Mariners vs Yankees Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 09)
Updated: 2025-07-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees are set to face off on July 9, 2025, at Yankee Stadium, with both teams looking to gain momentum as they approach the All-Star break. The Yankees, currently leading the AL East, aim to solidify their position, while the Mariners, second in the AL West, seek to close the gap with the division leaders.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 09, 2025
Start Time: 7:05 PM EST
Venue: Yankee Stadium
Yankees Record: (50-41)
Mariners Record: (48-43)
OPENING ODDS
SEA Moneyline: +125
NYY Moneyline: -150
SEA Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
SEA
Betting Trends
- The Mariners have covered the run line in 60% of their last five matchups against the Yankees, indicating a strong recent performance in head-to-head games.
NYY
Betting Trends
- The Yankees have struggled against the spread recently, going 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, highlighting potential vulnerabilities.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Mariners have a 60% win rate against the spread, suggesting they have had the upper hand in recent encounters.
SEA vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chisholm over 5.5 Fantasy Score.
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Seattle vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/9/25
On the other side, the Mariners enter the game with a 48-42 record and second place in the AL West, trailing the division-leading Astros but very much in the Wild Card hunt. Seattle has been resilient on the road, going 23-24 away from home, and they’ve played well in recent head-to-head matchups with the Yankees, covering the run line in three of the last five meetings. Logan Gilbert is expected to take the mound for the Mariners and has looked solid since returning from an elbow injury, giving up 11 earned runs over 20 innings but showing good command and a deep pitch mix that includes a deceptive slider and pinpoint fastball. Seattle’s lineup has been led by the electrifying Julio Rodríguez, who has collected 91 hits this season and remains the heart of the team’s offense with his speed, power, and defensive excellence in center field. Power-hitting catcher Cal Raleigh has added 35 home runs, making him one of the most dangerous catchers in baseball, while J.P. Crawford and Ty France provide additional on-base and RBI potential in the middle of the order. Seattle’s bullpen has also been a steady presence, anchored by closer Andrés Muñoz, who has recorded 18 saves with high-velocity efficiency. With both teams coming off emotional wins and needing to build momentum heading into the break, this matchup promises intensity and postseason-level energy. The Yankees’ offensive might and home-field edge contrast with Seattle’s pitching depth and recent success in the series, setting the stage for a tightly contested rubber match that could have playoff implications for both clubs in their respective divisions.
Logan Evans starts in Game 2 tomorrow at 4:05 p.m. pic.twitter.com/A1gGTZ0NMJ
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) July 9, 2025
Seattle Mariners MLB Preview
The Seattle Mariners enter their July 9, 2025 matchup against the New York Yankees with a 48-42 record and a sense of determination as they seek to close the gap in the AL West and gain traction in the AL Wild Card race before the All-Star break. Despite sitting behind the Astros in their division, Seattle remains one of the most balanced and resilient teams in the American League, boasting a combination of youthful athleticism, underrated pitching depth, and power in key spots. On the road, the Mariners have been solid if not spectacular with a 23-24 record, and they’ve had success against the Yankees in recent meetings, covering the spread in three of the last five matchups, including a few notable wins at Yankee Stadium where their pitching has helped quiet the Bronx bats. Logan Gilbert will get the start in this series finale and is continuing to ramp up after returning from an elbow injury; he’s allowed 11 earned runs over his last 20 innings but has steadily regained his control and velocity, offering a full arsenal of pitches including a sharp slider and a fastball that still touches the upper 90s. His ability to neutralize the Yankees’ dangerous right-handed power bats like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton will be critical, especially early in the game when New York tends to do the most damage.
The Mariners’ offense is anchored by superstar center fielder Julio Rodríguez, who leads the team in hits with 91 and continues to do it all—he gets on base, steals bags, plays elite defense, and provides timely extra-base hits that swing momentum. Behind him, Cal Raleigh has been one of the best offensive catchers in baseball this season, already with 35 home runs to his name and a reputation for delivering in clutch spots. J.P. Crawford continues to get on base at a steady clip, and Ty France adds another disciplined bat with the ability to grind out at-bats and work pitch counts. Manager Scott Servais has relied heavily on his bullpen in close games, and that group has delivered—closer Andrés Muñoz is one of the most electric arms in the game, routinely hitting triple digits and already notching 18 saves with a high strikeout rate and a reliable wipeout slider. Seattle’s defensive alignment has also been a strength, with Rodríguez patrolling center and Crawford anchoring the infield with his range and instincts. While Yankee Stadium poses a challenge, particularly with the short porch in right field, the Mariners’ recent confidence in this head-to-head matchup and the return of Gilbert give them a legitimate shot to take the finale. A win here would not only cap off a strong series in hostile territory but also give Seattle valuable momentum heading into the second half of the season, reinforcing their status as a serious postseason contender with both the tools and mentality to compete with baseball’s elite.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview
The New York Yankees come into their July 9, 2025 matchup against the Seattle Mariners with a 48-36 record and their sights set on maintaining their lead atop the AL East as the first half of the season nears its end. While the Yankees have dropped a few winnable games lately and are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six road outings, they’ve been a much stronger team at home, posting a 26-17 record at Yankee Stadium where their lineup’s raw power and the familiarity of the short porch in right field continue to play to their advantage. Leading the way offensively is Aaron Judge, who remains one of the most feared sluggers in all of baseball with 35 home runs already to go along with a .975 OPS, routinely crushing mistakes and altering the course of games with one swing. Giancarlo Stanton continues to offer protection behind Judge with 25 home runs of his own, while young shortstop Anthony Volpe has developed into an all-around contributor, adding baserunning speed, improved contact hitting, and solid defense up the middle. Though the Yankees’ offensive output has largely been driven by the long ball, they’ve also shown flashes of manufacturing runs through timely singles and aggressive baserunning, particularly when DJ LeMahieu and Gleyber Torres are locked in.
On the mound, Will Warren is expected to start and will look to bounce back from a disastrous outing against Toronto in which he allowed eight earned runs, raising concerns about his ability to consistently get outs against playoff-caliber lineups. Warren has shown signs of potential with a solid slider and groundball-inducing sinker but has struggled with location and composure when facing adversity, meaning a strong start against a potent Mariners lineup is critical for his confidence and the Yankees’ chances. Fortunately, the Yankees’ bullpen has been a stabilizing force all year, anchored by closer Clay Holmes, who has converted 20 of 22 save opportunities and continues to thrive in high-leverage spots with his sinking fastball and late-breaking slider. Set-up arms like Tommy Kahnle and Ian Hamilton have also been reliable, giving manager Aaron Boone the flexibility to shorten games and match up strategically against opposing lineups. Defensively, the Yankees remain sharp, particularly in the outfield with Judge and Alex Verdugo providing range and strong arms, while catcher Austin Wells has developed solid rapport with the pitching staff and has shown improved control over the running game. New York will need to lean on its strengths in this finale—home-field advantage, elite power, and bullpen depth—to put away a tough Mariners squad that has played them well in recent seasons. A win here would not only secure a needed series victory heading into the All-Star break but also serve as a statement that despite recent wobbles, the Yankees remain a dominant force and one of the teams to beat in the American League as they continue their march toward October.
Ya like Jazz? pic.twitter.com/aTQ8Ul1HV0
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 9, 2025
Seattle vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)
Seattle vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Mariners and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on New York Yankees’s strength factors between a Mariners team going up against a possibly rested Yankees team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Seattle vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Mariners vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mariners Betting Trends
The Mariners have covered the run line in 60% of their last five matchups against the Yankees, indicating a strong recent performance in head-to-head games.
Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have struggled against the spread recently, going 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, highlighting potential vulnerabilities.
Mariners vs. Yankees Matchup Trends
In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Mariners have a 60% win rate against the spread, suggesting they have had the upper hand in recent encounters.
Seattle vs. New York Yankees Game Info
What time does Seattle vs New York Yankees start on July 09, 2025?
Seattle vs New York Yankees starts on July 09, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.
Where is Seattle vs New York Yankees being played?
Venue: Yankee Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Seattle vs New York Yankees?
Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: Seattle +125, New York Yankees -150
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for Seattle vs New York Yankees?
Seattle: (48-43) | New York Yankees: (50-41)
What is the AI best bet for Seattle vs New York Yankees?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Chisholm over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Seattle vs New York Yankees trending bets?
In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Mariners have a 60% win rate against the spread, suggesting they have had the upper hand in recent encounters.
What are Seattle trending bets?
SEA trend: The Mariners have covered the run line in 60% of their last five matchups against the Yankees, indicating a strong recent performance in head-to-head games.
What are New York Yankees trending bets?
NYY trend: The Yankees have struggled against the spread recently, going 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, highlighting potential vulnerabilities.
Where can I find AI Picks for Seattle vs New York Yankees?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Seattle vs. New York Yankees Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Seattle vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Seattle vs New York Yankees Opening Odds
SEA Moneyline:
+125 NYY Moneyline: -150
SEA Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
Seattle vs New York Yankees Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
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–
–
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-148
+134
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-1.5 (+116)
+1.5 (-136)
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O 7.5 (+101)
U 7.5 (-121)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Yankees on July 09, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |