Rockies vs Reds Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 11)

Updated: 2025-07-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On Friday, July 11, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will face the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The Reds, aiming to improve their standing in the National League Central, will look to capitalize on the struggling Rockies, who have had a challenging season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 11, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: Great American Ball Park​

Reds Record: (48-46)

Rockies Record: (21-72)

OPENING ODDS

COL Moneyline: +185

CIN Moneyline: -225

COL Spread: +1.5

CIN Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

COL
Betting Trends

  • The Rockies have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games, showing some resilience despite their overall struggles.

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Reds have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 5 home games against the Rockies, the Reds have covered the run line in 4 of those matchups, indicating a favorable trend for Cincinnati.

COL vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Toglia over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Colorado vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/11/25

The July 11, 2025 matchup between the Colorado Rockies and Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park features two National League clubs moving in very different directions, yet both with plenty at stake as the season pushes toward the All-Star break. The Reds are trying to remain in striking distance in a competitive NL Central division and view this home series against the struggling Rockies as a key opportunity to gain ground. Cincinnati enters the game having covered the run line in four of their last five home games against Colorado and will be looking to bounce back from a recent 3–7 ATS stretch with an assertive performance in front of their fans. Left-hander Nick Lodolo is expected to get the start for the Reds, and his presence could be pivotal; when healthy and on his game, Lodolo has shown frontline potential with a lethal combination of command and swing-and-miss stuff that could stifle a Colorado lineup that’s struggled mightily away from Coors Field. Colorado, sitting in the basement of the NL West, will counter with right-hander Cal Quantrill, a pitcher capable of working efficiently through lineups but one whose success is often dependent on pinpoint control and defensive support that has too often been absent behind him this year. The Rockies enter this contest having gone 5–5 ATS over their last ten games, a slight uptick from their season-long trend, but they’ve continued to underperform in key moments, especially on the road.

Offensively, Colorado leans heavily on Ryan McMahon and Brendan Rodgers to generate runs, but their collective struggles outside of Denver’s altitude make every away game an uphill battle. Meanwhile, the Reds’ lineup is powered by Elly De La Cruz, one of the league’s most exciting young stars, whose speed, bat speed, and flair have electrified fans and caused havoc for opposing defenses. Supporting him are Christian Encarnacion-Strand and Spencer Steer, two reliable middle-of-the-lineup hitters who have brought both power and plate discipline to a well-rounded offense. The Reds’ bullpen, anchored by closer Alexis Díaz, offers a clear advantage over Colorado’s shaky relief corps, which has blown multiple leads and allowed games to spiral out of control late. Defensively, Cincinnati still has room for improvement, but they’ve tightened up considerably and play well in their home park, while Colorado ranks near the bottom of MLB in defensive efficiency and frequently undermines their own pitching with costly mistakes. The difference in energy, motivation, and overall talent is likely to show on Friday, especially if Lodolo can give the Reds a strong outing and set the table for the bullpen to protect a lead. While Colorado may find brief success against Cincinnati’s young arms if they catch them off guard early, the deeper and more motivated team in this matchup is clearly the Reds. With playoff aspirations intact and a favorable history in this head-to-head, Cincinnati has every reason to view this game as a must-win, and barring a major letdown or surprise performance from the Rockies’ bats, they should be positioned to take control early and walk away with a needed victory.

Colorado Rockies MLB Preview

The Colorado Rockies head into their July 11, 2025 matchup against the Cincinnati Reds as clear underdogs, burdened by another disappointing season in the National League West and searching for flashes of promise amid a difficult rebuilding phase. With one of the worst records in the league and persistent issues both at the plate and on the mound, Colorado has become a team focused less on standings and more on identifying future contributors, evaluating young talent, and salvaging morale through isolated competitive performances. Despite these challenges, the Rockies have shown occasional signs of life, covering the run line in five of their last ten games and benefiting from decent outings by a few rotation pieces, including Friday’s expected starter Cal Quantrill. Quantrill has delivered mixed results throughout 2025, operating mostly as an innings-eater with a pitch-to-contact approach that works best when his defense holds up—something that’s been a persistent problem for Colorado. The Rockies rank near the bottom of MLB in defensive metrics, committing too many errors and extending innings for a bullpen that already struggles to hold tight games. That bullpen, which has been a glaring weakness all season, frequently lets close games slip away late, and manager Bud Black has had limited reliable options for preserving leads or stopping rallies.

On offense, Colorado leans heavily on Ryan McMahon, who leads the team in home runs and RBIs and remains one of the few veteran hitters providing any sense of stability. Brendan Rodgers continues to be a serviceable bat in the middle infield, offering decent contact and gap power, but the overall lack of depth and consistency in the lineup—especially when away from Coors Field—remains a huge issue. The Rockies’ road offense has been among the league’s least productive, struggling mightily to generate runs without the thin air of Denver to boost their power metrics. Heading into Cincinnati’s hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park could offer a temporary lift, but history is not on Colorado’s side, as they’ve lost four of their last five road games in this matchup and have covered the run line in only one of those outings. Friday’s game represents an opportunity to test their young players in a hostile and competitive environment, which may be the most valuable takeaway for a team playing more for 2026 than October 2025. For Colorado to have a shot, Quantrill will need to be razor-sharp, limit hard contact, and keep the ball on the ground, while the offense must capitalize early if given chances against Nick Lodolo and Cincinnati’s solid bullpen. Avoiding defensive lapses and mental mistakes will be critical, as the Reds have shown they can punish even small openings with speed and power. Though the odds are stacked against them, the Rockies can still play spoiler and challenge Cincinnati with a disciplined approach and a quality start from their veteran right-hander. A win wouldn’t change their season, but it would provide a badly needed boost to a team looking for signs of progress amid a year of adversity.

On Friday, July 11, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will face the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The Reds, aiming to improve their standing in the National League Central, will look to capitalize on the struggling Rockies, who have had a challenging season. Colorado vs Cincinnati AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds return home to Great American Ball Park on July 11, 2025, to face the Colorado Rockies in a game that presents a clear opportunity to regain traction in the National League Central and assert dominance over one of baseball’s weakest road teams. Sitting near the middle of the standings but within reach of a playoff spot, the Reds have encountered inconsistency lately, covering the run line in just 3 of their last 10 games, though they’ve been reliably strong against Colorado at home, covering in 4 of their last 5 meetings. With a talented but young roster still finding its rhythm, Cincinnati has shown flashes of brilliance and offensive explosion but has struggled to maintain momentum, often alternating big wins with frustrating losses. The key to Friday’s game will be the performance of left-handed starter Nick Lodolo, a high-upside arm who has battled injuries in the past but has the stuff to dominate when healthy. Lodolo features a mid-90s fastball, a sweeping curveball, and deceptive mechanics, making him tough on both lefties and righties when he’s locating his pitches. His ability to eat innings and avoid early trouble will be critical against a Rockies lineup that, while weak on the road, still contains capable hitters like Ryan McMahon and Brendan Rodgers who can jump on mistakes.

Offensively, the Reds are anchored by the electric Elly De La Cruz, whose combination of power, speed, and versatility has made him one of the most exciting players in the game. De La Cruz can change a game in a matter of minutes, whether with a home run, a stolen base, or a dazzling play in the field. He’s backed by consistent contributors like Spencer Steer and Christian Encarnacion-Strand, who provide thump in the middle of the order and have delivered clutch hits throughout the season. The lineup is well-rounded, with both veterans and young players contributing, and it has generally performed well at home, where the ballpark’s friendly dimensions help boost power numbers. Defensively, Cincinnati has improved, cutting down on errors and tightening its infield play, especially in late innings where clean defense becomes crucial. The bullpen has also been a strength, particularly with closer Alexis Díaz anchoring the ninth inning and setup arms like Fernando Cruz and Lucas Sims providing reliable bridge innings. Manager David Bell has done a good job managing the team’s mix of youth and experience, and his bullpen decisions have generally been solid in tight games. Against a Rockies team that is playing out the string and ranks among the league’s worst in road performance, this game offers a prime chance for the Reds to make a statement and potentially start a run heading into the All-Star break. If Lodolo can deliver a quality start and the offense capitalizes early against Cal Quantrill and a shaky Colorado bullpen, Cincinnati should have little trouble controlling the game from start to finish. Friday’s contest may not define their season, but it represents a valuable opportunity to build momentum, gain ground in the standings, and continue establishing themselves as legitimate playoff contenders in a tightly packed NL landscape.

Colorado vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Rockies and Reds play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Great American Ball Park in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Toglia over 0.5 Total Bases.

Colorado vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Rockies and Reds and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Rockies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Reds team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Colorado vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Rockies vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Rockies Betting Trends

The Rockies have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games, showing some resilience despite their overall struggles.

Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games.

Rockies vs. Reds Matchup Trends

In their last 5 home games against the Rockies, the Reds have covered the run line in 4 of those matchups, indicating a favorable trend for Cincinnati.

Colorado vs. Cincinnati Game Info

Colorado vs Cincinnati starts on July 11, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Venue: Great American Ball Park.

Spread: Cincinnati -1.5
Moneyline: Colorado +185, Cincinnati -225
Over/Under: 9.5

Colorado: (21-72)  |  Cincinnati: (48-46)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Toglia over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 5 home games against the Rockies, the Reds have covered the run line in 4 of those matchups, indicating a favorable trend for Cincinnati.

COL trend: The Rockies have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games, showing some resilience despite their overall struggles.

CIN trend: The Reds have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Colorado vs. Cincinnati Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Colorado vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Colorado vs Cincinnati Opening Odds

COL Moneyline: +185
CIN Moneyline: -225
COL Spread: +1.5
CIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

Colorado vs Cincinnati Live Odds

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MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds on July 11, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN