The Milwaukee Brewers enter their July 25, 2025 matchup against the Miami Marlins with a 61–41 record, one of the best in all of baseball, and riding a dominant 10-game win streak that has positioned them as a true force in the National League. Milwaukee’s recent run of success has been built on the backbone of the league’s lowest team ERA since mid-May, thanks to a rotation that has been both deep and dominant, featuring Brandon Woodruff, Jacob Misiorowski, Quinn Priester, and Chad Patrick. These arms have consistently gone deep into games, reducing strain on the bullpen and allowing manager Pat Murphy to manage high-leverage innings with complete confidence. The bullpen itself has been nearly automatic during this stretch, with a combination of power arms and strategic matchups that have routinely shut down opposing offenses in the seventh through ninth innings. Offensively, the Brewers are not leading the league in home runs or total runs scored, but they’ve become one of the most efficient teams at situational hitting and timely run production. Jackson Chourio continues to blossom as one of baseball’s most exciting young players, while Christian Yelich has maintained his role as the veteran heartbeat of the lineup, getting on base and extending at-bats to wear down starters. The mid-season addition of Andrew Vaughn has added another layer of production to the middle of the order, as Vaughn has driven in 12 runs in his first eight games with Milwaukee and quickly established himself as a reliable run producer in pressure moments.

The team’s defensive fundamentals have also played a big role in their surge, with clean infield execution and strong outfield arms cutting down extra-base hits and limiting opponent rallies. Entering this game against Miami, the Brewers hold a clear advantage in nearly every category: pitching, bullpen depth, lineup balance, and recent form. They’ve also been an excellent team against the spread during their win streak, frequently covering even when the line is set at –1.5 thanks to their ability to hold leads and add insurance runs late in games. At home, they’ve been particularly locked in, feeding off a confident fan base and dominating both early and late innings. Facing a Marlins team that often plays close but lacks Milwaukee’s polish and depth, the Brewers are in position to dictate the tempo from the opening pitch. If their starter can provide a standard six-to-seven inning effort and the offense continues to execute in timely fashion, Milwaukee should not only extend their winning streak but also deliver another solid ATS result. The key to this game will likely be whether Milwaukee can score early enough to take pressure off the bullpen and avoid a low-scoring, one-run type of game that Miami sometimes thrives in. Given the Brewers’ current form, pitching dominance, and crisp execution across the board, they enter this matchup as justifiably strong favorites and will look to take care of business against a Marlins team that simply does not have the depth or momentum to match what Milwaukee has been producing over the last three weeks.