Giants vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 21 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-19T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

San Francisco (51–43) brings a balanced offense and mid-rotation pitching into Atlanta, while the Braves (43–54) lean heavily on their home strength and solid rotation to stay in the NL East race. Atlanta is a slight favorite (~‑132 ML, –1.5 run line) with the total set at 9 runs, suggesting a closely fought but moderately paced game.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 21, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Truist Park​

Braves Record: (43-55)

Giants Record: (52-48)

OPENING ODDS

SF Moneyline: +111

ATL Moneyline: -131

SF Spread: +1.5

ATL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

SF
Betting Trends

  • San Francisco has gone 30–33 ATS on the season, including a mixed 4–6 run in recent matchups, indicating inconsistency against the spread.

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Braves are 26–35 ATS overall and have been underwhelming when favored, going 3–7 ATS in their last 10 games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Six of their last seven head-to-head games have stayed Under 9 runs, hinting at another potential low-scoring pitchers’ duel.

SF vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Albies over 0.5 Total Bases.

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San Francisco vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/21/25

Monday night’s matchup between the San Francisco Giants and the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park promises to be a tightly contested affair between two teams navigating different trajectories in the National League. The Giants enter the game with a better overall record, flirting with wild card positioning, while the Braves are still trying to find their rhythm after a tough July stretch. Atlanta is expected to turn to veteran Charlie Morton on the mound, whose postseason pedigree and ability to induce weak contact could be critical against a balanced Giants lineup. On the other side, San Francisco’s rotation has relied heavily on right-hander Logan Webb, who could be in line to start after recent rest, and his elite ground-ball rate and stamina make him a strong candidate to neutralize Atlanta’s power-heavy offense. The key to this matchup lies in which team can assert early control on the mound, as both clubs have struggled with run production in the early innings of games throughout the month. The Braves still boast dangerous bats in Matt Olson, Ronald Acuña Jr., and Austin Riley, but run-scoring has been inconsistent, and their lineup has shown vulnerability to right-handed sinkerballers.

San Francisco, meanwhile, may not overwhelm opponents with slugging, but their lineup—headlined by the recently acquired Rafael Devers—can apply pressure with disciplined at-bats and timely contact. In terms of bullpen support, the Giants own one of the more reliable late-inning units in the National League, with Camilo Doval anchoring the ninth and Tyler Rogers acting as a high-leverage bridge option. Atlanta’s relief core has seen some volatility, particularly in middle innings, and their recent struggles when leading after six innings raise questions about their ability to close tight games. The betting markets reflect a narrow edge for the Braves as slight favorites, with a total hovering around 9 runs, indicative of how closely matched the pitching staffs are projected to be. Historically, matchups between these two teams tend to trend toward the under, especially in Atlanta where cooler conditions and a spacious outfield tend to limit home run surges. The result may ultimately hinge on whether Morton can suppress early rallies from a methodical San Francisco offense, or if the Giants’ starter—be it Webb or another capable arm—can contain Atlanta’s middle of the order and hand the ball over to a rested bullpen. Defensive execution, especially on ground balls and double plays, will likely swing momentum in a game expected to be decided by a run or two. With playoff implications slowly starting to weigh more heavily on each contest, both teams will enter with urgency, but the Giants’ recent form and depth might give them a slight edge unless the Braves can spark a turnaround on home soil. This series finale could easily come down to one mistake pitch or one clutch at-bat, making it a game to watch for fans who appreciate chess-match baseball over slugfests.

San Francisco Giants MLB Preview

The San Francisco Giants enter this interleague road game against the Atlanta Braves with a playoff mindset and a recent stretch of consistent baseball that has propelled them into firm Wild Card contention. San Francisco has been thriving behind a foundation of steady starting pitching and opportunistic hitting, with right-hander Logan Webb continuing to serve as the bedrock of the rotation. If Webb takes the mound in this series finale, he gives the Giants an immediate advantage with his elite command, ground-ball-inducing arsenal, and ability to limit big innings—an essential skill against a power-hitting team like the Braves. The Giants’ offense has seen a noticeable uptick in production following the acquisition of Rafael Devers, who has quickly slotted into the heart of the order and provided a much-needed left-handed power presence. Thairo Estrada, Mike Yastrzemski, and Patrick Bailey have all contributed timely hits, while veteran Wilmer Flores continues to be one of the most underrated run producers in the lineup, thanks to his ability to barrel up fastballs and attack early in counts. San Francisco’s approach at the plate tends to lean more toward patience and making contact, and that could work to their advantage against Charlie Morton, who occasionally struggles with control and high pitch counts.

Defensively, the Giants are a well-drilled unit that turns double plays efficiently and rarely gives away outs, which will be critical against a Braves lineup that can apply pressure quickly. In the bullpen, Camilo Doval remains a lockdown closer with swing-and-miss stuff, and manager Bob Melvin has shown increased confidence in using Tyler Rogers and Ryan Walker in high-leverage bridge roles. While the Giants’ road record has been uneven at times, they’ve performed well in series finales and low-scoring matchups, which bodes well for a tight contest in Atlanta. If the offense can grind out quality at-bats, build pitch counts, and give their starter a lead to protect, the Giants have all the pieces in place to walk away from Truist Park with a valuable road win. With a deep bench, versatile infield options, and a coaching staff that excels in situational strategy, San Francisco appears built for this stretch run and ready for the kind of grind-it-out victories needed to solidify their postseason position. Their success on Sunday will likely come down to run prevention, smart base running, and whether their bats can capitalize on a few key opportunities against a Braves pitching staff that has been more vulnerable than expected in July. For a team that doesn’t rely on one superstar to carry the offense, the Giants’ strength in numbers and disciplined style give them a legitimate shot to quiet the Atlanta crowd and inch closer to October baseball.

San Francisco (51–43) brings a balanced offense and mid-rotation pitching into Atlanta, while the Braves (43–54) lean heavily on their home strength and solid rotation to stay in the NL East race. Atlanta is a slight favorite (~‑132 ML, –1.5 run line) with the total set at 9 runs, suggesting a closely fought but moderately paced game. San Francisco vs Atlanta AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 21. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves host the San Francisco Giants on July 21 at Truist Park looking to salvage momentum from a rocky July and reassert themselves as contenders in the National League. Atlanta’s season has been a rollercoaster—flashes of offensive dominance have been offset by inconsistency on the mound and an underwhelming month that has exposed depth issues within both the lineup and the bullpen. Still, the Braves remain dangerous, especially at home, where they have historically performed well thanks to the run-scoring potential of their powerful core. The expected starter, veteran right-hander Charlie Morton, brings postseason experience and a proven ability to eat innings while navigating tough lineups, though his recent outings have been inconsistent, particularly in the middle innings. Morton’s curveball remains his out pitch, and if he can locate it early and keep it down in the zone, he has the potential to neutralize the Giants’ contact-heavy approach. Offensively, Ronald Acuña Jr. continues to be the tone-setter, bringing elite speed, power, and plate discipline at the top of the order. However, his recent slump has mirrored the team’s broader struggles, and Atlanta will need him to bounce back if they are to put pressure on a Giants team that plays sound fundamental baseball. Matt Olson and Austin Riley continue to serve as the team’s primary run producers, with Olson’s home run power and Riley’s extra-base ability forming a dangerous one-two punch in the heart of the order.

That said, the bottom of the lineup has been far less productive in July, forcing the Braves to rely heavily on the top five hitters to carry the offensive load. The bullpen, long a strength of the club, has shown signs of fatigue and vulnerability, particularly in high-leverage spots against disciplined offenses, and this will be a concern if the game stays close into the later innings. Raisel Iglesias remains the go-to closer, but the path to get him the ball with a lead has been uneven lately. Defensively, Atlanta has remained strong, especially in the infield where Ozzie Albies and Orlando Arcia provide solid double-play capability and range, while Michael Harris II’s glove in center field remains a weapon in limiting extra-base hits. Manager Brian Snitker will be tasked with finding the right balance of patience and aggression in his lineup, especially given the Giants’ ability to shorten games with their bullpen. If the Braves can strike early and provide run support for Morton, they’ll be in position to control the pace and avoid giving San Francisco’s arms the upper hand. With playoff implications starting to loom larger, every game is magnified, and this home clash offers Atlanta a key opportunity to reset their tone, win a critical series, and show they can still hang with postseason-caliber clubs. Ultimately, it will come down to execution in the middle innings, the performance of the bullpen, and whether the bats can come alive after several games of underwhelming run production.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Giants and Braves play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Truist Park in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Albies over 0.5 Total Bases.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Giants and Braves and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Giants team going up against a possibly tired Braves team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI San Francisco vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Giants vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Giants Betting Trends

San Francisco has gone 30–33 ATS on the season, including a mixed 4–6 run in recent matchups, indicating inconsistency against the spread.

Braves Betting Trends

The Braves are 26–35 ATS overall and have been underwhelming when favored, going 3–7 ATS in their last 10 games.

Giants vs. Braves Matchup Trends

Six of their last seven head-to-head games have stayed Under 9 runs, hinting at another potential low-scoring pitchers’ duel.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta Game Info

San Francisco vs Atlanta starts on July 21, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: San Francisco +111, Atlanta -131
Over/Under: 9

San Francisco: (52-48)  |  Atlanta: (43-55)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Albies over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Six of their last seven head-to-head games have stayed Under 9 runs, hinting at another potential low-scoring pitchers’ duel.

SF trend: San Francisco has gone 30–33 ATS on the season, including a mixed 4–6 run in recent matchups, indicating inconsistency against the spread.

ATL trend: The Braves are 26–35 ATS overall and have been underwhelming when favored, going 3–7 ATS in their last 10 games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the San Francisco vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

San Francisco vs Atlanta Opening Odds

SF Moneyline: +111
ATL Moneyline: -131
SF Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

San Francisco vs Atlanta Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+177
-197
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+143
-158
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+132
-156
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+142)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-132
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+157)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+104
-115
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves on July 21, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN