Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 29)

Updated: 2025-07-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Marlins (around 50–54) head to face the St. Louis Cardinals (about 54–53) in Game 2 of their three-game series, with first pitch at approximately 7:45 p.m. ET. St. Louis opens as a modest favorite (around –120 to –125 moneyline, –1.5 run line), with the total set near 9 runs.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 29, 2025

Start Time: 7:45 PM EST​

Venue: Busch Stadium​

Cardinals Record: (55-53)

Marlins Record: (50-55)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: +140

STL Moneyline: -167

MIA Spread: +1.5

STL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8

MIA
Betting Trends

  • Miami has covered in roughly 47% of games, reflecting ATS inconsistency on the road.

STL
Betting Trends

  • St. Louis has gone around 48–50% ATS, with marginal improvement in home contests.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite records, both teams sit just under .500 in ATS, but the Cardinals have shown more consistency covering in close games at home, while Miami often fails to cover shortly after strong July spurts.

MIA vs. STL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Walker over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Miami vs St. Louis Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/29/25

The upcoming matchup between the Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on July 29, 2025, presents an intriguing contest between two teams navigating very different paths in the National League. The Cardinals enter the game with a record around 54–53, holding onto Wild Card hopes and seeking to build momentum after claiming the series opener, while the Marlins sit near 50–54 and continue battling for consistency in a season defined by offensive inconsistency and road struggles. St. Louis comes into this matchup as a slight home favorite, largely due to its veteran pitching depth, improved bullpen execution, and strong recent performance in low-scoring games. The projected pitching duel features Cardinals veteran Sonny Gray against Marlins ace Sandy Alcántara, with both teams banking on their starters to establish early control in a game that could easily hinge on late-inning bullpen management and situational hitting. The Cardinals will look to Gray to carry the momentum from a stable July stretch, as he enters with a 10–4 record, a 4.33 ERA, and a reliable strikeout-to-walk ratio that has allowed him to navigate tight situations effectively. He pairs well with St. Louis’s formula for success: steady starting pitching, elite bullpen support, and a lineup that generates runs through discipline and timely contact rather than relying exclusively on the long ball.

Offensively, the Cardinals feature a balanced approach led by Brendan Donovan, Alec Burleson, Willson Contreras, and Nolan Arenado, with Masyn Winn providing speed and situational value in the lineup. Their ability to apply consistent pressure and minimize empty innings is especially valuable against pitchers like Alcántara, who can dominate if lineups chase early in counts. Behind Gray, the bullpen—anchored by a reliable closer and multiple high-leverage arms—gives manager Oliver Marmol the confidence to protect narrow leads in late innings, a key factor in the team’s solid ATS performance at home. The Marlins enter this matchup seeking to rebound and even the series, leaning heavily on Alcántara to control the game’s tempo and keep the Cardinals’ methodical offense from manufacturing early runs. Alcántara remains the centerpiece of Miami’s staff, but he has faced challenges this season with an ERA in the mid-6.00s and bouts of shaky command, often leading to high pitch counts and early exits. Miami’s offense will need to step up to support its ace, with contributions from Kyle Stowers, Xavier Edwards, Agustín Ramírez, and Jesus Sánchez critical to producing timely hits. The Marlins tend to rely on occasional bursts of power and selective hitting rather than sustained rallies, a strategy that has led to inconsistency, particularly on the road. Their bullpen remains a vulnerability, with recent games exposing difficulties in holding leads or keeping deficits close in high-leverage innings. From a matchup and betting perspective, this game appears to favor St. Louis due to home-field advantage, steadier bullpen reliability, and the Cardinals’ proven ability to execute in close contests. For Miami to cover or win, Alcántara must deliver a quality start, limiting walks and suppressing extra-base hits while the offense capitalizes on limited scoring chances early. Conversely, if Gray maintains command and the Cardinals’ offense works counts to drive up Alcántara’s pitch count, St. Louis can lean on its bullpen to secure a late victory. With both teams near .500 ATS and prone to tight finishes, this matchup is likely to be decided by pitching efficiency, situational hitting, and which team manages high-leverage innings most effectively.

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins arrive in St. Louis with a fading but not yet extinguished record of approximately 50–54, having shown flashes of productivity during July but still carrying the weight of inconsistency across the season. Their ATS record on the road sits near 47%, reflecting frequent struggles in tight games, especially in high-leverage environments against teams with reliable late-inning execution. Miami’s season to this point has been defined by short-lived offensive bursts, a rotating cast of emerging hitters, and dependency on individual standout performances to pace scoring. Starting on the mound is ace Sandy Alcántara, still Miami’s most dominant arm and their best hope to neutralize the Cardinals’ disciplined lineup. While Alcántara leads the staff in strikeouts and innings, his ERA has climbed to the mid‑6.00s due to recurring control issues and elevated walk totals that can ignite long innings early. In National League play, such inefficiencies are magnified—even just one poorly executed inning can undermine the entire run-line outlook. Miami’s reliance on Alcántara’s ability to pitch deep and avoid early trouble makes this matchup particularly precarious in a divisional setting where bullpen depth is severely tested by high usage. Miami’s offense features emerging talents like Kyle Stowers, Xavier Edwards, Agustín Ramírez, and Jesus Sánchez. The team’s offensive strength lies in on-base skill and moderate power, but depth is shallow, and the lineup struggles to string together multi-inning scoring sequences. With a team dynamic more oriented toward punch-and-counter-punch rallies rather than long-ball explosions, the Marlins often fail to sustain momentum beyond brief scoring bursts.

Against a Cardinals pitching staff built to limit free passes and induce weak contact, Miami’s approach loses effectiveness—especially when facing teams on their home mound that excel in run suppression. Miami’s bullpen remains a known weakness. In recent road games, relievers have struggled to maintain leads or keep games within competitive reach, particularly after Alcántara departs. With inconsistent high-leverage appearances and limited reliable late-inning arms, Miami’s bullpen performance creates a high-risk runway for ATS failure. In contrast, St. Louis counters with a bullpen that has shown late-inning reliability in tight games, especially within their home division and against teams like the Marlins that lack depth and sustained threat profiles. From a betting perspective, Miami faces uphill odds. Their ATS track record as road underdogs is sub‑.500, amplified when the opponent possesses bullpen depth and home-field comfort. To stay competitive, Miami needs Alcántara to deliver a vintage performance: multiple strikeouts, low walk totals, and deep innings. That alone isn’t enough—they also require early offensive support or a punch-run home run to shift momentum and reduce reliance on their fragile bullpen. Without these circumstances, their ability to cover the +1.5 run line or challenge for an upset is severely limited. Nevertheless, the Marlins retain game-altering potential when matchup dynamics align. A leadoff home run or early extra-base hit could put pressure on the Cardinals, particularly if St. Louis’s bullpen is taxed early. A strong first five innings from Alcántara would give Miami a chance to maintain the contest into late innings, even if their late-game arms remain unproven. But these conditions must occur in sequence—otherwise, Miami will likely find itself trailing late with little margin for error. In summary, the Marlins enter this contest as clear road underdogs. Their only path to covering the spread or winning hinges on near-flawless execution from Alcántara, rare offensive production, and structural breakdowns from the Cardinals. Without those elements falling into place, Miami faces long odds in a matchup where St. Louis’s home bullpen depth, disciplined offense, and strategic execution give them both competitive and betting edge.

The Miami Marlins (around 50–54) head to face the St. Louis Cardinals (about 54–53) in Game 2 of their three-game series, with first pitch at approximately 7:45 p.m. ET. St. Louis opens as a modest favorite (around –120 to –125 moneyline, –1.5 run line), with the total set near 9 runs. Miami vs St. Louis AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals enter this matchup with a 54–53 record, slightly above .500 and still in the thick of the National League Wild Card race. They have been far more comfortable at home, winning 15 of their last 21 games at Busch Stadium, and have shown the ability to control tempo in close contests. Playing in front of their home crowd, the Cardinals combine veteran experience, a disciplined lineup, and improved bullpen efficiency to maintain competitiveness in games that often come down to just a few key moments. Their approach emphasizes steady run prevention, smart situational hitting, and the confidence that their bullpen can lock down leads late in games. On the mound for St. Louis is veteran right-hander Sonny Gray, who enters this contest with a 10–4 record and a 4.33 ERA. Gray has been a stabilizing force for the rotation, with a strong strikeout-to-walk ratio that allows him to work efficiently through opposing lineups. His ability to limit free passes and induce soft contact makes him well-suited for games at Busch Stadium, where the spacious outfield rewards pitchers who keep the ball in play. If Gray can deliver six or more quality innings, it will put the Cardinals in prime position to hand the game over to a bullpen that has steadily improved as the season has progressed. This group has been dependable in high-leverage spots and is a key reason for the Cardinals’ stronger home performance.

The Cardinals’ offense has relied on a balanced, contact-oriented approach rather than pure power. Brendan Donovan leads the team with his high on-base percentage and ability to work counts, while Alec Burleson, Willson Contreras, Masyn Winn, and Nolan Arenado provide a blend of consistent contact and situational power. This lineup thrives on stringing together singles, forcing opposing pitchers into stressful innings, and capitalizing on scoring opportunities with runners in motion. While the Cardinals can hit the occasional home run, their offensive identity is rooted in efficiency, execution, and avoiding empty at-bats—qualities that are especially effective at home against teams like Miami that have struggled with consistent run prevention. From a strategic standpoint, St. Louis is built to handle games like this one. Their formula for success is straightforward: get a strong start from Gray, establish a lead by taking advantage of early opportunities at the plate, and lean on their bullpen to control the final innings. They also benefit from clean defensive play and effective base running, which allow them to maximize every scoring chance. Against the Marlins, whose offense is often streaky and whose bullpen has been a liability, the Cardinals can methodically apply pressure and wait for mistakes to swing the game in their favor. In summary, the Cardinals enter this home matchup with a clear path to victory built on veteran pitching, situational offense, and reliable bullpen depth. If Sonny Gray delivers another efficient outing and the lineup maintains its patient, contact-driven approach, St. Louis is well-positioned to secure a win in front of its home crowd and continue its push for a postseason berth.

Miami vs. St. Louis Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Marlins and Cardinals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Busch Stadium in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Walker over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Miami vs. St. Louis Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Marlins and Cardinals and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Miami’s strength factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly unhealthy Cardinals team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Miami vs St. Louis picks, computer picks Marlins vs Cardinals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Marlins Betting Trends

Miami has covered in roughly 47% of games, reflecting ATS inconsistency on the road.

Cardinals Betting Trends

St. Louis has gone around 48–50% ATS, with marginal improvement in home contests.

Marlins vs. Cardinals Matchup Trends

Despite records, both teams sit just under .500 in ATS, but the Cardinals have shown more consistency covering in close games at home, while Miami often fails to cover shortly after strong July spurts.

Miami vs. St. Louis Game Info

Miami vs St. Louis starts on July 29, 2025 at 7:45 PM EST.

Spread: St. Louis -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +140, St. Louis -167
Over/Under: 8

Miami: (50-55)  |  St. Louis: (55-53)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Walker over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite records, both teams sit just under .500 in ATS, but the Cardinals have shown more consistency covering in close games at home, while Miami often fails to cover shortly after strong July spurts.

MIA trend: Miami has covered in roughly 47% of games, reflecting ATS inconsistency on the road.

STL trend: St. Louis has gone around 48–50% ATS, with marginal improvement in home contests.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. St. Louis Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs St. Louis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Miami vs St. Louis Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: +140
STL Moneyline: -167
MIA Spread: +1.5
STL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8

Miami vs St. Louis Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-154
+125
-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-142)
O 7.5 (-102)
U 7.5 (-125)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals on July 29, 2025 at Busch Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN