Red Sox vs Cubs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 19)

Updated: 2025-07-17T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Boston comes into Wrigley Field at 53–45, buoyed by a dominant 10-game winning streak and a steady push toward a Wild Card position, while the Cubs sit at 58–39, riding the energy of a strong home stretch and opening an 18‑game homestand. The Cubs enter as solid favorites (–151 moneyline, –1.5 run line), and the total is drawn at 9 runs for this afternoon tilt.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 19, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Wrigley Field​

Cubs Record: (58-39)

Red Sox Record: (53-46)

OPENING ODDS

BOS Moneyline: +125

CHC Moneyline: -149

BOS Spread: +1.5

CHC Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

BOS
Betting Trends

  • Boston has gone 8–2 ATS over their last ten games, delivering cover after cover behind a .421 hitter in Ceddanne Rafaela and a rotation fueled by Lucas Giolito (3.36 ERA) and Garrett Crochet (2.23 ERA).

CHC
Betting Trends

  • Chicago is 6–4 ATS in their past ten games as home favorites of at least –151, winning 69.7% of those matchups straight up as well.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total is set at 9, yet only four of the Cubs’ last ten home games have gone over, suggesting this could paint more toward the Under despite Boston’s high-scoring trend.

BOS vs. CHC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Gonzalez over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

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Boston vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/19/25

Friday’s interleague clash at Wrigley Field between the Boston Red Sox and the Chicago Cubs promises to be one of the more compelling matchups of the weekend as two postseason contenders meet with significant momentum and pitching depth. Boston enters the game riding an MLB-best 10-game winning streak, surging to a 53–45 record behind a blend of emerging young talent and consistent veteran production. Their recent dominance has been driven by explosive offense, lights-out bullpen work, and a starting rotation anchored by Lucas Giolito and Garrett Crochet, both of whom are in rhythm and delivering quality starts with consistency. On July 19, the Red Sox will hand the ball to Giolito, who’s compiled a 3.36 ERA while navigating six straight outings of six-plus innings, minimizing walks, and avoiding hard contact. Chicago, meanwhile, boasts a 58–39 record and sits near the top of the NL Central, having just wrapped a strong homestand and entering this one with a 6–4 ATS record in their last 10. The Cubs have been particularly sharp at home, where they’ve turned Wrigley Field into a decisive advantage with a combination of early scoring, lockdown relief pitching, and crowd-fueled momentum late in games. Colin Rea is expected to start for the Cubs with a solid 7–3 record and a 3.91 ERA, making him a reliable right-hander in the middle of Chicago’s rotation, capable of pitching deep enough to bridge to a very capable bullpen.

Offensively, the Cubs are paced by Seiya Suzuki, who’s mashed 25 home runs on the season and has continued to deliver in key spots, while Kyle Tucker and Pete Crow-Armstrong add athleticism and timely hitting to a lineup that’s gotten better with each month. The betting markets currently favor Chicago at –151 on the moneyline and –1.5 on the run line, with a total of 9 runs set, though recent data suggests that only four of the Cubs’ last ten home games have gone over that number, indicating the potential for a lower-scoring affair despite Boston’s high-octane offense. Boston has covered in eight of their last ten games and brings a top-five offensive unit in terms of slugging percentage and runs per game, powered by Ceddanne Rafaela (.329 AVG), Roman Anthony (.306 AVG), and the power stroke of Wilyer Abreu (18 HR). The Red Sox have found success in interleague play with a 12–5 record and have shown they can win both slugfests and low-scoring pitcher’s duels, depending on the tempo of the game. Friday’s game will likely come down to which starter can navigate the first five innings with efficiency while limiting damage, as both bullpens have shown the capacity to shut games down late. The Cubs have the home-field edge and historical performance in their favor, but Boston’s current form, pitching momentum, and balance between young hitters and veteran leadership make them a legitimate threat to continue their winning streak. This game shapes up to be a showcase of playoff-caliber baseball with a possible late-inning swing deciding whether Chicago maintains control at home or Boston pushes their win streak into historic territory.

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The Boston Red Sox arrive at Wrigley Field on July 19, 2025, carrying the weight of momentum and confidence after stringing together an impressive 10-game winning streak that has elevated them to 53–45 and back into serious postseason contention. This run has been fueled by a balanced and aggressive roster that blends youthful explosiveness with steady veteran contributions, making Boston one of the hottest teams in baseball heading into this weekend matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela has been a revelation atop the lineup, hitting .329 in July and providing speed, power, and excellent defense in center field, while rookie Roman Anthony continues to impress with a .306 average and advanced plate discipline. The Red Sox offense has produced at a top-five rate across most statistical categories during this streak, averaging over six runs per game and thriving in high-leverage spots thanks to clutch hitting from players like Wilyer Abreu, who has belted 18 home runs this season. Boston’s starting pitching has stabilized, with Lucas Giolito expected to take the mound Friday afternoon boasting a 3.36 ERA and a run of six consecutive quality starts where he’s pitched at least six innings and kept his WHIP below 1.10. Giolito’s veteran poise, command, and effectiveness against both righties and lefties make him an ideal fit to pitch in a hostile road environment like Wrigley, especially given the Cubs’ tendency to score early at home.

Behind Giolito, the Boston bullpen has become a major asset, featuring reliable late-inning arms who have consistently held leads and kept tight games from unraveling. Defensively, the Red Sox have played clean baseball during this run, turning key double plays and executing fundamentals that have contributed directly to victories. From a betting perspective, Boston has gone 8–2 ATS in its last 10 games and 49–47 overall on the run line this season, showing an ability to outperform expectations even when not favored. As modest underdogs heading into this matchup (+125 on the moneyline), the Red Sox present significant value given their current form, Giolito’s consistency, and the explosiveness of their offense against right-handed pitchers like Chicago’s Colin Rea. While Wrigley Field poses challenges—especially with its shifting wind patterns and crowd energy—the Red Sox are no strangers to performing in high-pressure environments, and their 12–5 interleague record this year reflects a team that adjusts well to unfamiliar opponents and venues. If Boston can set the tone early, apply pressure to Rea, and get Giolito comfortably through the first few innings, their depth, bullpen reliability, and recent offensive surge give them a real chance to steal the series opener. Winning on the road against one of the NL’s top teams will require focus and execution, but this current version of the Red Sox appears fully locked in, confident, and eager to keep climbing in the Wild Card race with yet another statement win against a strong opponent.

Boston comes into Wrigley Field at 53–45, buoyed by a dominant 10-game winning streak and a steady push toward a Wild Card position, while the Cubs sit at 58–39, riding the energy of a strong home stretch and opening an 18‑game homestand. The Cubs enter as solid favorites (–151 moneyline, –1.5 run line), and the total is drawn at 9 runs for this afternoon tilt. Boston vs Chicago Cubs AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 19. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Chicago Cubs Cubs MLB Preview

The Chicago Cubs enter their July 19, 2025, showdown against the red-hot Boston Red Sox with a firm grip on one of the National League’s top playoff spots and a 58–39 record that reflects consistency, depth, and a clear identity built around pitching, defense, and timely power. After wrapping up a strong 5–1 homestand prior to the All-Star break, the Cubs return to Wrigley Field for a lengthy 18-game stretch that will be pivotal in solidifying their postseason ambitions, and they’ll rely on right-hander Colin Rea to set the tone in Friday’s opener. Rea has been quietly effective in the middle of the rotation, posting a 7–3 record with a 3.91 ERA and doing an excellent job of working deep into games while limiting free passes and keeping the ball in the park, especially when pitching at home. His ability to manage innings and generate soft contact has helped bridge to a bullpen that’s been one of the more reliable units in the league, with arms like Adbert Alzolay, Mark Leiter Jr., and Julian Merryweather thriving in late-inning roles. Chicago has also benefited from a balanced lineup that doesn’t rely on any one star but instead gets contributions from across the board, including Seiya Suzuki, who leads the team with 25 home runs, and Kyle Tucker, who has provided steady on-base skills and clutch hitting.

Pete Crow-Armstrong and Dansby Swanson have anchored the defense up the middle, giving the Cubs a solid foundation and making them particularly tough to beat in close games at Wrigley. Chicago’s home record and run line performance as favorites—especially when laying –151 or better—has been strong, covering in six of their last ten such matchups and winning nearly 70% outright when listed in that range. From a game script standpoint, the Cubs will aim to strike early against Boston starter Lucas Giolito, who has pitched well of late but will be tested by a Cubs team that has thrived in the first three innings, particularly at home. Limiting Boston’s young offensive weapons like Ceddanne Rafaela and Roman Anthony will be crucial, and the Cubs’ infield defense and pitching sequencing will need to be sharp to navigate high-contact scenarios. The weather conditions and wind patterns at Wrigley could also play a role, as lower-scoring games have been the norm in recent home contests, with six of their last ten staying under the total. With the total set at 9, oddsmakers expect moderate scoring, but if Rea can contain Boston’s early momentum and the bullpen holds serve late, the Cubs are well-positioned to notch a statement win against one of the American League’s hottest teams. Chicago’s combination of veteran leadership, home-field edge, and roster balance has served them well all season, and if they execute their usual game plan—grind out at-bats, keep innings short, and seize late-inning opportunities—they should be able to cool off Boston’s streak and start their post-break homestand on a high note.

Boston vs. Chicago Cubs Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Red Sox and Cubs play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Wrigley Field in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Gonzalez over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

Boston vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Red Sox and Cubs and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Red Sox team going up against a possibly unhealthy Cubs team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Boston vs Chicago Cubs picks, computer picks Red Sox vs Cubs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston has gone 8–2 ATS over their last ten games, delivering cover after cover behind a .421 hitter in Ceddanne Rafaela and a rotation fueled by Lucas Giolito (3.36 ERA) and Garrett Crochet (2.23 ERA).

Cubs Betting Trends

Chicago is 6–4 ATS in their past ten games as home favorites of at least –151, winning 69.7% of those matchups straight up as well.

Red Sox vs. Cubs Matchup Trends

The total is set at 9, yet only four of the Cubs’ last ten home games have gone over, suggesting this could paint more toward the Under despite Boston’s high-scoring trend.

Boston vs. Chicago Cubs Game Info

Boston vs Chicago Cubs starts on July 19, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Spread: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Moneyline: Boston +125, Chicago Cubs -149
Over/Under: 9

Boston: (53-46)  |  Chicago Cubs: (58-39)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Gonzalez over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total is set at 9, yet only four of the Cubs’ last ten home games have gone over, suggesting this could paint more toward the Under despite Boston’s high-scoring trend.

BOS trend: Boston has gone 8–2 ATS over their last ten games, delivering cover after cover behind a .421 hitter in Ceddanne Rafaela and a rotation fueled by Lucas Giolito (3.36 ERA) and Garrett Crochet (2.23 ERA).

CHC trend: Chicago is 6–4 ATS in their past ten games as home favorites of at least –151, winning 69.7% of those matchups straight up as well.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Boston vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Boston vs Chicago Cubs trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Boston vs Chicago Cubs Opening Odds

BOS Moneyline: +125
CHC Moneyline: -149
BOS Spread: +1.5
CHC Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Boston vs Chicago Cubs Live Odds

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MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago Cubs Cubs on July 19, 2025 at Wrigley Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN