Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 28)

Updated: 2025-07-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Marlins visit Busch Stadium on Monday, July 28, 2025, to face the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals are slight favorites at around –121 moneyline and –1.5 on the run line, while the total is set at 8.5 runs, suggesting a controlled match leaning toward the under.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 28, 2025

Start Time: 7:45 PM EST​

Venue: Busch Stadium​

Cardinals Record: (54-53)

Marlins Record: (50-54)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: +101

STL Moneyline: -121

MIA Spread: -1.5

STL Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

MIA
Betting Trends

  • Miami enters with a subpar 2025 season, with a record under .400. Despite that, they’re 30–30 ATS, showing balanced action and efficient market pricing, but they’ve struggled to capitalize even in favorable matchups, exemplified by a recent sweep at home to Colorado.

STL
Betting Trends

  • St. Louis is trending modestly positive as slight favorites—having won 27 of 51 games when favored by similar odds, but they’re only 3–7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and have underwhelmed in recent betting situations.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Though public money leans Cardinals, models show value on Marlins +1.5 on the run line. The line movement indicates potential betting edges on the under total—both starters and the bullpens suggest a low-scoring contest.

MIA vs. STL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Pallante under 25.5 Fantasy Score.

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Miami vs St. Louis Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/28/25

The July 28, 2025 matchup between the Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium features two teams on divergent paths in the National League, with the Cardinals holding the edge both in standings and betting expectations. Oddsmakers opened the Cardinals as slight favorites around –121, while the over/under total settled at 8.5 runs, reflecting a modest-scoring outlook built around mid-level starting pitching and streaky lineups. The Marlins limp into this series following a deflating sweep at home against the Rockies, failing to generate offense and continuing their trend of close but disappointing losses. Meanwhile, St. Louis remains in the hunt in the NL Central and brings a slightly more consistent lineup and a better bullpen into this contest, despite having lost seven of their last ten against the spread. This game represents a critical turning point for both squads—the Marlins look to salvage morale on the road with a gritty, underdog performance, while the Cardinals need a strong home win to remain relevant in a tightening division race. St. Louis has struggled with ATS performance recently and hasn’t consistently covered spreads even when favored, but Miami’s inability to convert scoring opportunities and a rising bullpen ERA suggest the edge still lies with the hosts.

Probable starting pitchers project a righty-righty matchup, and with both offenses middling in productivity, the under could be in play if the starters can eat innings efficiently. The public money is leaning toward the Cardinals on the moneyline, but sharp action has drifted toward the Marlins’ +1.5 run line, indicating value in a close affair. While neither team ranks among the league’s elite this season, the contrasting strengths—St. Louis’s home-field edge and batting depth versus Miami’s scrappy bullpen and sporadic bursts—set the stage for a tense, potentially low-scoring game where small mistakes and timely hits will determine the outcome. Expect both bullpens to play pivotal roles by the seventh inning, and look for the Cardinals to push for a quick offensive start to relieve pressure from their shaky middle relief. If Miami’s pitching can weather the early innings and limit traffic on the bases, they’ll have a path to cover or even pull off an upset, though their recent collapse versus Colorado raises questions about their current mental and competitive edge. In the end, the Cardinals’ situational advantage and crowd support at Busch Stadium likely tip the scales in their favor, but the betting edge may lie with a Marlins run-line cover and a final score that stays beneath the posted total. This contest, while not a marquee matchup, offers intriguing betting dynamics and the potential for a razor-thin margin of victory, making it a meaningful game in shaping momentum for both squads as August approaches.

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins enter their July 28 matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals with mounting frustration and a string of performances that have highlighted the team’s inconsistencies, especially on offense. Miami was recently swept at home by the lowly Colorado Rockies, a series that exposed the team’s inability to deliver in key offensive situations and left their pitching staff with little margin for error. Their offense has been anchored by Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz, but outside of those two, production has been spotty at best, particularly with runners in scoring position. The team ranks near the bottom of the National League in runs per game, and while their rotation has shown flashes of brilliance throughout the season, the bullpen has faltered in high-leverage moments. That vulnerability was especially evident in late-game collapses against the Rockies, with relievers giving up key walks and doubles that shifted momentum irreversibly. Manager Skip Schumaker continues to juggle lineups and pitching roles in search of a spark, but the Marlins have struggled to string together multi-run innings or sustain pressure over nine frames. On the mound for Miami, they are expected to send out a right-hander who’s shown decent command but has lacked deep-game endurance, often exiting around the fifth or sixth inning. That puts a heavier load on a bullpen that has posted an ERA north of 4.50 over the past ten games and has struggled in road environments.

Despite those challenges, the Marlins do present a team with fight—they often keep games within a run or two and are above-average on the road against the spread, which offers bettors some value on the +1.5 line. Defensively, they’ve been more than competent, avoiding major errors and showing decent range in the infield, but their inability to turn double plays quickly has cost them several times. In terms of strategy, Miami will likely try to manufacture runs through bunts, steals, and hit-and-run tactics, especially if the long ball remains elusive. They are also known for playing competitively in day games, and this afternoon contest could serve as a much-needed psychological reset after a draining homestand. To contend in St. Louis, Miami must capitalize on any early opportunities, as falling behind by multiple runs early has proven to be a death sentence given their lack of late-game firepower. The Marlins’ path to a win relies on a quality start that suppresses the Cardinals’ top-of-the-order threats and on stringing together enough situational hitting to overcome their power gap. While an outright win would be a strong statement and momentum builder, the more realistic goal may be playing clean, mistake-free baseball and staying competitive into the final three innings. The Marlins are not a hopeless squad, but they remain one in search of identity, consistency, and a leader capable of igniting a roster that often shows flashes of promise only to fade in execution. A competitive showing in St. Louis could help turn the narrative, but anything short of improved plate discipline and bullpen reliability may keep Miami firmly in spoiler territory as the season pushes deeper into the summer.

The Miami Marlins visit Busch Stadium on Monday, July 28, 2025, to face the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals are slight favorites at around –121 moneyline and –1.5 on the run line, while the total is set at 8.5 runs, suggesting a controlled match leaning toward the under. Miami vs St. Louis AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals return to Busch Stadium on July 28 with a favorable matchup against the slumping Miami Marlins, aiming to correct recent inconsistencies and capitalize on a struggling opponent. After a frustrating stretch that has seen the Cardinals drop seven of their last ten against the spread, the team knows the urgency of each remaining game, especially within a tight NL Central race where momentum can shift quickly. Offensively, St. Louis has been anchored by the steady production of veterans like Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt, both of whom have continued to deliver clutch hits and reliable at-bats even when the lineup around them has been uneven. Rookie contributors and middle-order bats such as Masyn Winn and Brendan Donovan have offered sporadic pop and table-setting, but a lack of consistency from the bottom of the order has led to missed opportunities in games the Cardinals should have won. Still, when the offense clicks, it’s capable of punishing weaker pitching staffs—an opportunity they will certainly eye against Miami’s vulnerable bullpen. On the pitching side, the Cardinals are expected to start a right-hander who has performed well at home this season, showing solid command and keeping the ball in the park—two keys to neutralizing a Marlins lineup that lacks significant power.

The bullpen, while talented, has struggled to maintain leads, and manager Oliver Marmol has had to get creative with late-inning matchups to protect slim advantages. St. Louis knows that if they are to gain traction in the division, they must dominate teams like Miami at home and begin stacking wins consistently. Defensively, the Cardinals remain among the sharper units in baseball, with Tommy Edman and Nolan Arenado providing elite infield defense that has bailed out pitchers on numerous occasions. Their run prevention has been more effective when they avoid extended bullpen exposure, and the game plan will likely involve a push for six solid innings from the starter followed by a mix of high-leverage relievers to close it out. Given the Marlins’ tendency to struggle in the middle innings, look for St. Louis to stay aggressive at the plate, particularly in the second and third times through the order. The Cardinals have also played better at Busch in recent weeks, and the comfort of home may be enough to refocus a team that has sometimes looked out of sync on the road. This game represents more than just a single matchup—it’s an opportunity for St. Louis to reinforce their competitive standing, prove they can put away lesser opponents, and ignite a run that carries through August. If they execute early and get a quality outing on the mound, the Cardinals should be in position to control the tempo and outcome. The key will be translating pressure into production, and if the big bats deliver as they often do in front of the home crowd, St. Louis could come away with a decisive win that helps set the tone for a crucial homestand.

Miami vs. St. Louis Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Marlins and Cardinals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Busch Stadium in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Pallante under 25.5 Fantasy Score.

Miami vs. St. Louis Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Marlins and Cardinals and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly tired Cardinals team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Miami vs St. Louis picks, computer picks Marlins vs Cardinals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Marlins Betting Trends

Miami enters with a subpar 2025 season, with a record under .400. Despite that, they’re 30–30 ATS, showing balanced action and efficient market pricing, but they’ve struggled to capitalize even in favorable matchups, exemplified by a recent sweep at home to Colorado.

Cardinals Betting Trends

St. Louis is trending modestly positive as slight favorites—having won 27 of 51 games when favored by similar odds, but they’re only 3–7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and have underwhelmed in recent betting situations.

Marlins vs. Cardinals Matchup Trends

Though public money leans Cardinals, models show value on Marlins +1.5 on the run line. The line movement indicates potential betting edges on the under total—both starters and the bullpens suggest a low-scoring contest.

Miami vs. St. Louis Game Info

Miami vs St. Louis starts on July 28, 2025 at 7:45 PM EST.

Spread: St. Louis +1.5
Moneyline: Miami +101, St. Louis -121
Over/Under: 8.5

Miami: (50-54)  |  St. Louis: (54-53)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Pallante under 25.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Though public money leans Cardinals, models show value on Marlins +1.5 on the run line. The line movement indicates potential betting edges on the under total—both starters and the bullpens suggest a low-scoring contest.

MIA trend: Miami enters with a subpar 2025 season, with a record under .400. Despite that, they’re 30–30 ATS, showing balanced action and efficient market pricing, but they’ve struggled to capitalize even in favorable matchups, exemplified by a recent sweep at home to Colorado.

STL trend: St. Louis is trending modestly positive as slight favorites—having won 27 of 51 games when favored by similar odds, but they’re only 3–7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and have underwhelmed in recent betting situations.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. St. Louis Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs St. Louis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Miami vs St. Louis Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: +101
STL Moneyline: -121
MIA Spread: -1.5
STL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Miami vs St. Louis Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-149
+122
-1.5 (+119)
+1.5 (-145)
O 7 (-125)
U 7 (+103)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals on July 28, 2025 at Busch Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN