Mets vs Orioles Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 10)

Updated: 2025-07-08T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles are set to face off in a split doubleheader on Thursday, July 10, 2025, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The first game is scheduled for 12:05 p.m. ET, followed by the second game at 5:05 p.m. ET, making up for Wednesday’s postponement due to inclement weather.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 10, 2025

Start Time: 12:05 PM EST​

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards​

Orioles Record: (40-50)

Mets Record: (53-39)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: -141

BAL Moneyline: +118

NYM Spread: -1.5

BAL Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 5–12 in their last 17 games. However, they have shown resilience on the road, covering the spread in 5 of their last 7 away games.

BAL
Betting Trends

  • The Orioles have been inconsistent ATS at home, with a 2–5 record in their last 7 games at Camden Yards. Despite this, they have won 4 of their last 5 home games straight up (SU), indicating strong overall performance at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the last 18 meetings between these two teams at Camden Yards, the Mets have covered the spread 13 times. Additionally, the total has gone over in each of the last 5 games played between these teams in Baltimore.

NYM vs. BAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

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New York Mets vs Baltimore Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/10/25

The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles square off in a pivotal interleague doubleheader at Camden Yards on July 10, 2025, as both clubs look to build momentum heading into the All-Star break. After Wednesday’s game was postponed due to rain, the two teams will now face each other twice on Thursday, with Game 1 scheduled for 12:05 p.m. and Game 2 at 5:05 p.m., offering a full day of competitive baseball. The Mets arrive with a strong 53–39 record, and after narrowly taking the opener 7–6 in extra innings, they’ve now won three of their last four overall and appear to be finding offensive rhythm at the right time. David Peterson is expected to get the ball in Game 1 and comes in with a solid 6–4 record and 3.18 ERA, while Justin Hagenman may follow in the second matchup, showcasing depth in New York’s rotation. Francisco Lindor has ignited the top of the lineup since moving into the No. 2 hole, hitting .368 with six RBIs over his last five games, while the return of Jesse Winker adds power and patience from the left side. On the other side, the Orioles will counter with veteran Charlie Morton (5–7, 5.47 ERA) in the opener and Tomoyuki Sugano (6–5, 4.44 ERA) in Game 2, both of whom have struggled at times to contain hard contact. Baltimore enters with a 41–47 record, still looking to claw its way back into contention in the AL East, and home field at Camden Yards could provide a needed boost, especially as the lineup continues to find footing.

Gunnar Henderson and Ramón Laureano have offered some offensive firepower lately, but the absences of Adley Rutschman and Ryan Mountcastle due to injury have hampered the club’s consistency and slugging in the heart of the order. Baltimore’s bullpen, while effective at times, has shown signs of wear from recent overuse and could be tested heavily in this doubleheader format. The Mets have been slightly better against the spread on the road recently, covering in five of their last seven, and they’ve historically performed well in Baltimore, covering 13 of their last 18 visits to Camden Yards. The total has gone over in five straight meetings between these teams in Baltimore, indicating potential for another high-scoring affair, especially with both teams relying on inconsistent starting pitching and deep bullpens in a back-to-back setting. Key matchups include Peterson against Baltimore’s lefty-heavy top order and Lindor facing Morton, who has struggled to miss bats this year. Expect New York to be aggressive early in both games as they look to force Baltimore to its bullpen and capitalize on late-inning opportunities. For the Orioles, getting length from Morton or Sugano in either game is critical to avoid overexposing a taxed relief corps. With divisional implications on the horizon and pride on the line, Thursday’s doubleheader offers a great measuring stick for both franchises—one trying to lock in a playoff position, the other searching for a spark to revive its season.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets come into Thursday’s split doubleheader against the Baltimore Orioles with the confidence of a 53–39 record and the clear goal of finishing strong heading into the All-Star break. Riding the wave of a dramatic 7–6 extra-inning win in the series opener, the Mets have won three of their last four and are showing signs of offensive resurgence after enduring some recent inconsistency. Francisco Lindor’s move to the No. 2 spot in the batting order has worked wonders, as the veteran shortstop is hitting .368 over his last five games while driving in six runs and generating quality at-bats. Alongside him, Jesse Winker has returned to the lineup and brought a valuable left-handed bat back into the mix, giving the Mets additional patience and pop, particularly against right-handed pitching. New York’s projected starter for Game 1, David Peterson, has been one of the more reliable arms in the rotation this season with a 6–4 record and a tidy 3.18 ERA, giving Buck Showalter a steady presence on the mound. Peterson’s ability to command his slider and work deep into games has been critical in offsetting bullpen fatigue, especially in tight matchups like these. In Game 2, Justin Hagenman is expected to pitch, and while he’s relatively untested with just a few appearances under his belt, his 4.35 ERA reflects decent potential if kept on a short leash. The Mets bullpen, anchored by closer Edwin Díaz and set-up man Brooks Raley, has been relatively strong, though workload management will be a key theme in both games of this doubleheader.

New York has been especially competitive on the road lately, covering the run line in five of their last seven away games, and their recent road success has largely been built on getting early leads and maintaining them with disciplined pitching and defense. Their situational hitting has also improved, as they’ve done a better job of capitalizing with runners in scoring position, an area that plagued them earlier in the season. In terms of roster depth, Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo provide serious middle-order power, and with Lindor setting the tone atop the lineup, the Mets are capable of stringing together explosive innings. The team’s defense remains above league average, and the infield—particularly the left side with Lindor and Baty—has been excellent in turning key double plays and containing extra-base hits. With the Orioles missing key pieces in their lineup due to injury, the Mets have a chance to take advantage of a slightly weakened opponent, especially if their pitching holds up over both games. Thursday’s doubleheader is not only a test of stamina and strategy but a valuable opportunity for the Mets to close out the first half with authority, bolster their standing in the tight NL East race, and enter the break with momentum on their side. If Peterson and Hagenman can set the tone early and the offense stays hot, the Mets could very well sweep the day and send a clear message to the rest of the league.

The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles are set to face off in a split doubleheader on Thursday, July 10, 2025, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The first game is scheduled for 12:05 p.m. ET, followed by the second game at 5:05 p.m. ET, making up for Wednesday’s postponement due to inclement weather. New York Mets vs Baltimore AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 10. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview

The Baltimore Orioles prepare to host the New York Mets in a high-stakes doubleheader at Camden Yards on Thursday, July 10, following a rainout that delayed Game 2 of their interleague series. With a 41–47 record, the Orioles are hovering in the middle of the American League pack and need a strong finish before the All-Star break to keep pace in the highly competitive AL East. Despite falling 7–6 in extra innings in the opener, Baltimore has won four of its last six home games outright and remains dangerous at Camden Yards, where their offense tends to thrive. Unfortunately, they enter this doubleheader shorthanded due to injuries to key players, most notably catcher Adley Rutschman and first baseman Ryan Mountcastle, both of whom provide power and defensive leadership. Their absence has shifted more offensive responsibility onto younger stars like Gunnar Henderson, who continues to be the team’s most consistent producer, and Ramón Laureano, who has stepped up with timely hits and outfield range. Manager Brandon Hyde will send veteran Charlie Morton to the mound in Game 1, a pitcher who has had a tough season with a 5–7 record and 5.47 ERA but still brings a wealth of playoff experience and leadership. For Game 2, the team turns to Japanese import Tomoyuki Sugano, who holds a 6–5 record and 4.44 ERA and has proven to be an innings eater capable of battling through adversity, even if his strikeout numbers have dropped.

The Orioles bullpen has been a mixed bag this season—sometimes dominant with flamethrowers like Yennier Cano, other times vulnerable to late collapses—so getting length from both starters is critical. Camden Yards remains one of the more offense-friendly ballparks in the American League, and the Orioles’ approach to scoring—relying on hustle, contact hitting, and aggressive baserunning—can play well against a Mets team that has struggled at times to control the running game. Defensively, the Orioles have held up well, with Henderson, Jorge Mateo, and Jordan Westburg giving them a strong infield presence and reducing opponent extra-base hits. However, if Morton struggles early or Sugano fails to navigate through New York’s powerful top of the order, Baltimore could once again find itself relying on comeback efforts that have proven difficult without its full offensive arsenal. The Orioles have covered the spread in just two of their last seven home games, a trend that reflects their inconsistency in close matchups, but they’ve often been competitive until late innings, especially against National League teams. This doubleheader gives Baltimore a rare opportunity to gain ground in a packed division and possibly build momentum for the second half. If they can capitalize on early scoring chances, stay disciplined on the basepaths, and get a vintage outing from Morton or a quality start from Sugano, they have every chance to split or even sweep the doubleheader. With their season at a potential tipping point, the Orioles must summon urgency, lean into their young core, and rediscover the gritty, dynamic identity that made them one of the most surprising teams in the AL just one season ago.

New York Mets vs. Baltimore Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Mets and Orioles play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

New York Mets vs. Baltimore Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Mets and Orioles and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on coaching factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly improved Orioles team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Baltimore picks, computer picks Mets vs Orioles, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 5–12 in their last 17 games. However, they have shown resilience on the road, covering the spread in 5 of their last 7 away games.

Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been inconsistent ATS at home, with a 2–5 record in their last 7 games at Camden Yards. Despite this, they have won 4 of their last 5 home games straight up (SU), indicating strong overall performance at home.

Mets vs. Orioles Matchup Trends

In the last 18 meetings between these two teams at Camden Yards, the Mets have covered the spread 13 times. Additionally, the total has gone over in each of the last 5 games played between these teams in Baltimore.

New York Mets vs. Baltimore Game Info

New York Mets vs Baltimore starts on July 10, 2025 at 12:05 PM EST.

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Spread: Baltimore +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -141, Baltimore +118
Over/Under: 9

New York Mets: (53-39)  |  Baltimore: (40-50)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In the last 18 meetings between these two teams at Camden Yards, the Mets have covered the spread 13 times. Additionally, the total has gone over in each of the last 5 games played between these teams in Baltimore.

NYM trend: The Mets have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 5–12 in their last 17 games. However, they have shown resilience on the road, covering the spread in 5 of their last 7 away games.

BAL trend: The Orioles have been inconsistent ATS at home, with a 2–5 record in their last 7 games at Camden Yards. Despite this, they have won 4 of their last 5 home games straight up (SU), indicating strong overall performance at home.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. Baltimore Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Baltimore trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York Mets vs Baltimore Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: -141
BAL Moneyline: +118
NYM Spread: -1.5
BAL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

New York Mets vs Baltimore Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-149
+122
-1.5 (+119)
+1.5 (-145)
O 7 (-125)
U 7 (+103)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles on July 10, 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN