Royals vs Cubs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 23)

Updated: 2025-07-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Kansas City Royals (49–53) hit the road to Wrigley Field to face the Chicago Cubs (60–41) on Wednesday, July 23. The Cubs are strong favorites at around –147 on the moneyline, with an over/under set at 10.5 runs, hinting at a potentially lively yet uneven matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 23, 2025

Start Time: 2:20 PM EST​

Venue: Wrigley Field​

Cubs Record: (60-41)

Royals Record: (49-53)

OPENING ODDS

KC Moneyline: +123

CHC Moneyline: -147

KC Spread: +1.5

CHC Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 10.5

KC
Betting Trends

  • Kansas City is 1–2 in recent away games and holds an overall 4–6 ATS mark in their last ten outings, showing they can be competitive but inconsistent on the road.

CHC
Betting Trends

  • Chicago has gone 3–3 ATS at Wrigley Field lately, but they’ve been dominant in July, sporting a 6–4–0 ATS record over the past ten games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite the high total, eight of the last ten Royals–Cubs clashes have gone under 10.5 runs, hinting at tight games—even when scoring seems likely.

KC vs. CHC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Rea over 16.5 Fantasy Score.

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Kansas City vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/23/25

The upcoming matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the Chicago Cubs on July 23, 2025, at Wrigley Field brings together two teams with differing momentum and postseason aspirations as the second half of the season unfolds. The Cubs, firmly in the National League playoff race, enter with a strong record and a well-rounded roster, while the Royals are seeking to reverse a slide that’s dampened their midseason surge. With Seth Lugo expected to start for Chicago and Kris Bubic likely getting the ball for Kansas City, this game offers a contrast in pitching approaches—Lugo relying on location and movement with his sub-3.00 ERA, while Bubic brings his left-handed changeup-heavy arsenal and will need to navigate a Cubs lineup that has been explosive at home. The Cubs have thrived in interleague play and boast one of the NL’s best home-field records, anchored by offensive consistency from Seiya Suzuki, who’s in the midst of a breakout season with 25 homers and a near-.900 OPS, and supported by a strong infield that includes Matt Shaw and Dansby Swanson. Chicago’s bullpen, though occasionally shaky, has held together with clutch innings from veteran arms, which could play a major role late in what’s expected to be a relatively tight game.

The Royals counter with a roster that’s loaded with talent but plagued by inconsistency; Bobby Witt Jr. continues to deliver as a catalyst on offense, but the supporting cast has underwhelmed in recent weeks, leading to low run totals and increased pressure on the starting rotation. Kansas City’s bullpen, while capable, has struggled to shut the door in high-leverage moments, which could be a difference-maker against a Cubs team that has proven capable of late-inning comebacks. Both teams have seen many of their recent games hit the under, and history between these two clubs suggests that even with power bats in both lineups, run totals tend to stay below projections—especially in Wrigley’s unpredictable weather conditions. The Cubs are currently favored at –147, and that number reflects the gap in depth, form, and reliability, particularly in late-game situations. While the Royals are capable of pulling off an upset, especially if Bubic delivers a quality start and the offense finds timely hits, they’ll be facing a tall task against a Cubs team that has won six of its last ten and has shown a knack for defending home turf. With a strong crowd behind them and their ace on the mound, Chicago looks poised to take advantage of Kansas City’s recent inconsistency, control the pace of the game with superior bullpen management, and edge closer to solidifying their playoff positioning. This contest could stay close early but look for the Cubs to separate late, especially if they force Kansas City’s bullpen into action before the sixth inning.

Kansas City Royals MLB Preview

The Kansas City Royals enter this matchup against the Chicago Cubs on July 23, 2025, looking to regain stability amid a stretch of uneven performances that have clouded what was once a promising midseason run. With a current record that hovers well below .500, the Royals are aiming to snap out of a slump that’s seen them struggle both at the plate and on the mound in recent series. Kris Bubic is expected to take the mound for Kansas City, and while he’s shown flashes of potential since returning from injury, he has yet to deliver consistent results against disciplined lineups like the Cubs. The left-hander will need to execute his changeup with precision and limit walks, which have plagued his outings in high-stress situations. The Royals’ offense continues to rely heavily on the production of Bobby Witt Jr., whose speed and power combination remains one of the most electric in the game, but Kansas City’s depth behind him has faltered. Vinnie Pasquantino and Salvador Perez have both dealt with minor injuries and inconsistencies at the plate, making it tough for the lineup to string together extended rallies. One major concern remains the bullpen, where blown leads and command issues have cost the Royals dearly, especially in games where the offense has delivered enough to win.

The team’s road performance has also been subpar, especially when facing teams with strong home records like Chicago, and their inability to capitalize on scoring chances has resulted in a top-heavy offense that’s prone to prolonged dry spells. Kansas City’s defense, while generally reliable, has shown cracks in late-game situations, particularly infield coordination and outfield misreads that have led to costly extra bases. If the Royals are going to stay competitive in this game, they’ll need not only a quality start from Bubic but also timely contributions from underperforming hitters like MJ Melendez and Maikel Garcia, who have been quiet at the plate for most of July. The Royals’ recent track record in interleague play hasn’t inspired confidence either, with losses piling up against National League clubs who exploit their bullpen’s inefficiencies and capitalize on Kansas City’s light bench depth. Despite all of this, the Royals have the kind of high-upside potential that makes them a threat if they can put it all together—particularly if Witt sets the tone early with an extra-base hit or stolen base and Bubic keeps the Cubs off balance through five or six innings. However, it’s clear they are entering this contest as underdogs and must elevate their level on both sides of the ball to challenge a focused and playoff-hungry Cubs squad that has little margin for error in the crowded NL race. Kansas City’s pathway to victory requires efficiency, sharper relief pitching, and finally some offensive breakout games from the middle of the lineup, all of which have been elusive in recent weeks.

The Kansas City Royals (49–53) hit the road to Wrigley Field to face the Chicago Cubs (60–41) on Wednesday, July 23. The Cubs are strong favorites at around –147 on the moneyline, with an over/under set at 10.5 runs, hinting at a potentially lively yet uneven matchup. Kansas City vs Chicago Cubs AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Chicago Cubs Cubs MLB Preview

The Chicago Cubs will welcome the Kansas City Royals to Wrigley Field on July 23, 2025, riding the momentum of a strong homestand and looking to capitalize on a favorable matchup against a struggling Royals squad. With playoff aspirations still alive, the Cubs are in the thick of the National League race and have been playing inspired baseball lately, especially at home where their pitching staff has settled into a productive rhythm and the offense has begun to produce more consistently. Javier Assad is projected to take the mound for Chicago, and his recent outings have been encouraging, highlighted by improved command and a growing ability to pitch deep into games, something the Cubs’ rotation sorely needed earlier this season. Assad’s ability to neutralize left-handed hitters and manage traffic on the basepaths has been crucial, especially given the workload of the bullpen, which manager Craig Counsell has managed carefully throughout July. At the plate, Chicago has found stability in the top half of the lineup, with Seiya Suzuki leading the charge and Cody Bellinger regaining some of his 2023 form, delivering timely extra-base hits and playing Gold Glove-caliber defense in center. Nico Hoerner continues to be an unsung hero in the infield with consistent contact hitting, baserunning awareness, and excellent range at second base, providing a critical spark that helps lengthen the order.

Dansby Swanson has shown signs of heating up after a cold June, which bodes well for the Cubs as they try to pile up wins against weaker opponents like Kansas City. Chicago’s defense, one of its strongest assets all season, has been particularly reliable at Wrigley, where the infield dirt and familiar outfield conditions have helped avoid the miscues that plague visiting teams. The Cubs are also benefiting from the emergence of young talent such as Pete Crow-Armstrong and Alexander Canario, who are injecting youthful energy into the lineup and providing valuable rest days for veterans. One area of concern remains the bullpen’s depth, especially in high-leverage situations, but the addition of a second setup man alongside Mark Leiter Jr. has reduced strain on closer Adbert Alzolay, whose ninth-inning poise has been critical to recent one-run victories. Chicago’s approach to games like this one—against a sub-.500 AL opponent—is methodical and aggressive early, often scoring in the first three innings and letting their pitching and defense take over. Given the Royals’ vulnerable bullpen and inconsistency on the road, the Cubs will look to press advantages in situational hitting and capitalize on any extra-base opportunities, particularly with the wind favoring right-handed hitters at Wrigley this week. With their current form and postseason hopes alive, this is the kind of matchup the Cubs must dominate, and if they continue to execute the fundamentals as they’ve done through most of July, they should be well positioned to secure a key interleague win.

Kansas City vs. Chicago Cubs Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Royals and Cubs play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Wrigley Field in Jul almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Rea over 16.5 Fantasy Score.

Kansas City vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Royals and Cubs and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Kansas City’s strength factors between a Royals team going up against a possibly healthy Cubs team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Chicago Cubs picks, computer picks Royals vs Cubs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Royals Betting Trends

Kansas City is 1–2 in recent away games and holds an overall 4–6 ATS mark in their last ten outings, showing they can be competitive but inconsistent on the road.

Cubs Betting Trends

Chicago has gone 3–3 ATS at Wrigley Field lately, but they’ve been dominant in July, sporting a 6–4–0 ATS record over the past ten games.

Royals vs. Cubs Matchup Trends

Despite the high total, eight of the last ten Royals–Cubs clashes have gone under 10.5 runs, hinting at tight games—even when scoring seems likely.

Kansas City vs. Chicago Cubs Game Info

Kansas City vs Chicago Cubs starts on July 23, 2025 at 2:20 PM EST.

Spread: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Moneyline: Kansas City +123, Chicago Cubs -147
Over/Under: 10.5

Kansas City: (49-53)  |  Chicago Cubs: (60-41)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Rea over 16.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite the high total, eight of the last ten Royals–Cubs clashes have gone under 10.5 runs, hinting at tight games—even when scoring seems likely.

KC trend: Kansas City is 1–2 in recent away games and holds an overall 4–6 ATS mark in their last ten outings, showing they can be competitive but inconsistent on the road.

CHC trend: Chicago has gone 3–3 ATS at Wrigley Field lately, but they’ve been dominant in July, sporting a 6–4–0 ATS record over the past ten games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Kansas City vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Chicago Cubs trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Kansas City vs Chicago Cubs Opening Odds

KC Moneyline: +123
CHC Moneyline: -147
KC Spread: +1.5
CHC Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 10.5

Kansas City vs Chicago Cubs Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-154
+125
-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-142)
O 7.5 (-102)
U 7.5 (-125)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago Cubs Cubs on July 23, 2025 at Wrigley Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN