Red Sox vs Twins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 29)

Updated: 2025-07-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Boston Red Sox (approx. 57–50) visit the Minnesota Twins (approx. 50–55) in the middle game of a three-game interleague series. Minnesota enters as a modest favorite (around –120 moneyline, –1.5 run line), with the total set near 9 runs.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 29, 2025

Start Time: 7:40 PM EST​

Venue: Target Field​

Twins Record: (51-55)

Red Sox Record: (57-51)

OPENING ODDS

BOS Moneyline: -120

MIN Moneyline: +100

BOS Spread: -1.5

MIN Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

BOS
Betting Trends

  • Boston has covered roughly 49.5% of games this season, showing limited run-line consistency.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • Minnesota sits at approximately 48.5% ATS, performing slightly below average as home underdogs or favorites.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite Boston’s strong record, their ATS record is sub­.500, and the Twins have excelled in tight games featuring elite bullpen usage—especially at home.

BOS vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Bader over 3.5 Fantasy Score.

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Boston vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/29/25

The matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins on July 29, 2025, at Target Field features two teams at different points in their competitive arcs but both fighting to maintain postseason relevance. The Red Sox enter with a record around 57–50, keeping them firmly in the American League Wild Card race, while the Twins hover near 50–55, sitting just outside the AL Central lead in a division still within reach due to its parity. Boston brings a power-centric lineup and a bullpen-oriented game plan, while Minnesota leans on strong contact hitting, disciplined base running, and one of the league’s more reliable bullpens to stay in tight games. On the mound, the Red Sox will start Lucas Giolito, a right-hander who has flashed strong strikeout ability with an ERA near 3.97 but has occasionally struggled with command and efficiency, often leading to early pitch count concerns. The Twins counter with Chris Paddack, who has revitalized his career with a focus on limiting walks, generating groundballs, and pitching to soft contact. This pitching matchup highlights the stylistic contrast between the teams, with Boston aiming for strikeout-heavy control and Minnesota executing a grind-it-out approach designed to wear down starters. Boston’s offensive success revolves around its core of Alex Bregman, Trevor Story, Wilyer Abreu, Jarren Duran, and Ceddanne Rafaela. This group provides a mix of power and speed, capable of producing in bursts but also prone to streaks where timely contact is lacking. The Red Sox tend to thrive when they score early, allowing their bullpen led by Garrett Crochet and Brayan Bello to manage the middle and late innings with confidence.

However, when forced into low-scoring contests or when Giolito exits early, Boston can struggle to generate sustained rallies, particularly on the road. Their run-line performance reflects this volatility, with a record hovering around .500 ATS, as many wins come in high-scoring blowouts while close losses or narrow victories often fail to cover spreads. Against a Twins team that thrives in tight, low-scoring matchups, the Red Sox will need to demonstrate situational hitting and plate discipline to avoid falling behind in leverage moments. Minnesota’s strength lies in its ability to play fundamentally sound baseball and execute in key situations. Their lineup is led by Byron Buxton, who combines elite speed and power to catalyze the offense, with support from Harrison Bader, Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa, and Ty France, all of whom provide a mix of contact skills and defensive value. The Twins’ approach emphasizes grinding at-bats, putting balls in play, and forcing opponents into defensive mistakes rather than relying solely on home runs. Their bullpen is a major asset, featuring closer Jhoan Durán and reliable setup arms like Griffin Jax and Louis Varland, giving manager Rocco Baldelli multiple options to secure close games. At home, this formula has yielded competitive results, keeping Minnesota in the hunt even against stronger opponents. From a betting perspective, this game projects as a tight, strategic battle. Boston’s path to victory relies on Giolito setting the tone early, minimizing walks, and leveraging their bullpen to protect a lead, while the offense must capitalize on limited opportunities against Paddack. Minnesota will aim to exploit any control issues, extend at-bats, and leverage their bullpen advantage late. The Twins’ home-field comfort and bullpen depth give them a slight edge in a game likely decided by situational execution, early command from the starters, and high-leverage performance in the final three innings.

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The upcoming matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins on July 29 features two American League teams on very different trajectories: Boston enters at approximately 57–50, still a contender in the AL East and Wild Card hunt, while Minnesota sits near 50–55, battling just to stay relevant in a tight AL Central race. Minnesota opens as modest favorite at home, generally around –120 on the moneyline with a –1.5 run line, reflecting their home-field edge and recent success in tight games. Boston brings a ledger of recent offense—powered by elite hitters such as Alex Bregman, Trevor Story, Wilyer Abreu and Jarren Duran—paired with a bullpen anchored by Garrett Crochet and Brayan Bello. However, their inconsistency as road underdogs and tendency to rely on power over contact create vulnerabilities that Minnesota’s contact-first profile is built to exploit. Minnesota counters with a distinctly different formula. Starter Chris Paddack has enjoyed a renaissance this season, suppressing walks, inducing groundballs, and pitching to soft contact—ideal traits against Boston’s long-ball-heavy lineup. Minnesota’s offense emphasizes speed and on-base discipline, anchored by Byron Buxton, Harrison Bader, Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa, and Ty France, all of whom pressure pitchers through disciplined at-bats rather than swinging for the fences.

Their bullpen—led by closer Jhoan Durán with support from Griffin Jax, Louis Varland, and Danny Coulombe—brings late-game dominance and matchup flexibility, giving them a clear advantage in critical innings. Manager Rocco Baldelli’s willingness to shuffle late-inning matchups adds strategic depth, especially in low-scoring, tight-run environments. Betting trends highlight Minnesota’s proficiency in tight games at home, while Boston’s ATS record hovers around .500, reflecting a team that wins games but often fails to cover as an underdog. The Twins have shown value covering in contests where they play disciplined, small-ball baseball in front of their crowd. With the total set near 9 runs and both teams capable of controlling tempo early, under expectations looks plausible—especially if Giolito or Paddack navigate deep into the early innings with efficiency. If Giolito walks too many or struggles to limit hard contact, the Red Sox could force themselves into high-leverage bullpen use, which undermines their ability to cover. Meanwhile, if Paddack holds early and Minnesota’s offense applies even modest pressure, the Twins could not only win but also deliver ATS value. Key to this matchup will be early command from both starters, bullpen performance in critical frames, and which lineup asserts itself first. Boston needs Lucas Giolito to minimize free passes, keep pitch counts low, and set up late-inning leverage through reliable relief arms. Their offense must produce early or risk stagnation in a low-total environment. Minnesota’s success hinges on Paddack establishing control, the lineup manufacturing runs through contact and base running, and the bullpen finishing sharp. If the Twins execute that mix, their home-field strengths place them in control of both the outcome and the betting angle.

The Boston Red Sox (approx. 57–50) visit the Minnesota Twins (approx. 50–55) in the middle game of a three-game interleague series. Minnesota enters as a modest favorite (around –120 moneyline, –1.5 run line), with the total set near 9 runs. Boston vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Twins MLB Preview

The Minnesota Twins enter this crucial matchup with a 50–55 record, positioned in the middle of a competitive AL Central race where every win is critical to their Wild Card aspirations. At Target Field, the Twins have shown a distinct ability to stay competitive, particularly in tight games where pitching depth and situational execution determine outcomes. Their home performance has been more reliable than their overall record suggests, and they tend to shine in low-margin matchups where their style of play—focused on contact hitting, disciplined base running, and late-inning bullpen efficiency—can dictate the pace. Chris Paddack is expected to take the mound for the Twins, and he has found a resurgence this season by improving his command, limiting free passes, and inducing groundball contact. His approach matches up well against a Boston lineup that leans heavily on power but can be neutralized by pitchers who control the strike zone and force them to earn runs with extended at-bats. If Paddack can deliver a clean first few innings and avoid long counts, he will set the stage for Minnesota’s bullpen to take over. The Twins’ bullpen, anchored by Jhoan Durán, with reliable support from Griffin Jax, Louis Varland, and Danny Coulombe, remains one of their greatest strengths. This group gives the team confidence in holding narrow leads or keeping games close against higher-powered offenses. Offensively, Minnesota relies on a balanced approach rather than overwhelming power.

Byron Buxton remains the centerpiece, combining elite speed and improving plate discipline to generate scoring opportunities. Around him, players like Harrison Bader, Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa, and Ty France provide a lineup that focuses on contact and consistency, allowing the team to manufacture runs even without the long ball. This approach aligns perfectly with their home environment at Target Field, where teams that execute in small-ball situations often have the advantage. The Twins’ willingness to take extra bases, push the tempo, and capitalize on defensive lapses often helps them win tight games against opponents that rely more heavily on slugging. From a strategic and betting perspective, Minnesota’s formula for success is clear: keep games within reach early, lean on their bullpen late, and let their contact-oriented offense chip away at opposing pitchers. Their home-field comfort allows them to manage high-leverage innings with confidence, especially against teams like Boston that can struggle in small-ball, low-scoring contests. Paddack’s ability to keep traffic limited early will be key, as it will preserve the bullpen for its usual late-game dominance, where the Twins excel in leveraging matchups and situational pitching. In summary, the Twins are well-positioned to perform at home against the Red Sox if they can execute their game plan. Their pitching depth, defensive fundamentals, and opportunistic offense give them both a competitive edge and the ability to control the pace of the game. With Paddack setting the tone, a reliable bullpen ready to secure late innings, and a lineup that thrives on pressure and situational hitting, Minnesota has a clear path to victory and the potential to outplay expectations in front of their home crowd.

Boston vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Red Sox and Twins play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Target Field in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Bader over 3.5 Fantasy Score.

Boston vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Red Sox and Twins and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the growing weight human bettors often put on Boston’s strength factors between a Red Sox team going up against a possibly deflated Twins team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Boston vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Red Sox vs Twins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston has covered roughly 49.5% of games this season, showing limited run-line consistency.

Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota sits at approximately 48.5% ATS, performing slightly below average as home underdogs or favorites.

Red Sox vs. Twins Matchup Trends

Despite Boston’s strong record, their ATS record is sub­.500, and the Twins have excelled in tight games featuring elite bullpen usage—especially at home.

Boston vs. Minnesota Game Info

Boston vs Minnesota starts on July 29, 2025 at 7:40 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota +1.5
Moneyline: Boston -120, Minnesota +100
Over/Under: 8.5

Boston: (57-51)  |  Minnesota: (51-55)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Bader over 3.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite Boston’s strong record, their ATS record is sub­.500, and the Twins have excelled in tight games featuring elite bullpen usage—especially at home.

BOS trend: Boston has covered roughly 49.5% of games this season, showing limited run-line consistency.

MIN trend: Minnesota sits at approximately 48.5% ATS, performing slightly below average as home underdogs or favorites.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Boston vs. Minnesota Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Boston vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Boston vs Minnesota Opening Odds

BOS Moneyline: -120
MIN Moneyline: +100
BOS Spread: -1.5
MIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Boston vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-140
+127
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins on July 29, 2025 at Target Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN