Red Sox vs Twins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 29)
Updated: 2025-07-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Boston Red Sox (approx. 57–50) visit the Minnesota Twins (approx. 50–55) in the middle game of a three-game interleague series. Minnesota enters as a modest favorite (around –120 moneyline, –1.5 run line), with the total set near 9 runs.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 29, 2025
Start Time: 7:40 PM EST
Venue: Target Field
Twins Record: (51-55)
Red Sox Record: (57-51)
OPENING ODDS
BOS Moneyline: -120
MIN Moneyline: +100
BOS Spread: -1.5
MIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
BOS
Betting Trends
- Boston has covered roughly 49.5% of games this season, showing limited run-line consistency.
MIN
Betting Trends
- Minnesota sits at approximately 48.5% ATS, performing slightly below average as home underdogs or favorites.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite Boston’s strong record, their ATS record is sub.500, and the Twins have excelled in tight games featuring elite bullpen usage—especially at home.
BOS vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Bader over 3.5 Fantasy Score.
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Boston vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/29/25
However, when forced into low-scoring contests or when Giolito exits early, Boston can struggle to generate sustained rallies, particularly on the road. Their run-line performance reflects this volatility, with a record hovering around .500 ATS, as many wins come in high-scoring blowouts while close losses or narrow victories often fail to cover spreads. Against a Twins team that thrives in tight, low-scoring matchups, the Red Sox will need to demonstrate situational hitting and plate discipline to avoid falling behind in leverage moments. Minnesota’s strength lies in its ability to play fundamentally sound baseball and execute in key situations. Their lineup is led by Byron Buxton, who combines elite speed and power to catalyze the offense, with support from Harrison Bader, Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa, and Ty France, all of whom provide a mix of contact skills and defensive value. The Twins’ approach emphasizes grinding at-bats, putting balls in play, and forcing opponents into defensive mistakes rather than relying solely on home runs. Their bullpen is a major asset, featuring closer Jhoan Durán and reliable setup arms like Griffin Jax and Louis Varland, giving manager Rocco Baldelli multiple options to secure close games. At home, this formula has yielded competitive results, keeping Minnesota in the hunt even against stronger opponents. From a betting perspective, this game projects as a tight, strategic battle. Boston’s path to victory relies on Giolito setting the tone early, minimizing walks, and leveraging their bullpen to protect a lead, while the offense must capitalize on limited opportunities against Paddack. Minnesota will aim to exploit any control issues, extend at-bats, and leverage their bullpen advantage late. The Twins’ home-field comfort and bullpen depth give them a slight edge in a game likely decided by situational execution, early command from the starters, and high-leverage performance in the final three innings.
Roman for the lead!! 👊 pic.twitter.com/0mCXMlWB9b
— Red Sox (@RedSox) July 29, 2025
Boston Red Sox MLB Preview
The upcoming matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins on July 29 features two American League teams on very different trajectories: Boston enters at approximately 57–50, still a contender in the AL East and Wild Card hunt, while Minnesota sits near 50–55, battling just to stay relevant in a tight AL Central race. Minnesota opens as modest favorite at home, generally around –120 on the moneyline with a –1.5 run line, reflecting their home-field edge and recent success in tight games. Boston brings a ledger of recent offense—powered by elite hitters such as Alex Bregman, Trevor Story, Wilyer Abreu and Jarren Duran—paired with a bullpen anchored by Garrett Crochet and Brayan Bello. However, their inconsistency as road underdogs and tendency to rely on power over contact create vulnerabilities that Minnesota’s contact-first profile is built to exploit. Minnesota counters with a distinctly different formula. Starter Chris Paddack has enjoyed a renaissance this season, suppressing walks, inducing groundballs, and pitching to soft contact—ideal traits against Boston’s long-ball-heavy lineup. Minnesota’s offense emphasizes speed and on-base discipline, anchored by Byron Buxton, Harrison Bader, Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa, and Ty France, all of whom pressure pitchers through disciplined at-bats rather than swinging for the fences.
Their bullpen—led by closer Jhoan Durán with support from Griffin Jax, Louis Varland, and Danny Coulombe—brings late-game dominance and matchup flexibility, giving them a clear advantage in critical innings. Manager Rocco Baldelli’s willingness to shuffle late-inning matchups adds strategic depth, especially in low-scoring, tight-run environments. Betting trends highlight Minnesota’s proficiency in tight games at home, while Boston’s ATS record hovers around .500, reflecting a team that wins games but often fails to cover as an underdog. The Twins have shown value covering in contests where they play disciplined, small-ball baseball in front of their crowd. With the total set near 9 runs and both teams capable of controlling tempo early, under expectations looks plausible—especially if Giolito or Paddack navigate deep into the early innings with efficiency. If Giolito walks too many or struggles to limit hard contact, the Red Sox could force themselves into high-leverage bullpen use, which undermines their ability to cover. Meanwhile, if Paddack holds early and Minnesota’s offense applies even modest pressure, the Twins could not only win but also deliver ATS value. Key to this matchup will be early command from both starters, bullpen performance in critical frames, and which lineup asserts itself first. Boston needs Lucas Giolito to minimize free passes, keep pitch counts low, and set up late-inning leverage through reliable relief arms. Their offense must produce early or risk stagnation in a low-total environment. Minnesota’s success hinges on Paddack establishing control, the lineup manufacturing runs through contact and base running, and the bullpen finishing sharp. If the Twins execute that mix, their home-field strengths place them in control of both the outcome and the betting angle.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minnesota Twins MLB Preview
The Minnesota Twins enter this crucial matchup with a 50–55 record, positioned in the middle of a competitive AL Central race where every win is critical to their Wild Card aspirations. At Target Field, the Twins have shown a distinct ability to stay competitive, particularly in tight games where pitching depth and situational execution determine outcomes. Their home performance has been more reliable than their overall record suggests, and they tend to shine in low-margin matchups where their style of play—focused on contact hitting, disciplined base running, and late-inning bullpen efficiency—can dictate the pace. Chris Paddack is expected to take the mound for the Twins, and he has found a resurgence this season by improving his command, limiting free passes, and inducing groundball contact. His approach matches up well against a Boston lineup that leans heavily on power but can be neutralized by pitchers who control the strike zone and force them to earn runs with extended at-bats. If Paddack can deliver a clean first few innings and avoid long counts, he will set the stage for Minnesota’s bullpen to take over. The Twins’ bullpen, anchored by Jhoan Durán, with reliable support from Griffin Jax, Louis Varland, and Danny Coulombe, remains one of their greatest strengths. This group gives the team confidence in holding narrow leads or keeping games close against higher-powered offenses. Offensively, Minnesota relies on a balanced approach rather than overwhelming power.
Byron Buxton remains the centerpiece, combining elite speed and improving plate discipline to generate scoring opportunities. Around him, players like Harrison Bader, Royce Lewis, Carlos Correa, and Ty France provide a lineup that focuses on contact and consistency, allowing the team to manufacture runs even without the long ball. This approach aligns perfectly with their home environment at Target Field, where teams that execute in small-ball situations often have the advantage. The Twins’ willingness to take extra bases, push the tempo, and capitalize on defensive lapses often helps them win tight games against opponents that rely more heavily on slugging. From a strategic and betting perspective, Minnesota’s formula for success is clear: keep games within reach early, lean on their bullpen late, and let their contact-oriented offense chip away at opposing pitchers. Their home-field comfort allows them to manage high-leverage innings with confidence, especially against teams like Boston that can struggle in small-ball, low-scoring contests. Paddack’s ability to keep traffic limited early will be key, as it will preserve the bullpen for its usual late-game dominance, where the Twins excel in leveraging matchups and situational pitching. In summary, the Twins are well-positioned to perform at home against the Red Sox if they can execute their game plan. Their pitching depth, defensive fundamentals, and opportunistic offense give them both a competitive edge and the ability to control the pace of the game. With Paddack setting the tone, a reliable bullpen ready to secure late innings, and a lineup that thrives on pressure and situational hitting, Minnesota has a clear path to victory and the potential to outplay expectations in front of their home crowd.
Are you not entertained??? pic.twitter.com/lBmmwTQKTQ
— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) July 29, 2025
Boston vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)
Boston vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Red Sox and Twins and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors tend to put on Minnesota’s strength factors between a Red Sox team going up against a possibly healthy Twins team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Boston vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Red Sox vs Twins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston has covered roughly 49.5% of games this season, showing limited run-line consistency.
Twins Betting Trends
Minnesota sits at approximately 48.5% ATS, performing slightly below average as home underdogs or favorites.
Red Sox vs. Twins Matchup Trends
Despite Boston’s strong record, their ATS record is sub.500, and the Twins have excelled in tight games featuring elite bullpen usage—especially at home.
Boston vs. Minnesota Game Info
What time does Boston vs Minnesota start on July 29, 2025?
Boston vs Minnesota starts on July 29, 2025 at 7:40 PM EST.
Where is Boston vs Minnesota being played?
Venue: Target Field.
What are the opening odds for Boston vs Minnesota?
Spread: Minnesota +1.5
Moneyline: Boston -120, Minnesota +100
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for Boston vs Minnesota?
Boston: (57-51) | Minnesota: (51-55)
What is the AI best bet for Boston vs Minnesota?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Bader over 3.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Boston vs Minnesota trending bets?
Despite Boston’s strong record, their ATS record is sub.500, and the Twins have excelled in tight games featuring elite bullpen usage—especially at home.
What are Boston trending bets?
BOS trend: Boston has covered roughly 49.5% of games this season, showing limited run-line consistency.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: Minnesota sits at approximately 48.5% ATS, performing slightly below average as home underdogs or favorites.
Where can I find AI Picks for Boston vs Minnesota?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Boston vs. Minnesota Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Boston vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Boston vs Minnesota Opening Odds
BOS Moneyline:
-120 MIN Moneyline: +100
BOS Spread: -1.5
MIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
Boston vs Minnesota Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
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–
–
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-150
+125
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-1.5 (+120)
+1.5 (-145)
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O 7.5 (+100)
U 7.5 (-120)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins on July 29, 2025 at Target Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |