Yankees vs. Blue Jays
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 23 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Yankees (56–45) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (59–42) at Rogers Centre on Wednesday, July 23. The Yankees are slight favorites at –138 ML with the total set at 8.5 runs, signaling a closely-contested, strategic AL East showdown.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 23, 2025

Start Time: 7:07 PM EST​

Venue: Rogers Centre​

Blue Jays Record: (59-42)

Yankees Record: (56-45)

OPENING ODDS

NYY Moneyline: -137

TOR Moneyline: +115

NYY Spread: -1.5

TOR Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

NYY
Betting Trends

  • New York has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games as road favorites and is 5–5 ATS overall in its past 10 matchups.

TOR
Betting Trends

  • Toronto has been unbeaten at home this July (6–0) and strong ATS when favored, with a 52–34 record.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Eight of the last ten head-to-head matchups have finished under 8.5 runs, suggesting this series tends to go low-scoring.

NYY vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chisholm over 0.5 Total Bases.

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New York Yankees vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/23/25

The July 23 matchup between the New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre promises a compelling clash between two top-tier AL East contenders with playoff aspirations. With Max Fried expected to start for the Yankees and Chris Bassitt lined up for the Blue Jays, the pitching duel alone is reason for attention, but both teams also boast power-packed lineups and bullpens capable of shifting the momentum in the later innings. New York comes into the game with a 56–45 record and fresh urgency following a string of inconsistent offensive outings; however, their recent road play has stabilized thanks to strong outings by Fried, who enters with an 11–3 record, a 2.43 ERA, and a growing reputation as a postseason-caliber ace. Toronto, on the other hand, has surged to 59–42 and remains undefeated at home in July, fueled by a potent stretch from George Springer, who’s batting .375 this month, and a bullpen that has consistently shut down opponents in the seventh inning onward. Chris Bassitt (10–4, 3.89 ERA) has been especially effective at home, managing run counts and extending into late innings to preserve leads. Offensively, the Yankees lean on Aaron Judge’s 35 home runs and his ability to change the game with a single swing, but have also benefited from DJ LeMahieu’s clutch hitting and Gleyber Torres’ consistency in the No. 2 spot.

Toronto counters with a balanced lineup that includes Vladimir Guerrero Jr., whose OPS has crept above .900 since the All-Star break, and Bo Bichette, who’s proven difficult to strike out. The teams’ previous series featured tight games, most of which stayed under the run total, highlighting their defensive strength and strategic bullpens. This matchup is expected to be similar, likely low-scoring early with offensive volatility in the middle innings. Keys to the game will be whether Fried can navigate the right-handed power of Toronto and whether Bassitt can avoid giving up early runs, particularly to Judge. Toronto’s home field edge has been clear this month, but New York’s ability to grind out wins on the road makes them a live threat. The outcome may ultimately come down to which bullpen holds up under pressure and which lineup capitalizes on limited scoring opportunities. With playoff implications beginning to loom, this game should feel like October in July, offering a mix of strategy, power, and clutch decision-making in every inning. Whether it’s decided by a solo homer, a bullpen breakdown, or a late-inning basepath gamble, this game is likely to be a showcase of postseason-level intensity and AL East rivalry firepower.

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The Yankees arrive in Toronto for this crucial AL East finale after a rough two-game stretch, hoping to avoid a sweep and reclaim momentum in what has otherwise been a strong July for the Bronx Bombers. Max Fried, arguably their most dependable pitcher in 2025, will take the mound with an 11–3 record and a dazzling 2.43 ERA, giving the Yankees a real chance to stop the bleeding. Fried’s poise and ability to command both sides of the plate with his fastball and sharp curveball have made him especially dangerous against aggressive lineups like Toronto’s. The Yankees offense still revolves around Aaron Judge, whose power bat looms over every opposing pitcher—he’s already eclipsed the 35-homer mark—and when paired with Giancarlo Stanton’s raw strength and DJ LeMahieu’s veteran presence, the Yankees lineup remains one of the most dangerous in the American League. However, the team has struggled to string together consistent offense on the road lately, making timely hitting and situational at-bats a priority in this contest.

New York’s bullpen has been decent, with Devin Williams holding the closer role and continuing to convert in high-leverage situations, but middle relief has been shaky, which could spell trouble if Fried doesn’t go deep into the game. Manager Aaron Boone will likely manage this game as a playoff dress rehearsal, mindful of defensive positioning and possibly putting runners in motion to manufacture runs against Toronto’s stingy pitching staff. The Yankees are also one of the best teams in baseball at limiting errors, ranking in the top five for team fielding percentage, which will be crucial in a tight matchup like this. They’ve been solid against right-handed pitching, and Bassitt, while experienced, has allowed some hard contact to middle-of-the-order bats this season. The Yankees are also 7–3 in their last ten road games as favorites, signaling confidence from oddsmakers that they can pull off a bounce-back win. With a division race heating up and their pride on the line, the Yankees are unlikely to let this game slip quietly, and their veteran core understands that salvaging the finale of a road series like this could be the difference between chasing a wild card and contending for the division crown. The path to victory lies in Fried setting the tone early, the offense capitalizing on run-scoring opportunities, and the bullpen avoiding the costly late-inning meltdown that has plagued them in key losses this season.

The New York Yankees (56–45) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (59–42) at Rogers Centre on Wednesday, July 23. The Yankees are slight favorites at –138 ML with the total set at 8.5 runs, signaling a closely-contested, strategic AL East showdown. New York Yankees vs Toronto AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Toronto Blue Jays MLB Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays enter the final game of this crucial three-game set riding a surge of confidence and dominance at home, having already taken the first two games of the series and extending their July home record to a perfect 6–0. Manager John Schneider’s club continues to find ways to win, fueled by consistent pitching, timely offense, and an energetic home crowd at Rogers Centre. Chris Bassitt gets the nod for this game, and while he’s not the flashiest starter on Toronto’s staff, his 10–4 record and 3.89 ERA show his reliability, especially when backed by Toronto’s defense and bullpen. Bassitt thrives by mixing speeds and inducing weak contact, and he’ll look to keep the Yankees off balance, particularly Judge and Stanton, who are always capable of turning a game around with one swing. Offensively, Toronto has benefitted from Guerrero Jr.’s midsummer tear—he’s hitting over .290 in July and continues to drive in runs with authority.

George Springer has also heated up lately, hitting .325 in the last two weeks with a handful of clutch RBIs, while Bo Bichette’s ability to extend at-bats and get on base has made Toronto’s lineup dangerous top to bottom. Perhaps most impressive has been their bullpen, which has slammed the door repeatedly at home, with Yimi García and Jordan Romano combining for a sub-2.00 ERA at Rogers Centre since the All-Star break. Toronto also leads the American League in fielding double plays, and their ability to get out of jams has been a major factor in their recent win streak. They’ve gone 52–34 as home favorites this season and are one of the best home cover teams in baseball. Toronto’s formula for success is clear—grind out at-bats, run the bases aggressively, and let the bullpen secure the back end of the game. Their dominance at home, coupled with the momentum of this current win streak and a pitcher on the mound who thrives in high-leverage games, makes them a tough opponent to close out a series against. If Bassitt can keep the Yankees off the scoreboard early and the offense can plate a few early runs, Toronto will be in an excellent position to sweep a key division rival and gain further ground in a tight AL East race.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Yankees and Blue Jays play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Rogers Centre in Jul almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chisholm over 0.5 Total Bases.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Yankees and Blue Jays and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Toronto’s strength factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly strong Blue Jays team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Yankees vs Toronto picks, computer picks Yankees vs Blue Jays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Yankees Betting Trends

New York has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games as road favorites and is 5–5 ATS overall in its past 10 matchups.

Blue Jays Betting Trends

Toronto has been unbeaten at home this July (6–0) and strong ATS when favored, with a 52–34 record.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Matchup Trends

Eight of the last ten head-to-head matchups have finished under 8.5 runs, suggesting this series tends to go low-scoring.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Game Info

New York Yankees vs Toronto starts on July 23, 2025 at 7:07 PM EST.

Spread: Toronto +1.5
Moneyline: New York Yankees -137, Toronto +115
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Yankees: (56-45)  |  Toronto: (59-42)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chisholm over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Eight of the last ten head-to-head matchups have finished under 8.5 runs, suggesting this series tends to go low-scoring.

NYY trend: New York has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games as road favorites and is 5–5 ATS overall in its past 10 matchups.

TOR trend: Toronto has been unbeaten at home this July (6–0) and strong ATS when favored, with a 52–34 record.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the New York Yankees vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Opening Odds

NYY Moneyline: -137
TOR Moneyline: +115
NYY Spread: -1.5
TOR Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Yankees vs Toronto Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
3
5
 
-7000
 
-3.5 (-450)
O 10.5 (+145)
U 10.5 (-180)
In Progress
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
In Progress
Rays
Blue Jays
0
3
+1200
-4000
+4.5 (-150)
-4.5 (+120)
O 7.5 (+120)
U 7.5 (-150)
In Progress
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
In Progress
Rockies
Giants
2
3
+260
-350
+2.5 (-145)
-2.5 (+115)
O 10.5 (-150)
U 10.5 (+120)
In Progress
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
In Progress
Mets
Marlins
1
0
-220
+175
-1.5 (-125)
+1.5 (-105)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-120)
In Progress
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
In Progress
Tigers
Red Sox
0
0
+135
-170
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+120)
O 7.5 (+100)
U 7.5 (-130)
Sep 27, 2025 4:45PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:45PM
White Sox
Nationals
-110
-110
+1.5 (-210)
-1.5 (+175)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+192
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+126
-150
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+130
-155
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+143)
O 7.5 (-105)
U 7.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+118
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
+1.5 (-210)
-1.5 (+175)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+144
-172
+1.5 (-146)
-1.5 (+122)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays on July 23, 2025 at Rogers Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS