Francisco vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+177
-197
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+143
-158
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+132
-156
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+142)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-132
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+157)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+104
-115
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on August 05, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN