Phillies vs White Sox Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 28)

Updated: 2025-07-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Philadelphia Phillies travel to Chicago to take on the White Sox on Monday, July 28, 2025 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The Phillies are heavy favorites (~–220 moneyline; –1.5 run line), while the total is set at 8.5 runs, with many expecting a moderate scoring game leaning toward the under.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 28, 2025

Start Time: 7:40 PM EST​

Venue: Rate Field​

White Sox Record: (38-68)

Phillies Record: (60-45)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: -221

CHW Moneyline: +181

PHI Spread: -1.5

CHW Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

PHI
Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia enters with a solid 60–44 overall record, but is just 5–6 in July, including a modest 4–6 ATS mark over their last 10 games. Despite recent struggles, they’ve historically performed well as large favorites—especially strong at backing up their moneyline status.

CHW
Betting Trends

  • Chicago is one of MLB’s worst records (≈ 38–67), but the White Sox are 9–1 ATS in their last 10 as underdogs and have been competitive covering lines despite continued losses. July has been rough, however, as they’re 4–9 on the month.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • While the public showers the Phillies with support, expert models see value in Phillies –1.5 on the run line and perhaps the over, as projections expect both teams to score. Philadelphia is 14–2 this year when favored by –221 or more.

PHI vs. CHW
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tauchman over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Philadelphia vs Chicago White Sox Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/28/25

The matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Chicago White Sox on July 28, 2025, at Guaranteed Rate Field presents a classic contrast between a playoff-contending juggernaut and a team buried deep in a rebuild. The Phillies enter the game with one of the best records in the National League, boasting a 60–44 mark and flexing an elite mix of power, speed, and pitching depth that makes them a legitimate World Series threat. Their top hitters like Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and Trea Turner are each having standout campaigns—Schwarber has topped 35 home runs and is driving in runs at a torrid pace, while Turner has provided high-average production and speed atop the lineup. Harper, meanwhile, remains a clutch bat in the heart of the order, drawing walks, hitting for power, and anchoring the middle of the lineup. The Phillies’ pitching, backed by strong bullpen arms and quality rotation depth, has allowed them to stay in command of most matchups even during stretches of average play like the one they’ve had in July, where they’re a modest 5–6. Despite that blip, they’ve dominated when favored heavily—owning a 14–2 record in games where their moneyline is –220 or stronger. On the other side, the White Sox are struggling through another difficult season, sitting with one of the worst records in baseball at roughly 38–67.

However, the betting story for Chicago has been oddly encouraging—they’re 9–1 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs and continue to find ways to stay within striking distance in games even when they lose. The team’s lineup is young and inconsistent but has a few bright spots, most notably Edgar Quero and Miguel Vargas, both of whom have flashed pop and situational hitting. Their pitching is more of a question mark, as inconsistency from starters and an overused bullpen continues to cost them winnable games. For this game, the Phillies are priced as heavy favorites (approximately –220 on the moneyline), with the run line sitting at –1.5 and a total set at 8.5 runs, and early betting action is flowing toward the Phillies both on the side and on the over. Chicago’s best chance lies in keeping the game close early and trying to take advantage of any mistakes late, especially if the Phillies’ bullpen stumbles. But with how dominant Philadelphia has been against weaker opponents and in heavily favored spots, it’s hard to envision anything but a road win barring something unusual. Expect the Phillies to come out with urgency, take control behind their loaded lineup and balanced pitching staff, and cover the run line in a game that may push the total over depending on how the White Sox offense holds up against an aggressive Phillies rotation.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies arrive at Guaranteed Rate Field on July 28, 2025, with momentum and expectations riding high as they continue their push toward the top of the National League standings. Sporting a 60–44 overall record, the Phillies are firmly in playoff contention and have proven themselves as one of the league’s most complete and dangerous teams. Their offense has been a driving force behind that success, with Kyle Schwarber leading the team in home runs and RBIs, often setting the tone early with game-changing swings. Trea Turner continues to be the engine at the top of the order, hitting over .290 with consistent stolen base production and dependable defense at shortstop. Bryce Harper remains the steady heartbeat of the lineup, drawing walks, crushing fastballs, and delivering in big moments, particularly against right-handed pitching. In the rotation, Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola, and Ranger Suárez have provided stability and upside, while the bullpen anchored by José Alvarado and Seranthony Domínguez has been largely reliable, especially in high-leverage situations.

While July has been slightly less dominant for the Phillies, with a modest 5–6 stretch entering this game, they remain elite when heavily favored—owning a 14–2 record in games with a moneyline of –220 or better. Facing a struggling White Sox team that ranks near the bottom of the American League in both runs scored and team ERA, the Phillies will likely aim to jump out early, apply pressure with aggressive baserunning, and let their pitching dictate the tempo. On the road, Philadelphia has also maintained solid ATS results, consistently covering run lines against sub-.500 teams. Their key to success in this matchup will be capitalizing on scoring opportunities early and not letting Chicago hang around into the late innings where upsets tend to brew. While manager Rob Thomson has occasionally juggled the lineup to account for slumps or matchups, the top six hitters have stayed mostly intact and productive, making the offense particularly dangerous in the middle innings. With the White Sox projected to start a young or inconsistent arm, expect the Phillies to see plenty of hittable pitches and set the pace from the outset. This is the kind of game where Philadelphia can reinforce its reputation as a team that beats opponents it’s supposed to beat, and with the postseason picture starting to sharpen, every win—especially against the league’s bottom tier—matters more than ever. Look for the Phillies to play with urgency, rely on their proven bats and veteran pitching, and extend their dominance in games where they are favored by a wide margin.

The Philadelphia Phillies travel to Chicago to take on the White Sox on Monday, July 28, 2025 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The Phillies are heavy favorites (~–220 moneyline; –1.5 run line), while the total is set at 8.5 runs, with many expecting a moderate scoring game leaning toward the under. Philadelphia vs Chicago White Sox AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Chicago White Sox White Sox MLB Preview

The Chicago White Sox return home to Guaranteed Rate Field on July 28, 2025, searching for any semblance of rhythm in what has been a dismal and frustrating season. With a record of 35–70 entering this matchup against the contending Philadelphia Phillies, the White Sox are buried in the bottom of the American League standings and continue to struggle with consistency on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they’ve lacked production and power, ranking among the league’s lowest in slugging percentage and total runs scored, with only a few bright spots to speak of in an otherwise dormant lineup. Luis Robert Jr. remains the offensive centerpiece when healthy, providing some occasional pop and athleticism, but too often the team has failed to build around him with effective at-bats or consistent run support. The pitching staff, which began the season with hopes of development from its young arms, has also been a source of frustration. While Garrett Crochet has emerged as a valuable starter with elite strikeout stuff, the bullpen has routinely faltered in late-game situations, and the back end of the rotation continues to be a liability. In home games, Chicago has been even more underwhelming against the spread, going just 17–29 ATS at Guaranteed Rate Field this season, with many of those losses coming by wide margins.

The lack of offensive depth and frequent defensive lapses have made it difficult for the White Sox to stay competitive against upper-tier opponents, especially those with power-heavy lineups like Philadelphia. First-year manager Pedro Grifol has emphasized development and accountability, but there’s no denying the rebuild is firmly underway, and fan patience is wearing thin as the team struggles to offer much in the way of hope or progress. In this game, the White Sox will likely rely on a combination of youth and desperation, perhaps turning to a spot starter or inexperienced arm to fill innings against one of the best lineups in the National League. To stay competitive, they’ll need an uncharacteristically strong performance from their bullpen, timely hitting from their middle-order bats, and a defensive effort that doesn’t give away extra outs—an issue that has plagued them all year. While this may be another uphill battle, it also serves as a chance for young players like Colson Montgomery or Korey Lee to gain experience against playoff-caliber pitching and prove they belong in the team’s long-term vision. As fans brace for another long evening, the White Sox will attempt to play spoiler and snap what has been a consistent trend of losing games when listed as substantial underdogs. Even if wins are few and far between, how the team competes down the stretch will be closely watched by both management and the fanbase as they begin to evaluate what the 2026 roster may look like. A competitive showing, even in defeat, would be a modest step forward in an otherwise forgettable campaign.

Philadelphia vs. Chicago White Sox Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Phillies and White Sox play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Rate Field in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tauchman over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Philadelphia vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Phillies and White Sox and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly healthy White Sox team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Chicago White Sox picks, computer picks Phillies vs White Sox, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia enters with a solid 60–44 overall record, but is just 5–6 in July, including a modest 4–6 ATS mark over their last 10 games. Despite recent struggles, they’ve historically performed well as large favorites—especially strong at backing up their moneyline status.

White Sox Betting Trends

Chicago is one of MLB’s worst records (≈ 38–67), but the White Sox are 9–1 ATS in their last 10 as underdogs and have been competitive covering lines despite continued losses. July has been rough, however, as they’re 4–9 on the month.

Phillies vs. White Sox Matchup Trends

While the public showers the Phillies with support, expert models see value in Phillies –1.5 on the run line and perhaps the over, as projections expect both teams to score. Philadelphia is 14–2 this year when favored by –221 or more.

Philadelphia vs. Chicago White Sox Game Info

Philadelphia vs Chicago White Sox starts on July 28, 2025 at 7:40 PM EST.

Spread: Chicago White Sox +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -221, Chicago White Sox +181
Over/Under: 8.5

Philadelphia: (60-45)  |  Chicago White Sox: (38-68)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tauchman over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

While the public showers the Phillies with support, expert models see value in Phillies –1.5 on the run line and perhaps the over, as projections expect both teams to score. Philadelphia is 14–2 this year when favored by –221 or more.

PHI trend: Philadelphia enters with a solid 60–44 overall record, but is just 5–6 in July, including a modest 4–6 ATS mark over their last 10 games. Despite recent struggles, they’ve historically performed well as large favorites—especially strong at backing up their moneyline status.

CHW trend: Chicago is one of MLB’s worst records (≈ 38–67), but the White Sox are 9–1 ATS in their last 10 as underdogs and have been competitive covering lines despite continued losses. July has been rough, however, as they’re 4–9 on the month.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Chicago White Sox trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Philadelphia vs Chicago White Sox Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: -221
CHW Moneyline: +181
PHI Spread: -1.5
CHW Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Philadelphia vs Chicago White Sox Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-148
+126
-1.5 (+114)
+1.5 (-137)
O 7.5 (+100)
U 7.5 (-122)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago White Sox White Sox on July 28, 2025 at Rate Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN