Royals vs. Marlins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 18 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-07-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Kansas City Royals travel to Miami to meet the Marlins on July 18 at loanDepot Park, setting up an intriguing interleague clash between two teams hovering near .500. With both rotations led by veteran aces and offenses that excel at situational hitting more than power, this opener shapes up as a tactical battle where bullpen execution and early runs could be decisive.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 18, 2025
Start Time: 7:10 PM EST
Venue: loanDepot park
Marlins Record: (44-51)
Royals Record: (47-50)
OPENING ODDS
KC Moneyline: -124
MIA Moneyline: +104
KC Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
KC
Betting Trends
- The Royals are 14–12 ATS when favored by at least –121 this season, showing consistent value in tight contests.
MIA
Betting Trends
- Miami, however, has gone just 20–27 ATS at home and displays inconsistent performance as the underdog.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- With the total set at 8, and featuring veteran starters, similar matchups have hit the over about 65% of the time—highlighting the potential for early offense.
KC vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Stowers over 4.5 Fantasy Score.
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Kansas City vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/18/25
Their offensive philosophy hinges on contact, stolen bases, and forcing the defense into pressure situations—something that has proven effective against pitchers like Alcantara who no longer miss many bats. Miami’s offense, while not potent one-through-nine, has two bright spots: Kyle Stowers, who was selected to the All-Star Game for the first time this season thanks to his 19 home runs and a slugging percentage above .540, and Xavier Edwards, who enters this matchup with a .328 batting average and consistent top-of-the-order production. Beyond those two, however, the Marlins lack the kind of lineup depth that inspires confidence in multi-run rallies, meaning they’ll need Alcantara to give them quality innings and avoid early deficits. Defensively, the Royals hold an edge, committing fewer errors on the season and offering better range and glove reliability across the infield, while Miami has improved slightly in defensive metrics but still ranks below average in overall efficiency. Bullpen depth and execution will likely determine the outcome if the game is close late; Kansas City’s late-inning arms have been one of their quiet strengths in 2025, while Miami’s relievers have allowed several games to slip away with walks, mislocated pitches, and blown saves. Oddsmakers have set a modest total of eight runs for this game, signaling the expectation of a pitcher’s duel, though Alcantara’s recent form makes that risky. If Wright can keep Miami’s limited lineup quiet through five and Kansas City’s bats can capitalize on Alcantara’s early-count mistakes, the Royals have a strong path to taking the opener on the road. For Miami, the formula is simple: get five clean innings from their starter, scratch out a few runs behind their top hitters, and hope their bullpen can avoid the meltdowns that have haunted them throughout the season.
Welcome back, Fraz! https://t.co/nLPVLE0YaF pic.twitter.com/198u6LQSe8
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) July 16, 2025
Kansas City Royals MLB Preview
The Kansas City Royals enter their July 18 road game against the Miami Marlins with a 47–50 record and cautious optimism after a series of competitive performances that have kept them within striking distance of a .500 mark. Manager Matt Quatraro has leaned on a scrappy lineup and an improved bullpen to stay competitive in most matchups, and the formula will need to remain sharp if Kansas City is to capitalize on a vulnerable Marlins club. The Royals send right-hander Kyle Wright to the mound for this series opener, a veteran with a career ERA in the mid-fours who has battled command issues but can be effective when he’s locating early in counts. Wright’s key to success is keeping the ball down in the zone and avoiding extended innings, something that’s plagued him at times this year. The Royals’ bullpen has become a quiet strength, anchored by James McArthur in the closer role and complemented by reliable middle-inning arms like Angel Zerpa and John Schreiber, allowing Kansas City to hold narrow leads and stay in games late. Offensively, Bobby Witt Jr. continues to be the Royals’ engine, combining elite speed, gap power, and improved plate discipline to create runs whether he’s leading off an inning or extending a rally. Vinnie Pasquantino has emerged as a steady bat in the middle of the order with solid OPS and clutch hitting, while Maikel García has contributed with his contact-heavy approach and versatility.
Though Kansas City lacks traditional home run power, they make up for it with aggressive base running, hit-and-run tactics, and situational hitting that keeps pressure on opposing pitchers. That approach should play well against Miami’s starter Sandy Alcantara, whose 7.22 ERA suggests vulnerability to early offensive pressure. If the Royals can force Alcantara into long at-bats and elevate his pitch count early, they’ll have a prime opportunity to expose Miami’s shaky bullpen, which has struggled to protect leads and lacks a dominant late-inning presence. Defensively, the Royals are strong up the middle, with reliable fielders and a rotation that holds runners well—key traits when playing in a pitcher-friendly park like loanDepot, where every run matters. On the road, Kansas City has been competitive but not dominant, and maintaining energy in a lower-intensity environment like Miami will be a mental challenge as much as a tactical one. They’ve also performed well in games with lower run totals, going over the spread frequently when totals are set near eight runs, suggesting that they tend to outperform expectations in grind-it-out matchups. For the Royals to come out on top in this opener, they’ll need five stable innings from Wright, early contributions from their top-of-the-order hitters, and continued bullpen efficiency to close out what is likely to be a low-scoring, tightly played game. With the Marlins vulnerable in multiple areas and Kansas City capable of winning close contests, the Royals have a clear path to starting this road series with a win—provided they stay aggressive, play clean, and capitalize on Miami’s pitching inconsistencies.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins return home to loanDepot Park on July 18 to face the Kansas City Royals, hoping to continue their modest July turnaround and gain ground in the National League standings. Sitting at 44–51, the Marlins have had a season defined by inconsistency, underwhelming performances from key veterans, and a lack of offensive depth beyond their top two hitters. All-Star Kyle Stowers has been a bright spot in the lineup, hitting .289 with 19 home runs and a .543 slugging percentage, while Xavier Edwards leads the team with a .328 batting average and provides a reliable presence at the top of the order. However, Miami’s lineup drops off quickly after those two, and they have struggled to produce runs in bunches, especially when facing quality pitching or trailing late in games. The Marlins are expected to start Sandy Alcantara, who has had a bafflingly rough 2025 campaign with a 4–9 record and a bloated 7.22 ERA. Once the unquestioned ace of the staff, Alcantara has struggled with command, allowing 12 home runs in just 91 innings and often putting his team in early holes. Despite the high ERA, Alcantara has shown flashes of his old self in isolated outings, but his inconsistency has made him a risky bet to pitch deep into games or keep opponents under control. That puts pressure on a Miami bullpen that has been shaky throughout the season, with few reliable late-inning arms and a tendency to walk batters in key moments.
Defensively, the Marlins have improved since their early-season struggles, but they still trail most teams in fielding percentage and often lack the infield coordination needed to turn double plays or prevent extra bases. Miami’s 20–27 ATS home record underscores their volatility in their own ballpark, where they often fail to cover spreads even when favored. Against a Royals team that thrives on contact hitting, small ball, and aggressive base running, the Marlins will need to execute sharply on defense and keep the game within reach early. Offensively, they’ll need their bottom of the order to step up and provide some pressure against Kyle Wright, a right-hander with a contact-heavy profile who can be vulnerable when facing hitters with speed and good bat control. A low run total of eight suggests a game that could swing on a single mistake, and that’s where Miami’s bullpen woes and Alcantara’s home run susceptibility become concerning. For the Marlins to win, Alcantara must find his rhythm early, limiting damage and avoiding high-leverage situations that would expose their bullpen. Their offense must get to Wright in the early innings, perhaps leaning on Edwards’ ability to get on base and Stowers’ power to cash in. If they can score early and play clean defense, they may be able to turn the tide of a frustrating season, but anything short of sharp execution across all phases will leave them vulnerable to another close loss. With both teams closely matched and relying on finesse over firepower, Miami’s path to victory hinges on whether their veteran core can finally play up to their potential in front of the home crowd.
Game-tying RBI in the 9th? Sounds about right.#GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/s4SOZvXAj7
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) July 16, 2025
Kansas City vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)
Kansas City vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Royals and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending weight human bettors tend to put on Miami’s strength factors between a Royals team going up against a possibly unhealthy Marlins team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Miami picks, computer picks Royals vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Royals Betting Trends
The Royals are 14–12 ATS when favored by at least –121 this season, showing consistent value in tight contests.
Marlins Betting Trends
Miami, however, has gone just 20–27 ATS at home and displays inconsistent performance as the underdog.
Royals vs. Marlins Matchup Trends
With the total set at 8, and featuring veteran starters, similar matchups have hit the over about 65% of the time—highlighting the potential for early offense.
Kansas City vs. Miami Game Info
What time does Kansas City vs Miami start on July 18, 2025?
Kansas City vs Miami starts on July 18, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.
Where is Kansas City vs Miami being played?
Venue: loanDepot park.
What are the opening odds for Kansas City vs Miami?
Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: Kansas City -124, Miami +104
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for Kansas City vs Miami?
Kansas City: (47-50) | Miami: (44-51)
What is the AI best bet for Kansas City vs Miami?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Stowers over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Kansas City vs Miami trending bets?
With the total set at 8, and featuring veteran starters, similar matchups have hit the over about 65% of the time—highlighting the potential for early offense.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Royals are 14–12 ATS when favored by at least –121 this season, showing consistent value in tight contests.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: Miami, however, has gone just 20–27 ATS at home and displays inconsistent performance as the underdog.
Where can I find AI Picks for Kansas City vs Miami?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Kansas City vs. Miami Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Kansas City vs Miami Opening Odds
KC Moneyline:
-124 MIA Moneyline: +104
KC Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
Kansas City vs Miami Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
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Cubs
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3
7
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-10000
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-3.5 (-650)
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O 10.5 (+425)
U 10.5 (-650)
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Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
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Blue Jays
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1
4
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O 7.5 (+115)
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Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
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Giants
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2
3
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+270
-350
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+1.5 (+105)
-1.5 (-135)
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O 10.5 (+105)
U 10.5 (-135)
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New York Mets
Miami Marlins
In Progress
Mets
Marlins
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2
0
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-350
+270
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-2.5 (-102)
+2.5 (-125)
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O 7.5 (-130)
U 7.5 (+100)
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Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
In Progress
Tigers
Red Sox
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0
1
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+195
-250
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+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+105)
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O 6.5 (-150)
U 6.5 (+115)
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Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
In Progress
White Sox
Nationals
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0
0
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+130
-160
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+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+125)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
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–
–
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+193
-215
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
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–
–
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+115
-135
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+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+165)
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O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
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–
–
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+150
-166
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+1.5 (-143)
-1.5 (+123)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
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–
–
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+125
-150
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
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O 7 (-125)
U 7 (+105)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
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–
–
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+136
-150
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+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+145)
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O 7.5 (-105)
U 7.5 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
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–
–
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-150
+125
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-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
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O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
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–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-210)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
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–
–
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+106
-117
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+165)
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O 10 (-116)
U 10 (-104)
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Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
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–
–
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+144
-172
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+1.5 (-146)
-1.5 (+122)
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O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins on July 18, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |