Tigers vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 22)

Updated: 2025-07-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Detroit Tigers (60–41) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (39–61) on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. Detroit enters as a solid favorite at around –150 ML, with a total of 8 runs, hinting at a competitive, moderately scoring contest.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 22, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (40-61)

Tigers Record: (60-41)

OPENING ODDS

DET Moneyline: -141

PIT Moneyline: +118

DET Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

DET
Betting Trends

  • Detroit has excelled as road favorites this season, going 30–9 in games when favored at –151 or stronger, showing consistency and strong ATS performance across such matchups.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh has been less reliable, going 8–17 ATS on the road this season, but as home underdogs their ATS record improves slightly, showing moments of value at PNC Park.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pirates have been perfect in recent midweek games, going 5–0 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday contests, signaling an ability to hang around despite broader struggles.

DET vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Meadows over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Detroit vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/22/25

The upcoming July 22, 2025 matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park sets the stage for a cross-league battle between two teams with sharply contrasting seasons and ambitions. The Tigers come in with a strong record and eyes on postseason positioning, while the Pirates, mired in the bottom tier of the National League, continue to navigate a rebuilding phase. This game has the makings of a pitching-centric clash with Detroit’s ace Casey Mize expected to toe the rubber, bringing his elite command and sharp arsenal to challenge a struggling Pittsburgh lineup. Detroit has thrived on the road this year, particularly as favorites, with a remarkable 30–9 record in those situations, and they’ve been consistent in scoring support and bullpen management. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s performance at home has shown glimmers of resistance, especially during midweek contests, but overall the roster continues to struggle with run production and late-game execution. The Tigers’ offense, led by Spencer Torkelson, Riley Greene, and Javier Báez, is deep and diverse, giving them multiple avenues to generate offense even in pitcher-friendly parks like PNC. Their ability to manufacture runs through both long balls and situational hitting has allowed them to close out tight games and mount comebacks when needed.

On the other hand, the Pirates rely heavily on the inconsistent power of Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds, with aging veterans like Andrew McCutchen trying to stabilize the clubhouse. The Pirates’ biggest issue has been run prevention, especially from their bullpen, which has repeatedly faltered in high-leverage innings. Defensively, the Pirates lack the range and reliability to consistently support their pitching staff, particularly in close games where every run matters. Detroit’s defensive metrics have been among the top third in the league, further highlighting the disparity in these teams’ makeup. If Mize continues his sharp form and gets even average run support, Detroit should be in prime position to walk away with another road win. The only edge Pittsburgh might have lies in catching Detroit off guard early and hoping to sneak in a few runs before the Tigers’ bullpen can take over. However, with Detroit’s success on the road and their playoff motivation, it’s difficult to see the Pirates flipping the script without some unexpected heroics or a major stumble from Mize. Oddsmakers placing the total around 8 suggest a moderately paced game, likely driven by pitching more than fireworks, and unless Pittsburgh strings together quality at-bats—which has been rare—this game feels like another opportunity for Detroit to flex its postseason readiness. This matchup is less about who’s hotter and more about who’s structurally more complete, and right now that clearly favors the Tigers, who have the better arms, deeper bench, sharper defense, and stronger identity as a contender. With only a few months left in the regular season, these are the types of games Detroit must continue to win convincingly, and they have every tool at their disposal to do just that on Tuesday.

Detroit Tigers MLB Preview

The Detroit Tigers enter their July 22 matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates with momentum and a strong overall body of work in 2025, currently standing among the leaders of the American League Central. With a road record that reflects their discipline and preparedness, Detroit has proven to be a highly capable club away from home, maintaining a steady performance against the spread as road favorites. Their consistency in handling business as the better team, particularly when favored by moderate to heavy lines, has made them a reliable betting option and a formidable opponent in any ballpark. This upcoming game at PNC Park represents an opportunity for the Tigers to further solidify their playoff positioning and showcase the depth that has defined their season. Leading Detroit’s efforts will likely be right-hander Casey Mize, who has been a stabilizing force atop the rotation. Mize has delivered quality starts with remarkable regularity, showing excellent command, a sharp fastball-slider mix, and the ability to limit baserunners. His efficiency on the mound allows the bullpen to stay fresh, and his track record on the road has added to his value as one of the club’s most dependable arms.

Offensively, the Tigers are anchored by Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene, who have provided a combination of power and situational hitting that has fueled much of the club’s run production. Veterans like Javier Báez and Gleyber Torres contribute leadership and timely hits, while Zach McKinstry adds versatility both at the plate and in the field. As a team, Detroit ranks near the top of the league in runs per game and has demonstrated an ability to generate scoring in a variety of ways, including small ball tactics when the situation calls for it. On the defensive side, Detroit has limited extra-base hits and maintained a strong team fielding percentage, minimizing errors and preventing innings from unraveling. Their bullpen, though not flashy, has been consistently effective, with relievers executing in high-leverage spots and protecting slim leads with professionalism. Against a Pirates team that has struggled to find consistency on offense, Detroit’s composed approach and experience give them a clear edge. If the Tigers continue to execute their game plan—relying on strong starting pitching, disciplined at-bats, and clean defense—they are well-positioned to claim another win on the road and maintain their standing as one of the most well-rounded teams in the American League. Their recent success against the spread in similar scenarios further underscores their capacity to meet expectations and close out games with precision.

The Detroit Tigers (60–41) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (39–61) on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. Detroit enters as a solid favorite at around –150 ML, with a total of 8 runs, hinting at a competitive, moderately scoring contest. Detroit vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to defend their home turf at PNC Park on July 22, 2025, as they face off against the Detroit Tigers in a midseason matchup that carries quiet but important implications for a team still fighting to define its trajectory. The Pirates have been inconsistent throughout much of the 2025 campaign, struggling to maintain prolonged stretches of competitive play, but they have found more comfort and rhythm when playing in front of their home crowd. While their overall record may not scream playoff contention, Pittsburgh has shown the ability to play spoiler against more formidable opponents, especially when they get quality starts from the front end of their rotation and avoid giving away extra bases on defense. This matchup provides an opportunity to regain some confidence and potentially kick off a stronger second half of the season with a statement win over a contending AL opponent. One key for the Pirates will be the performance of their starting pitcher, likely Mitch Keller or Jared Jones depending on the rotation alignment, both of whom have flashed top-tier potential throughout stretches of the year. When Keller is locating his fastball and commanding his breaking pitches, he can be a genuine ace presence for this club. Likewise, Jones has impressed with his swing-and-miss stuff and poise, especially in high-pressure innings.

The Pirates’ bullpen has been respectable, with closer David Bednar leading the late-inning efforts and relievers like Colin Holderman providing reliable bridge work, but the key lies in whether the starter can get deep enough into the game to shorten the bullpen’s workload. Offensively, Bryan Reynolds continues to be the heart of the lineup, consistently delivering contact, power, and situational hitting when needed. Ke’Bryan Hayes provides solid defense at third and has developed into a reliable bat, while Jack Suwinski and Henry Davis represent the next generation of young talent trying to carve out everyday roles. Pittsburgh’s approach at the plate often hinges on patience and opportunism, and they’ll need both against Detroit’s strong rotation. Drawing walks, stealing bases, and moving runners over could prove critical if they want to manufacture runs against a team that rarely gives up the long ball. Defensively, the Pirates have committed their share of errors in key situations this season, but when they’re dialed in, their infield is among the more athletic and responsive in the National League. In a game where they’ll likely enter as home underdogs, the Pirates have historically been feisty in this role and could take advantage of any lapses in Detroit’s focus or bullpen fatigue. If Pittsburgh can limit damage early and give their offense chances to chip away, they have the tools to make this a competitive contest. This game is also a chance for the Pirates’ younger core to gain more experience in meaningful matchups, and the organization would benefit greatly from seeing signs of growth and execution from its future cornerstones as they attempt to build momentum heading into the final stretch of the summer.

Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Tigers and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Meadows over 0.5 Total Bases.

Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Tigers and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Detroit’s strength factors between a Tigers team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pirates team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Detroit vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Tigers vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Tigers Betting Trends

Detroit has excelled as road favorites this season, going 30–9 in games when favored at –151 or stronger, showing consistency and strong ATS performance across such matchups.

Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh has been less reliable, going 8–17 ATS on the road this season, but as home underdogs their ATS record improves slightly, showing moments of value at PNC Park.

Tigers vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

Pirates have been perfect in recent midweek games, going 5–0 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday contests, signaling an ability to hang around despite broader struggles.

Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Detroit vs Pittsburgh starts on July 22, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: Detroit -141, Pittsburgh +118
Over/Under: 8

Detroit: (60-41)  |  Pittsburgh: (40-61)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Meadows over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Pirates have been perfect in recent midweek games, going 5–0 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday contests, signaling an ability to hang around despite broader struggles.

DET trend: Detroit has excelled as road favorites this season, going 30–9 in games when favored at –151 or stronger, showing consistency and strong ATS performance across such matchups.

PIT trend: Pittsburgh has been less reliable, going 8–17 ATS on the road this season, but as home underdogs their ATS record improves slightly, showing moments of value at PNC Park.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Detroit vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Detroit vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Detroit vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

DET Moneyline: -141
PIT Moneyline: +118
DET Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Detroit vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-140
+127
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on July 22, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN