Rockies vs Reds Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 11)
Updated: 2025-07-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On Friday, July 11, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will face the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The Reds, aiming to improve their standing in the National League Central, will look to capitalize on the struggling Rockies, who have had a challenging season.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 11, 2025
Start Time: 7:10 PM EST
Venue: Great American Ball Park
Reds Record: (48-46)
Rockies Record: (21-72)
OPENING ODDS
COL Moneyline: +185
CIN Moneyline: -225
COL Spread: +1.5
CIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
COL
Betting Trends
- The Rockies have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games, showing some resilience despite their overall struggles.
CIN
Betting Trends
- The Reds have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 5 home games against the Rockies, the Reds have covered the run line in 4 of those matchups, indicating a favorable trend for Cincinnati.
COL vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Toglia over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Colorado vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/11/25
Offensively, Colorado leans heavily on Ryan McMahon and Brendan Rodgers to generate runs, but their collective struggles outside of Denver’s altitude make every away game an uphill battle. Meanwhile, the Reds’ lineup is powered by Elly De La Cruz, one of the league’s most exciting young stars, whose speed, bat speed, and flair have electrified fans and caused havoc for opposing defenses. Supporting him are Christian Encarnacion-Strand and Spencer Steer, two reliable middle-of-the-lineup hitters who have brought both power and plate discipline to a well-rounded offense. The Reds’ bullpen, anchored by closer Alexis Díaz, offers a clear advantage over Colorado’s shaky relief corps, which has blown multiple leads and allowed games to spiral out of control late. Defensively, Cincinnati still has room for improvement, but they’ve tightened up considerably and play well in their home park, while Colorado ranks near the bottom of MLB in defensive efficiency and frequently undermines their own pitching with costly mistakes. The difference in energy, motivation, and overall talent is likely to show on Friday, especially if Lodolo can give the Reds a strong outing and set the table for the bullpen to protect a lead. While Colorado may find brief success against Cincinnati’s young arms if they catch them off guard early, the deeper and more motivated team in this matchup is clearly the Reds. With playoff aspirations intact and a favorable history in this head-to-head, Cincinnati has every reason to view this game as a must-win, and barring a major letdown or surprise performance from the Rockies’ bats, they should be positioned to take control early and walk away with a needed victory.
To the Green Monstah! pic.twitter.com/g1YF41lEh2
— Colorado Rockies (@Rockies) July 10, 2025
Colorado Rockies MLB Preview
The Colorado Rockies head into their July 11, 2025 matchup against the Cincinnati Reds as clear underdogs, burdened by another disappointing season in the National League West and searching for flashes of promise amid a difficult rebuilding phase. With one of the worst records in the league and persistent issues both at the plate and on the mound, Colorado has become a team focused less on standings and more on identifying future contributors, evaluating young talent, and salvaging morale through isolated competitive performances. Despite these challenges, the Rockies have shown occasional signs of life, covering the run line in five of their last ten games and benefiting from decent outings by a few rotation pieces, including Friday’s expected starter Cal Quantrill. Quantrill has delivered mixed results throughout 2025, operating mostly as an innings-eater with a pitch-to-contact approach that works best when his defense holds up—something that’s been a persistent problem for Colorado. The Rockies rank near the bottom of MLB in defensive metrics, committing too many errors and extending innings for a bullpen that already struggles to hold tight games. That bullpen, which has been a glaring weakness all season, frequently lets close games slip away late, and manager Bud Black has had limited reliable options for preserving leads or stopping rallies.
On offense, Colorado leans heavily on Ryan McMahon, who leads the team in home runs and RBIs and remains one of the few veteran hitters providing any sense of stability. Brendan Rodgers continues to be a serviceable bat in the middle infield, offering decent contact and gap power, but the overall lack of depth and consistency in the lineup—especially when away from Coors Field—remains a huge issue. The Rockies’ road offense has been among the league’s least productive, struggling mightily to generate runs without the thin air of Denver to boost their power metrics. Heading into Cincinnati’s hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park could offer a temporary lift, but history is not on Colorado’s side, as they’ve lost four of their last five road games in this matchup and have covered the run line in only one of those outings. Friday’s game represents an opportunity to test their young players in a hostile and competitive environment, which may be the most valuable takeaway for a team playing more for 2026 than October 2025. For Colorado to have a shot, Quantrill will need to be razor-sharp, limit hard contact, and keep the ball on the ground, while the offense must capitalize early if given chances against Nick Lodolo and Cincinnati’s solid bullpen. Avoiding defensive lapses and mental mistakes will be critical, as the Reds have shown they can punish even small openings with speed and power. Though the odds are stacked against them, the Rockies can still play spoiler and challenge Cincinnati with a disciplined approach and a quality start from their veteran right-hander. A win wouldn’t change their season, but it would provide a badly needed boost to a team looking for signs of progress amid a year of adversity.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview
The Cincinnati Reds return home to Great American Ball Park on July 11, 2025, to face the Colorado Rockies in a game that presents a clear opportunity to regain traction in the National League Central and assert dominance over one of baseball’s weakest road teams. Sitting near the middle of the standings but within reach of a playoff spot, the Reds have encountered inconsistency lately, covering the run line in just 3 of their last 10 games, though they’ve been reliably strong against Colorado at home, covering in 4 of their last 5 meetings. With a talented but young roster still finding its rhythm, Cincinnati has shown flashes of brilliance and offensive explosion but has struggled to maintain momentum, often alternating big wins with frustrating losses. The key to Friday’s game will be the performance of left-handed starter Nick Lodolo, a high-upside arm who has battled injuries in the past but has the stuff to dominate when healthy. Lodolo features a mid-90s fastball, a sweeping curveball, and deceptive mechanics, making him tough on both lefties and righties when he’s locating his pitches. His ability to eat innings and avoid early trouble will be critical against a Rockies lineup that, while weak on the road, still contains capable hitters like Ryan McMahon and Brendan Rodgers who can jump on mistakes.
Offensively, the Reds are anchored by the electric Elly De La Cruz, whose combination of power, speed, and versatility has made him one of the most exciting players in the game. De La Cruz can change a game in a matter of minutes, whether with a home run, a stolen base, or a dazzling play in the field. He’s backed by consistent contributors like Spencer Steer and Christian Encarnacion-Strand, who provide thump in the middle of the order and have delivered clutch hits throughout the season. The lineup is well-rounded, with both veterans and young players contributing, and it has generally performed well at home, where the ballpark’s friendly dimensions help boost power numbers. Defensively, Cincinnati has improved, cutting down on errors and tightening its infield play, especially in late innings where clean defense becomes crucial. The bullpen has also been a strength, particularly with closer Alexis Díaz anchoring the ninth inning and setup arms like Fernando Cruz and Lucas Sims providing reliable bridge innings. Manager David Bell has done a good job managing the team’s mix of youth and experience, and his bullpen decisions have generally been solid in tight games. Against a Rockies team that is playing out the string and ranks among the league’s worst in road performance, this game offers a prime chance for the Reds to make a statement and potentially start a run heading into the All-Star break. If Lodolo can deliver a quality start and the offense capitalizes early against Cal Quantrill and a shaky Colorado bullpen, Cincinnati should have little trouble controlling the game from start to finish. Friday’s contest may not define their season, but it represents a valuable opportunity to build momentum, gain ground in the standings, and continue establishing themselves as legitimate playoff contenders in a tightly packed NL landscape.
Back-to-back dubs... #ATOBTTR!
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) July 10, 2025
FINAL: Reds 6, Marlins 0!
Celebrate at your neighborhood @Skyline_Chili! pic.twitter.com/FgKu4enrJ4
Colorado vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)
Colorado vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Rockies and Reds and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Rockies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Reds team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Colorado vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Rockies vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Rockies Betting Trends
The Rockies have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games, showing some resilience despite their overall struggles.
Reds Betting Trends
The Reds have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games.
Rockies vs. Reds Matchup Trends
In their last 5 home games against the Rockies, the Reds have covered the run line in 4 of those matchups, indicating a favorable trend for Cincinnati.
Colorado vs. Cincinnati Game Info
What time does Colorado vs Cincinnati start on July 11, 2025?
Colorado vs Cincinnati starts on July 11, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.
Where is Colorado vs Cincinnati being played?
Venue: Great American Ball Park.
What are the opening odds for Colorado vs Cincinnati?
Spread: Cincinnati -1.5
Moneyline: Colorado +185, Cincinnati -225
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for Colorado vs Cincinnati?
Colorado: (21-72) | Cincinnati: (48-46)
What is the AI best bet for Colorado vs Cincinnati?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Toglia over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Colorado vs Cincinnati trending bets?
In their last 5 home games against the Rockies, the Reds have covered the run line in 4 of those matchups, indicating a favorable trend for Cincinnati.
What are Colorado trending bets?
COL trend: The Rockies have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games, showing some resilience despite their overall struggles.
What are Cincinnati trending bets?
CIN trend: The Reds have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Colorado vs Cincinnati?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Colorado vs. Cincinnati Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Colorado vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Colorado vs Cincinnati Opening Odds
COL Moneyline:
+185 CIN Moneyline: -225
COL Spread: +1.5
CIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
Colorado vs Cincinnati Live Odds
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds on July 11, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |