Tigers vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 22)
Updated: 2025-07-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Detroit Tigers (60–41) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (39–61) on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. Detroit enters as a solid favorite at around –150 ML, with a total of 8 runs, hinting at a competitive, moderately scoring contest.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 22, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: PNC Park
Pirates Record: (40-61)
Tigers Record: (60-41)
OPENING ODDS
DET Moneyline: -141
PIT Moneyline: +118
DET Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
DET
Betting Trends
- Detroit has excelled as road favorites this season, going 30–9 in games when favored at –151 or stronger, showing consistency and strong ATS performance across such matchups.
PIT
Betting Trends
- Pittsburgh has been less reliable, going 8–17 ATS on the road this season, but as home underdogs their ATS record improves slightly, showing moments of value at PNC Park.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pirates have been perfect in recent midweek games, going 5–0 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday contests, signaling an ability to hang around despite broader struggles.
DET vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Meadows over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Detroit vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/22/25
On the other hand, the Pirates rely heavily on the inconsistent power of Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds, with aging veterans like Andrew McCutchen trying to stabilize the clubhouse. The Pirates’ biggest issue has been run prevention, especially from their bullpen, which has repeatedly faltered in high-leverage innings. Defensively, the Pirates lack the range and reliability to consistently support their pitching staff, particularly in close games where every run matters. Detroit’s defensive metrics have been among the top third in the league, further highlighting the disparity in these teams’ makeup. If Mize continues his sharp form and gets even average run support, Detroit should be in prime position to walk away with another road win. The only edge Pittsburgh might have lies in catching Detroit off guard early and hoping to sneak in a few runs before the Tigers’ bullpen can take over. However, with Detroit’s success on the road and their playoff motivation, it’s difficult to see the Pirates flipping the script without some unexpected heroics or a major stumble from Mize. Oddsmakers placing the total around 8 suggest a moderately paced game, likely driven by pitching more than fireworks, and unless Pittsburgh strings together quality at-bats—which has been rare—this game feels like another opportunity for Detroit to flex its postseason readiness. This matchup is less about who’s hotter and more about who’s structurally more complete, and right now that clearly favors the Tigers, who have the better arms, deeper bench, sharper defense, and stronger identity as a contender. With only a few months left in the regular season, these are the types of games Detroit must continue to win convincingly, and they have every tool at their disposal to do just that on Tuesday.
spectacular give me 14 of them right now pic.twitter.com/mT7a5KQ3Vn
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) July 21, 2025
Detroit Tigers MLB Preview
The Detroit Tigers enter their July 22 matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates with momentum and a strong overall body of work in 2025, currently standing among the leaders of the American League Central. With a road record that reflects their discipline and preparedness, Detroit has proven to be a highly capable club away from home, maintaining a steady performance against the spread as road favorites. Their consistency in handling business as the better team, particularly when favored by moderate to heavy lines, has made them a reliable betting option and a formidable opponent in any ballpark. This upcoming game at PNC Park represents an opportunity for the Tigers to further solidify their playoff positioning and showcase the depth that has defined their season. Leading Detroit’s efforts will likely be right-hander Casey Mize, who has been a stabilizing force atop the rotation. Mize has delivered quality starts with remarkable regularity, showing excellent command, a sharp fastball-slider mix, and the ability to limit baserunners. His efficiency on the mound allows the bullpen to stay fresh, and his track record on the road has added to his value as one of the club’s most dependable arms.
Offensively, the Tigers are anchored by Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene, who have provided a combination of power and situational hitting that has fueled much of the club’s run production. Veterans like Javier Báez and Gleyber Torres contribute leadership and timely hits, while Zach McKinstry adds versatility both at the plate and in the field. As a team, Detroit ranks near the top of the league in runs per game and has demonstrated an ability to generate scoring in a variety of ways, including small ball tactics when the situation calls for it. On the defensive side, Detroit has limited extra-base hits and maintained a strong team fielding percentage, minimizing errors and preventing innings from unraveling. Their bullpen, though not flashy, has been consistently effective, with relievers executing in high-leverage spots and protecting slim leads with professionalism. Against a Pirates team that has struggled to find consistency on offense, Detroit’s composed approach and experience give them a clear edge. If the Tigers continue to execute their game plan—relying on strong starting pitching, disciplined at-bats, and clean defense—they are well-positioned to claim another win on the road and maintain their standing as one of the most well-rounded teams in the American League. Their recent success against the spread in similar scenarios further underscores their capacity to meet expectations and close out games with precision.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to defend their home turf at PNC Park on July 22, 2025, as they face off against the Detroit Tigers in a midseason matchup that carries quiet but important implications for a team still fighting to define its trajectory. The Pirates have been inconsistent throughout much of the 2025 campaign, struggling to maintain prolonged stretches of competitive play, but they have found more comfort and rhythm when playing in front of their home crowd. While their overall record may not scream playoff contention, Pittsburgh has shown the ability to play spoiler against more formidable opponents, especially when they get quality starts from the front end of their rotation and avoid giving away extra bases on defense. This matchup provides an opportunity to regain some confidence and potentially kick off a stronger second half of the season with a statement win over a contending AL opponent. One key for the Pirates will be the performance of their starting pitcher, likely Mitch Keller or Jared Jones depending on the rotation alignment, both of whom have flashed top-tier potential throughout stretches of the year. When Keller is locating his fastball and commanding his breaking pitches, he can be a genuine ace presence for this club. Likewise, Jones has impressed with his swing-and-miss stuff and poise, especially in high-pressure innings.
The Pirates’ bullpen has been respectable, with closer David Bednar leading the late-inning efforts and relievers like Colin Holderman providing reliable bridge work, but the key lies in whether the starter can get deep enough into the game to shorten the bullpen’s workload. Offensively, Bryan Reynolds continues to be the heart of the lineup, consistently delivering contact, power, and situational hitting when needed. Ke’Bryan Hayes provides solid defense at third and has developed into a reliable bat, while Jack Suwinski and Henry Davis represent the next generation of young talent trying to carve out everyday roles. Pittsburgh’s approach at the plate often hinges on patience and opportunism, and they’ll need both against Detroit’s strong rotation. Drawing walks, stealing bases, and moving runners over could prove critical if they want to manufacture runs against a team that rarely gives up the long ball. Defensively, the Pirates have committed their share of errors in key situations this season, but when they’re dialed in, their infield is among the more athletic and responsive in the National League. In a game where they’ll likely enter as home underdogs, the Pirates have historically been feisty in this role and could take advantage of any lapses in Detroit’s focus or bullpen fatigue. If Pittsburgh can limit damage early and give their offense chances to chip away, they have the tools to make this a competitive contest. This game is also a chance for the Pirates’ younger core to gain more experience in meaningful matchups, and the organization would benefit greatly from seeing signs of growth and execution from its future cornerstones as they attempt to build momentum heading into the final stretch of the summer.
Monday night W. #RaiseIt pic.twitter.com/L5bvj8mDQd
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) July 22, 2025
Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)
Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Tigers and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Tigers team going up against a possibly rested Pirates team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Detroit vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Tigers vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Tigers Betting Trends
Detroit has excelled as road favorites this season, going 30–9 in games when favored at –151 or stronger, showing consistency and strong ATS performance across such matchups.
Pirates Betting Trends
Pittsburgh has been less reliable, going 8–17 ATS on the road this season, but as home underdogs their ATS record improves slightly, showing moments of value at PNC Park.
Tigers vs. Pirates Matchup Trends
Pirates have been perfect in recent midweek games, going 5–0 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday contests, signaling an ability to hang around despite broader struggles.
Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
What time does Detroit vs Pittsburgh start on July 22, 2025?
Detroit vs Pittsburgh starts on July 22, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is Detroit vs Pittsburgh being played?
Venue: PNC Park.
What are the opening odds for Detroit vs Pittsburgh?
Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: Detroit -141, Pittsburgh +118
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Detroit vs Pittsburgh?
Detroit: (60-41) | Pittsburgh: (40-61)
What is the AI best bet for Detroit vs Pittsburgh?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Meadows over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Detroit vs Pittsburgh trending bets?
Pirates have been perfect in recent midweek games, going 5–0 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday contests, signaling an ability to hang around despite broader struggles.
What are Detroit trending bets?
DET trend: Detroit has excelled as road favorites this season, going 30–9 in games when favored at –151 or stronger, showing consistency and strong ATS performance across such matchups.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: Pittsburgh has been less reliable, going 8–17 ATS on the road this season, but as home underdogs their ATS record improves slightly, showing moments of value at PNC Park.
Where can I find AI Picks for Detroit vs Pittsburgh?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Detroit vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Detroit vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds
DET Moneyline:
-141 PIT Moneyline: +118
DET Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
Detroit vs Pittsburgh Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
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–
–
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-148
+126
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-1.5 (+114)
+1.5 (-137)
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O 7.5 (+100)
U 7.5 (-122)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on July 22, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |