Rays vs Yankees Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 29)

Updated: 2025-07-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Tampa Bay Rays (approx. 54–53) visit the New York Yankees (approx. 57–49) in Game 2 of their four‑game set at the Bronx. The Yankees open as favorites (~–210 ML, –1.5 run line), with the total set around 8.5 runs.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 29, 2025

Start Time: 7:05 PM EST​

Venue: Yankee Stadium​

Yankees Record: (57-49)

Rays Record: (54-53)

OPENING ODDS

TB Moneyline: +171

NYY Moneyline: -207

TB Spread: +1.5

NYY Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

TB
Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay sits around 52.0% ATS on the season, roughly league average and slightly above as road underdogs.

NYY
Betting Trends

  • New York has covered just 46.5% of ATS opportunities, placing them among the weaker teams as favorites.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite a higher win total, the Yankees have struggled to cover recent run-line spreads, notably going 3–7 ATS in their last ten games when favored.

TB vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Stanton over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/29/25

Tuesday’s matchup is a compelling AL East showdown between the resilient Rays and the veteran-laden Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Both teams enter with solid win totals—Tampa Bay around 54–53 and New York approximately 57–49—but contrasting trajectories. The Yankees have leaned on a rotation headlined by Max Fried (11–4, 2.62 ERA over ~127 innings) to stabilize their staff, while the Rays counter with rookie Joe Boyle, whose sparkling 1.42 ERA in 19 MLB innings, including strong performances against this Yankees team, has earned widespread credence. Offensively, New York remains productive even without Aaron Judge, relying instead on Paul Goldschmidt, Anthony Volpe, and Trent Grisham for power and plate discipline, while Tampa Bay fields dangerous bats like Junior Caminero, Yandy Díaz, and Jonathan Aranda—the latter two combining high OBP with contact consistency. Bettors have priced this game with New York as moderate favorites (around –208 to –210 moneyline; –1.5 on the run line), and an over/under set near 8.5 runs. Though the Yankees carry talent and home-field advantage, their poor ATS record as favorites—coupled with Tampa’s modest but steadier performance as a road underdog—suggests valuable angles for bettors and sets the stage for a tight, entertaining contest. Despite New York’s stronger record and deeper starting pitching, they enter this series vulnerable. While Max Fried remains elite when healthy, his blister issues have surfaced recently, reducing confidence in his ability to go deep and dominate lineups without fatigue. Bench depth has also been tested through injuries and roster turnover, complicating lineup consistency.

Still, Garrett White’s bullpen and emerging pieces like Will Warren and Carlos Rodón offer mid-series stability—though Carlos Rodón has been more reliable than Warren recently. The Yankees’ biggest concern is their recent ATS underperformance: they’ve covered just 46.5% of games this season, including only 3 covers in their last 10 games as favorites. Close games and narrow wins have become common, lowering the value of taking New York on larger spreads. At home in the Bronx, however, they often exert pressure through command, situational hitting, and late-inning bullpen prowess. On the Rays’ side, Tampa has shown surprising resilience despite roster instability and a rough July (just 4–9 in the month). Their season ATS is 52.0%, slightly above league average, with more consistent performance as road underdogs. They’re coming off a narrow opening-game series loss, but still maintain a strong recent history at Yankee Stadium—including a May series win highlighted by a 7‑5 explosion from their offense. In this matchup, Joe Boyle provides intrigue: against the Yankees, he’s been shockingly effective with elite fastball velocity and a low home-run rate, making him a formidable opponent for New York’s hitters. Offensively, Tampa Bay leans on the power-speed combo of Caminero (hitting over .260 with considerable slugging) and the consistent on-base skills of Díaz and Aranda. While they lack depth beyond this trio, their ability to manufacture runs and exploit walk-prone pitchers remains dangerous—especially with Schlittler, a rookie starter prone to issuing too many free passes. Considering New York’s recent struggles covering the run line, Tampa Bay represents ATS value potential if Joe Boyle can shut the door early and their offense generates timely support.

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays arrive in the Bronx with a record roughly 54–53, carrying modest momentum through a season marked by inconsistency yet solid underlying performance. They maintain a +54 run differential, indicating they’ve played better than their win-loss record suggests. Against the spread, Tampa Bay holds an ATS record near 52.0%, slightly above league average, and have shown stronger results when cast as road underdogs—especially versus favored teams like the Yankees. Taking the mound is young standout Joe Boyle, whose season has been nothing short of sensational. Through four major league appearances, he sports a 1.13 ERA, a microscopic 0.69 WHIP, and has racked up 17 strikeouts in 16 innings. Statcast data underscores his dominance: average exit velocity against him is just 91 mph, his whiff rate exceeds 34%, and barrel rate remains below 6%—all exemplary for a rookie right-hander. While his sample is limited, those metrics suggest true elite upside—and he’s already shown effectiveness versus New York’s lineup earlier this year. If Boyle continues to live early in counts and limit hard contact, Boston’s hitters may struggle to generate offense. Tampa Bay’s roster features dangerous lengths of contact and power when aligned properly.

Junior Caminero has been the team’s top slugger, delivering more than 25 home runs and a slugging percentage north of .510, while Yandy Díaz offers consistent OBP and situational hitting (.292 average, .352 OBP). Jonathan Aranda, hitting over .316 with near-.400 OBP, adds another reliable avenue for run creation. This trio forms the core of the Rays’ offense, playing a low-strikeout, high-contact brand of baseball that can disrupt pitcher rhythm. On the basepaths, speedsters like Chandler Simpson bring pressure with over 25 steals, though his platoon role limits overall volume. Despite roster depth concerns, their cautious approach and opportunistic scoring have kept games close against higher-power clubs. From a betting perspective, Tampa Bay enters this matchup as +170 moneyline underdogs and +1.5 on the run line, offering value to spread bettors. New York has struggled to cover as favored—particularly in recent games—while the Rays continue to outperform modest expectations when playing uphill. Boyle’s ability to neutralize hitters early, coupled with Tampa’s disciplined lineup and Yankee recent ATS woes, positions them as an attractive sleep play on the spread. If Boyle delivers another deep quality outing and the Rays’ offense capitalizes early, the underdog Rays could not only cover the 1.5 run line but potentially steal a win outright in the Bronx.

The Tampa Bay Rays (approx. 54–53) visit the New York Yankees (approx. 57–49) in Game 2 of their four‑game set at the Bronx. The Yankees open as favorites (~–210 ML, –1.5 run line), with the total set around 8.5 runs. Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The Yankees arrive at this July 29 game with a solid 57–49 record, maintaining a competitive edge in the AL East through a season of steady performance and veteran leadership. Behind the plate, their offense is balanced and effective: Paul Goldschmidt provides disciplined power, Anthony Volpe offers speed and on-base consistency, and Trent Grisham adds athletic defense and pop in the middle of the lineup. Despite Aaron Judge being sidelined, New York maintains top-tier production in both slugging and on-base percentage, supported by elite-depth and situational hitting proficiency. Defensively, the Yankees play aggressive, mistake-minimizing baseball at home, complementing a rotation anchored by Max Fried, whose 11–4 record and 2.62 ERA over ~127 innings reinforce him as one of the league’s most reliable arms when healthy. Supporting him are veterans Carlos Rodón and Will Warren, whose presence ensures that New York’s rotation remains stable through the midway point of the pennant race. Under manager Aaron Boone, the Yankees have leaned into a blend of analytics-driven strategy and seasoned leadership, helping them adapt smoothly to injuries and mid-season adjustments. The bullpen remains another strong suit, offering dependable late-game performance. Whether protecting slim leads or managing tight games, relief arms such as Rodón (in relief roles), Warren (when stretched out), and situational options like Yarbrough have bolstered the Yankees in high leverage.

This strength has helped them win the close ones, though not always cover betting spreads effectively. Their run differential of +110 signals underlying strength that transcends mere win-loss totals and underscores their ability to outscore opponents over time. However, New York has struggled from a handicapping perspective: they are just 67–61 against the run line this season, and as home favorites they cover only about 51.1% of the time. In their last twelve home games, they’ve gone a middling 5–7 ATS, and as favorites recently they’ve covered just 3 of their last 10 games, often grinding out narrow wins that fail to satisfy larger spread lines. Stepping into Tuesday’s matchup, the Yankees carry both descriptive strength (superior record, deeper lineup, stronger rotation) and descriptive weaknesses. Their biggest issue has been close margins; plenty of home games end with one- or two-run victories, meaning larger favorites like –1.5 lines tend to penalize them. Facing Florida‑style contact hitters and disciplined sabermetric lineups like Tampa’s, Max Fried must avoid rehabbing blister issues and collapse in later innings. The Rays’ ability to manufacture runs and stay competitive in low-scoring games could neutralize the Yankees’ edge if Fried exits early or the bullpen falters. That said, at home in Yankee Stadium with seasoned hitters and strong situational execution, New York still presents a command-level profile—especially when their offense clicks with runners in scoring position. Despite recent ATS volatility, this remains their kind of matchup—moderately favorable pitching matchups, disciplined batting, and home-field advantage still place them as the presumptive choice to win and, under the right conditions, potentially cover the spread.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Rays and Yankees play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Yankee Stadium in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Stanton over 0.5 Total Bases.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Rays and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly improved Yankees team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Rays vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Rays Betting Trends

Tampa Bay sits around 52.0% ATS on the season, roughly league average and slightly above as road underdogs.

Yankees Betting Trends

New York has covered just 46.5% of ATS opportunities, placing them among the weaker teams as favorites.

Rays vs. Yankees Matchup Trends

Despite a higher win total, the Yankees have struggled to cover recent run-line spreads, notably going 3–7 ATS in their last ten games when favored.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Game Info

Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees starts on July 29, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.

Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +171, New York Yankees -207
Over/Under: 8.5

Tampa Bay: (54-53)  |  New York Yankees: (57-49)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Stanton over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite a higher win total, the Yankees have struggled to cover recent run-line spreads, notably going 3–7 ATS in their last ten games when favored.

TB trend: Tampa Bay sits around 52.0% ATS on the season, roughly league average and slightly above as road underdogs.

NYY trend: New York has covered just 46.5% of ATS opportunities, placing them among the weaker teams as favorites.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees Opening Odds

TB Moneyline: +171
NYY Moneyline: -207
TB Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-154
+130
-1.5 (+116)
+1.5 (-140)
O 7.5 (+100)
U 7.5 (-122)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Yankees on July 29, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN