White Sox vs. Pirates
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 20 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Chicago comes in with a struggling 32–65 record, looking to avoid a sweep, while Pittsburgh sits at 39–60 and aims to finish strong at home. The Pirates are modest favorites at around –140 moneyline and –1.5 run line, with the total set near 9 runs—suggesting a moderately open game.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 20, 2025

Start Time: 1:35 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (39-60)

White Sox Record: (34-65)

OPENING ODDS

CHW Moneyline: +121

PIT Moneyline: -144

CHW Spread: +1.5

PIT Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

CHW
Betting Trends

  • The White Sox are 33–65 this season and have covered the spread infrequently as underdogs, managing just a 34% win rate in dog roles—reflecting their offensive issues and inconsistency.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh has gone 26–21 as favorites at home, showing modest success, though they’ve struggled to consistently cover the run line in close contests.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pirates games have gone Under nine runs in six of their last ten outings, hinting at low-scoring tendencies in recent home matchups, making run-line plays more attractive.

CHW vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Cruz over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

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Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/20/25

Sunday’s matchup between the Chicago White Sox and Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park features two struggling clubs with vastly different trajectories when it comes to rebuilding and execution. The White Sox enter with one of the worst records in baseball at 32–65 and continue to be plagued by a weak offense, poor run differential, and inconsistent pitching. Chicago has been especially bad on the road, with little spark from their lineup outside of Luis Robert Jr., who remains one of the few bright spots in a barren offensive landscape. Their team OPS is among the lowest in the league, and they average just over three runs per game, which puts a ton of pressure on a young, unreliable pitching staff. Jonathan Cannon, scheduled to start Sunday, has had an uneven season at 3–7 with a 4.44 ERA and has struggled to pitch deep into games, often faltering around the fourth or fifth inning. His control issues and lack of a true put-away pitch make him vulnerable, especially against patient hitters like those in the top half of Pittsburgh’s lineup. The Pirates, at 39–60, have at least shown some flashes of competitiveness and enter the game as slight favorites due to better recent form and steadier pitching. Bailey Falter (6–4, 3.79 ERA) will take the mound for Pittsburgh, and while he’s not overpowering, his command has been consistent, and he’s done well limiting walks and inducing soft contact.

Offensively, Pittsburgh relies on a more balanced but still modest attack led by veterans like Andrew McCutchen and Bryan Reynolds, along with Tommy Pham who has brought stability to the top of the order. Both teams struggle with offensive production, but the Pirates have managed to push runs across in key moments more often than the Sox, particularly at home. Pittsburgh’s defense and bullpen also slightly outclass Chicago’s, where miscues and late-inning collapses have become all too familiar. With the total set around nine runs, the game projects to stay on the lower-scoring side unless one of the starters gets hit early. Given recent trends, particularly Pittsburgh’s home games leaning toward the under, and Chicago’s ongoing inability to cash in with runners in scoring position, this looks like a close, perhaps sluggish affair that hinges on which team can scratch out a timely hit or capitalize on an error. If Cannon can keep Pittsburgh in check for five innings and the White Sox manage to steal a couple runs early, they might hang around, but the Pirates have shown a better ability to win close games against comparable teams. This matchup likely won’t draw national headlines, but it’s an important test for two organizations evaluating young talent, and for Pittsburgh, a chance to reaffirm their home field control and build on incremental progress. The Pirates are just more complete right now, and unless Chicago drastically outperforms expectations, the hosts should have the edge in this Sunday finale.

Chicago White Sox White Sox MLB Preview

The Chicago White Sox enter Sunday’s contest against the Pittsburgh Pirates with the weight of a dismal 32–65 record dragging behind them, and there appears to be little relief in sight for a club that has struggled in nearly every phase of the game throughout the 2025 season. The offense has been abysmal, ranking near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, slugging, and runs per game, with Luis Robert Jr. standing as the lone reliable bat amid a sea of inconsistency. Despite flashes from Andrew Benintendi and Miguel Vargas, the lineup has failed to consistently apply pressure or manufacture runs, leaving starters with no margin for error. Jonathan Cannon is expected to take the mound for Chicago, and while he has the frame and makeup of a future mid-rotation arm, his current form is inconsistent, shown by a 3–7 record and 4.44 ERA across a season marked by command issues, high pitch counts, and an inability to work deep into games. Cannon’s stuff can flash—his fastball and cutter induce weak contact—but hitters have started adjusting, and without a dependable third pitch or strikeout upside, he becomes vulnerable by the middle innings. The White Sox bullpen, already stretched thin by overuse and inefficiency, has been a frequent culprit in blowing tight games and lacks a defined closer or reliable setup arm.

Defensively, the White Sox have shown slight improvement in range and fundamentals, but they still struggle with infield errors and missed assignments that have cost them innings and led to extended scoring chances for opponents. On the road, the White Sox have been particularly dismal, losing the majority of their away matchups and often failing to cover the run line even when getting significant odds as underdogs. Their best-case scenario for Sunday likely involves Cannon finding his rhythm early, getting six innings of two-run ball or better, and a few timely hits from Robert, Benintendi, or Moore to edge ahead before the bullpen inevitably enters the picture. However, the odds remain stacked heavily against a group that hasn’t been able to sustain positive momentum all season and tends to unravel in late innings. The challenge becomes steeper when considering Pittsburgh’s modest but capable lineup and the relatively strong command shown by Pirates starter Bailey Falter, who is unlikely to gift the Sox many scoring chances. The Angels of recent years have had similar issues, but the 2025 White Sox make them look like a powerhouse by comparison—this Chicago team simply hasn’t shown the grit, discipline, or offensive firepower needed to compete regularly. If they are to avoid another series loss, the White Sox must play flawless baseball across all nine innings, something they’ve rarely managed this year. With a young and thin roster continuing to grow through adversity, Sunday is another opportunity to evaluate talent, but expectations for a victory are understandably low unless several key players outperform their season-long trends and deliver a complete performance.

Chicago comes in with a struggling 32–65 record, looking to avoid a sweep, while Pittsburgh sits at 39–60 and aims to finish strong at home. The Pirates are modest favorites at around –140 moneyline and –1.5 run line, with the total set near 9 runs—suggesting a moderately open game. Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 20. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into Sunday’s matchup against the visiting Chicago White Sox with a 39–60 record, and while they too find themselves on the outside of the postseason picture, there’s been a sense of steady, if slow, progression in Pittsburgh’s dugout this season. The Pirates have shown marked improvement at home, going 26–21 as favorites, and will look to close out the weekend series with a win behind left-hander Bailey Falter, who has been a solid presence in the rotation. Falter enters the game with a 6–4 record and a 3.79 ERA, and though he’s not overpowering, he uses pitch economy, movement, and command to navigate lineups effectively while inducing weak contact and limiting damage. One area to monitor is his recent susceptibility to home runs—he’s allowed multiple long balls in recent starts—but with the White Sox ranking near the bottom of the league in homers and slugging percentage, the matchup is favorable for the Pirates’ starter. Pittsburgh’s offense, while not particularly explosive, is balanced enough to do damage, especially when veteran hitters like Andrew McCutchen and Tommy Pham set the tone at the top of the lineup and create run-producing opportunities for Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes.

The team has relied heavily on manufacturing runs through walks, smart baserunning, and occasional extra-base hits, and they’ve shown more plate discipline in recent weeks, helping stretch opposing starters early. One of the Pirates’ underrated strengths this year has been defense—particularly in the infield—where they’ve cleaned up errors and executed in key moments, helping their pitchers escape jams with double plays and well-timed glove work. The bullpen, while inconsistent at times, has solidified around a few high-leverage arms that can hold small leads and finish games with minimal drama when the starters hand over quality outings. From a betting and game flow perspective, Pittsburgh has trended toward the under in recent home games, particularly in matchups against offensively challenged teams, and that trend could very well continue against a White Sox squad that averages just 3.4 runs per game. With Falter on the mound, a favorable home setting, and an opponent that’s struggled across the board, the Pirates are positioned to dictate tempo early and avoid the kind of mental mistakes or blown leads that have derailed them in tighter contests. Their formula for success here will be simple: score early, let Falter work into the sixth or seventh inning, and trust the defense and bullpen to carry them to the finish line. While they’re far from a playoff team, the Pirates have at least established a consistent identity at home and should view this game as a must-win from a development standpoint, a chance to build confidence, and a showcase for players auditioning for larger roles moving forward. A professional, focused effort should be enough to put away the struggling White Sox and send the home crowd home happy.

Chicago White Sox vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the White Sox and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Jul can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Cruz over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

Chicago White Sox vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the White Sox and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the trending weight human bettors often put on Chicago White Sox’s strength factors between a White Sox team going up against a possibly improved Pirates team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks White Sox vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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White Sox Betting Trends

The White Sox are 33–65 this season and have covered the spread infrequently as underdogs, managing just a 34% win rate in dog roles—reflecting their offensive issues and inconsistency.

Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh has gone 26–21 as favorites at home, showing modest success, though they’ve struggled to consistently cover the run line in close contests.

White Sox vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

Pirates games have gone Under nine runs in six of their last ten outings, hinting at low-scoring tendencies in recent home matchups, making run-line plays more attractive.

Chicago White Sox vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh starts on July 20, 2025 at 1:35 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh -1.5
Moneyline: Chicago White Sox +121, Pittsburgh -144
Over/Under: 9

Chicago White Sox: (34-65)  |  Pittsburgh: (39-60)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Cruz over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Pirates games have gone Under nine runs in six of their last ten outings, hinting at low-scoring tendencies in recent home matchups, making run-line plays more attractive.

CHW trend: The White Sox are 33–65 this season and have covered the spread infrequently as underdogs, managing just a 34% win rate in dog roles—reflecting their offensive issues and inconsistency.

PIT trend: Pittsburgh has gone 26–21 as favorites at home, showing modest success, though they’ve struggled to consistently cover the run line in close contests.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Chicago White Sox vs. Pittsburgh Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

CHW Moneyline: +121
PIT Moneyline: -144
CHW Spread: +1.5
PIT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
In Progress
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-225
+1.5 (+100)
-1.5 (-120)
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-170
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+146
-165
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+120)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
+103
-113
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+172)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+194
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (+100)
U 8 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-128
+117
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+111
-122
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+164)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+178
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+119
-131
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+149
-168
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+125
-138
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+121
-133
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+156)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-138
+125
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+105
-115
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+172)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+105
-115
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+164)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Chicago White Sox White Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on July 20, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS