Phillies vs Yankees Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 25)

Updated: 2025-07-23T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Philadelphia Phillies (58–44) visit Yankee Stadium to face the New York Yankees (56–45) on July 25, 2025, in a marquee interleague matchup featuring two playoff contenders eyeing momentum into August. The Yankees look to stabilize after a shaky July, while the Phillies aim to build on strong unit cohesion and recent tight-game execution.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 25, 2025

Start Time: 7:05 PM EST​

Venue: Yankee Stadium​

Yankees Record: (56-46)

Phillies Record: (58-44)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: +137

NYY Moneyline: -164

PHI Spread: +1.5

NYY Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 10

PHI
Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia has gone 5–5 in their last 10 games and sits just under .500 ATS with a 41–42 mark on the season. Their record in one-run games is a solid 19–16, which points to consistency in pressure situations and tight betting lines.

NYY
Betting Trends

  • New York is 56–45 overall, 3–6 on road trips in July, but decent at Yankee Stadium where they’re 30–19 overall. Their ATS trends have fluctuated, especially given their 13–19 record in one-run games, highlighting vulnerability in close matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Phillies’ edge in one-run games (19–16) contrasts with the Yankees’ 13–19 mark in those tight contests, suggesting Philadelphia handles late-game pressure better and may thrive in a low-margin contest in the Bronx.

PHI vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Castellanos over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Philadelphia vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/25/25

The July 25, 2025 interleague showdown between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium sets the stage for a compelling battle between two postseason hopefuls from opposite leagues, both vying to build momentum entering the final third of the regular season. The Phillies enter the contest with a 58–44 record, tied atop the NL East, showcasing a team built around veteran leadership, clutch pitching, and a strong ability to win close games, evidenced by their 19–16 mark in one-run contests. Their opponents, the Yankees, stand at 56–45 and second in the AL East but have been inconsistent throughout July, posting a 3–6 road record this month and struggling to close out tight games, with a 13–19 record in one-run matchups. While New York remains one of the toughest home teams in baseball at 30–19, their uneven bullpen usage and vulnerability in the late innings leave them exposed against teams like Philadelphia that excel in situational baseball. The Phillies are expected to start a veteran right-hander capable of pitching deep into games, limiting exposure to the bullpen early while setting the tone against a Yankee lineup that thrives on early momentum. Philadelphia’s bullpen, featuring a mix of experienced late-inning arms, has proven reliable under pressure and has been instrumental in the team’s ability to finish games cleanly.

Offensively, the Phillies are anchored by Kyle Schwarber’s power, J.T. Realmuto’s clutch hitting, and the consistency of Rhys Hoskins and Brandon Marsh, forming a lineup capable of both driving the ball and executing small ball when needed. On the Yankees’ side, Aaron Judge remains one of the league’s most dominant hitters, leading MLB in home runs and runs scored, while Anthony Volpe provides leadoff energy and occasional sparks on the bases, though his production has dipped recently. The Yankees are likely to counter with a left-handed starter possessing solid command but susceptible to the long ball, a concern given Philadelphia’s power potential. Defensively, both teams are sound, but the Phillies’ outfield range and aggressive infield alignments have helped limit extra bases and turn double plays in key moments. Strategically, this game will come down to execution: if the Yankees can build a lead by the sixth inning and turn it over to Paul Sewald and Devin Williams in the bullpen, they can win through power and shutdown relief. However, if the Phillies keep the game close or lead late, their superior one-run game track record and bullpen depth may allow them to steal a road win in hostile territory. Betting trends favor the Phillies slightly ATS due to their late-inning consistency and ability to execute under pressure, while the Yankees’ tendency to falter in close games makes them a risky favorite. With both teams closely matched in terms of talent and postseason ambition, this game is likely to be decided by a few high-leverage at-bats and bullpen management, with the Phillies entering as a poised, road-tested squad capable of out-executing New York in the game’s most critical moments.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies head into Yankee Stadium for their July 25, 2025 matchup carrying a 58–44 record and holding a share of first place in the National League East, a position earned through consistent execution, balanced offense, and a knack for winning tight games. Their 19–16 record in one-run contests reflects a team that performs well under pressure, and their overall depth on both sides of the ball gives them a strong identity as they approach the stretch run of the regular season. The Phillies have cooled slightly in July, going 5–6, but the foundation remains solid: a veteran starting rotation capable of eating innings, a bullpen that has been dependable in late-game situations, and a lineup filled with experienced hitters who know how to battle through tough at-bats. Expected to start in this game is a right-handed veteran with the ability to give Philadelphia six-plus innings while limiting the long ball, which will be especially crucial in the homer-friendly confines of Yankee Stadium. The Phillies’ bullpen is a key strength, featuring multiple reliable arms who can bridge the middle innings and handle late leverage—something that has separated them from many NL clubs in 2025.

Offensively, Philadelphia continues to get key production from Kyle Schwarber, who remains a threat to go deep in any at-bat, and J.T. Realmuto, whose combination of contact and clutch hitting has kept the middle of the order productive. Rhys Hoskins and Brandon Marsh provide needed balance, with Hoskins offering power and plate discipline and Marsh delivering timely hits and plus defense. What sets Philadelphia apart is their versatility: they can win with power, situational hitting, or manufacturing runs through baserunning and aggressive small ball, depending on the matchup. Against the Yankees, who have struggled to close out tight games and have a 13–19 record in one-run scenarios, the Phillies will look to keep the game close early and seize opportunities in the later innings. They’ve proven they can execute under pressure, and their bullpen gives them confidence to weather mid-game turbulence. Defensively, they’ve been sharp, especially in the outfield, where range and smart routes help take away extra bases—a valuable asset against New York’s pull-heavy hitters. From a betting standpoint, Philadelphia has been a better ATS team in recent weeks, especially when playing teams with volatile late-inning performance like the Yankees. If they avoid early damage and get a quality start, the Phillies are well-positioned to either pull off a narrow win or cover a modest spread as a short underdog. Their experience, bullpen steadiness, and ability to thrive in pressure spots make them a strong candidate to edge out a win in a game that could be decided by a single big swing or a late-inning defensive play, exactly the kind of environment where Philadelphia has thrived all season.

The Philadelphia Phillies (58–44) visit Yankee Stadium to face the New York Yankees (56–45) on July 25, 2025, in a marquee interleague matchup featuring two playoff contenders eyeing momentum into August. The Yankees look to stabilize after a shaky July, while the Phillies aim to build on strong unit cohesion and recent tight-game execution. Philadelphia vs New York Yankees AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 25. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees return to Yankee Stadium on July 25, 2025, with a 56–45 record and a pressing need to regain consistency after an uneven stretch of play in July that has included a 3–6 road mark and signs of wear in one-run situations where they sit at just 13–19. Despite those late-game struggles, the Yankees have remained formidable at home with a 30–19 record in the Bronx, fueled by timely power hitting and a home crowd that amplifies momentum swings. Aaron Judge continues to be the cornerstone of the offense, leading Major League Baseball in home runs and runs scored, and providing elite production every time he steps to the plate. While Judge commands the spotlight, the supporting cast has experienced some up-and-down trends lately, especially leadoff man Anthony Volpe, who remains dangerous on the basepaths but has cooled considerably at the plate in July. The Yankees’ expected starter for this contest is likely a left-hander with solid command and high strikeout potential, but he’s vulnerable to giving up home runs—particularly to right-handed power hitters—making pitch location and efficiency critical against Philadelphia’s disciplined lineup. On the back end, the bullpen remains a key factor: Paul Sewald and Devin Williams form one of the most intimidating closing duos in baseball on paper, but usage patterns and high-leverage execution have been less reliable than their reputations suggest, contributing to New York’s one-run game woes.

Manager Aaron Boone has the challenge of tightening bullpen roles and making in-game decisions that don’t expose the team to unnecessary risk in the later innings. Offensively, the Yankees have plenty of pop beyond Judge, with Giancarlo Stanton showing signs of life at the plate and Gleyber Torres adding value with extra-base hit capability. However, the lineup can be streaky, and when forced into situational hitting—moving runners over, executing with two outs—they tend to underperform compared to more versatile offenses like Philadelphia’s. Defensively, the Yankees are fundamentally sound with steady infield work and strong throwing arms in the outfield, but occasional lapses in communication or reaction have cost them extra outs in tight contests. Against a Phillies team that thrives in pressure-filled moments and executes well across all phases, New York will need to start fast, minimize early mistakes, and capitalize with runners in scoring position. A quality start from their rotation and clean transition to their top bullpen arms could position the Yankees to hold serve at home, but they must avoid letting the game reach a point where it becomes a coin flip in the late innings—a situation that has not gone their way more often than not this season. To win and cover in this matchup, the Yankees will need to support Judge with timely offense, lock down the middle innings defensively, and trust their high-powered bullpen to find its best version in one of the more high-stakes games of their interleague schedule.

Philadelphia vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Phillies and Yankees play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Yankee Stadium in Jul can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Castellanos over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Philadelphia vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Phillies and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight human bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly tired Yankees team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Phillies vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia has gone 5–5 in their last 10 games and sits just under .500 ATS with a 41–42 mark on the season. Their record in one-run games is a solid 19–16, which points to consistency in pressure situations and tight betting lines.

Yankees Betting Trends

New York is 56–45 overall, 3–6 on road trips in July, but decent at Yankee Stadium where they’re 30–19 overall. Their ATS trends have fluctuated, especially given their 13–19 record in one-run games, highlighting vulnerability in close matchups.

Phillies vs. Yankees Matchup Trends

The Phillies’ edge in one-run games (19–16) contrasts with the Yankees’ 13–19 mark in those tight contests, suggesting Philadelphia handles late-game pressure better and may thrive in a low-margin contest in the Bronx.

Philadelphia vs. New York Yankees Game Info

Philadelphia vs New York Yankees starts on July 25, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.

Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia +137, New York Yankees -164
Over/Under: 10

Philadelphia: (58-44)  |  New York Yankees: (56-46)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Castellanos over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Phillies’ edge in one-run games (19–16) contrasts with the Yankees’ 13–19 mark in those tight contests, suggesting Philadelphia handles late-game pressure better and may thrive in a low-margin contest in the Bronx.

PHI trend: Philadelphia has gone 5–5 in their last 10 games and sits just under .500 ATS with a 41–42 mark on the season. Their record in one-run games is a solid 19–16, which points to consistency in pressure situations and tight betting lines.

NYY trend: New York is 56–45 overall, 3–6 on road trips in July, but decent at Yankee Stadium where they’re 30–19 overall. Their ATS trends have fluctuated, especially given their 13–19 record in one-run games, highlighting vulnerability in close matchups.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. New York Yankees Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Philadelphia vs New York Yankees Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: +137
NYY Moneyline: -164
PHI Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 10

Philadelphia vs New York Yankees Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees Yankees on July 25, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LAD@TOR TOR +1.5 56.7% 2 WIN
TOR@LAD TOR +1.5 55.3% 4 WIN
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN