Royals vs. Red Sox
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 04 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-08-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Kansas City Royals head to Fenway Park to face the Boston Red Sox on August 4, 2025, in what promises to be a tightly matched interleague clash. Boston enters with momentum after a recent hot streak at home, while Kansas City looks to build on solid road resilience and recent offensive consistency.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 04, 2025
Start Time: 7:10 PM EST
Venue: Fenway Park
Red Sox Record: (62-51)
Royals Record: (56-56)
OPENING ODDS
KC Moneyline: +135
BOS Moneyline: -160
KC Spread: +1.5
BOS Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
KC
Betting Trends
- Kansas City has performed well against the run line recently, with their last ten games producing a strong ATS showing as they’ve won 7 of those and covered in more than half.
BOS
Betting Trends
- Boston holds a season-long ATS record just above .500 at around 49–47, and they have covered in about half of their recent home games amid improved second-half form.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- While Boston covers the run line at roughly 51 percent overall, in recent head‑to‑head matchups the Royals have historically held a slight edge when covering short spreads as visiting underdogs at Fenway.
KC vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Anthony over 6.5 Fantasy Score.
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Kansas City vs Boston Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/4/25
The Royals’ bullpen, which had early‑season struggles, has tightened in recent weeks, and the defense has supported their recent success by avoiding costly errors and capitalizing on double‑play opportunities. This matchup is a classic clash of styles: Boston wields home‑field advantage, a deep bullpen, and a disciplined offense that thrives on power and patience, while Kansas City brings speed, contact, and a small‑ball approach that pressures defenses and exploits lapses. Betting markets reflect the close nature of this contest, with Boston listed as a 1.5‑run favorite and a total hovering around 8.5 runs, underscoring expectations for a competitive game with moderate scoring. For the Red Sox, the keys to victory will be maintaining their hot hitting at home, getting length from their starter to bridge to a secure bullpen, and continuing to execute with runners in scoring position. For the Royals, the challenge lies in striking early to quiet the Fenway crowd, sustaining offensive pressure through contact hitting and smart base running, and relying on their improved bullpen to close the door if they take a late lead. Ultimately, this matchup will likely hinge on which team capitalizes on high‑leverage opportunities, with the Red Sox looking to extend their home dominance and the Royals aiming to spoil their surge with a disciplined, opportunistic performance that could tilt a tightly contested series opener in their favor.
Another series win!#HEYHEYHEYHEY pic.twitter.com/aRRUyD7L1v
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) August 3, 2025
Kansas City Royals MLB Preview
The Kansas City Royals enter their August 4, 2025 matchup against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park as a team on the rise, carrying a 55–55 record and brimming with quiet confidence after winning seven of their last ten games. This recent surge has been fueled by the exceptional play of Bobby Witt Jr., who has become the undeniable catalyst for the Royals’ offense, collecting hits in 15 of his last 16 games and bringing energy to every at‑bat. The Royals’ offense has evolved into a versatile unit capable of manufacturing runs through a combination of speed, contact, and timely power, traits that have helped them succeed in tight road games and cover spreads as underdogs. On the mound, the Royals rely heavily on veteran right‑hander Michael Wacha and emerging left‑handed talent Cole Ragans, who together provide a mix of experience, strike‑throwing ability, and poise under pressure. This rotation support is complemented by a bullpen that, after early‑season inconsistencies, has stabilized and developed into a reliable group capable of holding leads and keeping the Royals competitive late into games. Defensively, Kansas City has played cleaner baseball over the past month, cutting down on errors and showing improved situational awareness that has directly contributed to recent road wins.
As underdogs in this matchup, the Royals know the formula for success at Fenway begins with scoring early, pressuring Boston’s starting pitcher, and taking advantage of any defensive lapses or mistakes. Situational hitting will be critical, as the Red Sox boast a strong bullpen that can shut down rallies in the late innings, making every early scoring opportunity vital. The Royals’ base‑running aggression, led by Witt Jr. and their young core, adds an extra layer of pressure that can tilt momentum in their favor if executed properly. Kansas City has also shown resilience in close games, often thriving in one‑run or extra‑inning contests where their fundamentals and speed come into play. To secure a road victory, the Royals must blend their strengths—steady starting pitching, opportunistic hitting, aggressive base running, and tight defense—while avoiding the lapses that a veteran Red Sox team will eagerly exploit. If Kansas City can carry over their recent form, maintain composure in Fenway’s electric atmosphere, and seize high‑leverage moments, they have a strong chance to steal the opener and continue building momentum toward a potential late‑season push in the American League playoff race.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Boston Red Sox MLB Preview
The Boston Red Sox enter their August 4, 2025 matchup against the Kansas City Royals at Fenway Park with confidence and momentum, fueled by a 62–51 record and a five‑game home winning streak that has solidified their status as serious contenders in the American League East. After a strong July in which the Red Sox went roughly 15–6, the team has found its identity through a combination of timely hitting, veteran leadership, and improved pitching efficiency, creating the type of balance needed for a postseason push. Offensively, Rafael Devers continues to anchor the lineup with his combination of power and consistency, while Trevor Story’s resurgence has added critical production in the middle of the order, and emerging role players have chipped in with situational hits to keep the attack steady. The team’s approach at the plate has improved in the second half of the season, with more disciplined at‑bats leading to better results with runners in scoring position, a weakness earlier in the year. On the mound, Boston has benefited from dependable starts by Brayan Bello and other mid‑rotation arms who have given the club length and stability, helping ease the load on a bullpen that has become one of the team’s strengths. That bullpen is anchored by Aroldis Chapman, who has excelled as a veteran closer in high‑leverage situations, and supported by middle relievers who have successfully converted tight leads into victories throughout their home winning streak.
Defensively, the Red Sox have cleaned up their play in recent weeks, turning double plays efficiently and avoiding costly errors that previously opened doors for opponents. From a strategic standpoint, Boston’s home‑field advantage is a clear factor in their success, as the team has been energized by Fenway crowds and consistently executed in front of their fans. In terms of game planning, the Red Sox will look to attack early with their power bats, apply pressure on the Royals’ pitching staff, and trust their deep bullpen to close out the game once they establish a lead. They also know the importance of capitalizing on any Kansas City mistakes, particularly on defense or in middle relief, as these moments can swing momentum quickly in a tightly contested game. For Boston to maintain their winning ways and defend their home field, they must continue the disciplined at‑bats, sharp fielding, and steady pitching that has propelled their recent surge. If the Red Sox execute their strengths effectively and sustain the aggressive, confident style that has fueled their winning streak, they are well‑positioned to capture this series opener, extend their dominance at Fenway, and continue tightening the race in the AL East.
Sunday sweep!
— Red Sox (@RedSox) August 3, 2025
🗒️https://t.co/9DZhoXr1HF pic.twitter.com/F4mh7Z24ya
Kansas City vs. Boston Prop Picks (AI)
Kansas City vs. Boston Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Royals and Red Sox and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending weight human bettors often put on Kansas City’s strength factors between a Royals team going up against a possibly strong Red Sox team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Boston picks, computer picks Royals vs Red Sox, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Royals Betting Trends
Kansas City has performed well against the run line recently, with their last ten games producing a strong ATS showing as they’ve won 7 of those and covered in more than half.
Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston holds a season-long ATS record just above .500 at around 49–47, and they have covered in about half of their recent home games amid improved second-half form.
Royals vs. Red Sox Matchup Trends
While Boston covers the run line at roughly 51 percent overall, in recent head‑to‑head matchups the Royals have historically held a slight edge when covering short spreads as visiting underdogs at Fenway.
Kansas City vs. Boston Game Info
What time does Kansas City vs Boston start on August 04, 2025?
Kansas City vs Boston starts on August 04, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.
Where is Kansas City vs Boston being played?
Venue: Fenway Park.
What are the opening odds for Kansas City vs Boston?
Spread: Boston -1.5
Moneyline: Kansas City +135, Boston -160
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Kansas City vs Boston?
Kansas City: (56-56) | Boston: (62-51)
What is the AI best bet for Kansas City vs Boston?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Anthony over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Kansas City vs Boston trending bets?
While Boston covers the run line at roughly 51 percent overall, in recent head‑to‑head matchups the Royals have historically held a slight edge when covering short spreads as visiting underdogs at Fenway.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: Kansas City has performed well against the run line recently, with their last ten games producing a strong ATS showing as they’ve won 7 of those and covered in more than half.
What are Boston trending bets?
BOS trend: Boston holds a season-long ATS record just above .500 at around 49–47, and they have covered in about half of their recent home games amid improved second-half form.
Where can I find AI Picks for Kansas City vs Boston?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Kansas City vs. Boston Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Boston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Kansas City vs Boston Opening Odds
KC Moneyline:
+135 BOS Moneyline: -160
KC Spread: +1.5
BOS Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
Kansas City vs Boston Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
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Yankees
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–
–
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+194
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+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
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O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
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Chicago Cubs
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-168
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-1.5 (+118)
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O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
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–
–
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+132
-156
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+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
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O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
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Washington Nationals
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–
–
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+102
-120
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-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
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San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
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–
–
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+198
-240
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
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Miami Marlins
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Mets
Marlins
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–
–
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-124
+106
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-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
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O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
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Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
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–
–
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+177
-197
|
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
|
O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-102)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+128
-152
|
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
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–
–
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+143
-158
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+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
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–
–
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+132
-156
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+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+142)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
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–
–
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+120
-132
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+157)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
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–
–
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+102
-120
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+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
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–
–
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+104
-115
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+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox on August 04, 2025 at Fenway Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |