Mariners vs Yankees Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 10)

Updated: 2025-07-08T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees conclude their three-game series on Thursday, July 10, 2025, at Yankee Stadium. Seattle aims to secure a series win and bolster their playoff positioning, while New York looks to rebound from recent struggles and gain momentum before the All-Star break.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 10, 2025

Start Time: 7:05 PM EST​

Venue: Yankee Stadium​

Yankees Record: (51-41)

Mariners Record: (48-44)

OPENING ODDS

SEA Moneyline: -120

NYY Moneyline: +100

SEA Spread: -1.5

NYY Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

SEA
Betting Trends

  • The Mariners have covered the run line in 38 of their 90 games this season, reflecting a 42.2% success rate. This places them among the lower third in MLB for run line performance.

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have a 40–50 record against the run line this season, translating to a 44.4% cover rate.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 16 matchups over the past three seasons, the Yankees hold a 10–6 advantage over the Mariners. Notably, the under has hit in 10 of those games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring affairs when these teams meet.

SEA vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chisholm over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Seattle vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/10/25

The Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees are set to close out their three-game series on Thursday, July 10, 2025, in a matchup that carries significant implications for both teams’ playoff outlooks. Seattle comes into the game riding a wave of momentum, having surged to a 48–42 record behind a dominant stretch of pitching that includes a franchise-record streak of three straight shutouts during their previous series against the Pirates. The Mariners will turn to Bryan Woo, who has emerged as one of the breakout pitchers of the season with an 8–4 record and a 2.77 ERA, delivering consistent results and racking up strikeouts while maintaining excellent command. Opposing him will be Yankees veteran Marcus Stroman, who has struggled since returning from injury and carries a 7.45 ERA into this contest, raising questions about his effectiveness and stamina as the season wears on. Seattle’s offense has been firing on all cylinders, led by catcher Cal Raleigh and outfielder Randy Arozarena, who continue to provide timely power and energy at the top of the lineup, while the team’s bullpen and defense have complemented their strong starting pitching with lockdown performances in high-leverage spots. Meanwhile, the Yankees are looking to halt a frustrating slide that has seen them drop below the top of the AL East standings after a red-hot start to the season, with a 11–18 record over their last 29 games.

Aaron Judge remains the focal point of the offense, though he hasn’t been able to carry the load by himself, and slumps from key players like Paul Goldschmidt and Anthony Volpe have made it difficult for the lineup to sustain rallies. Injuries have also taken a toll, with Clarke Schmidt out for the year and the bullpen, once a reliable strength, now prone to inconsistency. The Yankees’ 44.4% success rate against the spread reflects these struggles, especially at home where late-game collapses have cost them winnable contests. On the other side, Seattle has been equally middling ATS but has shown signs of improvement with a 12–4 record over their last 16 games. With both teams looking to head into the All-Star break on a high note, this game is pivotal for setting the tone for the second half. The Mariners are the hotter team right now, especially with Woo on the mound and their offense clicking, but the Yankees remain dangerous, especially at home with the Bronx crowd behind them and Judge always capable of a game-changing swing. The key to this game may lie in the early innings—if Seattle can jump on Stroman and force New York to dip into their beleaguered bullpen early, the visitors may have the edge. However, if Stroman can recapture some of his earlier-season form and the Yankees’ bats awaken, this finale could turn into a closely fought rubber match. Either way, fans should expect an intense, playoff-like atmosphere as two postseason hopefuls collide in one of baseball’s most iconic venues.

Seattle Mariners MLB Preview

The Seattle Mariners head into Thursday’s series finale against the New York Yankees riding high on the strength of a dominant pitching staff and revitalized offense that has propelled them to a 48–42 record and a firm grip on a Wild Card slot in the American League. Having recently swept the Pittsburgh Pirates while recording three consecutive shutouts—a franchise first—the Mariners have built their momentum on elite pitching and clutch hitting. Bryan Woo, their scheduled starter for the finale, has been a revelation this season, carrying an 8–4 record and a sparkling 2.77 ERA into the contest. His mix of velocity and deception has made him a tough matchup for right-handed-heavy lineups like the Yankees, and he is coming off a lights-out performance where he threw six scoreless innings and struck out nine against Pittsburgh. Backing him is a bullpen that has found its rhythm, with closer Andrés Muñoz and setup men like Ryne Stanek and Tayler Saucedo shutting the door in late innings. On the offensive side, Cal Raleigh has anchored the lineup with power from both sides of the plate, while Randy Arozarena continues to be one of the most consistent and dynamic contributors, offering speed, defense, and timely hits. Seattle’s lineup has also seen welcome contributions from J.P. Crawford and Mitch Haniger, both of whom have helped manufacture runs through a blend of contact hitting and situational awareness.

The Mariners’ ability to play small ball when needed has complemented their more explosive offensive outbursts, giving manager Scott Servais the kind of tactical flexibility that has been vital during this strong midseason push. Despite hovering near the bottom of the league in ATS cover percentage earlier in the season, Seattle has begun to reverse that trend, going 12–4 ATS over their last 16 games, including multiple covers on the road during this East Coast trip. Defensively, the Mariners are fundamentally sound, often excelling at preventing extra bases and turning double plays in key situations, a trait that has proven especially important in tight contests. With the Yankees reeling from injuries and inconsistency, Seattle sees an opportunity to leave the Bronx with a signature series win that could further solidify their playoff positioning heading into the All-Star break. If Woo delivers another dominant outing and the lineup continues to produce against Stroman and a shaky Yankees bullpen, the Mariners will be well-positioned to close out the first half of the season on a high. With the trade deadline looming, Seattle’s front office is likely taking close note of their recent surge, and a series win at Yankee Stadium could be the spark that encourages aggressive reinforcement for the stretch run. For a team that has built its identity around pitching, defense, and timely offense, the Mariners look increasingly like a club ready to make a serious second-half push, and a win on Thursday would mark another important step in that direction.

The Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees conclude their three-game series on Thursday, July 10, 2025, at Yankee Stadium. Seattle aims to secure a series win and bolster their playoff positioning, while New York looks to rebound from recent struggles and gain momentum before the All-Star break. Seattle vs New York Yankees AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 10. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees come into Thursday’s matchup against the surging Seattle Mariners looking to salvage the series finale and stabilize a first half that has recently spiraled out of control following a red-hot start to the 2025 season. Once the dominant force atop the AL East, the Yankees have hit a rough patch, going 11–18 over their last 29 games and slipping in the division standings amid injuries, slumping stars, and erratic pitching performances. They’ll hand the ball to Marcus Stroman, a veteran right-hander whose recent outings have been a far cry from his early-season form; since returning from the injured list, Stroman has posted an alarming 7.45 ERA and struggled to consistently command his sinker. The Yankees’ bullpen, long considered a strength, has also shown cracks, with late-inning leads slipping away due to fatigue and lack of execution. Offensively, the lineup still revolves around Aaron Judge, who leads the team in home runs and OPS, but the supporting cast has failed to consistently step up—Paul Goldschmidt’s production has dipped in the summer heat, and young shortstop Anthony Volpe has seen his average and on-base percentage tumble since June. Gleyber Torres and Giancarlo Stanton remain streaky, capable of delivering game-changing power but just as likely to go hitless.

One of the more frustrating aspects of New York’s recent skid has been their inability to capitalize with runners in scoring position, a stat that has plagued them throughout this homestand. The Yankees have been only modestly successful against the spread this season with a 44.4% cover rate, and their recent form reflects a team that’s finding ways to lose rather than closing out games. The defense has also taken a hit with uncharacteristic errors and mental lapses, which have led directly to opponents extending innings and scoring multiple runs. Still, this is a roster filled with experience, and a win in Thursday’s finale would provide a much-needed jolt of confidence before the All-Star break. Manager Aaron Boone has juggled the lineup in hopes of sparking a turnaround, including giving more at-bats to bench players like Oswaldo Cabrera and Ben Rortvedt, but has yet to find a consistent mix that delivers. The return of DJ LeMahieu offers some hope, as his bat-to-ball skills and plate discipline could be key against a Mariners pitching staff that rarely gives up free passes. With the crowd at Yankee Stadium hungry for something to cheer about, the Yankees must strike early against Bryan Woo, who has been sharp for Seattle and will challenge New York’s struggling lineup. Stroman’s performance will be pivotal—not only for the game but for his standing in the rotation as trade season heats up. A strong outing and a win could reset the tone heading into the break, but another flat performance would only deepen the sense of urgency as the Yankees try to prevent a promising season from slipping away.

Seattle vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Mariners and Yankees play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Yankee Stadium in Jul almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chisholm over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Seattle vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Mariners and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors often put on New York Yankees’s strength factors between a Mariners team going up against a possibly unhealthy Yankees team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Seattle vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Mariners vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have covered the run line in 38 of their 90 games this season, reflecting a 42.2% success rate. This places them among the lower third in MLB for run line performance.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have a 40–50 record against the run line this season, translating to a 44.4% cover rate.

Mariners vs. Yankees Matchup Trends

In their last 16 matchups over the past three seasons, the Yankees hold a 10–6 advantage over the Mariners. Notably, the under has hit in 10 of those games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring affairs when these teams meet.

Seattle vs. New York Yankees Game Info

Seattle vs New York Yankees starts on July 10, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.

Spread: New York Yankees +1.5
Moneyline: Seattle -120, New York Yankees +100
Over/Under: 9

Seattle: (48-44)  |  New York Yankees: (51-41)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chisholm over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 16 matchups over the past three seasons, the Yankees hold a 10–6 advantage over the Mariners. Notably, the under has hit in 10 of those games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring affairs when these teams meet.

SEA trend: The Mariners have covered the run line in 38 of their 90 games this season, reflecting a 42.2% success rate. This places them among the lower third in MLB for run line performance.

NYY trend: The Yankees have a 40–50 record against the run line this season, translating to a 44.4% cover rate.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Seattle vs. New York Yankees Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Seattle vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Seattle vs New York Yankees Opening Odds

SEA Moneyline: -120
NYY Moneyline: +100
SEA Spread: -1.5
NYY Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

Seattle vs New York Yankees Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-140
+127
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Yankees on July 10, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN