Braves vs. Royals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 28 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-07-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Atlanta Braves travel to Kauffman Stadium to face the Kansas City Royals on Monday, July 28, 2025, with the Braves listed around –170 on the moneyline and –1.5 on the run line, and a total set at approximately 9.5 runs, indicating expectations for a competitive, moderately scoring affair.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 28, 2025
Start Time: 7:40 PM EST
Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Royals Record: (52-54)
Braves Record: (44-60)
OPENING ODDS
ATL Moneyline: -169
KC Moneyline: +142
ATL Spread: -1.5
KC Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
ATL
Betting Trends
- Atlanta enters the matchup with a 44–60 record, stumbling through recent form with 0–5 in their last five games, and delivering poor ATS value as road favorites over the past several outings.
KC
Betting Trends
- Kansas City, sitting at 52–54, has shown modest resilience, going 3–2 in their last five, and performing decently ATS at home when underdogs, particularly in tight, lower-scoring games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Though the public heavily backs Atlanta, expert models favor Braves –1.5 on the run line and the over 9.5, citing potent Braves offense and Royals inconsistent pitching, despite Kauffman Stadium being a neutral venue on run environment.
ATL vs. KC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Strider under 40.5 Fantasy Score.
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Atlanta vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/28/25
Kansas City has capitalized on that kind of vulnerability in recent games, especially at home, where their hitting has shown flashes behind Vinnie Pasquantino and Maikel Garcia, while Salvador Pérez continues to deliver timely knocks and leadership. Still, the Royals have their own pitching problems, with the rotation relying heavily on young arms and spot starters to bridge the gap left by absences and inconsistencies. The total sits around 9.5 runs, which suggests both clubs could put runs on the board if the offenses heat up and the bullpens crack late. What this all sets up is a game where the Braves have the talent edge, but their form and shaky pitching cast real doubt, especially if Kansas City’s scrappy offensive approach keeps them close into the late innings. Atlanta must rediscover their early-season identity, particularly from the plate, to avoid being outfoxed by a team with less firepower but arguably more confidence right now. The Braves need more than just a win—they need a statement game that reasserts them as a dangerous team, while Kansas City sees this as another chance to prove they’re more than a middling club playing out the string. Both teams are in search of consistency, and this game may pivot on which offense starts hot and whether either bullpen can hold up against late-inning pressure. For fans and bettors alike, this one is a compelling blend of underperforming potential versus overachieving grit, with value possibly resting not just on who wins, but how it happens and when the game breaks open.
Series finale.#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/99zyNLHaEL
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) July 27, 2025
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves arrive in Kansas City looking to halt a disheartening skid that has seen them lose five straight games and continue a troubling slide that’s left them 44–60 on the season, a far cry from their recent status as a National League powerhouse. Injuries have taken a toll, with ace Chris Sale on the 60-day injured list and several other key contributors either sidelined or underperforming, forcing the Braves to dig deep into their rotation and bullpen while hoping for a jolt from their offense. Unfortunately, that offense has been inconsistent at best, with stars like Ronald Acuña Jr. and Matt Olson producing below expectations recently, and clutch hitting drying up in critical moments. Their team OPS has been trending downward, and their inability to sustain rallies or capitalize on scoring opportunities has repeatedly left runners stranded in tight games. Defensively, Atlanta remains sound, but the margin for error is thin without dominant pitching or a red-hot offense, especially on the road where their struggles have only been magnified. The Braves’ road ATS performance has disappointed, with bettors losing confidence as the team fails to cover spreads they once routinely dominated.
Their bullpen has been overused in recent weeks, and cracks are beginning to show, with late-inning collapses costing them valuable leads and turning close games into lopsided losses. Manager Brian Snitker is undoubtedly searching for answers, experimenting with lineup shifts and matchup-based bullpen deployments to try to regain momentum. A win against the Royals could provide a much-needed spark, particularly if Atlanta can find early offense and protect a lead through the middle innings. For that to happen, the Braves’ top bats need to break through against a Kansas City pitching staff that is serviceable but not elite, especially when it comes to limiting extra-base hits. The Braves still possess the potential to outslug nearly any opponent, and their season is not yet beyond repair, but the urgency is growing by the day as they fall further behind in the NL East and Wild Card races. While recent form suggests hesitation, the pedigree and experience within the Braves’ clubhouse mean they’re capable of reversing course quickly if they can shake off their funk and rediscover the aggressive, patient approach that made them so feared just a season ago. A loss in Kansas City would deepen the funk and raise more serious questions about the Braves’ direction in the second half, but a statement win—especially one sparked by the long ball and solid pitching—could be the jolt they need to get back on track.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas City Royals MLB Preview
The Kansas City Royals come into this Monday matchup against the Atlanta Braves playing some of their most inspired baseball of the summer, riding a 6–4 stretch over their last 10 games that has them steadily holding ground in the American League Central and positioning themselves firmly in the Wild Card conversation. At 57–47 overall, the Royals are well ahead of preseason expectations and have evolved from an early-season surprise into a legitimate contender thanks to a mix of dominant starting pitching, solid bullpen depth, and an offense that continues to manufacture runs at key moments. Cole Ragans, the scheduled starter, has emerged as a bona fide ace in Kansas City’s rotation, boasting an ERA in the low 3s and routinely logging quality starts while limiting damage through a strong mix of high-90s heat and effective off-speed stuff. Ragans’ ability to miss bats and pitch deep into games has taken significant pressure off the bullpen, allowing the Royals to play more confidently in close contests. Offensively, the Royals don’t have a single MVP candidate carrying them but instead have crafted a dangerous lineup top to bottom with the likes of Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, and Maikel Garcia all contributing at different stages. Witt Jr. continues to be a dynamic threat both at the plate and on the basepaths, while Perez brings invaluable leadership and power from the heart of the order, helping the Royals remain competitive even when facing elite pitching.
Defensively, Kansas City has tightened up considerably and ranks near the top of the league in fielding percentage, with clean defensive work behind the plate and in the outfield translating into fewer unearned runs and more confidence from the pitching staff. Their 29–21 home record is one of the better marks in the AL, and playing at Kauffman Stadium has consistently brought out their best baseball, with both offense and pitching finding another gear in front of the home crowd. ATS bettors have taken notice of Kansas City’s consistency at home, as the Royals have covered in five of their last seven games at Kauffman and tend to hold value when listed as small favorites or pick-ems. The team has also shown an impressive knack for late-inning resilience, coming from behind in multiple recent games and showing that no lead against them is ever safe. As they prepare to face a slumping Braves team missing key arms and showing visible signs of frustration, the Royals have a golden opportunity to set the tone early and pressure Atlanta’s young or overworked bullpen into costly mistakes. If Ragans can control the strike zone and keep Braves hitters guessing, and if the top third of the Royals’ order continues to get on base, Kansas City will have every chance to take control of this matchup and further solidify its playoff aspirations. With a mix of momentum, pitching depth, and timely hitting, the Royals look every bit the favorite heading into this cross-league showdown and will aim to capitalize on a struggling opponent to keep their second-half push rolling.
Series secured!#HEYHEYHEYHEY pic.twitter.com/MHIneoSOyg
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) July 27, 2025
Atlanta vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)
Atlanta vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Braves and Royals and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Braves team going up against a possibly healthy Royals team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Braves vs Royals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Braves Betting Trends
Atlanta enters the matchup with a 44–60 record, stumbling through recent form with 0–5 in their last five games, and delivering poor ATS value as road favorites over the past several outings.
Royals Betting Trends
Kansas City, sitting at 52–54, has shown modest resilience, going 3–2 in their last five, and performing decently ATS at home when underdogs, particularly in tight, lower-scoring games.
Braves vs. Royals Matchup Trends
Though the public heavily backs Atlanta, expert models favor Braves –1.5 on the run line and the over 9.5, citing potent Braves offense and Royals inconsistent pitching, despite Kauffman Stadium being a neutral venue on run environment.
Atlanta vs. Kansas City Game Info
What time does Atlanta vs Kansas City start on July 28, 2025?
Atlanta vs Kansas City starts on July 28, 2025 at 7:40 PM EST.
Where is Atlanta vs Kansas City being played?
Venue: Kauffman Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Atlanta vs Kansas City?
Spread: Kansas City +1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -169, Kansas City +142
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for Atlanta vs Kansas City?
Atlanta: (44-60) | Kansas City: (52-54)
What is the AI best bet for Atlanta vs Kansas City?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Strider under 40.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Atlanta vs Kansas City trending bets?
Though the public heavily backs Atlanta, expert models favor Braves –1.5 on the run line and the over 9.5, citing potent Braves offense and Royals inconsistent pitching, despite Kauffman Stadium being a neutral venue on run environment.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: Atlanta enters the matchup with a 44–60 record, stumbling through recent form with 0–5 in their last five games, and delivering poor ATS value as road favorites over the past several outings.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: Kansas City, sitting at 52–54, has shown modest resilience, going 3–2 in their last five, and performing decently ATS at home when underdogs, particularly in tight, lower-scoring games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Atlanta vs Kansas City?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Atlanta vs. Kansas City Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Atlanta vs Kansas City Opening Odds
ATL Moneyline:
-169 KC Moneyline: +142
ATL Spread: -1.5
KC Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
Atlanta vs Kansas City Live Odds
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O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
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U 9 (+100)
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–
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+132
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U 8.5 (-114)
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U 8.5 (-110)
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O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
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-124
+106
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-1.5 (+130)
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O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
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Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
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9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
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–
–
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+177
-197
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+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
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O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-102)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
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–
–
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+128
-152
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+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
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–
–
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+143
-158
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+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
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Cleveland Guardians
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+132
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+1.5 (-172)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
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Diamondbacks
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+120
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+1.5 (-180)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
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Dodgers
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–
–
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+102
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+1.5 (-215)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
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Royals
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–
–
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+104
-115
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+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Atlanta Braves vs. Kansas City Royals on July 28, 2025 at Kauffman Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |