Mets vs Giants Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 26)

Updated: 2025-07-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Saturday’s showdown at Oracle Park features the New York Mets traveling to San Francisco to take on the Giants in a pivotal clash of NL Wild Card hopefuls. The Mets are slight underdogs (–105 ML, +1.5 run line), while the Giants are listed around –115, and the total is projected at just 7.5 runs.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 26, 2025

Start Time: 9:05 PM EST​

Venue: Oracle Park​

Giants Record: (54-50)

Mets Record: (60-44)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: -105

SF Moneyline: -114

NYM Spread: -1.5

SF Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

NYM
Betting Trends

  • New York leads MLB in bullpen ERA (3.57) and ranks among the league’s top units, boasting an ATS edge during tight games thanks to consistent run prevention in late innings.

SF
Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is currently 54–49 on the year and holds a solid ATS profile at home, aided by a favorable rotation and reliable bullpen performance in close contests.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Only three of the Giants’ last ten games have exceeded their total line (7.5), reflecting a macro trend toward unders in their recent stretch, while Mets/Giants games historically are pitcher-friendly with low-scoring finishes.

NYM vs. SF
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Alvarez over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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New York Mets vs San Francisco Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/26/25

Saturday’s National League matchup between the New York Mets and the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park presents a tightly contested duel between two clubs separated by just a handful of games in the standings, with playoff implications simmering as the season rolls into late July. The Mets enter with a 59–44 record and a hold on the NL East lead, while the Giants are fighting for ground in the Wild Card race at 54–49, making each game in this series a critical chapter for both teams. Starting pitchers David Peterson (6–4, 2.90 ERA) and Robbie Ray (9–4, 2.92 ERA) both take the mound with nearly identical earned run averages and similar profiles as left-handers who lean on location, changing speeds, and pitch sequencing rather than overpowering fastballs, setting the tone for what projects to be a low-scoring chess match. Both rotations are backed by reliable bullpens, with the Mets possessing the best bullpen ERA in the majors and boasting elite relievers like Edwin Díaz and Huascar Brazoban, who have proven to be nearly automatic when handed a lead after the seventh. The Giants counter with JoJo Romero, Tristan Beck, and Camilo Doval, offering a trio that can close down close games and keep pressure on opposing hitters with high strikeout rates and good WHIPs.

Offensively, New York has a bit more thump, anchored by Juan Soto and Pete Alonso, who bring a combination of on-base discipline and slugging, while Francisco Lindor and Jeff McNeil provide speed and clutch hitting to help manufacture runs in tight spots. San Francisco leans on Rafael Devers, Wilmer Flores, and Willy Adames for their run production, but this is not a lineup that often overpowers opponents—it relies more on situational execution and timely hits, which fits their recent trend of low-scoring games. In fact, only three of their last ten contests have gone over the total, and with Saturday’s line set at 7.5, both teams’ profiles support the under as a likely outcome. The defensive edge likely belongs to the Mets, who have committed fewer errors this season and convert double plays at a slightly higher clip, giving them a crucial edge in a game where one extra baserunner might decide the outcome. Peterson’s role is to keep the Giants off balance and avoid early jams; if he can deliver six innings of one- or two-run ball, the Mets’ bullpen will be in prime position to lock things down. For San Francisco, Ray will need to keep Soto and Alonso quiet and avoid long innings early, or risk exposing his bullpen to more than nine outs, which could prove too much against a team with power up and down the lineup. With both managers likely to play for one-run innings and avoid unnecessary risks, the outcome may boil down to which side commits fewer mistakes and executes in late-game scenarios—an area where New York’s deeper bullpen and more explosive lineup give them a slight edge. However, in a pitcher’s park like Oracle and with two crafty lefties on the hill, fans should expect a tight, tense game where every pitch counts and one swing could tip the scales.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets travel to Oracle Park on Saturday with a 59–44 record and control of the NL East, aiming to extend their strong stretch of play behind a balanced attack that blends power, discipline, and elite pitching. Their rotation has been stabilized by David Peterson, who is slated to start and enters with a 6–4 record and a 2.90 ERA, showcasing consistent command and an ability to neutralize both right- and left-handed batters through excellent sequencing and soft contact. Peterson’s performance is even more valuable considering the ballpark he’s pitching in—Oracle Park favors pitchers with its deep alleys and cooler air, and his ability to pitch to contact without giving up home runs could be pivotal against a Giants lineup that relies more on timely hits than raw slugging. The Mets bullpen remains a clear strength and arguably the best in baseball, with closer Edwin Díaz rounding back into form and middle relievers like Huascar Brazoban and Brooks Raley consistently bridging games from the sixth inning on without allowing crooked numbers. On offense, New York is powered by Juan Soto, who boasts an OBP near .390 and a slugging percentage approaching .500, while Pete Alonso leads the team in home runs and RBIs, providing essential right-handed pop in the middle of the order.

Francisco Lindor continues to provide elite defense and a blend of power and speed at shortstop, while Jeff McNeil and Brett Baty give manager Carlos Mendoza options for left-handed balance in run-scoring situations. The Mets also benefit from strong team defense—particularly on the infield—where they consistently rank among the league’s best in double plays and fielding percentage, helping pitchers get out of innings cleanly. When on the road, the Mets are slightly above .500 and have performed well as slight underdogs, especially in games where pitching takes precedence and their bullpen can shorten contests. Saturday’s matchup fits that mold perfectly: Peterson is unlikely to go deeper than six innings, but if he hands off a one- or two-run lead, the Mets’ bullpen and late-inning power give them a reliable formula to finish games. Against Robbie Ray, New York will likely look to be patient early, drive up his pitch count, and force San Francisco into its bullpen before the seventh inning, where matchups can be exploited by Alonso and Mark Vientos from the right side. Given the low total of 7.5, this isn’t a game where New York will need five or six runs to win—they’ll likely focus on manufacturing two or three through walks, situational hitting, and occasional power. In terms of recent ATS trends, New York has consistently covered in low-scoring games where the spread is tight and the total favors the under, which aligns well with Saturday’s outlook. The key to a Mets victory will be Peterson continuing his strong form, avoiding free passes to Devers or Flores, and letting the bats of Soto and Alonso do enough damage early to let the bullpen take over—something New York has executed with elite efficiency all season long.

Saturday’s showdown at Oracle Park features the New York Mets traveling to San Francisco to take on the Giants in a pivotal clash of NL Wild Card hopefuls. The Mets are slight underdogs (–105 ML, +1.5 run line), while the Giants are listed around –115, and the total is projected at just 7.5 runs. New York Mets vs San Francisco AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

San Francisco Giants MLB Preview

The San Francisco Giants return to Oracle Park on Saturday night for a critical matchup against the New York Mets, bringing with them a 54–49 record and a season defined by grinding out close games with efficient pitching and timely, if not explosive, offense. Expected to start is veteran left-hander Robbie Ray, who holds a 9–4 record with a 2.92 ERA and has been everything the Giants hoped for as a front-line starter capable of neutralizing high-powered lineups with movement, velocity variation, and command to both sides of the plate. Ray’s performance at home has been especially encouraging, where he has taken advantage of Oracle Park’s pitcher-friendly dimensions to keep the ball in play and consistently navigate opposing middle-of-the-order threats. His biggest challenge Saturday will be containing Juan Soto and Pete Alonso, the heart of a potent Mets lineup that can change a game with one swing, but Ray’s ability to induce weak contact and work deep into games should give the Giants a fighting chance if their offense can scratch out a few early runs. Offensively, San Francisco leans on a scrappy mix of veterans and emerging players, with Rafael Devers and Wilmer Flores offering left-right balance in the heart of the order and Willy Adames providing gap power and steady defense up the middle.

The team also benefits from the speed and on-base ability of Heliot Ramos and the consistent contact of Thairo Estrada, giving manager Bob Melvin a few different looks depending on the game situation. San Francisco’s biggest weapon in close contests has been its bullpen, led by JoJo Romero, Tristan Beck, and closer Camilo Doval, who have repeatedly shut the door on late-inning threats and provided a reliable bridge from the sixth inning onward when the starting rotation does its job. The Giants have also thrived defensively this season, particularly on the left side of the infield where Adames and Devers have kept errors down and turned crucial double plays that have kept opponents from putting up big innings. When playing at Oracle Park, the Giants are just over .500 and have performed particularly well in games with low totals, which matches the 7.5 total line for Saturday. They’ve hit the under in seven of their last ten games, a trend driven by the combination of sharp starting pitching and an offense that often scores just enough rather than in bunches. To win against New York, San Francisco will need Ray to neutralize Soto and Alonso in their first two at-bats, stay ahead in counts, and trust their defense to support him while hoping for one or two timely hits—most likely from Flores or Devers—to push across early runs. If that script holds and Ray exits with a lead in the sixth or seventh, the bullpen has the track record and command to hold up against even a talented Mets lineup. In a series that may determine the Giants’ playoff fate, Saturday’s contest is a golden opportunity to prove they can hang with elite teams, and doing so will require clean execution, aggressive yet smart situational hitting, and continued excellence from their arms—something San Francisco has managed at home all season long.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Mets and Giants play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Oracle Park in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Alvarez over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Mets and Giants and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on San Francisco’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly improved Giants team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Mets vs San Francisco picks, computer picks Mets vs Giants, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

New York leads MLB in bullpen ERA (3.57) and ranks among the league’s top units, boasting an ATS edge during tight games thanks to consistent run prevention in late innings.

Giants Betting Trends

San Francisco is currently 54–49 on the year and holds a solid ATS profile at home, aided by a favorable rotation and reliable bullpen performance in close contests.

Mets vs. Giants Matchup Trends

Only three of the Giants’ last ten games have exceeded their total line (7.5), reflecting a macro trend toward unders in their recent stretch, while Mets/Giants games historically are pitcher-friendly with low-scoring finishes.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Game Info

New York Mets vs San Francisco starts on July 26, 2025 at 9:05 PM EST.

Spread: San Francisco +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -105, San Francisco -114
Over/Under: 7.5

New York Mets: (60-44)  |  San Francisco: (54-50)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Alvarez over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Only three of the Giants’ last ten games have exceeded their total line (7.5), reflecting a macro trend toward unders in their recent stretch, while Mets/Giants games historically are pitcher-friendly with low-scoring finishes.

NYM trend: New York leads MLB in bullpen ERA (3.57) and ranks among the league’s top units, boasting an ATS edge during tight games thanks to consistent run prevention in late innings.

SF trend: San Francisco is currently 54–49 on the year and holds a solid ATS profile at home, aided by a favorable rotation and reliable bullpen performance in close contests.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs San Francisco trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York Mets vs San Francisco Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: -105
SF Moneyline: -114
NYM Spread: -1.5
SF Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

New York Mets vs San Francisco Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
In Progress
Mariners
Blue Jays
3
1
-480
+330
-1.5 (-194)
+1.5 (+144)
O 7.5 (+126)
U 7.5 (-168)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. San Francisco Giants on July 26, 2025 at Oracle Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN