Marlins vs. Reds
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 10 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-07-08T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds will conclude their four-game series on Thursday, July 10, 2025, at Great American Ball Park. The Marlins aim to extend their impressive road winning streak, while the Reds look to snap a recent skid and avoid a series sweep.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 10, 2025
Start Time: 5:10 PM EST
Venue: Great American Ball Park
Reds Record: (47-46)
Marlins Record: (42-49)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: +144
CIN Moneyline: -172
MIA Spread: +1.5
CIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Marlins have been exceptional against the spread (ATS), covering in 12 of their last 13 games. Notably, they are 5–0 ATS in their last five road games.
CIN
Betting Trends
- The Reds have struggled recently, going 2–6 ATS in their last eight games. However, they have a strong historical ATS record at home against the Marlins, standing at 12–3 in their last 15 such games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, the Reds have a favorable record against the Marlins, with a 135–104 all-time advantage. However, the Marlins have dominated the current series, winning the first three games by a combined score of 22–5.
MIA vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Ramirez over 5.5 Fantasy Score.
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Miami vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/10/25
The Marlins have also been relentless on the bases, creating extra scoring chances with stolen bases and taking the extra base at an elite rate, putting pressure on Cincinnati’s defense to make perfect throws. On the Reds’ side, they are still getting offensive production from Elly De La Cruz, who remains a bright spot with his mix of power and speed, and Spencer Steer has provided pop in the middle of the lineup, but too often their rallies fizzle due to situational hitting woes and runners left stranded. Defensively, Cincinnati has struggled with costly errors and poor outfield communication, contributing to several multi-run innings that have doomed otherwise competitive starts. The Reds’ recent record ATS is reflective of their struggles, having failed to cover in 7 of their last 10 games, particularly at home where late-inning collapses have become too common. With the Marlins continuing to surge and a potential sweep on the line, this game looms large for both clubs: Miami looking to cap a dominant road trip with a statement win and Cincinnati hoping to stop the bleeding before falling further behind in the playoff race. If Cabrera continues his sharp form and Miami’s bats stay hot, the Reds will need a near-perfect outing from Ashcraft and timely hitting to avoid being overrun once again. Given the trends and how both teams are currently performing, the Marlins enter as the clear favorite, not just to win but to control the tempo from the first pitch.
Let’s get down to business
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) July 9, 2025
📺: @FanDuelSN_FL , @FDSN_Marlins
👂: @MarlinsRadio , @FoxSports940
⏰: 7:10 PM ET #MarlinsBeisbolhttps://t.co/1LawDwmWqH pic.twitter.com/t87qHXxwxF
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins enter Thursday’s series finale against the Cincinnati Reds as one of the hottest teams in Major League Baseball, riding an 11-game road winning streak and having completely dominated the first three games of the series with a combined score of 22–5. Miami has surged in recent weeks to improve their record to 40–48, a dramatic turnaround from their early-season struggles thanks to a rejuvenated pitching staff and an offense that has finally found its rhythm. Leading the charge has been second baseman Xavier Edwards, who recorded multiple hits and three RBIs in Tuesday’s win, and outfielder Bryan De La Cruz, whose consistency at the plate has helped anchor the lineup. Young shortstop Jacob Amaya and veteran catcher Christian Bethancourt have also delivered key contributions, giving manager Skip Schumaker more flexibility in crafting matchups. The Marlins’ pitching has played a major role in this winning streak, with Eury Pérez delivering another solid outing earlier in the series, allowing only one run over five efficient innings. Edward Cabrera is expected to take the mound in the finale, and after returning from injury, he has posted excellent numbers, including a sub-3.00 ERA in his last five starts, keeping hitters off balance with his electric fastball-changeup combination and better command.
Miami’s bullpen, once a concern, has settled into form with reliable arms like Tanner Scott and Anthony Bender closing out tight contests, and the team’s overall ERA has dropped significantly since mid-June. Perhaps most impressively, the Marlins have excelled against the spread (ATS), covering in 12 of their last 13 games and going 5–0 ATS in their last five on the road, signaling a team that not only wins but often exceeds expectations. They’ve been opportunistic, aggressive on the bases, and have shown excellent situational hitting, especially with runners in scoring position. The Marlins’ clubhouse vibe has shifted as well, with veterans like Josh Bell and Jesus Sanchez setting the tone and younger players feeding off that energy. While they’re still below .500 overall, Miami’s recent play has catapulted them into Wild Card contention in the National League, and with trade deadline season approaching, they may transition from potential sellers to aggressive buyers if this momentum continues. Thursday’s matchup represents a major opportunity to complete a rare four-game road sweep and continue climbing the standings heading into the All-Star break. If Cabrera continues his recent dominance and the lineup stays hot, especially against a Reds team struggling to pitch and defend effectively, the Marlins are poised to make another strong statement that their early-season woes are firmly behind them. With each win building confidence and cohesion, this Miami team is starting to look like a legitimate playoff threat, and a sweep in Cincinnati could be yet another step in a remarkable midseason turnaround.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview
The Cincinnati Reds enter Thursday’s finale against the Miami Marlins with growing urgency after dropping the first three games of the series in lopsided fashion and extending their losing streak to four games. At 46–44, the Reds remain in the thick of the National League Wild Card race, but their recent form has been troubling, particularly at home where inconsistent pitching and a slumping offense have made it difficult to sustain momentum. The series has been dominated by the Marlins, who have outscored Cincinnati 22–5 over the first three games, exposing cracks in the Reds’ bullpen and starting rotation. Nick Martinez’s disastrous outing earlier in the series, where he allowed a career-high 10 runs, underscored the struggles on the mound, and the Reds are turning to right-hander Graham Ashcraft in the finale to try to stop the bleeding. Ashcraft has shown flashes of promise this season but has struggled with command and high pitch counts, often failing to work deep into games, which further taxes a bullpen already under pressure. Offensively, Cincinnati has been too reliant on the production of Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer, while veterans like Jonathan India and TJ Friedl have been mired in slumps. The Reds’ inability to come through with runners in scoring position has plagued them throughout the losing streak, and their situational hitting has suffered as opposing teams continue to challenge them with high-velocity arms late in games.
Defensively, the Reds have had lapses that have contributed to big innings by opponents, and their infield communication, particularly on double-play attempts, has lacked crispness. Despite their current slide, the Reds have historically performed well at home against the Marlins, holding a 12–3 ATS record in their last 15 meetings in Cincinnati. That trend offers a small measure of hope, especially if Ashcraft can deliver a quality start and the lineup can capitalize on early scoring opportunities to put pressure on Miami’s pitching. Manager David Bell has juggled the batting order in hopes of sparking a turnaround, but so far, the results have not matched the effort. As they try to avoid a demoralizing four-game sweep heading into the All-Star break, the Reds will need a full-team effort that includes clean defense, a solid performance from Ashcraft, and timely hits from the middle of the lineup. With trade deadline rumors beginning to swirl, the next few games could determine whether Cincinnati becomes a buyer or seller, adding an extra layer of urgency to this finale. A win on Thursday won’t erase the sting of the previous losses but would provide a much-needed jolt to a team looking to regroup and reestablish itself as a legitimate playoff contender. If they can execute early and avoid the defensive and bullpen collapses that have doomed them of late, the Reds have the talent to stop the streak and finish the series with a crucial morale-boosting victory.
It's Winsday my dudes #ATOBTTR pic.twitter.com/FW0UAP6eSc
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) July 10, 2025
Miami vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Marlins and Reds and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending factor human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly deflated Reds team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Marlins vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins have been exceptional against the spread (ATS), covering in 12 of their last 13 games. Notably, they are 5–0 ATS in their last five road games.
Reds Betting Trends
The Reds have struggled recently, going 2–6 ATS in their last eight games. However, they have a strong historical ATS record at home against the Marlins, standing at 12–3 in their last 15 such games.
Marlins vs. Reds Matchup Trends
Historically, the Reds have a favorable record against the Marlins, with a 135–104 all-time advantage. However, the Marlins have dominated the current series, winning the first three games by a combined score of 22–5.
Miami vs. Cincinnati Game Info
What time does Miami vs Cincinnati start on July 10, 2025?
Miami vs Cincinnati starts on July 10, 2025 at 5:10 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs Cincinnati being played?
Venue: Great American Ball Park.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Cincinnati?
Spread: Cincinnati -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +144, Cincinnati -172
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for Miami vs Cincinnati?
Miami: (42-49) | Cincinnati: (47-46)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Cincinnati?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Ramirez over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Cincinnati trending bets?
Historically, the Reds have a favorable record against the Marlins, with a 135–104 all-time advantage. However, the Marlins have dominated the current series, winning the first three games by a combined score of 22–5.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Marlins have been exceptional against the spread (ATS), covering in 12 of their last 13 games. Notably, they are 5–0 ATS in their last five road games.
What are Cincinnati trending bets?
CIN trend: The Reds have struggled recently, going 2–6 ATS in their last eight games. However, they have a strong historical ATS record at home against the Marlins, standing at 12–3 in their last 15 such games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Cincinnati?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Cincinnati Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Miami vs Cincinnati Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
+144 CIN Moneyline: -172
MIA Spread: +1.5
CIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
Miami vs Cincinnati Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+194
-235
|
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
|
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-168
|
-1.5 (+118)
|
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+132
-156
|
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
|
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+102
-120
|
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+198
-240
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-124
+106
|
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
|
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+172
-205
|
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+128
-152
|
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+138
-164
|
+1.5 (-164)
-1.5 (+136)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+120
-142
|
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+150)
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O 7.5 (-118)
U 7.5 (-104)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-162
+136
|
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-122)
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|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+102
-120
|
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-118
|
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-184)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds on July 10, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |