Tigers vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 23)

Updated: 2025-07-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Detroit Tigers (60–42) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (41–61) on Wednesday, July 23. Detroit is favored around –155 on the moneyline, with the total set at 8.5 runs—signaling a potentially competitive but modestly scoring matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 23, 2025

Start Time: 12:35 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (41-61)

Tigers Record: (60-42)

OPENING ODDS

DET Moneyline: -155

PIT Moneyline: +129

DET Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

DET
Betting Trends

  • The Tigers have been solid on the road, going 28–22 ATS as visitors, maintaining consistency in July with a roughly .500 performance away from Comerica.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh has struggled at PNC Park, posting a 2–6 ATS mark over their last eight games at home, with only one series win so far in July.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Even though scoring has been slightly elevated, eight of the last ten Tigers–Pirates matchups at PNC Park stayed under the total—suggesting a pattern towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs.

DET vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Cruz over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Detroit vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/23/25

The upcoming matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 23, 2025, at PNC Park presents a cross-league battle of two teams in very different phases of their respective seasons, with Detroit fighting to preserve its playoff footing and Pittsburgh navigating another developmental year. The Tigers, firmly in the AL Central race, have leaned on their strong pitching staff, a refined bullpen, and a lineup that mixes youthful spark with veteran poise. They’ll be sending Troy Melton to the mound, the rookie right-hander who impressed in his most recent start with confident command and run prevention. He’ll be countered by Pirates southpaw Bailey Falter, whose season has featured more inconsistency than dominance, particularly when pitching against lineups that capitalize on mistakes. While Pittsburgh has home-field advantage, their recent record at PNC Park offers little assurance, having lost six of their last eight games there and struggling mightily to close out late-inning leads. The Tigers, on the other hand, have found success away from Comerica Park with an above-average road win percentage and solid ATS numbers, a testament to their consistency and mature situational hitting.

Offensively, Detroit boasts the likes of Riley Greene and Gleyber Torres providing balanced production from both sides of the plate, supported by versatile contributors like Kerry Carpenter and Zach McKinstry. Meanwhile, the Pirates continue to rely heavily on the bats of Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds, but the lineup remains prone to cold stretches and high strikeout totals, particularly against right-handed pitching. A key aspect of this matchup will be whether Pittsburgh can manufacture offense early before Detroit settles into its bullpen rhythm, as late rallies against the Tigers’ deep relief corps have proven difficult for many teams. Detroit’s defensive stability and game management have also been quietly effective, making them one of the tougher clubs to beat in tight games. If Falter can’t provide at least five competitive innings and keep the game close, the Pirates could find themselves chasing again against a Tigers team that has shown it can grind out low-scoring contests and open up games with a timely blast. Given the direction both clubs are trending—Detroit with momentum and playoff urgency, Pittsburgh with inconsistent results and development-focused lineups—the odds appear tilted in favor of the visiting Tigers. Detroit has the edge in starting pitching, bullpen, lineup depth, and overall momentum. If their approach stays consistent and Melton delivers another solid start, the Tigers are well-positioned to take this one on the road, likely leaning on their disciplined offensive plan, sharp baserunning, and superior execution in high-leverage moments. With postseason implications adding weight to every win, expect Detroit to come in locked-in and prepared to capitalize on any missteps by a Pirates team still trying to find its footing as the second half unfolds.

Detroit Tigers MLB Preview

The Detroit Tigers enter this road matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates with a growing sense of confidence as they continue to make meaningful strides in the American League playoff race. With a roster built around strong pitching, reliable defense, and timely hitting, the Tigers have been one of the more balanced teams in the AL Central this summer, managing to stay competitive in tight ballgames while demonstrating the resilience necessary to bounce back from losses. A big reason for their consistency has been the emergence of young right-hander Troy Melton, who will get the start against the Pirates. Melton’s recent outings have showcased his improved command and poise, allowing the Tigers to lean on him as a dependable rotation piece. The Detroit bullpen, led by proven late-inning arms, has also played a key role in closing out close contests. Offensively, Riley Greene continues to anchor the middle of the lineup with a disciplined approach and ability to hit for both average and power, while Gleyber Torres and Kerry Carpenter offer complementary threats that stretch opposing pitchers. Detroit’s situational hitting has been another strength, with a consistent ability to move runners, execute with two outs, and maintain pressure through patient at-bats.

The Tigers’ road form has been one of the more underrated aspects of their season, as they’ve posted a winning record away from Comerica Park, thriving in hostile environments thanks to solid preparation and team chemistry. Against left-handed starters like Pittsburgh’s Bailey Falter, Detroit’s right-handed bats have often stepped up, with players like Mark Canha and Jake Rogers capable of doing damage when lefties fall behind in the count. The Tigers’ baserunning has also improved, turning singles into doubles and putting constant pressure on opposing defenses. Though not a power-laden team, Detroit’s lineup depth and ability to manufacture runs have given them an edge in grind-it-out games. The challenge for the Tigers will be staying focused and not underestimating a Pirates team that can play spoiler at home. However, the Tigers have rarely played down to their competition in recent weeks, maintaining their identity through sound fundamentals and unselfish play. With the postseason picture starting to take shape, Detroit is treating every game like a must-win, and this one against Pittsburgh should be no different. If Melton delivers a quality start and the Tigers execute their typical formula of early scoring, shutdown relief, and clean defense, they should be well-positioned to secure another important road victory and continue their surge toward October baseball.

The Detroit Tigers (60–42) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (41–61) on Wednesday, July 23. Detroit is favored around –155 on the moneyline, with the total set at 8.5 runs—signaling a potentially competitive but modestly scoring matchup. Detroit vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates return to PNC Park on July 23, 2025, looking to snap a frustrating stretch of home losses and gain some traction against a surging Detroit Tigers squad. The Pirates have been battling inconsistency on both sides of the ball, struggling to string together quality innings from their pitching staff and suffering from streaky offensive performances. Left-hander Bailey Falter gets the nod for this game, and while he has shown flashes of potential this season, his overall results have been uneven, especially against lineups that thrive on disciplined at-bats and situational hitting like Detroit’s. Falter’s command will be a critical factor—if he’s able to locate his fastball and get ahead in counts, he can neutralize some of the Tigers’ contact-oriented hitters, but falling behind or missing up in the zone could spell trouble. The Pirates’ bullpen has been an area of concern as well, with late-inning leads slipping away in multiple games this month, adding pressure on the starting rotation to go deeper into games. Offensively, Pittsburgh leans heavily on Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz, both of whom have the ability to change the game with one swing but have been hampered by inconsistent protection in the lineup.

The supporting cast has not always delivered, with young hitters like Jack Suwinski and Nick Gonzales showing promise but still developing the consistency needed at the major league level. Against a Detroit team that thrives in low-scoring, execution-heavy contests, the Pirates must find a way to score early and support their starter. One potential advantage is their aggressiveness on the basepaths—Pittsburgh has been opportunistic when given the green light, and applying pressure on the Tigers’ catchers and middle infield could create extra scoring chances. Defensively, the Pirates have been solid but not elite, and they’ll need to avoid giving away extra outs to a Tigers team that capitalizes well on mistakes. Despite their struggles, there is still pride in the clubhouse, and the Pirates will look to play spoiler down the stretch, especially in front of their home fans. Manager Derek Shelton has emphasized fundamentals and player development, and these games offer critical reps for the team’s young core as they prepare for the future. While they’ll enter this matchup as underdogs, a strong outing from Falter paired with a timely offensive breakout could give Pittsburgh the edge if they’re able to avoid costly defensive lapses and bullpen collapses. In a season that has largely focused on growth and long-term outlook, pulling off a win against a playoff contender like Detroit would serve as a valuable confidence boost and a reminder that the Pirates, though still rebuilding, are capable of competing when they play clean, efficient baseball.

Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Tigers and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Jul can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Cruz over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Tigers and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing factor emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Tigers team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pirates team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Detroit vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Tigers vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been solid on the road, going 28–22 ATS as visitors, maintaining consistency in July with a roughly .500 performance away from Comerica.

Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh has struggled at PNC Park, posting a 2–6 ATS mark over their last eight games at home, with only one series win so far in July.

Tigers vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

Even though scoring has been slightly elevated, eight of the last ten Tigers–Pirates matchups at PNC Park stayed under the total—suggesting a pattern towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs.

Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Detroit vs Pittsburgh starts on July 23, 2025 at 12:35 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: Detroit -155, Pittsburgh +129
Over/Under: 8.5

Detroit: (60-42)  |  Pittsburgh: (41-61)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Cruz over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Even though scoring has been slightly elevated, eight of the last ten Tigers–Pirates matchups at PNC Park stayed under the total—suggesting a pattern towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs.

DET trend: The Tigers have been solid on the road, going 28–22 ATS as visitors, maintaining consistency in July with a roughly .500 performance away from Comerica.

PIT trend: Pittsburgh has struggled at PNC Park, posting a 2–6 ATS mark over their last eight games at home, with only one series win so far in July.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Detroit vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Detroit vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

DET Moneyline: -155
PIT Moneyline: +129
DET Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Detroit vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-143
+130
-1.5 (+120)
+1.5 (-140)
O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on July 23, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN