Red Sox vs Cubs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 18)

Updated: 2025-07-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Boston’s scorching 10‑game winning streak faces its sternest test yet as they travel to Wrigley Field to take on the first-place Chicago Cubs in this pivotal interleague showdown. With Lucas Giolito locking horns with Colin Rea, both teams will look to set the tone for the second half with their bullpens and bats firing on all cylinders.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 18, 2025

Start Time: 2:20 PM EST​

Venue: Wrigley Field​

Cubs Record: (57-39)

Red Sox Record: (53-45)

OPENING ODDS

BOS Moneyline: +114

CHC Moneyline: -134

BOS Spread: +1.5

CHC Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

BOS
Betting Trends

  • Boston is a scorching 9‑1 ATS in their last 10 games, earning major confidence backing from the line.

CHC
Betting Trends

  • Chicago has cashed in on the team total over 9 of their last 11 home games, showing consistent power production.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • With the Cubs favored by 1.5 runs, they’ve gone 33‑12 (.733) ATS in similar scenarios this season—an impressive edge to note.

BOS vs. CHC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Tucker over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Boston vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/18/25

This Friday’s interleague clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field promises to be one of the most compelling matchups of the week, pitting two playoff hopefuls riding high on recent success. Boston enters the game on an incredible 10-game winning streak, surging back into AL Wild Card contention behind a red-hot offense and a surging starting rotation. The Red Sox are 53–45, with their bats averaging over seven runs per game during this streak and their bullpen locking things down with a combined 1.90 ERA. Their run has been both explosive and disciplined, with hitters like Ceddanne Rafaela, Jarren Duran, and Wilyer Abreu providing a balanced mix of power and speed, while Trevor Story’s recent return to form has added stability to the middle of the order. Boston’s scheduled starter, Lucas Giolito, has posted a 6–1 record with a 3.36 ERA this season and is in his best groove of the year, mixing an improved four-seamer with a sharp slider and showing the ability to work deep into games. His command and poise will be tested at Wrigley Field, especially against a Cubs lineup that’s been highly productive at home. Chicago, meanwhile, sits atop the NL Central with a 57–39 record and a two-game win streak of their own. They’re 33–12 ATS this season when favored by at least 1.5 runs and have consistently cashed in at home, with their team total going over in 9 of the last 11 games at Wrigley.

The Cubs’ offense has been lifted by the addition of Kyle Tucker at the trade deadline, whose consistent power numbers and ability to hit for average bring much-needed balance behind the likes of Nico Hoerner and Ian Happ. Friday’s starter for the Cubs, Colin Rea, has been quietly effective, going 7–3 with a 3.91 ERA. Though not a strikeout artist, Rea induces plenty of soft contact and has excelled at navigating pressure situations, especially at home. The Cubs bullpen, led by Adbert Alzolay and Hector Neris, has been efficient but occasionally shaky in high-leverage spots, while Boston’s pen, built around Kenley Jansen and Chris Martin, has been elite at protecting leads. This game may ultimately hinge on the middle innings—if Giolito can neutralize Chicago’s bats through six and Boston’s offense gets to Rea early, the Red Sox could steal another underdog win. However, if Rea holds serve and the Cubs bats strike late, Chicago could cover their favored line. Weather and Wrigley’s ever-changing wind may also impact the over/under, currently set at 8.5. With both teams surging, this game figures to be a chess match between two well-balanced clubs, each with postseason aspirations and the talent to go deep in October. Expect a playoff-like atmosphere, timely hitting, and late-inning drama as these squads square off in one of the summer’s most evenly matched interleague duels.

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The Boston Red Sox enter Friday’s matchup against the Chicago Cubs as arguably the hottest team in Major League Baseball, riding a 10-game winning streak that has reignited their postseason hopes and restored confidence in both the clubhouse and fanbase. At 53–45, Boston sits firmly in the American League Wild Card race, and their current form has been defined by elite production from both the offense and pitching staff. During this streak, the Sox have averaged more than seven runs per game while holding opponents to under two, boasting a remarkable +50 run differential over their last ten contests. The offensive spark has come from multiple contributors—rookie sensation Ceddanne Rafaela has emerged as a lineup fixture, batting .421 during the streak with multiple home runs and key situational hits, while Wilyer Abreu and Jarren Duran continue to drive in runs with aggressive baserunning and consistent contact. Perhaps most encouraging for manager Alex Cora is the resurgence of Trevor Story, who after a sluggish start to the season has exploded with a 1.162 OPS over the last two weeks, giving Boston a dependable right-handed threat to balance the order. The team’s renewed identity is built on patience and pressure—they draw walks, steal bases, and have embraced a grind-it-out approach that wears down starters by the fourth inning. Lucas Giolito, slated to start on Friday, has been steady if not spectacular this year with a 6–1 record and a 3.36 ERA, finally looking like the dependable top-of-rotation arm Boston hoped for when they acquired him. He’s coming off back-to-back outings of 7+ innings, where he allowed two earned runs combined and struck out 15.

The matchup against the Cubs will challenge his ability to navigate a deep and balanced lineup, but his fastball command and developing changeup should give him options to work around Chicago’s sluggers. One potential hurdle for the Sox is their road record—while they’ve been excellent at Fenway Park, they sit at just 21–25 on the road and will need Giolito to be efficient to avoid overexposing their bullpen early. That said, Boston’s relievers have been outstanding, with Chris Martin and Kenley Jansen anchoring one of the best back-end duos in baseball, combining for a 2.01 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP. Their ability to shorten games has been critical in close wins, especially during the streak. Against a Cubs team that thrives at home, Boston will need to continue their aggressive plate approach and capitalize on early scoring chances, particularly against Colin Rea, who tends to fade after his second trip through the order. The betting market currently favors the Cubs, but the Sox are a dangerous underdog: they’re 9–1 ATS in their last 10 games, have covered consistently on the road during this streak, and have outperformed expectations as moneyline underdogs all season. If their offense can chase Rea early and Giolito gives them a quality start, Boston is well-positioned to push their win streak to 11 and continue climbing the AL playoff ladder, proving they can win tough games in hostile environments.

Boston’s scorching 10‑game winning streak faces its sternest test yet as they travel to Wrigley Field to take on the first-place Chicago Cubs in this pivotal interleague showdown. With Lucas Giolito locking horns with Colin Rea, both teams will look to set the tone for the second half with their bullpens and bats firing on all cylinders. Boston vs Chicago Cubs AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 18. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Chicago Cubs Cubs MLB Preview

The Chicago Cubs enter Friday’s high-stakes interleague showdown against the Boston Red Sox with their sights set firmly on maintaining their lead atop the National League Central and proving they can match firepower with one of the league’s hottest teams. At 57–39, the Cubs have thrived thanks to their balanced attack, deep bullpen, and relentless consistency at Wrigley Field, where they’ve won 30 of 45 home games and cashed in on the team total over in nine of their last eleven contests. Their offense, rejuvenated by the recent acquisition of Kyle Tucker, now features a dangerous blend of speed, discipline, and power through the heart of the order. Tucker, who’s hit .280 with 17 home runs and 56 RBIs this season, brings lefty thump and has provided the Cubs with a potent one-two punch alongside Nico Hoerner and Ian Happ. Slugger Christopher Morel remains a key piece in the middle, while Dansby Swanson adds Gold Glove defense and timely hitting. This revamped lineup has been particularly tough on right-handed pitchers like Boston’s Lucas Giolito, and the Cubs’ aggressive first-pitch approach could put pressure on him early. Chicago hands the ball to Colin Rea, who enters with a solid 7–3 record and a 3.91 ERA through 17 starts. Rea doesn’t overpower hitters but is highly effective at generating weak contact and navigating lineups through efficient pitch usage.

He’s allowed three earned runs or fewer in eight of his last ten outings and has pitched especially well at Wrigley, where his groundball tendencies help mitigate home run threats. The Cubs’ bullpen, anchored by Adbert Alzolay, Hector Neris, and Mark Leiter Jr., has been solid when handed a lead, although it has shown vulnerability in high-leverage spots. Chicago’s defense remains one of the best in the league, with excellent infield range and outfield arms that help limit extra bases, giving pitchers added confidence in contact-heavy matchups. From a betting standpoint, the Cubs are 33–12 ATS this season when favored by 1.5 runs and have covered four of their last five in that role, suggesting a strong edge when they dictate tempo early. Their run differential at home is among the best in baseball, and when the bats get going, the crowd at Wrigley becomes a tangible asset. With the weather forecast looking favorable for hitters and a confident, rested lineup taking the field, Chicago will look to pounce on Giolito in the early innings and then let their bullpen secure a lead. A series-opening win against a surging Red Sox club would not only reaffirm their status as a top-tier team but also extend their momentum heading into a favorable stretch of the schedule. The key will be timely hits with runners in scoring position—an area where they’ve been excellent all season—and shutting down Boston’s baserunners, particularly Rafaela and Duran, who can manufacture offense with their legs. If Rea can get through five innings with the lead and the bullpen holds firm, the Cubs are in strong position to add another home win and keep their division cushion intact in what should be a playoff-style atmosphere at Wrigley.

Boston vs. Chicago Cubs Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Red Sox and Cubs play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Wrigley Field in Jul almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Tucker over 0.5 Total Bases.

Boston vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Red Sox and Cubs and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Chicago Cubs’s strength factors between a Red Sox team going up against a possibly tired Cubs team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Boston vs Chicago Cubs picks, computer picks Red Sox vs Cubs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Red Sox Betting Trends

Boston is a scorching 9‑1 ATS in their last 10 games, earning major confidence backing from the line.

Cubs Betting Trends

Chicago has cashed in on the team total over 9 of their last 11 home games, showing consistent power production.

Red Sox vs. Cubs Matchup Trends

With the Cubs favored by 1.5 runs, they’ve gone 33‑12 (.733) ATS in similar scenarios this season—an impressive edge to note.

Boston vs. Chicago Cubs Game Info

Boston vs Chicago Cubs starts on July 18, 2025 at 2:20 PM EST.

Spread: Chicago Cubs -1.5
Moneyline: Boston +114, Chicago Cubs -134
Over/Under: 7.5

Boston: (53-45)  |  Chicago Cubs: (57-39)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Tucker over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

With the Cubs favored by 1.5 runs, they’ve gone 33‑12 (.733) ATS in similar scenarios this season—an impressive edge to note.

BOS trend: Boston is a scorching 9‑1 ATS in their last 10 games, earning major confidence backing from the line.

CHC trend: Chicago has cashed in on the team total over 9 of their last 11 home games, showing consistent power production.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Boston vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Boston vs Chicago Cubs trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Boston vs Chicago Cubs Opening Odds

BOS Moneyline: +114
CHC Moneyline: -134
BOS Spread: +1.5
CHC Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Boston vs Chicago Cubs Live Odds

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MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago Cubs Cubs on July 18, 2025 at Wrigley Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN