Dodgers vs. Reds
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 28 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds on Monday, July 28, 2025. The Dodgers are modest favorites (~–144 moneyline; –1.5 run line), while the total is set at 8.5 runs, hinting at a tighter, lower-scoring matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 28, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: Great American Ball Park​

Reds Record: (56-50)

Dodgers Record: (61-45)

OPENING ODDS

LAD Moneyline: -172

CIN Moneyline: +143

LAD Spread: -1.5

CIN Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

LAD
Betting Trends

  • Los Angeles arrives with a strong season record (61–45) and typically performs well in high-leverage road games, though they struggled in July (around 5–10 in the month). ATS results have been decent overall, but recent form has cooled slightly.

CIN
Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati sits at about 56–50 and has been inconsistent at home—particularly against quality opponents—struggling to cover when short favorites.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite the prevalence of public bets on the Dodgers, expert models and simulations point toward value in Dodgers –1.5 on the run line and the under on total 8.5, backed by Los Angeles’s elite strikeout ability and Cincinnati’s recent pitcher inconsistency.

LAD vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Y. Yamamoto over 25.5 Fantasy Score.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/28/25

The upcoming matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds on July 28, 2025, at Great American Ball Park sets the stage for a high-stakes battle between a perennial World Series contender and an emerging National League wildcard hopeful. The Dodgers enter the contest at 61–45 and lead the NL West, while the Reds sit at 56–50, competing tightly in the Central and aiming to stay afloat in the postseason race. What makes this showdown particularly intriguing is the pitching duel between Los Angeles ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Cincinnati rookie Chase Burns. Yamamoto, a midseason All-Star, continues to thrive in his first MLB season with a 2.55 ERA, exceptional WHIP of 1.05, and a K/BB ratio among the league’s best. On the other hand, Chase Burns, the No. 2 overall pick in 2024, is still adjusting to big-league hitters, evident in his inconsistent outings and inflated 6.65 ERA. From a trends and betting standpoint, the Dodgers opened as -175 favorites with the run line set at -1.5, and the total listed at 9 runs, leaning slightly toward the under due to Yamamoto’s presence on the mound and the Reds’ shaky offense. Historically, L.A. has dominated this matchup, winning 14 of their last 20 games against Cincinnati, including series wins in four of the last five meetings. In terms of lineup depth, the Dodgers are loaded, led by Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, and Will Smith—all capable of turning a game around with one swing.

Even with Max Muncy on the injured list, L.A. has compensated with timely hitting from James Outman and Enrique Hernández. Cincinnati’s bats, though less potent, are buoyed by Elly De La Cruz’s explosiveness and Jeimer Candelario’s power potential, but remain vulnerable to dominant right-handed pitching. The Reds’ bullpen, already questionable, took a blow when former closer Alexis Díaz was traded to the Dodgers and now strengthens their opponents’ late-inning arsenal. That swap has immediate ramifications for this game, as L.A. has a proven finisher in Díaz while the Reds turn to inexperienced arms to preserve leads. Weather forecasts suggest warm, humid conditions with little wind—favoring hitters—but the pitching advantage still heavily tilts toward the Dodgers. Bettors should note that L.A. has covered the run line in 11 of its last 14 games as road favorites against sub-.600 teams, and with Yamamoto on the hill, public and sharp money align in support of another such cover. Cincinnati, meanwhile, is just 6–11 in games started by rookie pitchers against teams with winning records, underlining the uphill battle they face. If Yamamoto cruises through the early innings and the Dodgers offense gets to Burns by the third or fourth, this game could be out of reach before the stretch. All signs point to Los Angeles securing a methodical, low-scoring win, with Yamamoto shining and the bullpen locking it down behind him. Expect a crisp, professional performance from a Dodgers team still chasing the best record in the National League and a Reds squad that, while promising, remains a step behind in roster maturity and experience.

Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers MLB Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers enter this matchup against the Cincinnati Reds on July 28, 2025, with a clear sense of momentum and superiority, backed by one of the most balanced and formidable rosters in baseball. At 61–45 and sitting atop the NL West, the Dodgers have asserted themselves as not just division leaders but also legitimate World Series contenders. Their success this season has been powered by a combination of elite starting pitching, a deep and dangerous lineup, and a reliable bullpen that now includes former Reds closer Alexis Díaz. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who draws the start in this game, has been brilliant in his first MLB season. The Japanese right-hander boasts a 2.55 ERA and a sterling strikeout-to-walk ratio, painting the corners with his devastating splitter and keeping hitters off balance with a lively fastball. He has been nearly untouchable against teams with below-average offenses, and the Reds have struggled to produce consistently against frontline pitching. Supporting Yamamoto is an offense that features the relentless trio of Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman—each of whom has an OPS over .850 and is capable of turning any game with a single swing. Even without Max Muncy, who remains on the IL, the Dodgers have seen solid contributions from James Outman and veteran utilityman Enrique Hernández.

Perhaps most impressively, Los Angeles leads the National League in team OBP and ranks near the top in run differential, illustrating their ability to dominate on both sides of the ball. Their defense is also among the cleanest in the majors, thanks to Betts’ versatility and Smith’s framing behind the plate. Manager Dave Roberts has done a superb job managing workloads and navigating injuries, keeping the club fresh for the stretch run. With a bullpen now anchored by Evan Phillips, Brusdar Graterol, and Alexis Díaz, the Dodgers can effectively shorten games to six innings when leading. The team has also been exceptional in high-leverage moments, going 22–13 in one-run games, a testament to their composure and experience. Against Cincinnati, the Dodgers will aim to jump on rookie starter Chase Burns early, forcing him to work from behind in counts and capitalizing on any nerves or command issues. If Yamamoto gives them six strong innings and the offense does its job, L.A. is well-positioned to record another road win. The Dodgers have also fared well on this road trip, winning five of their last seven away from Chavez Ravine and showing no signs of fatigue. In games like this—against a young, up-and-down opponent with an unproven starter—Los Angeles’s championship pedigree usually shines through. The team understands the importance of securing every win possible in the competitive National League playoff picture, and with the Reds likely to be scrapping for wild card relevance down the stretch, the Dodgers will look to set the tone and remind the league that they remain a powerhouse.

The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds on Monday, July 28, 2025. The Dodgers are modest favorites (~–144 moneyline; –1.5 run line), while the total is set at 8.5 runs, hinting at a tighter, lower-scoring matchup. Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers to Great American Ball Park on July 28, 2025, with hopes of snapping a recent cold spell and reasserting themselves in the National League playoff race. Sitting at 50–54 and trailing in the NL Central, the Reds’ 2025 season has been an uneven mix of thrilling flashes of potential and frustrating inconsistency, especially on offense. Injuries, including the loss of closer Alexis Díaz—now ironically with the Dodgers—have forced Cincinnati to rely heavily on younger arms and emerging talent. One of those emerging arms, right-hander Chase Burns, will be making his much-anticipated start in this game. The rookie was promoted after dominating Triple-A with an electric fastball-slider combo and elite strikeout numbers, and the Reds are eager to see how he fares under the bright lights against one of baseball’s most feared lineups. Burns brings high-octane stuff to the table, but his command can waver, and a lineup like the Dodgers’ will waste no time capitalizing on mistakes. The Reds’ offense, led by Elly De La Cruz, Spencer Steer, and Matt McLain, has been explosive at times but also frustratingly streaky. De La Cruz remains the team’s most exciting weapon—capable of turning any routine play into a highlight reel with his elite speed and raw power—but he continues to struggle with pitch recognition and strikeout issues. Veteran infielder Jeimer Candelario has quietly been the team’s most consistent hitter, providing key at-bats in the heart of the lineup, while TJ Friedl and Christian Encarnacion-Strand have chipped in during recent weeks.

However, the lineup’s lack of sustained production with runners in scoring position has haunted them, especially in close games, and they’ll need to be sharper in that area if they want to contend against a deep Dodgers bullpen. Defensively, the Reds have been average, with their infield defense providing the bulk of stability, though the outfield remains a concern in terms of range and positioning. Their bullpen, having traded Díaz, now leans on Lucas Sims and Fernando Cruz in the late innings, but inconsistency has been a major issue. The Reds have lost 12 one-run games since June 1, an indication that timely pitching and clutch hitting continue to evade them. That said, Cincinnati still boasts one of the youngest and most energetic rosters in the league, and playing in front of a home crowd that has grown increasingly supportive of the youth movement could help swing momentum. Manager David Bell has emphasized aggressive baserunning and defensive pressure, and that approach will be critical if the Reds want to rattle a precise pitcher like Yamamoto. The Reds also play better at home, with an OPS nearly 50 points higher at Great American Ball Park compared to the road, and they’ll look to lean into that home-field advantage to hang with L.A. While this is undoubtedly a challenging matchup, it’s also a valuable test for Cincinnati’s future—a measuring stick series to see how their next generation stacks up against an elite opponent. A strong outing by Burns and a few timely hits could give the Reds the lift they need to turn their season back in the right direction.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Dodgers and Reds play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Great American Ball Park in Jul can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Y. Yamamoto over 25.5 Fantasy Score.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Dodgers and Reds and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Cincinnati’s strength factors between a Dodgers team going up against a possibly strong Reds team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Dodgers vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Dodgers Betting Trends

Los Angeles arrives with a strong season record (61–45) and typically performs well in high-leverage road games, though they struggled in July (around 5–10 in the month). ATS results have been decent overall, but recent form has cooled slightly.

Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati sits at about 56–50 and has been inconsistent at home—particularly against quality opponents—struggling to cover when short favorites.

Dodgers vs. Reds Matchup Trends

Despite the prevalence of public bets on the Dodgers, expert models and simulations point toward value in Dodgers –1.5 on the run line and the under on total 8.5, backed by Los Angeles’s elite strikeout ability and Cincinnati’s recent pitcher inconsistency.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Game Info

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati starts on July 28, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: Cincinnati +1.5
Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers -172, Cincinnati +143
Over/Under: 9

Los Angeles Dodgers: (61-45)  |  Cincinnati: (56-50)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Y. Yamamoto over 25.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite the prevalence of public bets on the Dodgers, expert models and simulations point toward value in Dodgers –1.5 on the run line and the under on total 8.5, backed by Los Angeles’s elite strikeout ability and Cincinnati’s recent pitcher inconsistency.

LAD trend: Los Angeles arrives with a strong season record (61–45) and typically performs well in high-leverage road games, though they struggled in July (around 5–10 in the month). ATS results have been decent overall, but recent form has cooled slightly.

CIN trend: Cincinnati sits at about 56–50 and has been inconsistent at home—particularly against quality opponents—struggling to cover when short favorites.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Opening Odds

LAD Moneyline: -172
CIN Moneyline: +143
LAD Spread: -1.5
CIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
In Progress
Orioles
Yankees
0
3
+950
-2000
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-130)
O 6.5 (-140)
U 6.5 (+105)
In Progress
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
0
0
 
-185
 
-1.5 (+105)
O 9.5 (-125)
U 9.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
-105
-115
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+190
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-140
+115
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+105
-125
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-215
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+110
-130
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+120
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+120
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-115)
U 7 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds on July 28, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS