Pirates vs. Twins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 13 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-11T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Twins look to extend a heated homestand after an impressive 12–4 rout of Pittsburgh yesterday, while the Pirates aim to avoid the sweep and show resilience on the road.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 13, 2025

Start Time: 2:10 PM EST​

Venue: Target Field​

Twins Record: (47-48)

Pirates Record: (38-58)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +116

MIN Moneyline: -138

PIT Spread: +1.5

MIN Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh is 5–11 in their last 16 games and sits around .400 ATS this season, showing they often leave value on the table.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • Minnesota is close to .500 ATS at home, hovering near 24–23, reflecting moderate success in covering when playing at Target Field.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Twins have gone under 9 runs in back-to-back games against Pittsburgh, suggesting run-line value or under plays may be appealing today.

PIT vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Wallner over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Pittsburgh vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/13/25

The July 13, 2025 matchup at Target Field pits the Pittsburgh Pirates against the red-hot Minnesota Twins in what sets up to be a tale of two seasons converging, as the Twins ride a wave of momentum from a 55–44 record bolstered by a statement-making 12–4 win over Pittsburgh yesterday—anchored by Byron Buxton’s historic cycle, becoming the first in Target Field history—while the Pirates limp in at 38–59, rocky and inconsistent. Minnesota, under manager Rocco Baldelli, is riding a surge built on pitching depth and an offense that flexed elite potential across yesterday’s game: Buxton’s 5-for-5 heroics, along with Willi Castro’s three-hit performance and Kody Clemens’ three-run homer, highlighted a cohesive lineup that’s beginning to click and create pressure early in games. The probable starter for Minnesota, likely Chris Paddack or Bailey Ober, will aim to build on this offensive supporting cast and generate a stable foundation that relieves pressure on the bullpen—especially following yesterday’s effective four-inning relief from rookie Travis Adams, signaling renewed confidence in Minnesota’s pen. On the other side, Pittsburgh enters with glaring deficits in both starting pitching length and offensive sustainability, reflected in their 2–6 road record in recent outings and a tendency to fade quickly in series.

Their lineup, led modestly by Jack Suwinski and Joey Bart, has yet to string together sustained at-bats or offensive consistency, placing immense strain on Jake Irvin or Paul Skenes—who, despite his rookie dominance, carries the burden of an overtaxed rotation and bullpen. Skenes will need to channel his elite strikeout ability and rookie-of-the-year form into a quality start, but any early slip or command issue could unravel quickly behind a Pirates defense prone to errors on this trip. For Pittsburgh to stay afloat in this matchup, they’ll need big innings early, clean defense, and deep bullpen relief—an approach that, given the Twins’ aggressive, confident style, may fall short. Minnesota’s combination of offensive firepower, pitching flexibility, and home-field energy positions them as clear favorites to complete the sweep, and the betting landscape reflects that: Twins are about −141 on the money line and −1.5 on the run line, with a projected total near 9, while the lackluster form of the Pirates and the Twins’ dominance in the series—covering 6 of the last 10 head-to-head—creates a strong tilt toward Minnesota. Expect the Twins to pressure early, build a lead through a deep start and effective bullpen work, and capitalize on Pittsburgh’s weaknesses at the plate and in the field. In sum, this game will likely feature Minnesota expanding on its offensive burst, controlling pitching, and disciplined defense to secure the sweep and further solidify its standing in the AL Central ahead of the All-Star break.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to Target Field on July 13, 2025, desperate to avoid a sweep after dropping the first two games of this series and extend what’s been a deeply disappointing road trip for a team standing at 38–59. Their season has been characterized by inconsistency, inefficiency and a lack of execution that becomes glaring on the road, as evidenced by a prolonged slump that has left their offense struggling to string together productive at-bats and their pitching unable to provide much-needed stability. Veteran Andrew McCutchen has offered flashes of leadership and power, but those efforts have too often been isolated, leaving the offense overly dependent on sporadic heroics from Jack Suwinski and Joey Bart, whose home runs in the previous game accounted for much of the production in an otherwise barren lineup. On the mound, the Pirates will send Mitch Keller to the hill—his 3–10 record does little justice to a steady 3.58 ERA and impressive strikeout total, but has been undermined by poor run support and defensive lapses behind him. Yet he represents one of the few hopes for length and effectiveness, as much of the rotation has faltered, failing to deliver consistent length and putting strain on a bullpen that already faces overuse and limited high-leverage options. Rookie sensation Paul Skenes, the lone bright spot in the rotation, secured his place among the league’s elite with a dominant first half and All-Star nod, but his next appearance won’t come until later in the series, making Keller’s performance all the more vital.

Pittsburgh’s defense, shaky on many recent nights, must tighten immediately to prevent innings from extending and to protect efforts by Keller and the relievers that follow. The bullpen itself is a patchwork of hope and concern: Carmen Mlodzinski’s return from Triple-A adds depth, but key late-inning roles remain unstable and prone to breakdown after brief starter exits. In this environment, the Pirates’ chances hinge on generating early offense—manufacturing runs via disciplined plate appearances, situational hitting, and aggressive base-running to seize control before Keller and the bullpen are tested. To provide those opportunities, this group must show emotional resilience, especially in the wake of yesterday’s 12–4 beatdown, which featured the first-ever cycle at Target Field from Byron Buxton and underscored Minnesota’s advantage in every phase. Pittsburgh must also hope Target Field fatigue doesn’t set in; this will be their eighth road game in 10 days, and mental fatigue can be as detrimental as anything on the stat sheet. Manager Don Kelly will need to rally the team, balance youth and veterans effectively, and possibly get creative with pinch-hitting and bullpen usage to keep the game close deep into the late frames. For bettors, the run line may offer value if Pittsburgh hangs early, but without offensive spark and pitcher durability, the odds heavily favor the Twins. In short, the Pirates need an uncharacteristic combination of early runs, tidy defense and a strong Keller outing to salvage the series, and even then, the margin for error remains razor-thin against a Twins team riding impressive momentum and confidence.

The Twins look to extend a heated homestand after an impressive 12–4 rout of Pittsburgh yesterday, while the Pirates aim to avoid the sweep and show resilience on the road. Pittsburgh vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 13. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Twins MLB Preview

The Minnesota Twins take the field at Target Field on July 13, 2025, brimming with momentum and confidence following two commanding wins over the Pittsburgh Pirates, including yesterday’s 12–4 rout highlighted by Byron Buxton’s historic cycle—the first ever at Target Field—and a dynamic offensive display that demonstrated the depth and versatility of their lineup. With a strong 55–44 record, the Twins have emerged as one of the American League’s most well-rounded clubs, blending youthful energy with veteran leadership. Buxton’s resurgence—going 5-for-5 with a homer, triple, double, and single—serves as the rallying point, but support has been consistently strong across the roster, with players like Willi Castro delivering clutch multi-hit performances and Kody Clemens launching timely homers to extend early leads. The Twins offense operates with patient approach at the plate, emphasizing hard contact, situational hitting, and aggressive base-running, which has translated into sustained pressure on opposing arms and a growing reputation for striking early. Defensively, Minnesota has tightened noticeably over the series, turning multiple double plays, avoiding errors, and executing crisp throws that support the pitching staff effectively. On the mound, the Twins are likely to send out a reliable mid-rotation starter—perhaps Chris Paddack or Bailey Ober—both of whom have demonstrated the ability to deliver quality starts and allow the bullpen to stay fresh; yesterday’s four-inning relief from rookie Travis Adams underscored the growing depth and effectiveness of their pen, which has steadily improved with consistent performances in high-leverage situations.

Manager Rocco Baldelli has employed a balanced, strategic game plan throughout this homestand, resting key arms and trusting younger pitchers in pivotal roles to maximize effectiveness and maintain stamina as the team approaches the All-Star break. Home-field advantage at Target Field has been palpable, with enthusiastic crowds responding to Minnesota’s recent success, and that energy has fostered a tangible boost in focus and execution from the earliest innings onward. The Twins have also been effective in their betting trends—covering the run line against Pittsburgh in the majority of recent matchups—demonstrating not only their winning consistency but the margin with which they’ve done so, often dominating from start to finish. Even as lines shift off the back of yesterday’s offensive explosion, Minnesota’s ability to continue pressing will be key: plating early runs to burden Pittsburgh’s pitching staff, keeping the bullpen usage balanced to sustain late-game performance, and relying on disciplined at-bats and defensive clarity to avoid costly mistakes. With all four phases—starting pitching, offense, defense, and bullpen—operating in harmony, the Twins are positioned not just to complete the series sweep but to reinforce their identity as a disciplined, high-energy club capable of asserting sustained dominance at home. If Buxton’s heroics spark continued fire and the pitching staff stays locked in, Minnesota should walk away with a decisive win, carry momentum into the break, and send a clear message to the rest of the league that this team is hitting its stride at exactly the right time.

Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Twins play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Target Field in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Wallner over 0.5 Total Bases.

Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Pirates and Twins and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the growing emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly tired Twins team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Pirates vs Twins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh is 5–11 in their last 16 games and sits around .400 ATS this season, showing they often leave value on the table.

Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota is close to .500 ATS at home, hovering near 24–23, reflecting moderate success in covering when playing at Target Field.

Pirates vs. Twins Matchup Trends

The Twins have gone under 9 runs in back-to-back games against Pittsburgh, suggesting run-line value or under plays may be appealing today.

Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Minnesota starts on July 13, 2025 at 2:10 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +116, Minnesota -138
Over/Under: 9

Pittsburgh: (38-58)  |  Minnesota: (47-48)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Wallner over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Twins have gone under 9 runs in back-to-back games against Pittsburgh, suggesting run-line value or under plays may be appealing today.

PIT trend: Pittsburgh is 5–11 in their last 16 games and sits around .400 ATS this season, showing they often leave value on the table.

MIN trend: Minnesota is close to .500 ATS at home, hovering near 24–23, reflecting moderate success in covering when playing at Target Field.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs Minnesota Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +116
MIN Moneyline: -138
PIT Spread: +1.5
MIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Pittsburgh vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-180
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Minnesota Twins on July 13, 2025 at Target Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN