Royals vs Marlins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 20)

Updated: 2025-07-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Kansas City Royals (47–52) wrap up their road trip in Miami aiming to snap a two-game skid and stay afloat in the AL Wild Card chase, while the rebuilding Marlins (44–56) aim to end their homestand on a high note. The Royals are slight favorites (≈ –128 moneyline, –1.5 spread), with a modest total (~7.5 runs), pointing toward a low-scoring duel.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 20, 2025

Start Time: 1:40 PM EST​

Venue: loanDepot park​

Marlins Record: (46-71)

Royals Record: (47-52)

OPENING ODDS

KC Moneyline: -128

MIA Moneyline: +107

KC Spread: -1.5

MIA Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

KC
Betting Trends

  • Kansas City has performed well as favorites, winning over 51% of games when odds are –116 or shorter, and sitting just under .500 ATS on the season.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • Miami has struggled recently, posting sub-.500 results as home underdogs, though they’ve managed a handful of surprise wins when expected.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Marlins have remained under in roughly two-thirds of their recent home games, suggesting a tilt toward low-scoring outcomes.

KC vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Isbel over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Kansas City vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/20/25

Sunday’s game between the Kansas City Royals and the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park serves as an intriguing matchup between a Royals team hanging around in the American League Wild Card picture and a Marlins squad focused on development and evaluating young talent. The Royals enter at 47–52 and are likely sending lefty Kris Bubic to the mound, a southpaw who has rebounded strongly this season with a 2.48 ERA, keeping hitters off balance with an improved changeup and more refined command. He’ll face off against Miami’s Janson Junk, a right-hander with a 4–1 record and an impressive 2.68 ERA, whose recent outings have shown maturity and confidence against higher-tier lineups. Offensively, Kansas City is paced by Bobby Witt Jr., whose blend of speed, gap power, and athleticism continues to make him one of the most dynamic young stars in the game, while Maikel García and Kyle Stowers provide timely contributions with high-contact approaches and occasional clutch power. The Royals’ lineup, though not deep, is built to apply pressure through stolen bases, aggressive plate approaches, and opportunistic hitting. On the other side, the Marlins struggle with power but have developed into a team that grinds out at-bats and manufactures runs through players like Xavier Edwards, Avisaíl García, and Jake Burger. Their bullpen, despite Miami’s record, has been one of the more reliable groups in the National League, capable of locking down the final innings in close games if they have the lead.

However, Miami has struggled to play from behind, ranking in the bottom five in comeback wins and hitting under .220 after the sixth inning when trailing. That places additional pressure on Junk to keep the Royals quiet through at least six frames, something he’s done well in his recent starts. Defensively, the Marlins are a solid unit, especially up the middle, but they can be vulnerable to elite speed—something Kansas City will try to exploit on the basepaths. The Royals have done well in games where they control the early innings and put pressure on opposing pitchers with short rest or younger arms, and that approach will likely be the blueprint on Sunday. Bubic will need to neutralize Miami’s contact hitters and stay efficient to avoid overexposing Kansas City’s bullpen, which has been the team’s soft spot in late-inning, one-run situations. With a run total around 7.5 and both starting pitchers in solid form, this has the makings of a low-scoring, strategic contest where one mistake or one timely swing could decide it. Kansas City’s slight edge comes from their superior starting pitching and more proven offensive leadership, but Miami’s bullpen and home-field familiarity keep them in the game if they can get even a slim early lead. This game will likely be decided by execution in the middle innings—if Kansas City can capitalize on small windows of opportunity and Bubic maintains his control, the Royals should be in position to leave Miami with a series win.

Kansas City Royals MLB Preview

The Kansas City Royals enter Sunday’s matchup against the Miami Marlins with a 47–52 record and a determination to claw their way back toward .500 as the second half of the season gets underway. While still outside the American League Wild Card spots, Kansas City has shown stretches of strong play powered by a growing young core, solid starting pitching, and a fundamentally sound brand of baseball that has kept them competitive despite their inconsistencies. Kris Bubic will likely get the ball for the Royals, and he’s been one of the more consistent arms on the staff this year, working to a 7–6 record with a strong 2.48 ERA. His effectiveness comes from limiting hard contact and generating ground balls with his plus changeup, particularly against right-handed hitters. Bubic has also proven capable of going deep into games when his command is on, which could be key against a Marlins offense that doesn’t strike fear into most opponents but can extend innings with singles and aggressive baserunning. At the plate, the Royals are led by Bobby Witt Jr., who continues to be the heartbeat of the offense and an all-around threat capable of changing a game with his bat or legs. Maikel García, Kyle Stowers, and Mike Ford round out a lineup that has moments of offensive explosion but often relies on stringing hits together rather than pure power.

Kansas City has become known for putting pressure on defenses with stolen bases and smart base running, and that style will be especially important in a low-scoring environment like loanDepot Park, where big innings are hard to come by. Defensively, the Royals have been average, with flashes of brilliance from Witt and García up the middle but still susceptible to fielding lapses that can lead to crooked numbers. Their bullpen has been one of their biggest question marks this year, and manager Matt Quatraro has had to be creative in how he navigates the late innings, particularly when holding slim leads. The Royals have done better when they strike early and let their starter work with a cushion, and Sunday’s game should follow that pattern—if they can scratch out a couple runs in the first five innings, they’ll give themselves a real shot. Kansas City has also performed fairly well as a slight favorite, often covering the spread in games against struggling or sub-.500 opponents like Miami. The key to victory will lie in how well Bubic can command his arsenal and keep the Marlins off the bases, and whether the offense can find timely hits against Janson Junk, a quietly effective righty who’s had success keeping hitters off balance. If the Royals can avoid a late-game bullpen collapse and continue playing crisp, mistake-free baseball, they’re in a strong position to take this one on the road and return home with momentum intact.

The Kansas City Royals (47–52) wrap up their road trip in Miami aiming to snap a two-game skid and stay afloat in the AL Wild Card chase, while the rebuilding Marlins (44–56) aim to end their homestand on a high note. The Royals are slight favorites (≈ –128 moneyline, –1.5 spread), with a modest total (~7.5 runs), pointing toward a low-scoring duel. Kansas City vs Miami AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 20. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins head into Sunday’s series finale against the Kansas City Royals looking to salvage momentum from a challenging homestand and continue fostering development in their young, evolving roster. At 44–56, Miami’s playoff hopes have realistically faded, but that hasn’t stopped them from playing competitive baseball against superior opponents, especially at home where their pitching and defense tend to thrive. Janson Junk is expected to start, and his 4–1 record with a 2.68 ERA paints the picture of a pitcher who’s not only exceeded expectations but also provided rare stability to a rotation that has faced its share of adversity in 2025. Junk’s game is built around control and deception; he doesn’t overpower hitters, but he keeps them guessing with a balanced mix of sliders and changeups that generate soft contact. That’s especially important against a Royals lineup that thrives on contact and aggressive baserunning. Miami’s offense, while not prolific, has leaned on players like Xavier Edwards and Josh Bell to create scoring chances. Edwards has stepped into a versatile role, playing both infield and outfield, and contributing with his speed and ability to extend at-bats, while Bell remains a veteran presence capable of driving in runs from the middle of the order. Jake Burger and Avisaíl García provide occasional pop, but this is a team that must string together multiple hits in an inning rather than rely on one big swing. Defensively, the Marlins have quietly been one of the better units in the National League, especially when it comes to run prevention and positioning, thanks to a coaching staff that emphasizes fundamentals and analytics. The bullpen is another strength, featuring a blend of youth and experience, including arms like Tanner Scott and Andrew Nardi who’ve been dependable in close games. Miami has been involved in a number of low-scoring affairs at home this season, and that trend figures to continue on Sunday given the pitching matchup and the nature of both offenses. The key for the Marlins will be to score first and hand a lead over to their bullpen by the sixth or seventh inning—if they can do that, they’ve been successful more often than not. Playing from behind has been a struggle for this team all season, as their lineup lacks the punch to erase multi-run deficits quickly. Still, with home-field advantage and a quietly competent starter in Junk, Miami should feel confident in their ability to keep this contest close. Limiting Kansas City’s basepath chaos—especially Bobby Witt Jr.—and taking advantage of any defensive lapses or bullpen shakiness from the Royals will be essential. In games like these, where both clubs are fighting for different reasons, the edge often goes to the team that plays sharper and with more patience. If the Marlins can execute situationally, hold their ground on defense, and let Junk set the tone, they have every chance to close the weekend with a win and head into the next series with renewed energy.

Kansas City vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Royals and Marlins play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at loanDepot park in Jul almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Isbel over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Kansas City vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Royals and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Royals team going up against a possibly rested Marlins team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Miami picks, computer picks Royals vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Royals Betting Trends

Kansas City has performed well as favorites, winning over 51% of games when odds are –116 or shorter, and sitting just under .500 ATS on the season.

Marlins Betting Trends

Miami has struggled recently, posting sub-.500 results as home underdogs, though they’ve managed a handful of surprise wins when expected.

Royals vs. Marlins Matchup Trends

The Marlins have remained under in roughly two-thirds of their recent home games, suggesting a tilt toward low-scoring outcomes.

Kansas City vs. Miami Game Info

Kansas City vs Miami starts on July 20, 2025 at 1:40 PM EST.

Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: Kansas City -128, Miami +107
Over/Under: 7.5

Kansas City: (47-52)  |  Miami: (46-71)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Isbel over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Marlins have remained under in roughly two-thirds of their recent home games, suggesting a tilt toward low-scoring outcomes.

KC trend: Kansas City has performed well as favorites, winning over 51% of games when odds are –116 or shorter, and sitting just under .500 ATS on the season.

MIA trend: Miami has struggled recently, posting sub-.500 results as home underdogs, though they’ve managed a handful of surprise wins when expected.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Kansas City vs. Miami Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Kansas City vs Miami Opening Odds

KC Moneyline: -128
MIA Moneyline: +107
KC Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Kansas City vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-157
+129
-1.5 (+113)
+1.5 (-137)
O 7.5 (+101)
U 7.5 (-123)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Kansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins on July 20, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN