Marlins vs. Reds
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 10 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-08T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds will conclude their four-game series on Thursday, July 10, 2025, at Great American Ball Park. The Marlins aim to extend their impressive road winning streak, while the Reds look to snap a recent skid and avoid a series sweep.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 10, 2025

Start Time: 5:10 PM EST​

Venue: Great American Ball Park​

Reds Record: (47-46)

Marlins Record: (42-49)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: +144

CIN Moneyline: -172

MIA Spread: +1.5

CIN Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been exceptional against the spread (ATS), covering in 12 of their last 13 games. Notably, they are 5–0 ATS in their last five road games.

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Reds have struggled recently, going 2–6 ATS in their last eight games. However, they have a strong historical ATS record at home against the Marlins, standing at 12–3 in their last 15 such games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, the Reds have a favorable record against the Marlins, with a 135–104 all-time advantage. However, the Marlins have dominated the current series, winning the first three games by a combined score of 22–5.

MIA vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Ramirez over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Miami vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/10/25

The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds square off in the final game of their four-game set at Great American Ball Park on Thursday, July 10, 2025, with the Marlins riding a wave of confidence behind one of the hottest stretches in baseball and the Reds scrambling for answers amidst a frustrating homestand. Miami, surging with a 12–1 run over their last 13 games, has been dominant on both sides of the ball, led by timely hitting, aggressive baserunning, and a rotation that has finally found consistency, while Cincinnati continues to slide down the NL Central standings with injuries, inconsistency, and bullpen meltdowns plaguing their once-promising season. The Marlins are expected to send veteran right-hander Edward Cabrera to the mound, who has been brilliant since returning from the injured list, posting a sub-3.00 ERA over his last five outings and giving the Fish much-needed length and composure. Opposing him will be young Reds righty Graham Ashcraft, who has had flashes of dominance but continues to struggle with command and high pitch counts, often failing to get past the fifth inning, which exposes a Reds bullpen that ranks among the bottom five in ERA over the past month. Offensively, Miami has been led by Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz, with both players swinging hot bats and playing aggressive defense, while rookie shortstop Jacob Amaya continues to impress with clutch hits and steady glove work.

The Marlins have also been relentless on the bases, creating extra scoring chances with stolen bases and taking the extra base at an elite rate, putting pressure on Cincinnati’s defense to make perfect throws. On the Reds’ side, they are still getting offensive production from Elly De La Cruz, who remains a bright spot with his mix of power and speed, and Spencer Steer has provided pop in the middle of the lineup, but too often their rallies fizzle due to situational hitting woes and runners left stranded. Defensively, Cincinnati has struggled with costly errors and poor outfield communication, contributing to several multi-run innings that have doomed otherwise competitive starts. The Reds’ recent record ATS is reflective of their struggles, having failed to cover in 7 of their last 10 games, particularly at home where late-inning collapses have become too common. With the Marlins continuing to surge and a potential sweep on the line, this game looms large for both clubs: Miami looking to cap a dominant road trip with a statement win and Cincinnati hoping to stop the bleeding before falling further behind in the playoff race. If Cabrera continues his sharp form and Miami’s bats stay hot, the Reds will need a near-perfect outing from Ashcraft and timely hitting to avoid being overrun once again. Given the trends and how both teams are currently performing, the Marlins enter as the clear favorite, not just to win but to control the tempo from the first pitch.

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins enter Thursday’s series finale against the Cincinnati Reds as one of the hottest teams in Major League Baseball, riding an 11-game road winning streak and having completely dominated the first three games of the series with a combined score of 22–5. Miami has surged in recent weeks to improve their record to 40–48, a dramatic turnaround from their early-season struggles thanks to a rejuvenated pitching staff and an offense that has finally found its rhythm. Leading the charge has been second baseman Xavier Edwards, who recorded multiple hits and three RBIs in Tuesday’s win, and outfielder Bryan De La Cruz, whose consistency at the plate has helped anchor the lineup. Young shortstop Jacob Amaya and veteran catcher Christian Bethancourt have also delivered key contributions, giving manager Skip Schumaker more flexibility in crafting matchups. The Marlins’ pitching has played a major role in this winning streak, with Eury Pérez delivering another solid outing earlier in the series, allowing only one run over five efficient innings. Edward Cabrera is expected to take the mound in the finale, and after returning from injury, he has posted excellent numbers, including a sub-3.00 ERA in his last five starts, keeping hitters off balance with his electric fastball-changeup combination and better command.

Miami’s bullpen, once a concern, has settled into form with reliable arms like Tanner Scott and Anthony Bender closing out tight contests, and the team’s overall ERA has dropped significantly since mid-June. Perhaps most impressively, the Marlins have excelled against the spread (ATS), covering in 12 of their last 13 games and going 5–0 ATS in their last five on the road, signaling a team that not only wins but often exceeds expectations. They’ve been opportunistic, aggressive on the bases, and have shown excellent situational hitting, especially with runners in scoring position. The Marlins’ clubhouse vibe has shifted as well, with veterans like Josh Bell and Jesus Sanchez setting the tone and younger players feeding off that energy. While they’re still below .500 overall, Miami’s recent play has catapulted them into Wild Card contention in the National League, and with trade deadline season approaching, they may transition from potential sellers to aggressive buyers if this momentum continues. Thursday’s matchup represents a major opportunity to complete a rare four-game road sweep and continue climbing the standings heading into the All-Star break. If Cabrera continues his recent dominance and the lineup stays hot, especially against a Reds team struggling to pitch and defend effectively, the Marlins are poised to make another strong statement that their early-season woes are firmly behind them. With each win building confidence and cohesion, this Miami team is starting to look like a legitimate playoff threat, and a sweep in Cincinnati could be yet another step in a remarkable midseason turnaround.

The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds will conclude their four-game series on Thursday, July 10, 2025, at Great American Ball Park. The Marlins aim to extend their impressive road winning streak, while the Reds look to snap a recent skid and avoid a series sweep. Miami vs Cincinnati AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 10. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds enter Thursday’s finale against the Miami Marlins with growing urgency after dropping the first three games of the series in lopsided fashion and extending their losing streak to four games. At 46–44, the Reds remain in the thick of the National League Wild Card race, but their recent form has been troubling, particularly at home where inconsistent pitching and a slumping offense have made it difficult to sustain momentum. The series has been dominated by the Marlins, who have outscored Cincinnati 22–5 over the first three games, exposing cracks in the Reds’ bullpen and starting rotation. Nick Martinez’s disastrous outing earlier in the series, where he allowed a career-high 10 runs, underscored the struggles on the mound, and the Reds are turning to right-hander Graham Ashcraft in the finale to try to stop the bleeding. Ashcraft has shown flashes of promise this season but has struggled with command and high pitch counts, often failing to work deep into games, which further taxes a bullpen already under pressure. Offensively, Cincinnati has been too reliant on the production of Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer, while veterans like Jonathan India and TJ Friedl have been mired in slumps. The Reds’ inability to come through with runners in scoring position has plagued them throughout the losing streak, and their situational hitting has suffered as opposing teams continue to challenge them with high-velocity arms late in games.

Defensively, the Reds have had lapses that have contributed to big innings by opponents, and their infield communication, particularly on double-play attempts, has lacked crispness. Despite their current slide, the Reds have historically performed well at home against the Marlins, holding a 12–3 ATS record in their last 15 meetings in Cincinnati. That trend offers a small measure of hope, especially if Ashcraft can deliver a quality start and the lineup can capitalize on early scoring opportunities to put pressure on Miami’s pitching. Manager David Bell has juggled the batting order in hopes of sparking a turnaround, but so far, the results have not matched the effort. As they try to avoid a demoralizing four-game sweep heading into the All-Star break, the Reds will need a full-team effort that includes clean defense, a solid performance from Ashcraft, and timely hits from the middle of the lineup. With trade deadline rumors beginning to swirl, the next few games could determine whether Cincinnati becomes a buyer or seller, adding an extra layer of urgency to this finale. A win on Thursday won’t erase the sting of the previous losses but would provide a much-needed jolt to a team looking to regroup and reestablish itself as a legitimate playoff contender. If they can execute early and avoid the defensive and bullpen collapses that have doomed them of late, the Reds have the talent to stop the streak and finish the series with a crucial morale-boosting victory.

Miami vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Marlins and Reds play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Great American Ball Park in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Ramirez over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Miami vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Marlins and Reds and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending factor human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly deflated Reds team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Miami vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Marlins vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been exceptional against the spread (ATS), covering in 12 of their last 13 games. Notably, they are 5–0 ATS in their last five road games.

Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have struggled recently, going 2–6 ATS in their last eight games. However, they have a strong historical ATS record at home against the Marlins, standing at 12–3 in their last 15 such games.

Marlins vs. Reds Matchup Trends

Historically, the Reds have a favorable record against the Marlins, with a 135–104 all-time advantage. However, the Marlins have dominated the current series, winning the first three games by a combined score of 22–5.

Miami vs. Cincinnati Game Info

Miami vs Cincinnati starts on July 10, 2025 at 5:10 PM EST.

Venue: Great American Ball Park.

Spread: Cincinnati -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +144, Cincinnati -172
Over/Under: 9.5

Miami: (42-49)  |  Cincinnati: (47-46)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Ramirez over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, the Reds have a favorable record against the Marlins, with a 135–104 all-time advantage. However, the Marlins have dominated the current series, winning the first three games by a combined score of 22–5.

MIA trend: The Marlins have been exceptional against the spread (ATS), covering in 12 of their last 13 games. Notably, they are 5–0 ATS in their last five road games.

CIN trend: The Reds have struggled recently, going 2–6 ATS in their last eight games. However, they have a strong historical ATS record at home against the Marlins, standing at 12–3 in their last 15 such games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. Cincinnati Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Miami vs Cincinnati Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: +144
CIN Moneyline: -172
MIA Spread: +1.5
CIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

Miami vs Cincinnati Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+172
-205
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+136
-162
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+138
-164
+1.5 (-164)
-1.5 (+136)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-142
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-118)
U 7.5 (-104)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-162
+136
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-122)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-118
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-184)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds on July 10, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN